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Veolia Environnement (VEOEY) AI Stock Analysis

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VEOEY

Veolia Environnement

(Other OTC:VEOEY)

Select Model
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:$20.50â–²(7.72% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/05/26

The score is primarily held back by financial risk factors—especially the 2025 leverage jump and the sharp drop in free cash flow—despite improved profitability. Offsetting these are a constructive earnings-call outlook with confirmed guidance and strong operational execution (contracts, efficiencies, synergies), plus supportive near-term technicals and an attractive dividend yield, though momentum appears somewhat stretched.

Positive Factors
Recurring Contract-Based ServicesLong-term contracts with municipalities and industrial customers provide recurring service revenue and embed Veolia in essential infrastructure. Contract duration, indexed tariffs and performance-linked fees can support business resilience and revenue visibility across water, waste and energy activities.
Negative Factors
Higher Financial LeverageThe sharp increase in debt relative to equity materially reduces balance-sheet flexibility and raises the financial burden of acquisitions and investment. Higher leverage can constrain capital allocation, increase sensitivity to operating setbacks, and make future deleveraging an important execution requirement.

Veolia Environnement (VEOEY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-10%-5%0%5%10%15%20%25%30%35%VEOEY+15.75%SPY+14.28%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$27.99B
Dividend Yield
4.76%
Average Volume (3M)
158.38K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
20.4
Beta (1Y)
0.26
Revenue Growth
7.13%
EPS Growth
20.46%
Country
US
Employees
215,965
Sector
Industrials
Sector Strength
63
Industry
Waste Management

Veolia Environnement Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Veolia Environnement SA designs and provides water, waste, and energy management solutions. It operates through France and Hazardous Waste Europe; Europe; Americas, Asia Pacific, Africa Middle-East; Water Technologies; and Other segments. The company...

How the Company Makes Money

Veolia primarily makes money by operating long-term, contract-based environmental services for cities and industrial clients, earning recurring revenue from fees tied to service delivery and asset operation. In its Water activities, revenues generall...

Veolia Environnement Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2026(Q3-2026)|% Change Since:0.26%|Next Earnings Date:Feb 17, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was strongly positive overall. Management highlighted accelerating Q3 growth, improving EBITDA margins, strong Water and international performance, major contract wins, efficiency gains ahead of target, successful portfolio transformation and confirmation of 2026 guidance. The main challenges were diesel and chemical cost inflation, Middle East project uncertainty, flat reported nine-month free cash flow and leverage slightly above 3x following the Clean Earth acquisition, but management stated that margins were being protected and remained confident in Q4, 2027 and the GreenUp trajectory.

Positive Updates

Q3 Revenue Growth Accelerated
Q3 revenue increased by 5% at constant scope and ForEx, the highest quarterly level reached, driven solely by international activities, which represented 80% of the growth. Nine-month revenue reached EUR 33.3 billion, up 2.6% at constant scope and ForEx and 3.3% including scope.

Negative Updates

European Macro and Geopolitical Headwinds
Management cited a subdued European macroeconomic environment, geopolitical tensions and the war in Iran and its consequences for diesel prices and inflation as challenges during the period.

Company Guidance

Veolia fully confirmed its 2026 guidance of continued solid organic revenue growth, EBITDA organic growth between 5% and 6%, current net income of minimum 8% at constant ForEx, now including Clean Earth, and leverage ratio equal or slightly above 3x with Clean Earth acquisition, with the dividend growing in line with current EPS; it also confirmed the EUR 2 billion disposal plan to be delivered by mid-'28, with EUR 570 million already signed, Clean Earth cost synergies of $120 million over 4 years and the acquisition expected to be accretive from 2027, Water Tech synergies targeting EUR 90 million and expected to be around EUR 60 million at the end of the year, 50% of operational gains generated through digital and AI by 2030, EUR 1 billion targeted revenue in 2030 in AI Industries, a very strong cash generation in Q4, and cash generation covering dividends with debt slightly above 3x.

Veolia Environnement Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Profitability has improved (net margin up to ~2.7% and EBIT margin ~8.4% in 2025), but revenue momentum is weak (2025 down ~4%). Balance-sheet risk is elevated due to a sharp leverage increase (debt-to-equity ~4.7x in 2025), and free cash flow fell materially in 2025 (~72% decline), reducing near-term flexibility.

Income Statement

64Positive

Balance Sheet

38Negative

Cash Flow

47Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue44.82B42.64B44.69B45.35B42.89B28.51B
Gross Profit7.95B7.51B7.77B7.50B7.11B4.58B
EBITDA6.75B6.39B6.02B5.86B5.84B3.44B
Net Income1.21B1.17B1.10B937.00M716.00M404.30M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets74.61B70.64B72.96B72.57B73.30B53.08B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments7.28B8.02B11.76B10.79B10.86B11.96B
Total Debt37.51B33.33B19.96B20.46B28.58B21.04B
Total Liabilities64.86B61.21B57.65B57.86B61.93B42.77B
Stockholders Equity7.13B7.02B12.91B12.31B12.26B11.52B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.40B1.40B5.04B1.86B855.50M1.28B
Operating Cash Flow4.50B4.34B5.04B5.00B3.64B3.01B
Investing Cash Flow-5.67B-3.27B-2.12B-2.12B4.52B-850.60M
Financing Cash Flow994.71M-2.51B-1.86B-3.14B-10.17B2.29B

Veolia Environnement Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price19.03

Price Trends

50DMA18.11Positive
100DMA19.24Negative
200DMA19.37Negative

Market Momentum

MACD0.28Negative
RSI66.23Neutral
STOCH87.43Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VEOEY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 19.03 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 18.37, above the 50-day MA of 18.11, and below the 200-day MA of 19.37, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.28 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 66.23 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 87.43 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for VEOEY.

Veolia Environnement Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)

Financial Indicators

VEOEY against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
CLHCLH79Outperform$15.29B29.0318.27%―10.09%38.12%
WMWM77Outperform$94.39B31.4130.85%1.52%5.19%19.97%
RSGRSG74Outperform$75.43B34.4918.47%1.02%4.46%7.35%
VEOEYVEOEY64Neutral$27.85B20.4217.55%4.76%7.13%20.46%
Sector *63Neutral$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
CWSTCWST63Neutral$5.92B-557.30-0.72%―13.04%-173.96%
PESIPESI46Neutral$328.55M-13.39-44.15%―-4.92%-80.70%

* Industrials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-20%0%20%40%VEOEYCWSTCLHPESIRSGWMDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
VEOEY and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
VEOEYVeolia Environnement S.A.19.032.2413.35%
CWSTCasella Waste Systems98.5310.1711.51%
CLHClean Harbors290.0285.7341.96%
PESIPerma-fix Environmental Services15.932.7620.96%
RSGRepublic Services249.3445.7722.48%
WMWaste Management240.2939.1419.46%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 05, 2026