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Vitesse Energy, Inc. (VTS) AI Stock Analysis
Vitesse Energy, Inc.
(NYSE:VTS)
The score is anchored by solid cash generation and a generally supportive (though increasingly leveraged) balance sheet, which partially offsets the TTM net loss and margin deterioration. Technicals meaningfully reduce the score given the weak trend below major moving averages and bearish momentum signals. The very high dividend yield and a positive earnings-call outlook (higher guidance, Q4 acceleration expectations, and extensive hedging) provide support, but leverage and earnings volatility remain central risks.
Vitesse Energy, Inc. Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Revenue by SegmentBreaks down sales across the company’s business lines — e.g., production, midstream, services, and royalties — showing which parts of the business actually drive cash flow and growth. Reveals concentration risk if a single segment dominates, highlights sensitivity to commodity prices or contract terms, and indicates whether revenue is recurring or tied to one-time asset sales, all of which affect valuation, dividend capacity, and capital needs.
Oil remains the steady revenue backbone while natural gas delivers episodic spikes that drive quarter-to-quarter volatility; management’s extended hedges and the April Powder River acquisition deliberately lock in cash-flow stability and dividend support but cap near-term upside and create mark-to-market swings (the recent large unrealized hedge loss). For investors, focus on free cash flow and hedged floor prices rather than GAAP noise—growth is skewed toward oil, so material upside depends on either higher realized commodity prices or a step-up in operated activity in 2027.
The FlyVitesse Energy, Inc. (VTS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
- Market Cap
- $650.51M
- Dividend Yield
- 12.14%
- Average Volume (3M)
- 485.78K
- Price to Earnings (P/E)
- -13.6
- Beta (1Y)
- 0.50
- Revenue Growth
- 10.58%
- EPS Growth
- -324.32%
- Country
- US
- Employees
- 37
- Sector
- Energy
- Sector Strength
- 65
- Industry
- Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
Vitesse Energy, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Vitesse Energy, Inc. is an energy company primarily engaged in all aspects of oil and gas property management, from initial acquisition and ownership through exploration, development, operation, production, and eventual divestiture of assets. The fir...
How the Company Makes Money
Vitesse Energy makes money primarily from its share of oil and natural gas production revenues generated by wells operated by third parties in which it owns non-operated working interests. Under this model, the operator sells the produced hydrocarbon...
Vitesse Energy, Inc. Earnings Call Summary
The call was predominantly positive. Management highlighted the accretive DJ Basin acquisition, uninterrupted dividend history, increased production guidance, strong oil weighting, positive adjusted EBITDA and free cash flow, expanded liquidity, disciplined hedging, and expected operating leverage. The main negatives were the GAAP loss caused by noncash derivative marks, quarter-end leverage above the 1x target, and temporary production and LOE pressure from mechanical failures. Overall, the highlights significantly outweighed the lowlights.
Q3-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Negative Updates
Company Guidance
For 2026, Vitesse revised annual production guidance to 16,600 to 17,200 BOE per day and drilling completion CapEx guidance to $80 million to $90 million, with oil as a percentage of annual production at 60% to 62%; the company expects an acceleration of wells turned to production in the fourth quarter. For 2027, Vitesse is looking at a flat to modest increase in production relative to the annual guide to the pro forma production today, with CapEx expected to be similar to what this year is turning out to be, assuming commodity prices and the strip holding true to what it is today. Maintenance CapEx is expected to decline 10% or so over the next 3 or 4 years, LOE dollars per BOE are anticipated to come back down to where they were previously, and G&A would probably see some decrease as the company goes from year-to-year next year. Incorporating a full quarter of DJ Basin cash flows and acceleration of wells being turned to production in Q4, leverage is right at 1x target and declining at current strip prices; approximately 64% of the remaining 2026 oil production and approximately 57% of the remaining 2026 natural gas production were hedged, with the oil hedge book extending into 2030 at a weighted average price of approximately $68 per barrel.
Vitesse Energy, Inc. Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Cash flow is a clear strength (TTM operating cash flow $126.3M and free cash flow $96.5M with strong growth), and the balance sheet remains reasonably supported by sizable equity ($570.9M) versus debt ($190.5M). However, the income statement is the key drag: TTM swung to a net loss (-$46.3M) with a negative net margin (-15.4%) and weaker margins versus prior peaks, while leverage has been trending higher.
Income Statement
46NeutralBalance Sheet
62PositiveCash Flow
74Positive| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Nov 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 299.99M | 273.99M | 242.00M | 233.91M | 281.89M | 185.18M |
| Gross Profit | 105.04M | 51.69M | 72.59M | 91.02M | 162.93M | 126.73M |
| EBITDA | 100.94M | 174.69M | 139.02M | 129.22M | 186.79M | 82.17M |
| Net Income | -46.30M | 25.28M | 21.06M | -21.58M | 118.90M | 18.11M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 933.33M | 893.35M | 810.89M | 765.97M | 660.48M | 611.53M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 650.00K | 1.33M | 2.97M | 552.00K | 10.01M | 5.36M |
| Total Debt | 190.50M | 129.30M | 121.22M | 84.26M | 50.74M | 68.00M |
| Total Liabilities | 362.40M | 264.03M | 310.56M | 219.56M | 91.50M | 125.66M |
| Stockholders Equity | 570.94M | 629.32M | 500.33M | 546.41M | 568.98M | 485.86M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 96.53M | 170.35M | 39.68M | 21.28M | 62.46M | 43.65M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 126.28M | 170.35M | 155.00M | 141.94M | 147.04M | 86.97M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -122.14M | -127.66M | -115.32M | -120.67M | -84.58M | -43.32M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -9.06M | -44.33M | -37.27M | -30.73M | -57.81M | -42.59M |
Vitesse Energy, Inc. Technical Analysis
Price Trends
Market Momentum
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VTS, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 15.45 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 17.72, below the 50-day MA of 17.41, and below the 200-day MA of 17.28, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of 0.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 26.12 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 27.02 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for VTS.
Vitesse Energy, Inc. Risk Analysis
Vitesse Energy, Inc. disclosed 1 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Vitesse Energy, Inc. reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
- Legal & Regulatory1
Latest Risks Added
0 New RisksVitesse Energy, Inc. Peers Comparison
Overall Rating
SD75Outperform
GRNT61Neutral- VTS59Neutral
HPK58Neutral
EGY57Neutral
WTI56Neutral
Financial Indicators
| Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SD | 75Outperform | $498.29M | 5.92 | 16.02% | 5.23% | 29.58% | 10.28% |
| Sector * | 65Neutral | $15.17B | 7.61 | 4.09% | 5.20% | 3.87% | -62.32% |
| GRNT | 61Neutral | $691.16M | -24.33 | -4.68% | 8.61% | 14.60% | -187.70% |
| VTS | 59Neutral | $725.88M | -13.57 | -7.73% | 12.14% | 10.58% | -324.32% |
| HPK | 58Neutral | $1.10B | -10.92 | -5.69% | 1.85% | -12.57% | -188.23% |
| EGY | 57Neutral | $610.11M | -5.29 | -25.99% | 4.46% | -25.46% | -387.85% |
| WTI | 56Neutral | $556.07M | -10.41 | 25.13% | 1.13% | 20.26% | 65.62% |
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
| Show on chart | Ticker | Company Name | Price | Change | % Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VTS | Vitesse Energy, Inc. | 15.45 | -3.42 | -18.12% | |
| SD | Sandridge Energy | 13.38 | 1.71 | 14.62% | |
| EGY | Vaalco Energy | 5.61 | 1.98 | 54.59% | |
| WTI | W&t Offshore | 3.54 | 1.62 | 83.99% | |
| HPK | Highpeak Energy Inc | 8.63 | 2.55 | 41.87% | |
| GRNT | Granite Ridge Resources, Inc. | 5.11 | 0.27 | 5.67% |
Vitesse Energy, Inc. Corporate Events
Vitesse Energy Reports Third-Quarter Results and Financial Performance
NeutralOn November 2, 2026, Vitesse reported a third-quarter GAAP net loss of $36.4 million, including a $46.6 million non-cash unrealized commodity-derivative loss, alongside $2.5 million of Adjusted Net Income and $39.3 million of Adjusted EBITDA. Operati...
Vitesse Energy Announces Board Member Gary Reaves Resignation
NeutralOn September 30, 2026, Vitesse Energy, Inc. announced that board member Gary D. Reaves resigned from the Board of Directors, effective the same day. The company stated that Reaves’ departure was not due to any disagreement over operations, poli...
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.
Date of analysis: Nov 04, 2026