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Schneider National
(NYSE:SNDR)
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Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
$34.00
▼(-3.46% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:10/02/26
The score is anchored by solid financial resilience (low leverage and improved TTM free cash flow) and constructive earnings-call momentum (raised EPS guidance and operational improvements). It is held back by still-weak underlying profitability versus prior-cycle levels, a weak technical setup (negative MACD and below key moving averages), and a demanding valuation (high P/E with only a modest dividend yield).
Positive Factors
Conservative leverage
Conservative leverage gives Schneider greater flexibility through freight downturns and reduces refinancing pressure. A stronger balance sheet can support fleet investment, liquidity management, and customer commitments while preserving options for disciplined capital allocation over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Depressed profitability
Thin margins leave limited protection against labor, insurance, equipment, or purchased-transportation cost increases. Because current operating profitability remains far below earlier levels, Schneider has less earnings cushion and must sustain productivity and pricing improvements to produce durable returns.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Conservative leverage
Conservative leverage gives Schneider greater flexibility through freight downturns and reduces refinancing pressure. A stronger balance sheet can support fleet investment, liquidity management, and customer commitments while preserving options for disciplined capital allocation over the next several quarters.
Read all positive factors
Schneider National Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Any
Truckload Revenue Per Truck Per Week
Calculates the average revenue generated by each truck weekly, indicating operational efficiency and pricing strategy effectiveness.
Calculates the average revenue generated by each truck weekly, indicating operational efficiency and pricing strategy effectiveness.
Data provided by:
The Fly
The FlySchneider National (SNDR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$5.77B
Dividend Yield1.22%
Average Volume (3M)652.67K
Price to Earnings (P/E)50.5
Beta (1Y)0.73
Revenue Growth6.25%
EPS Growth-10.92%
CountryUS
Employees19,000
SectorIndustrials
Sector Strength72
IndustryTrucking
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.64
Shares Outstanding92,271,400
10 Day Avg. Volume692,986
30 Day Avg. Volume652,670
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-3.77
Price to Book (P/B)1.54
Price to Sales (P/S)0.82
P/FCF Ratio25.43
Enterprise Value/Market Cap1.13
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.12
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit8.08
Enterprise Value/Ebitda10.43
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$37.00Price Target Upside5.05% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering12
EPS Forecast (FY)1.06
Revenue Forecast (FY)$6.10B
Schneider National Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Schneider National, Inc. (SNDR) delivers a wide array of ground transportation and logistics services across the United States, Canada, and Mexico. The company is organized into three primary operating segments: Truckload, Intermodal, and Logistic...
How the Company Makes Money
Schneider National generates revenue primarily by transporting and managing customer freight across its main service lines. (1) Truckload (asset-based): The company earns freight revenue by hauling full truckload shipments using its company-operat...
Schneider National Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Jul 30, 2026
(Q2-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call communicated clear operational and financial momentum: revenue growth, double-digit improvements in segment productivity and profitability, execution on a $40 million cost savings program, a raised EPS guide, and a strong balance sheet. These positives were tempered by persistent and structural industry challenges — notably driver shortages, regulatory-driven capacity attrition, drayage constraints for intermodal, the anticipated loss of a large dedicated customer, and a near-term free cash flow hit from higher fleet CapEx. Overall, management framed the dynamics as an improving, supply-constrained market where Schneider's multimodal capabilities, pricing actions and productivity initiatives position it to capture upside, while acknowledging some near-term headwinds and uncertainty.Positive Updates
Enterprise Revenue Growth
Second quarter enterprise revenues (excluding fuel surcharge) were $1.3 billion, up 4% year-over-year.
Negative Updates
Driver-Constrained Market
Management described the market as driver-constrained with long-haul driver population well below long-term averages and near decade lows, creating recruitment and retention challenges and upward pressure on capacity costs.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Enterprise Revenue Growth
Second quarter enterprise revenues (excluding fuel surcharge) were $1.3 billion, up 4% year-over-year.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Schneider raised full‑year 2026 adjusted diluted EPS guidance to $0.90–$1.10 (from $0.70–$1.00) and lowered net CapEx guidance to $350–$400M (from $400–$450M), assuming an effective tax rate of ~24%; the company cites Q2 results—enterprise revenues excl. fuel $1.3B (+4% YoY), adjusted income from operations $73M (+29% YoY), adjusted diluted EPS $0.29 (vs. $0.21) and an adjusted operating ratio improvement of 110 bps—as justification. Management remains on track for a $40M cost‑savings program, expects year‑over‑year earnings growth at every point in the updated guide, and notes Q2 net CapEx of $84M (vs. $53M LY), free cash flow down $35M YoY, YTD dividends of ~$35M, cash $293M, debt & lease obligations $397M and net debt leverage of 0.2x; the outlook assumes continued supply attrition and a range of demand and driver‑capacity scenarios.Schneider National Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
52
Neutral
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
Cash Flow
63
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 5.82B | 5.67B | 5.29B | 5.50B | 6.60B | 5.61B |
| Gross Profit | 804.50M | 302.10M | 441.10M | 559.40M | 920.50M | 761.50M |
| EBITDA | 623.30M | 621.80M | 582.50M | 709.80M | 963.60M | 850.70M |
| Net Income | 111.60M | 103.60M | 117.00M | 238.50M | 457.80M | 405.40M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 5.00B | 4.91B | 4.93B | 4.56B | 4.32B | 3.94B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 327.10M | 243.30M | 165.50M | 159.60M | 431.60M | 294.10M |
| Total Debt | 396.10M | 560.40M | 610.80M | 302.10M | 215.10M | 270.30M |
| Total Liabilities | 1.94B | 1.88B | 1.95B | 1.60B | 1.48B | 1.51B |
| Stockholders Equity | 3.06B | 3.02B | 2.99B | 2.96B | 2.84B | 2.42B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 219.40M | 182.80M | 146.80M | -127.60M | 162.80M | 25.50M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 634.50M | 637.40M | 686.10M | 680.00M | 856.40M | 566.10M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -288.20M | -346.20M | -791.50M | -907.60M | -598.80M | -626.40M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -214.30M | -207.30M | 120.60M | -55.70M | -116.70M | -90.40M |
Schneider National Technical Analysis
Negative
35.22
Price Trends
34.21
Negative
35.03
Negative
31.45
Positive
Market Momentum
-0.64
Negative
43.33
Neutral
67.20
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SNDR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 35.22 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 32.77, above the 50-day MA of 34.21, and above the 200-day MA of 31.45, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.64 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 43.33 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 67.20 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SNDR.
Schneider National Risk Analysis
Schneider National disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Schneider National reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Schneider National Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
63 Neutral | $10.79B | 15.43 | 7.44% | 2.01% | 2.89% | -14.66% | |
61 Neutral | $5.77B | 50.50 | 3.68% | 1.22% | 6.25% | -10.92% | |
58 Neutral | $10.87B | 243.07 | 0.61% | 1.20% | 4.07% | -74.05% | |
54 Neutral | $3.86B | -46.74 | -6.84% | ― | 9.53% | 71.38% | |
52 Neutral | $2.12B | -44.29 | -3.39% | 1.64% | 9.64% | -190.02% | |
52 Neutral | $1.09B | 84.09 | 1.65% | 1.84% | -6.87% | -39.59% | |
46 Neutral | $920.26M | -41.35 | -2.89% | 0.69% | -21.02% | 38.05% |
* Industrials Sector Average
SNDR
Schneider National
32.32
11.00
51.57%
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Schneider National Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Schneider National Expands and Extends Receivables Financing Facility
Positive
Oct 2, 2026
On September 30, 2026, Schneider Receivables Corporation, a wholly owned unit of Schneider National, Inc., amended its secured accounts receivable facility with Wells Fargo Bank and other purchasers, doubling available commitments from $200 millio...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Schneider National boosts liquidity with new credit facility
Positive
Sep 16, 2026
On September 10, 2026, Schneider National Leasing entered into a new $350 million revolving credit facility maturing in 2031, replacing a prior $250 million facility that was terminated without any outstanding borrowings. The new arrangement, whic...
Executive/Board ChangesDividends
Schneider National Adds CEO to Board, Declares Dividend
Positive
Jul 29, 2026
On July 27, 2026, Schneider National’s board of directors expanded its size from ten to eleven members and appointed President and Chief Executive Officer James S. Filter as a management director, with his directorship effective immediately ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.