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Societe Generale (SCGLY)
OTHER OTC:SCGLY
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Societe Generale (SCGLY) AI Stock Analysis

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SCGLY

Societe Generale

(OTC:SCGLY)

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Neutral 65 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
$20.50
â–²(15.43% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/04/26
The score is held back primarily by weaker financial statement quality—higher leverage and negative recent operating/free cash flow despite improved profitability. Offsetting this are strong technical momentum (price above major moving averages) and an attractive valuation (low P/E), plus a constructive earnings call with upgraded 2026 targets and solid capital/liquidity supporting confidence in execution.
Positive Factors
Cost Discipline & Efficiency
Sustained structural cost reductions (IT/supplier simplification and thousands of initiatives) have already pushed cost/income below 60%. That durable efficiency improves operating leverage, supports margin sustainability and raises the odds of meeting upgraded ROTE targets over the next 2–6 months.
Negative Factors
Higher Leverage
A material increase in leverage sharply raises balance-sheet risk and sensitivity to funding and market shocks. Higher debt-to-equity reduces financial flexibility, can raise funding costs, and constrains capital deployment or corrective actions if earnings or markets deteriorate.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Cost Discipline & Efficiency
Sustained structural cost reductions (IT/supplier simplification and thousands of initiatives) have already pushed cost/income below 60%. That durable efficiency improves operating leverage, supports margin sustainability and raises the odds of meeting upgraded ROTE targets over the next 2–6 months.
Read all positive factors

Societe Generale (SCGLY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Societe Generale Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Société Générale S.A., a financial institution headquartered in Paris, France, provides a wide array of financial services to a varied client base. This includes individual customers, corporate entities, and large institutional investors, with its...
How the Company Makes Money
Société Générale primarily earns revenue through net interest income, fees and commissions, and trading/market-related income across its business lines. (1) Retail banking and financial services: The bank generates net interest income from the spr...

Societe Generale Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 30, 2026
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a strong, execution-led performance: record H1 net income, revenue growth (notably in French Retail and GBIS), substantial cost reductions, robust capital (CET1 13.2%) and liquidity metrics, and upgraded 2026 targets. These positives outweigh operational pockets of weakness—primarily in Mobility/Ayvens used-car sales, FICC market headwinds, and some declining loan/deposit volumes in parts of the retail network—together with conservative provisioning. Overall the tone is confident and proactive with management highlighting completed IT/supplier simplification, ongoing cost initiatives and plans to invest selectively.
Positive Updates
Record H1 Net Income, Shareholder Returns and Capital Actions
Group record H1 net income of EUR 3.5 billion; interim dividend EUR 0.75 per share (+23% YoY); launch of an extraordinary EUR 1.5 billion share buyback.
Negative Updates
Mobility / Ayvens Revenue Weakness
Mobility, International Retail Banking & Financial Services revenues decreased (aggregate -4.9% vs Q2 2025 at constant perimeter & FX); Mobility & Financial Services specifically down ~-10% in Q2 driven by Ayvens' lower used-car sales as secondary market normalizes.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Negative
Record H1 Net Income, Shareholder Returns and Capital Actions
Group record H1 net income of EUR 3.5 billion; interim dividend EUR 0.75 per share (+23% YoY); launch of an extraordinary EUR 1.5 billion share buyback.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management upgraded 2026 targets: revenue growth of more than +2% (already +2.4% H1 / +4.5% Q2; +6.1% at constant perimeter/FX), a sharper cost reduction of around ‑4% for the year (upgraded from ~‑3%; operating expenses were down ‑5% H1 and ‑4.1% Q2), and ROTE around 11% (up from >10%; H1 ROTE 12%, Q2 ROTE 12.2%); they reaffirm a year‑end cost/income ratio below 60% (H1 59.7%, Q2 58.6%) and keep cost of risk guidance at 25–30 bps (Q2 27 bps). Capital and cash return guidance includes a CET1 of c.13.2% after a EUR1.5bn extraordinary buyback, an interim dividend of EUR0.75/share (+23% YoY), and strong liquidity (EUR339bn reserves, LCR 146%, NSFR 115%), with management expressing confidence in delivering the upgraded targets.

Societe Generale Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Profitability has improved versus 2020, but the latest period shows a sharp revenue decline, a significant leverage step-up (debt-to-equity rising to ~4.76x in 2025 annual), and negative operating/free cash flow in 2024–2025—weakening earnings quality and financial flexibility.
Income Statement
54
Neutral
Balance Sheet
41
Neutral
Cash Flow
30
Negative
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue64.85B86.16B97.64B87.14B53.99B46.12B
Gross Profit49.86B52.60B52.51B44.36B36.10B36.25B
EBITDA19.63B19.09B16.82B12.84B9.58B13.48B
Net Income7.93B5.77B4.20B2.49B1.82B5.64B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.67T1.55T1.57T1.55T1.49T1.46T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments404.01B369.17B273.13B327.40B289.83B179.97B
Total Debt172.40B287.17B183.09B181.13B154.80B151.28B
Total Liabilities1.59T1.47T1.49T1.48T1.41T1.39T
Stockholders Equity71.64B60.36B70.26B65.97B66.97B65.10B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-26.19B-29.01B-21.53B25.56B29.50B13.83B
Operating Cash Flow-21.40B-19.65B-10.10B37.42B39.09B20.29B
Investing Cash Flow7.10B-28.44B-13.74B-12.07B-9.01B-10.12B
Financing Cash Flow-2.31B-8.56B-1.27B-3.90B-214.00M-3.63B

Societe Generale Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price17.76
Price Trends
50DMA
17.16
Positive
100DMA
16.38
Positive
200DMA
15.72
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.38
Negative
RSI
67.92
Neutral
STOCH
99.95
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SCGLY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 17.76 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 17.50, above the 50-day MA of 17.16, and above the 200-day MA of 15.72, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.38 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 67.92 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 99.95 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SCGLY.

Societe Generale Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$26.41B12.4811.79%3.43%0.18%14.72%
72
Outperform
$99.70B13.7412.34%2.83%3.92%24.15%
68
Neutral
$96.01B11.0821.64%7.10%19.64%12.10%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
66
Neutral
$127.22B14.5712.28%1.73%2.65%54.00%
65
Neutral
$60.63B8.4310.90%2.14%16.42%29.45%
62
Neutral
$89.74B20.3410.75%3.26%-13.48%25.29%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SCGLY
Societe Generale
19.13
6.62
52.95%
ITUB
Itau Unibanco
8.49
2.65
45.28%
LYG
Lloyds Banking
6.26
2.03
48.06%
MFG
Mizuho Financial
10.26
4.28
71.57%
PNC
PNC Financial
251.72
68.75
37.58%
RF
Regions Financial
31.48
7.27
30.03%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 04, 2026