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Aebi Schmidt Holding AG
(NASDAQ:AEBI)
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Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
$10.50
▼(-14.98% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/18/26
The score is held back primarily by weaker cash flow and compressed profitability despite strong revenue growth and balance-sheet improvement. The latest earnings call was a clear positive (confirmed guidance, strong backlog, synergy execution), but elevated valuation and only neutral technical signals temper the overall attractiveness.
Positive Factors
Backlog and order visibility
The expanding backlog provides meaningful revenue visibility beyond the current quarter and supports production planning across municipal, infrastructure, airport, and commercial markets. Continued order growth also indicates sustained demand for the company’s specialized maintenance equipment and solutions.
Negative Factors
Profitability compression
Although revenue rose sharply, the substantial decline in net and EBITDA margins shows that growth has not yet translated into comparable earnings power. Persistent cost pressure or integration-related inefficiency could limit internal funding, weaken returns, and make future performance more volatile.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Backlog and order visibility
The expanding backlog provides meaningful revenue visibility beyond the current quarter and supports production planning across municipal, infrastructure, airport, and commercial markets. Continued order growth also indicates sustained demand for the company’s specialized maintenance equipment and solutions.
Read all positive factors
Aebi Schmidt Holding AG (AEBI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$865.28M
Dividend Yield0.89%
Average Volume (3M)323.95K
Price to Earnings (P/E)35.4
Beta (1Y)1.58
Revenue GrowthN/A
EPS GrowthN/A
CountryUS
Employees5,415
SectorIndustrials
Sector Strength72
IndustryAgricultural - Machinery
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.32
Shares Outstanding77,603,250
10 Day Avg. Volume296,898
30 Day Avg. Volume323,954
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-1.29
Price to Book (P/B)0.91
Price to Sales (P/S)0.49
P/FCF Ratio-141.81
Enterprise Value/Market Cap2.09
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.87
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit4.72
Enterprise Value/Ebitda12.68
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$17.00Price Target Upside37.65% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering3
EPS Forecast (FY)0.71
Revenue Forecast (FY)$2.06B
Aebi Schmidt Holding AG Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Aebi Schmidt Holding AG engineers and produces specialized machinery and complementary attachments. These products serve a range of applications, including winter maintenance (such as snow removal and de-icing), urban sanitation (like sweeping), a...
How the Company Makes Money
Aebi Schmidt primarily makes money by selling specialized infrastructure-maintenance equipment and related solutions to public-sector and commercial customers. Key revenue streams include: (1) Equipment sales: revenue from new machines and attachm...
Aebi Schmidt Holding AG Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Aug 13, 2026
(Q2-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed a predominantly positive operational and financial picture: strong order intake and backlog growth, double-digit adjusted EBITDA growth, improved margins, realized synergies and confirmed full-year guidance. Management also highlighted product innovation, cross-selling successes and continued working capital and deleveraging progress. Key near-term headwinds include temporary gross margin pressure from material cost inflation and supply-chain actions, modestly updated leverage expectations, and geopolitical/tariff uncertainties. These challenges are described as temporary and being actively managed, with price increases and synergy capture expected to mitigate them over the next several quarters.Positive Updates
Order Intake and Backlog Growth
Order intake increased 16% year-over-year to $516 million and order backlog grew nearly 20% year-over-year to approximately $1.3 billion, providing strong revenue visibility for the remainder of 2026 and beyond.
Negative Updates
Temporary Gross Margin Pressure from Supply Chain
Unexpected material cost inflation and supply chain distortions resulted in temporary pressure on gross margins. Management is taking measures (higher safety stocks, larger batch purchases) that will require temporary investments through early 2027.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Order Intake and Backlog Growth
Order intake increased 16% year-over-year to $516 million and order backlog grew nearly 20% year-over-year to approximately $1.3 billion, providing strong revenue visibility for the remainder of 2026 and beyond.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management confirmed its full‑year 2026 guidance for net sales and adjusted EBITDA after a strong Q2 that featured order intake of $516M (+16% y/y), an order backlog of ~$1.3B (+~20%), net sales of $496M (organic +9.4%), adjusted EBITDA of $42M (+22% y/y) and an adjusted EBITDA margin of 8.5% (≈+19 bps); net working capital improved to $449M (working‑capital-to‑sales ~23% vs 25% a year ago), net debt was ~$450M (down $5M Q/Q) and leverage stood at 2.7x (down >0.5 turn y/y) with management targeting at least another 0.5‑turn improvement toward ~2x (now expected 2x or slightly above at year‑end 2026). They reiterated plans to realize >$37M of synergies by year‑end (>$40M annual run‑rate with roughly $5M left into 2027), noted temporary supply‑chain investments affecting margins through early 2027, and said executed price increases should support gross‑margin improvement by year‑end/early‑2027 while pursuing the 2030 ambition of >$3B revenue and a mid‑teen adjusted EBITDA margin (13%+).Aebi Schmidt Holding AG Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
58
Neutral
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
Cash Flow
39
Negative
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||
| Total Revenue | 2.08B | 1.53B | 1.09B | 1.02B |
| Gross Profit | 384.25M | 304.05M | 228.24M | 206.65M |
| EBITDA | 142.87M | 97.19M | 102.18M | 82.54M |
| Net Income | 21.37M | 9.74M | 30.68M | 11.20M |
Balance Sheet | ||||
| Total Assets | 2.50B | 2.01B | 1.09B | 1.11B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 136.04M | 98.51M | 65.17M | 42.70M |
| Total Debt | 975.11M | 758.22M | 461.84M | 509.65M |
| Total Liabilities | 1.48B | 1.19B | 722.95M | 772.82M |
| Stockholders Equity | 1.02B | 814.90M | 365.09M | 337.96M |
Cash Flow | ||||
| Free Cash Flow | 1.90M | -5.23M | 55.16M | 18.18M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 16.74M | 8.97M | 68.77M | 30.09M |
| Investing Cash Flow | 5.95M | 5.82M | -9.11M | -21.63M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 26.85M | 16.35M | -35.43M | -22.35M |
Aebi Schmidt Holding AG Technical Analysis
Neutral
12.35
Price Trends
11.77
Negative
12.14
Negative
12.45
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.16
Negative
46.65
Neutral
67.80
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AEBI, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 12.35 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.03, above the 50-day MA of 11.77, and below the 200-day MA of 12.45, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.16 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 46.65 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 67.80 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for AEBI.
Aebi Schmidt Holding AG Risk Analysis
Aebi Schmidt Holding AG disclosed 64 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Aebi Schmidt Holding AG reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Aebi Schmidt Holding AG Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
79 Outperform | $7.00B | 24.88 | 20.22% | 0.51% | 23.97% | 28.96% | |
72 Outperform | $8.37B | 15.42 | 12.32% | 1.64% | 1.93% | -12.16% | |
71 Outperform | $340.26B | 31.71 | 54.14% | 0.85% | 18.36% | 18.23% | |
64 Neutral | $1.09B | 20.34 | 10.96% | 1.40% | -7.37% | -25.20% | |
63 Neutral | $10.79B | 15.43 | 7.44% | 2.01% | 2.89% | -14.66% | |
53 Neutral | $865.28M | 35.40 | 2.33% | 0.89% | ― | ― | |
50 Neutral | $14.26B | 46.32 | 4.01% | 0.87% | 0.60% | -62.01% |
* Industrials Sector Average
AEBI
Aebi Schmidt Holding AG
11.19
-0.38
-3.25%
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LNN
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OSK
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-3.45
-2.50%
Aebi Schmidt Holding AG Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyDelistings and Listing ChangesFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Aebi Schmidt marks year of growth after Shyft acquisition
Positive
Jul 13, 2026
On July 13, 2026, Aebi Schmidt Group marked one year since acquiring The Shyft Group and listing on NASDAQ, emphasizing that integration of the combined business was effective from day one and that operational and financial targets set at the time...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.