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Alcoa (AA)
NYSE:AA
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EarningsQ2 2026 Earnings Report

Alcoa (AA) Q2 2026 Earnings Report

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AA Q2 2026 EPS Results

Actual EPS$2.12
Consensus EPS$2.25
Beat/MissMissed by -$0.13
One Year Ago EPS$0.39

AA Q2 2026 Revenue Results

Actual Revenue$3.78B
Expected Revenue$3.99B
Beat/MissMissed by -$206.38M
YoY Revenue Growth+28.64%

Earnings Announcement Details

QuarterQ2 2026
Date07/16/2026
TimeAfter Close
Conference CallThursday, July 16, 2026
AA Upcoming Earnings
Alcoa's next earnings date is estimated for October 15, 2026, based on past reporting schedules.

Q2 2026 Earnings Call Audio

AA Q2 2026 Earnings Call
0:00 / 0:00

Q2 2026 Earnings Slide Deck

Q2 2026 Earnings Call Summary

Q2 2026
Earnings Call Date:Jul 16, 2026|
% Change Since:
|
Earnings Call Sentiment|Positive
The call emphasized strong operational execution and record aluminum financial performance (notably record aluminum segment adjusted EBITDA, high revenue, robust cash generation, strategic investments, and a transformational acquisition with large synergies). Offsetting negatives include alumina segment disruptions (Pinjarra), guidance reductions for alumina volumes, end-of-quarter metal price volatility, elevated input and corporate costs, and some site-level cash consumption. On balance, the positives (record revenue, strong aluminum margins and cash flow, strategic acquisition and investments, labor stability) appear to outweigh the lowlights, though there are clear near-term execution and cost headwinds to monitor.
Company Guidance
Alcoa lowered full‑year alumina guidance to 9.5–9.6 million metric tons of production and 11.5–11.6 million metric tons of shipments, raised other corporate expenses to ~ $180 million and full‑year depreciation to ~ $660 million; for Q3 it expects the alumina segment to be ~ $10 million net favorable (Pinjarra recovery and lower energy) while the aluminum segment is expected to be roughly flat as productivity gains offset ~ $15 million of higher carbon costs, with diesel/fuel‑oil about $5 million favorable in Q3 based on a $90/barrel fuel‑oil assumption. Management also guided Q3 operational tax expense of ~$80–90 million, sees Section 232 tariff costs on U.S. imports from Canada decreasing by ~ $10 million, expects alumina costs in the aluminum segment to be ~ $10 million unfavorable, and noted a ~ $5 million unfavorable currency impact in Q2 that may not recur. On the South32 transaction, Alcoa identified ~ $900 million NPV of synergies (including ~ $50 million of run‑rate savings in year one), will pay $3.1 billion cash + $1.0 billion stock with a locked‑box estimated > $200 million (6/30/26), a ~5% ticking fee (implying ~$80–100 million at close), a CVR capped at $750 million over four years, and expects pro‑forma capacity increases of ~5.2 million metric tons of alumina (+53% pro‑forma) and ~900 thousand metric tons of primary aluminum (+37% pro‑forma); the company finished June with ~$1.4 billion cash, ~$1.4 billion adjusted net debt (within the top end of its target range) and expects post‑close leverage to remain at or below ~2.0x.
Record Quarterly Revenue
Total revenue increased 24% year-over-year to $4.0 billion, the highest quarterly revenue in Alcoa Corporation's ~10-year history.
Strong Aluminum Segment Performance
Aluminum third-party revenue rose 31% to $3.3 billion; aluminum segment delivered record adjusted EBITDA of $1.1 billion and an EBITDA margin of 32.3%. Aluminum shipments totaled 726 thousand metric tons and increased sequentially by 113 thousand metric tons.
Improved Adjusted Net Income and Cash Generation
Adjusted net income attributable to Alcoa was $562 million, up $189 million sequentially. Cash from operations was $608 million and free cash flow was $422 million; ended the quarter with $1.4 billion in cash and adjusted net debt of $1.4 billion.
Operational Execution and Production Records
Year-to-date production records achieved at 4 smelters and 1 refinery; primary aluminum production increased sequentially by 30 thousand metric tons. Value-added product volumes increased ~30 thousand metric tons sequentially and the 2026 order book strengthened across major regions.
Major Strategic Acquisition Announced
Agreement to acquire South32's upstream aluminum value chain assets (Alumina Limited Group) that would pro forma increase alumina capacity by ~5.2 million metric tons (+53%) and primary aluminum capacity by ~900 thousand metric tons (+37%). Identified ~ $900 million NPV of synergies including roughly $50 million of run-rate cost savings starting in year 1.
Capital Allocation and Balance Sheet Actions
Redeemed remaining $209 million of 2028 notes at par; maintained credit ratings with Moody's and S&P on a pro forma basis; returned $53 million in dividends YTD and positioned leverage to not exceed ~2.0x post-acquisition (per management).
Strategic Investments and New Ventures
Announced $65 million Mosjøen cast house expansion to add up to 75k metric tons capacity with recycled aluminum capability; final investment decision on a gallium production facility (government-funded partners) to create a Western-aligned source of a critical mineral.
Labor Stability
Secured multiyear collective agreements through 2030 across multiple jurisdictions (AWU in Western Australia, USW in the U.S., ABI in Quebec, Norway, and Alumar in Brazil), providing workforce stability for long-term operations.

AA Earnings History

Report Date
Fiscal Quarter
Forecast / EPS
Last Year's EPS
EPS YoY Change
Press Release
Oct 15, 2026
2026 (Q3)
1.52 / -
-0.02―
2026 (Q2)
2.25 / 2.12
0.39443.59% (+1.73)
2026 (Q1)
1.53 / 1.40
2.15-34.88% (-0.75)
2025 (Q4)
0.93 / 1.26
1.0421.15% (+0.22)
2025 (Q3)
-0.14 / -0.02
0.57-103.51% (-0.59)
2025 (Q2)
0.32 / 0.39
0.16143.75% (+0.23)
2025 (Q1)
1.68 / 2.15
-0.81365.43% (+2.96)
2024 (Q4)
0.95 / 1.04
-0.56285.71% (+1.60)
2024 (Q3)
0.25 / 0.57
-1.14150.00% (+1.71)
2024 (Q2)
0.08 / 0.16
-0.35145.71% (+0.51)
The table shows recent earnings report dates and whether the forecast was beat or missed. See the change in forecast and EPS from the previous year.
Beat
Missed