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Vitesse Energy, Inc.
(NYSE:VTS)
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Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
$17.00
â–²(7.59% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/04/26
The score is driven primarily by strong financial flexibility and solid cash generation, reinforced by an earnings-call focus on protecting the dividend through extensive hedging and maintaining conservative leverage. Offsetting these positives are weak technical trend signals and recent earnings volatility (including a TTM net loss and margin compression), which keep the overall rating in the mid-range despite the very high dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Strong Balance Sheet and Liquidity
Low leverage and substantial liquidity give Vitesse flexibility to fund development, absorb commodity volatility, and maintain shareholder distributions. This financial resilience is especially valuable for an upstream company exposed to cyclical prices.
Negative Factors
Choppy Profitability and Margin Compression
The return to a net loss and weaker margins indicate that earnings remain sensitive to commodity realizations and cost pressures. This reduces confidence that current operating cash generation will translate into consistently durable accounting profits.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong Balance Sheet and Liquidity
Low leverage and substantial liquidity give Vitesse flexibility to fund development, absorb commodity volatility, and maintain shareholder distributions. This financial resilience is especially valuable for an upstream company exposed to cyclical prices.
Read all positive factors
Vitesse Energy, Inc. Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Any
Revenue by Segment
Breaks down sales across the company’s business lines — e.g., production, midstream, services, and royalties — showing which parts of the business actually drive cash flow and growth. Reveals concentration risk if a single segment dominates, highlights sensitivity to commodity prices or contract terms, and indicates whether revenue is recurring or tied to one-time asset sales, all of which affect valuation, dividend capacity, and capital needs.
Breaks down sales across the company’s business lines — e.g., production, midstream, services, and royalties — showing which parts of the business actually drive cash flow and growth. Reveals concentration risk if a single segment dominates, highlights sensitivity to commodity prices or contract terms, and indicates whether revenue is recurring or tied to one-time asset sales, all of which affect valuation, dividend capacity, and capital needs.
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The Fly
The FlyVitesse Energy, Inc. (VTS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$700.19M
Dividend Yield12.16%
Average Volume (3M)537.39K
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)0.64
Revenue Growth8.52%
EPS Growth-129.00%
CountryUS
Employees37
SectorEnergy
Sector Strength52
IndustryOil & Gas Exploration & Production
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)-0.31
Shares Outstanding42,104,317
10 Day Avg. Volume415,274
30 Day Avg. Volume537,387
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-6.71
Price to Book (P/B)1.15
Price to Sales (P/S)2.65
P/FCF Ratio4.26
Enterprise Value/Market Cap<0.01
Enterprise Value/Revenue<0.01
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit<0.01
Enterprise Value/Ebitda<0.01
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$21.00Price Target Upside32.91% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering3
EPS Forecast (FY)-0.18
Revenue Forecast (FY)$287.37M
Vitesse Energy, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Vitesse Energy, Inc. is an energy company primarily engaged in all aspects of oil and gas property management, from initial acquisition and ownership through exploration, development, operation, production, and eventual divestiture of assets. The ...
How the Company Makes Money
Vitesse primarily makes money by receiving its share of revenue from the sale of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids produced from wells in which it holds non-operated working interests. For each producing property, the operator market...
Vitesse Energy, Inc. Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Aug 03, 2026
(Q2-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 09, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call emphasized durable shareholder returns (maintained dividend and strong dividend coverage strategy), solid operational trends (production growth, longer laterals improving efficiency), a conservative balance sheet (Net Debt/EBITDA ~<1x, ample liquidity), and a long hedge horizon to protect the dividend. Offsetting items include modest reported adjusted earnings and free cash flow after development CapEx, mark-to-market hedging volatility affecting GAAP results, a more competitive near-term acquisition market, and a raised baseline for cash CapEx. On balance, the positive operational and balance-sheet items and the clear focus on preserving the dividend materially outweigh the negatives.Positive Updates
Durable Dividend and Strong Shareholder Returns
Board declared Q3 cash dividend at an annualized $1.75 per share; 15 consecutive quarters of dividends since January 2023; cumulative dividends declared of $7.6375 per share (about 50% of current share price returned in under 4 years). Dividend explicitly sized to be covered by Free Cash Flow and prioritized as primary use of cash.
Negative Updates
Low Adjusted Net Income and Modest Free Cash Flow Relative to Needs
Adjusted Net Income was only $1.8 million in the quarter, and Free Cash Flow was $16.3 million after $21.1 million of development CapEx — indicating limited incremental cash available for discretionary uses beyond the dividend and prioritized reinvestment.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Durable Dividend and Strong Shareholder Returns
Board declared Q3 cash dividend at an annualized $1.75 per share; 15 consecutive quarters of dividends since January 2023; cumulative dividends declared of $7.6375 per share (about 50% of current share price returned in under 4 years). Dividend explicitly sized to be covered by Free Cash Flow and prioritized as primary use of cash.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Vitesse narrowed 2026 guidance to 16,300–17,200 Boe/d (60%–62% oil) and raised the bottom of total cash CapEx to $65–$80 million; to protect the dividend (Q3 annualized rate $1.75/sh; cumulative declared $7.6375/sh), the company has hedged ~70% of remaining 2026 oil with swaps/collars (weighted‑average floor $63.57 / ceiling $66.53/bbl), layered additional oil hedges into 2029 at a weighted‑average price of ~$67/bbl, and hedged ~50% of 2026 gas with collars (floor $3.73 / ceiling $4.90/MMBtu); balance-sheet and liquidity metrics supporting guidance include Total Debt $158.5M, Net Debt-to‑Adjusted EBITDA just under 1x (last‑quarter annualized), total liquidity ~ $117M, Q2 adjusted EBITDA $40.2M and Q2 free cash flow $16.3M after $21.1M of development CapEx, plus a $60M share‑repurchase authorization.Vitesse Energy, Inc. Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
58
Neutral
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
Cash Flow
72
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Nov 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 284.48M | 273.99M | 242.00M | 233.91M | 281.89M | 185.18M |
| Gross Profit | 90.13M | 51.69M | 72.59M | 91.02M | 162.93M | 126.73M |
| EBITDA | 86.85M | 174.69M | 139.02M | 129.22M | 186.79M | 82.17M |
| Net Income | -11.25M | 25.28M | 21.06M | -21.58M | 118.90M | 18.11M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 923.65M | 893.35M | 810.89M | 765.97M | 660.48M | 611.53M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 884.00K | 1.33M | 2.97M | 552.00K | 10.01M | 5.36M |
| Total Debt | 165.10M | 129.30M | 121.22M | 84.26M | 50.74M | 68.00M |
| Total Liabilities | 299.72M | 264.03M | 310.56M | 219.56M | 91.50M | 125.66M |
| Stockholders Equity | 623.92M | 629.32M | 500.33M | 546.41M | 568.98M | 485.86M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 66.48M | 170.35M | 39.68M | 21.28M | 62.46M | 43.65M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 136.31M | 170.35M | 155.00M | 141.94M | 147.04M | 86.97M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -100.93M | -127.66M | -115.32M | -120.67M | -84.58M | -43.32M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -36.46M | -44.33M | -37.27M | -30.73M | -57.81M | -42.59M |
Vitesse Energy, Inc. Technical Analysis
Positive
15.80
Price Trends
15.93
Positive
16.83
Negative
18.11
Negative
Market Momentum
0.15
Negative
58.68
Neutral
82.80
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VTS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 15.8 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 15.85, below the 50-day MA of 15.93, and below the 200-day MA of 18.11, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.15 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.68 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 82.80 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for VTS.
Vitesse Energy, Inc. Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
76 Outperform | $530.92M | 6.34 | 16.02% | 3.43% | 29.58% | 10.28% | |
66 Neutral | $700.19M | -53.35 | -1.82% | 12.66% | 8.52% | -129.00% | |
65 Neutral | $15.17B | 7.61 | 4.09% | 5.20% | 3.87% | -62.32% | |
61 Neutral | $693.80M | -25.05 | -4.68% | 9.63% | 14.60% | -187.70% | |
57 Neutral | $615.37M | -5.52 | -25.99% | 4.50% | -25.46% | -387.85% | |
54 Neutral | $996.45M | -10.10 | -5.69% | 2.09% | -12.57% | -188.23% | |
51 Neutral | $566.04M | -5.14 | 54.96% | 1.09% | 13.75% | 3.54% |
* Energy Sector Average
VTS
Vitesse Energy, Inc.
16.45
-6.16
-27.25%
SD
SandRidge Energy
14.35
3.78
35.81%
EGY
Vaalco Energy
5.83
2.31
65.53%
WTI
W&T Offshore
3.83
2.17
130.45%
HPK
HighPeak Energy
7.85
0.70
9.81%
GRNT
Granite Ridge Resources
5.22
0.33
6.66%
Vitesse Energy, Inc. Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Vitesse Energy Tightens 2026 Outlook After Strong Quarter
Positive
Aug 3, 2026
Vitesse Energy reported its second-quarter 2026 results on August 3, 2026, posting net income of $33.1 million, adjusted EBITDA of $40.2 million and average production of 17,354 Boe per day, up 9% sequentially following the integration of Powder R...
Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Vitesse Energy Shareholders Reelect Board, Ratify Deloitte Auditor
Positive
Jun 10, 2026
At its recent Annual Meeting, Vitesse Energy, Inc. stockholders voted to elect eight directors to serve on the company’s board for terms expiring at the 2027 Annual Meeting of Stockholders, with each nominee receiving sufficient support desp...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.