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Venture Global, Inc. Class A
(NYSE:VG)
Select Model
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Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$16.50
▲(15.38% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:09/06/26
The score is driven primarily by strong current profitability and a notably positive earnings-call backdrop (raised EBITDA guidance, strong operating execution, contracting progress, and refinancing benefits). Offsetting this are persistent negative free cash flow and historical balance-sheet volatility, while technicals are supportive and valuation is reasonable but not exceptionally cheap.
Positive Factors
Strong profitability and growth
Strong revenue growth, expanding EBITDA, and a 54% quarterly margin indicate substantial operating scale and earnings power. If execution continues, this profitability can support reinvestment, debt servicing, and shareholder returns while strengthening the company’s position in LNG markets.
Negative Factors
Persistently negative free cash flow
Strong operating cash generation is being more than fully absorbed by capital investment and working-capital demands, leaving free cash flow meaningfully negative. Continued outflows can increase reliance on financing and constrain deleveraging, dividends, or other capital-allocation options.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong profitability and growth
Strong revenue growth, expanding EBITDA, and a 54% quarterly margin indicate substantial operating scale and earnings power. If execution continues, this profitability can support reinvestment, debt servicing, and shareholder returns while strengthening the company’s position in LNG markets.
Read all positive factors
Venture Global, Inc. Class A (VG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$36.83B
Dividend Yield0.46%
Average Volume (3M)13.04M
Price to Earnings (P/E)14.3
Beta (1Y)0.18
Revenue Growth100.72%
EPS Growth153.27%
CountryUS
Employees2,000
SectorGeneral
Sector StrengthN/A
IndustryOil & Gas Midstream
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.92
Shares Outstanding531,488,400
10 Day Avg. Volume11,361,009
30 Day Avg. Volume13,038,419
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.14
Price to Book (P/B)2.45
Price to Sales (P/S)1.20
P/FCF Ratio-2.43
Enterprise Value/Market Cap<0.01
Enterprise Value/Revenue<0.01
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit<0.01
Enterprise Value/Ebitda<0.01
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$17.00Price Target Upside18.88% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering10
EPS Forecast (FY)1.66
Revenue Forecast (FY)$18.52B
Venture Global, Inc. Class A Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Venture Global, Inc., a liquefied natural gas (LNG) company, engages in the ownership, development, construction, and operation of LNG production facilities and associated infrastructure in the U.S. Gulf Coast. The company is involved in LNG produ...
Venture Global, Inc. Class A Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Aug 11, 2026
(Q2-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 16, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented strong operational and financial momentum: record quarterly EBITDA ($2.5B), double-digit revenue and volume growth, improved 2026 EBITDA guidance, major project construction progress (CP2 and Plaquemines), meaningful refinancing that reduces annual interest costs, and a material dividend increase. Offsetting items include market price volatility tied to Middle East events (leading to a wider guidance range), increased commissioning/O&M costs, some legal/arbitration uncertainty, and remaining uncontracted capacity that will require marketing. On balance, the positive execution, financial results, cash-return actions, and contract progress substantially outweigh the risks discussed.Positive Updates
Record Quarterly EBITDA and Strong Profitability
Reported largest ever quarterly consolidated adjusted EBITDA of $2.5 billion (up ~79% year-over-year). EBITDA margin for the quarter was 54%. Income from operations was $2.2 billion (up $1.2 billion or 111% YoY) and net income attributable to common stockholders was $1.3 billion (up $979 million or 266% YoY).
Negative Updates
Market Volatility and Guidance Uncertainty
Management maintained a broader-than-usual guidance range due to outsized LNG price volatility related to events in the Middle East. The company explicitly modeled conservative liquefaction fee assumptions ($12.50–$13.50/MMBtu) for remaining 2026 cargoes.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Record Quarterly EBITDA and Strong Profitability
Reported largest ever quarterly consolidated adjusted EBITDA of $2.5 billion (up ~79% year-over-year). EBITDA margin for the quarter was 54%. Income from operations was $2.2 billion (up $1.2 billion or 111% YoY) and net income attributable to common stockholders was $1.3 billion (up $979 million or 266% YoY).
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Venture Global raised 2026 consolidated adjusted EBITDA guidance to $8.7–$9.1 billion (up from $8.2–$8.5B), based on a conservative assumed remaining liquefaction fee of $12.50–$13.50/MMBtu; Q2 results driving the raise included revenue of $4.6B, consolidated adjusted EBITDA of $2.5B (EBITDA margin 54%), income from operations of $2.2B, net income attributable to common of $1.3B, 466 TBtu of sales (vs. 329 TBtu a year ago) and 127 exported cargoes (their 1,000th cargo). Management said guidance is effective as of the call, is wider-than-usual given Middle East price volatility, and will be tightened after Q3 as remaining volumes are contracted; a $1/MMBtu move in liquefaction fees would change 2026 EBITDA by ~$180–$210M (and roughly $650–$700M for 2027). The company is ~91% contracted for 2026 (up from 84%), has ~53 of 85 MTPA committed across its first three projects (100% of nameplate capacity contracted), refinanced >$5.3B of capital and expects >$100M of annual interest/coupon savings.Venture Global, Inc. Class A Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
86
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
Cash Flow
57
Neutral
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 12.51B | 13.77B | 4.97B | 7.90B | 6.45B | 1.41B |
| Gross Profit | 5.96B | 6.79B | 3.30B | 6.21B | 4.20B | 714.51M |
| EBITDA | 5.14B | 5.76B | 3.09B | 5.35B | 4.29B | -371.00M |
| Net Income | 2.51B | 2.70B | 1.54B | 2.68B | 1.86B | -356.00M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 61.52B | 53.45B | 43.49B | 28.46B | 15.10B | 1.39B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 3.19B | 2.35B | 3.61B | 4.82B | 618.00M | 18.34M |
| Total Debt | 42.81B | 34.90B | 29.81B | 21.17B | 10.95B | 479.17M |
| Total Liabilities | 49.44B | 43.15B | 37.12B | 26.38B | 14.59B | 770.42M |
| Stockholders Equity | 8.57B | 6.74B | 2.90B | 1.51B | -186.00M | 617.72M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | -7.89B | -6.80B | -11.57B | -3.54B | -916.00M | -2.58B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 5.48B | 6.57B | 2.15B | 4.55B | 3.70B | 158.71M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -12.85B | -13.22B | -14.16B | -8.72B | -2.90B | -2.08B |
| Financing Cash Flow | 8.78B | 5.46B | 10.75B | 7.63B | 235.00M | -117.26M |
Venture Global, Inc. Class A Technical Analysis
Negative
14.30
Price Trends
11.68
Negative
13.27
Negative
Market Momentum
-1.11
Negative
26.06
Positive
13.57
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VG, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 14.3 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.86, above the 50-day MA of 11.68, and equal to the 200-day MA of ―, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.11 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 26.06 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 13.57 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for VG.
Venture Global, Inc. Class A Risk Analysis
Venture Global, Inc. Class A disclosed 44 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Venture Global, Inc. Class A reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Venture Global, Inc. Class A Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
76 Outperform | $36.83B | 14.29 | 39.25% | 0.46% | 100.72% | 153.27% | |
72 Outperform | $32.96B | 11.69 | 103.64% | 4.68% | 15.43% | 34.31% | |
68 Neutral | $57.01B | 20.44 | 47.41% | 0.80% | 21.65% | -21.45% | |
67 Neutral | $5.23B | 32.46 | 8.62% | 1.93% | 94.64% | ― | |
61 Neutral | $4.46B | 26.39 | 6.94% | 0.84% | 48.97% | 3.43% | |
55 Neutral | $6.65B | 3.83 | -15.92% | 6.20% | 10.91% | 7.18% | |
40 Underperform | $73.72M | -0.04 | -1737.94% | 3.40% | -37.46% | -77.39% |
* General Sector Average
VG
Venture Global, Inc. Class A
15.29
1.41
10.19%
LNG
Cheniere Energy
275.93
41.20
17.55%
CQP
Cheniere Energy Partners
69.91
19.66
39.13%
GLNG
Golar LNG
51.94
11.14
27.29%
NFE
New Fortress Energy
0.27
-1.05
-79.39%
EE
Excelerate Energy, Inc. Class A
39.32
15.83
67.40%
Venture Global, Inc. Class A Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Venture Global Secures $3 Billion Revolving Credit Facility
Positive
Sep 2, 2026
On September 2, 2026, Venture Global’s subsidiary Venture Global LNG, Inc. entered into a 364‑day senior secured revolving credit facility of up to $3 billion, maturing on September 1, 2027, arranged and led by a consortium of major in...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Venture Global Secures $1.5 Billion LNG Fleet Financing
Positive
Jun 26, 2026
On June 26, 2026, Venture Global’s wholly owned subsidiary Venture Global Shipping Holdings, LLC entered into a senior secured term loan facility of up to $1.5 billion arranged by Deutsche Bank and ING, maturing in 2032 and backed by nine LN...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Venture Global Completes Major Senior Secured Notes Offering
Positive
Jun 11, 2026
On June 11, 2026, Venture Global LNG, Inc. completed a $2.25 billion private offering of senior secured notes, split between 6.375% notes due 2034 and 6.625% notes due 2036, placed with qualified institutional buyers and certain non-U.S. investors...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.