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Arcosa Inc (ACA)
NYSE:ACA
US Market

Arcosa (ACA) AI Stock Analysis

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AC

Arcosa

(NYSE:ACA)

74Outperform
Arcosa's overall stock score is driven by strong financial health and positive earnings call guidance. While the technical analysis supports upward momentum, the high valuation and limited dividend yield present challenges. Positive demand outlook and successful integration of acquisitions further enhance the company's potential.

Arcosa (ACA) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Arcosa Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionArcosa, Inc. is a diversified industrial company that provides infrastructure-related products and solutions. Headquartered in Dallas, Texas, the company operates through three primary segments: Construction Products, Engineered Structures, and Transportation Products. Arcosa's offerings include aggregates and specialty materials, utility structures like transmission and distribution poles, wind towers, and barges for inland waterways. The company is focused on serving the construction, energy, and transportation markets.
How the Company Makes MoneyArcosa generates revenue through the sale of its diverse range of infrastructure-related products and services. In the Construction Products segment, Arcosa earns money by providing natural and recycled aggregates, specialty materials, and construction site support services. The Engineered Structures segment contributes to revenue by manufacturing utility structures such as poles for transmission and distribution, telecom structures, and wind towers for the renewable energy sector. In the Transportation Products segment, Arcosa sells barges and barge-related products, serving the inland waterway transportation industry. The company's revenue streams are supported by both long-term contracts and spot sales, with significant partnerships in sectors such as energy and construction, which provide stable demand for its products and services.

Arcosa Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Arcosa exhibits a solid financial position with consistent revenue growth and strong cash flow performance. Despite increased leverage, the company maintains a stable equity base. The construction industry context suggests resilience in Arcosa's financial health, albeit with attention needed on managing rising debt levels.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Arcosa's revenue has shown a consistent growth trend, with a noticeable increase from $1.94 billion in 2020 to $2.57 billion in 2024. The gross profit margin has remained relatively stable, but net profit margin has seen some fluctuations, with a decrease in 2024 compared to 2023. EBIT and EBITDA margins have been steady, indicating strong operational performance.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's balance sheet reflects a strong equity base with an equity ratio around 50%. However, debt levels have increased significantly in 2024, leading to a higher debt-to-equity ratio. Return on equity has been variable, suggesting some inconsistency in profitability relative to shareholder equity.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Arcosa has demonstrated robust operating cash flow growth, with free cash flow also showing positive trends, particularly in 2024. The company maintains a healthy operating cash flow to net income ratio, indicating efficient cash generation relative to its earnings.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
2.57B2.31B2.24B2.04B1.94B
Gross Profit
515.20M443.80M422.80M366.20M382.00M
EBIT
197.60M182.70M158.20M107.30M151.80M
EBITDA
197.60M383.50M501.30M251.30M263.30M
Net Income Common Stockholders
93.70M159.20M245.80M69.60M106.60M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
187.30M104.80M160.40M72.90M95.80M
Total Assets
4.92B3.58B3.34B3.19B2.65B
Total Debt
1.69B568.70M550.60M679.50M254.50M
Net Debt
1.50B463.90M390.20M606.60M158.70M
Total Liabilities
2.49B1.25B1.16B1.23B754.50M
Stockholders Equity
2.43B2.33B2.18B1.95B1.89B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
312.30M57.50M36.30M81.40M177.80M
Operating Cash Flow
502.00M261.00M174.30M166.50M259.90M
Investing Cash Flow
-1.51B-285.80M90.70M-570.30M-528.20M
Financing Cash Flow
1.09B-30.80M-177.50M380.90M123.70M

Arcosa Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price87.86
Price Trends
50DMA
80.69
Positive
100DMA
88.39
Negative
200DMA
91.69
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
2.51
Negative
RSI
59.31
Neutral
STOCH
68.97
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ACA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 87.86 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 84.14, above the 50-day MA of 80.69, and below the 200-day MA of 91.69, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 2.51 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.31 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 68.97 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ACA.

Arcosa Risk Analysis

Arcosa disclosed 49 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Arcosa reported the most risks in the “Production” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Arcosa Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$2.85B12.0022.80%1.65%7.31%91.99%
MWMWA
76
Outperform
$4.01B27.9917.68%1.02%10.96%43.44%
ACACA
74
Outperform
$4.34B55.833.23%0.22%10.44%-45.30%
GVGVA
72
Outperform
$3.81B38.2512.75%0.60%11.42%247.33%
HRHRI
68
Neutral
$3.89B30.619.60%1.96%8.34%-63.02%
64
Neutral
$4.44B11.995.16%249.23%4.01%-11.87%
56
Neutral
$3.52B38.6615.74%1.14%-3.52%-46.60%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ACA
Arcosa
87.86
1.88
2.19%
GVA
Granite Construction
86.78
24.88
40.19%
HEES
H&E Equipment Services
96.11
48.47
101.74%
HRI
Herc Holdings
136.64
-15.57
-10.23%
MGRC
Mcgrath Rentcorp
115.77
5.38
4.87%
MWA
Mueller Water Products
25.58
6.70
35.49%

Arcosa Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 06, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 2.20%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 31, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Arcosa showed strong financial performance with significant EBITDA growth and successful integration of acquisitions, despite challenges from weather impacts and a temporary dilutive effect from the Stavola acquisition. Positive demand indicators and strong segment performances provide confidence moving forward.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Adjusted EBITDA Growth
Arcosa delivered consolidated adjusted EBITDA growth of 26%, outpacing 12% revenue growth in the first quarter, and expanded their margin by 190 basis points.
Successful Integration of Stavola Acquisition
The $1.2 billion Stavola acquisition completed in October 2024 is progressing well, and operations are ramping up for the spring construction season.
Engineered Structures Segment Success
The engineered structures segment saw revenues increase 23% due to higher wind tower volumes and the impact of the Ameron acquisition. Adjusted segment EBITDA increased 90% and margin expanded 650 basis points.
Barge Business Performance and Backlog
The barge business performed better than expected with new orders extending the backlog to $334 million, up 19% from the start of the year.
Positive Demand Indicators
Strong demand in utility structures and good performance in engineered structures indicate a sustained period of demand growth.
Negative Updates
Weather Impact on Construction Products
Unseasonably cold and wet weather in January and February impacted construction products, causing a 6% decline in organic revenues.
Dilutive Impact of Stavola in First Quarter
The Stavola acquisition diluted adjusted segment EBITDA by $2 million and margin by 320 basis points in its seasonally slowest quarter.
Free Cash Flow Challenges
Free cash flow for the quarter was negative $30 million, although improvement is expected in the second half of the year.
Company Guidance
During Arcosa Inc.'s first quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided a strong outlook for the year, maintaining its revenue guidance at $2.9 billion, a 17% increase from the previous year, and adjusted EBITDA guidance at $570 million, up 30% excluding divested operations. The call highlighted a 26% growth in consolidated adjusted EBITDA, with a 190 basis point margin expansion, driven by robust performance in engineered structures and transportation products. The Stavola acquisition, though initially dilutive, is expected to contribute positively in Q2 as the construction season advances. Arcosa aims to achieve a leverage ratio between 2 to 2.5 times over the next 12 months, down from 2.9 times at quarter-end. Despite macroeconomic uncertainties, the company remains optimistic about infrastructure investments and the U.S. power market, projecting high single-digit organic growth in construction products and maintaining a positive outlook across its segments.

Arcosa Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsShareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Arcosa Holds Annual Shareholders Meeting and Updates Strategy
Neutral
May 14, 2025

On May 14, 2025, Arcosa, Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Shareholders where key proposals were voted upon, including the election of directors and the approval of executive compensation. The shareholders also ratified Ernst & Young LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the year ending December 31, 2025. Additionally, Arcosa has updated its investor presentation materials to reflect its ongoing strategic transformation, focusing on margin expansion, cash flow generation, and growth in attractive markets. The company has made significant investments in its construction products platform, including the acquisition of Stavola, to enhance its market positioning and reduce business complexity.

The most recent analyst rating on (ACA) stock is a Buy with a $105.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Arcosa stock, see the ACA Stock Forecast page.

Spark’s Take on ACA Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, ACA is a Outperform.

Arcosa receives an overall score of 70, reflecting its strong financial performance and optimistic earnings call outlook. However, the overvaluation concerns and mixed technical indicators slightly temper the score. The company’s ability to manage rising debt levels and leverage its acquisitions effectively will be key to maintaining its financial health.

To see Spark’s full report on ACA stock, click here.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.