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Tanger Inc. (SKT)
:SKT

Tanger (SKT) AI Stock Analysis

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Tanger

(NYSE:SKT)

69Neutral
Tanger Factory Outlet Centers, Inc. demonstrates solid financial health with strong profitability and effective cash flow management. However, high leverage and potential overvaluation pose risks. The company's strategic growth initiatives and positive earnings call insights contribute positively to its outlook, though technical indicators suggest limited momentum. The new share repurchase plan adds a positive strategic dimension, supporting the overall score.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Tanger Inc. reported earnings that exceeded expectations despite short-term equity dilution.
Future Performance
The company introduced its 2025 guidance above the Street's expectations, indicating confidence in future performance.
Sales Productivity
Re-merchandising efforts are paying off with sales productivity up (TTM +2.5%).
Negative Factors
Debt Concerns
There is a need to examine potential bad debt related to Forever 21, indicating some areas of concern.
Lease Terms
SKT's lease terms are shorter than those of traditional retail with a significant percentage of ABR turnover expected.
Market Demographics
SKT outlets are largely in secondary/tertiary markets, with lower demographics.

Tanger (SKT) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Tanger Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTanger Inc. (NYSE: SKT) is a leading owner and operator of outlet and open-air retail shopping destinations, with over 43 years of expertise in the retail and outlet shopping industries. Tanger's portfolio of 38 outlet centers, one adjacent managed center and one open-air lifestyle center comprises over 15 million square feet well positioned across tourist destinations and vibrant markets in 20 U.S. states and Canada. A publicly traded REIT since 1993, Tanger continues to innovate the retail experience for its shoppers with over 3,000 stores operated by more than 700 different brand name companies.
How the Company Makes MoneyTanger makes money primarily through leasing retail space to tenants at its outlet shopping centers. The company generates revenue from rental income, which includes base rent, percentage rent based on tenant sales, and reimbursement from tenants for property operating expenses such as maintenance, utilities, and taxes. Additionally, Tanger may earn revenue from ancillary services and partnerships, such as advertising and sponsorship deals. The company's ability to attract popular retail brands and maintain high occupancy rates at its outlets is critical to its financial performance.

Tanger Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Tanger demonstrates solid financial health with strong profitability and efficient cash flow management. The company has shown positive revenue and cash flow growth trends, although it maintains a high level of debt. The balance between profitability and leverage is crucial for future stability.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Tanger's income statement shows a solid performance with a gross profit margin of 62.93% and a net profit margin of 17.72% for TTM, indicating strong profitability. The revenue growth rate has been positive, with a TTM increase of approximately 2.28% over the previous year. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also robust at 41.99% and 68.57% respectively, highlighting effective cost management and operational efficiency. However, the gross profit margin has slightly declined from the previous year, which could be an area to monitor.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio of 4.07, suggesting significant leverage and potential risk if interest rates rise. However, the return on equity is a healthy 14.45% for TTM, indicating efficient use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is moderate at 26.64%, reflecting a balanced approach to financing between debt and equity. Overall, while the company is leveraged, it is managing to generate good returns on equity.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Tanger's cash flow position is strong, with a free cash flow growth rate of 14.21% TTM, indicating improved cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is high at 2.83, showcasing the company's ability to convert its earnings into cash efficiently. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also favorable at 3.12, underscoring robust cash flow relative to net earnings. These metrics highlight strong cash flow management, supporting ongoing operations and potential debt reduction.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
538.05M526.06M464.41M442.61M426.52M389.99M
Gross Profit
338.80M367.33M318.86M298.68M285.79M252.86M
EBIT
225.99M150.62M133.84M129.86M117.27M90.03M
EBITDA
369.03M289.31M242.73M241.77M227.28M207.17M
Net Income Common Stockholders
95.38M98.59M99.15M38.03M-51.06M-101.47M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
10.16M46.99M21.96M264.57M161.25M84.83M
Total Assets
2.48B2.38B2.32B2.22B2.16B2.19B
Total Debt
2.69B1.51B1.53B1.52B1.49B1.66B
Net Debt
2.68B1.46B1.51B1.30B1.32B1.57B
Total Liabilities
1.82B1.70B1.73B1.70B1.66B1.83B
Stockholders Equity
660.01M652.37M566.78M491.64M477.93M341.39M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
297.72M260.68M229.61M166.60M171.80M136.74M
Operating Cash Flow
270.03M260.68M229.61M213.96M217.72M164.75M
Investing Cash Flow
-326.48M-178.01M-409.56M-98.82M-22.74M-18.77M
Financing Cash Flow
58.70M-48.34M-19.28M-64.16M-118.38M-77.59M

Tanger Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price31.21
Price Trends
50DMA
31.52
Negative
100DMA
32.52
Negative
200DMA
32.29
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.26
Negative
RSI
51.47
Neutral
STOCH
46.40
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SKT, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 31.21 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 30.77, below the 50-day MA of 31.52, and below the 200-day MA of 32.29, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.26 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 51.47 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 46.40 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for SKT.

Tanger Risk Analysis

Tanger disclosed 35 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Tanger reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Tanger Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
IVIVT
75
Outperform
$2.21B125.461.07%3.22%7.45%119.81%
70
Outperform
$5.02B64.863.09%3.32%9.27%19.51%
SKSKT
69
Neutral
$3.53B36.9415.89%3.58%12.38%-6.36%
AKAKR
68
Neutral
$2.70B122.520.92%3.75%2.62%84.20%
KRKRG
65
Neutral
$5.09B376.140.81%4.53%4.37%-75.82%
60
Neutral
$2.82B10.290.39%8508.26%5.90%-17.41%
MAMAC
53
Neutral
$4.22B-4.79%4.24%4.88%-66.88%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SKT
Tanger
31.21
4.47
16.72%
MAC
Macerich
16.03
1.25
8.46%
AKR
Acadia Realty
20.29
3.93
24.02%
KRG
Kite Realty Group
23.17
3.08
15.33%
IVT
InvenTrust Properties
28.43
4.49
18.76%
PECO
Phillips Edison & Company
36.28
5.48
17.79%

Tanger Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 30, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -0.95%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 31, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted Tanger's robust financial performance with increased core FFO, improved same-center NOI, and strategic acquisitions. However, challenges such as higher expenses, a non-cash impairment charge, and occupancy declines were noted. The overall sentiment is cautiously optimistic with a focus on strategic growth amidst some uncertainties.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Core FFO Growth
Core FFO increased to $0.53 per share, compared to $0.52 per share in the first quarter of the prior year.
Same-Center NOI Increase
Same-center NOI increased by 2.3% for the quarter, driven by higher rental revenues and strong retailer demand.
Strong Leasing Activity
Executed 2.5 million square feet over the trailing 12-month period, representing nearly 550 transactions with 13 consecutive quarters of positive rent spreads.
Occupancy and Portfolio Strategy
Ended the quarter with occupancy at 95.8%, reflecting strategic re-merchandising and expansion into new categories.
Acquisition and Portfolio Improvement
Acquired Pinecrest in Cleveland for $167 million, using cash on hand and line of credit.
Dividend Increase
Board of Directors approved a 6.4% increase in the dividend from $1.10 to $1.17 per share on an annualized basis.
Negative Updates
Higher Snow Expenses
First quarter same-center NOI growth was impacted by higher snow expenses this year.
Non-Cash Impairment Charge
Recognized a non-cash impairment charge of $4.2 million related to the sale of a non-core center in Howell, Michigan.
Seasonal Occupancy Decline
Occupancy reflected an anticipated seasonal decline and timing between old tenants leaving and new tenants taking possession.
Challenges in Re-Merchandising
Re-merchandising strategy led to temporary lower occupancy rates, although positioned for future growth.
Impact of Tariff Uncertainty
Concerns were raised about potential impacts of tariff uncertainty on foot traffic and consumer confidence.
Company Guidance
During Tanger, Inc.'s First Quarter 2025 Conference Call, the company reaffirmed its full-year guidance, projecting same-center NOI growth in the range of 2% to 4% and core FFO of $2.22 to $2.30 per share, reflecting a growth of 4% to 8%. The first-quarter core FFO increased to $0.53 per share, with a 2.3% rise in same-center NOI, despite challenges like higher snow expenses. The company reported strong leasing activity, executing 2.5 million square feet of leases over the trailing 12 months. Tanger's occupancy stood at 95.8%, reflecting strategic re-merchandising efforts. The company also highlighted continued expansion, including the acquisition of Pinecrest for $167 million. With a robust balance sheet, Tanger remains confident in leveraging its assets to drive growth.

Tanger Corporate Events

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and Strategy
Tanger Announces New $200 Million Share Repurchase Plan
Positive
May 12, 2025

On May 9, 2025, Tanger‘s Board of Directors approved a new share repurchase program, increasing the authorization to $200 million, replacing the previous $100 million plan set to expire on May 31, 2025. This strategic move allows flexibility in managing the company’s capital structure and potentially enhances shareholder value, although it does not obligate the company to buy back a specific amount of shares and can be adjusted or terminated as needed.

The most recent analyst rating on (SKT) stock is a Hold with a $29.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tanger stock, see the SKT Stock Forecast page.

Spark’s Take on SKT Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, SKT is a Neutral.

Tanger’s stock score reflects strong financial performance and positive earnings call insights, although technical indicators suggest limited momentum and valuation concerns. The company’s high debt level and potential overvaluation are key risks, while its strategic growth and effective cash flow management provide support for the stock’s stability.

To see Spark’s full report on SKT stock, click here.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Tanger Reports Strong Q1 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Apr 30, 2025

On April 30, 2025, Tanger reported its financial results for the first quarter of 2025, highlighting a strong performance with a net income of $0.17 per share and robust tenant demand. The company continues to execute its remerchandising strategy, maintaining a strong, low-leveraged balance sheet, and achieving positive leasing activity with a 14.1% increase in blended average rental rates.

Spark’s Take on SKT Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, SKT is a Neutral.

Tanger’s stock reflects a solid financial performance with strong revenue growth and operational efficiency. The high leverage poses a risk, but effective cash generation and returns on equity mitigate some concerns. Technical analysis suggests limited upward momentum, while valuation indicates potential overvaluation. The earnings call was positive, highlighting strategic acquisitions and high occupancy rates, though tenant credit concerns and competition present risks.

To see Spark’s full report on SKT stock, click here.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Tanger Announces Termination of ATM Equity Program
Neutral
Feb 24, 2025

Tanger Inc. has launched a new ‘at the market’ offering program, allowing the issuance and sale of its common shares up to $400 million, replacing a previous program. On February 24, 2025, Tanger terminated its existing ATM Equity Offering Sales Agreement from December 2023, having previously sold over 4.4 million shares and entered into forward sales agreements for nearly 1.9 million shares. The prior program, with $34.5 million in remaining shares, is now terminated except for outstanding forward sales provisions.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Tanger Reports Strong 2024 Financial Performance
Positive
Feb 19, 2025

On February 19, 2025, Tanger reported its financial results for the fourth quarter and full year of 2024, highlighting robust leasing activity and strategic acquisitions of two shopping centers. The company achieved an occupancy rate of 98% and increased its same center net operating income by 5.1% year-over-year, emphasizing its successful growth strategy and strong financial performance.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.