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SAP AG (SAP)
NYSE:SAP
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SAP AG (SAP) AI Stock Analysis

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SAP

SAP AG

(NYSE:SAP)

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Outperform 75 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
$304.00
▲(12.37% Upside)
SAP's overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance and positive earnings call insights, particularly in cloud growth and strategic partnerships. However, technical analysis indicates potential bearish momentum, and the valuation suggests the stock is relatively expensive. Challenges in specific sectors and global uncertainties also weigh on the score.
Positive Factors
Cloud Revenue Growth
The robust growth in cloud revenue indicates SAP's successful transition to a cloud-based model, providing recurring revenue and enhancing long-term business stability.
Strategic Partnerships
Strategic partnerships with major companies enhance SAP's market reach and competitive edge, supporting sustained revenue growth and innovation.
Cash Flow Generation
Strong cash flow generation supports SAP's ability to invest in growth opportunities and return value to shareholders, ensuring financial flexibility.
Negative Factors
Global Market Uncertainty
Global market uncertainties can affect SAP's sales cycles and revenue stability, posing risks to consistent growth and operational planning.
Decline in Software Licenses Revenue
The decline in traditional software license revenue highlights challenges in transitioning fully to cloud solutions, impacting overall revenue diversification.
Impact of Trade Policies
Trade policy impacts can delay sales processes and affect revenue timing, creating potential volatility in financial performance.

SAP AG (SAP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

SAP AG Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSAP AG (SAP) is a global leader in enterprise resource planning (ERP) software and business solutions, headquartered in Germany. The company specializes in providing software and technology solutions that help organizations manage their business operations, including finance, logistics, human resources, and customer relationship management. SAP operates across multiple sectors such as manufacturing, retail, healthcare, and finance, offering a comprehensive suite of products and services that include cloud computing, analytics, and data management.
How the Company Makes MoneySAP generates revenue primarily through software licenses, cloud subscriptions, and support services. The company has shifted its focus towards cloud-based offerings, which provide recurring subscription revenue. Key revenue streams include software licenses for on-premise solutions, maintenance and support services for existing software, and cloud services, which encompass platform-as-a-service (PaaS) and software-as-a-service (SaaS) solutions. Additionally, SAP benefits from strategic partnerships with major technology companies and system integrators, enhancing its market reach and enabling collaborative solutions. The growing demand for digital transformation across industries has also contributed to SAP's earnings, as organizations increasingly invest in integrated software solutions to streamline operations and improve efficiency.

SAP AG Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Cloud Backlog
Cloud Backlog
Reflects the total value of future cloud service contracts, providing insight into anticipated revenue streams and the strength of customer demand for SAP's cloud offerings.
Chart InsightsSAP's cloud backlog has shown consistent growth, reaching EUR 18 billion by mid-2025, reflecting a 28% increase. This momentum is supported by strong performance in the Cloud ERP Suite and strategic partnerships with major companies like Alibaba and L'Oreal. Despite currency headwinds and global market uncertainties, SAP's focus on cloud solutions and AI-driven innovations is driving significant revenue growth and operational efficiency, positioning the company well for future expansion. However, challenges remain with declining software license revenue and elongated sales cycles in certain sectors.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

SAP AG Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 22, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 22, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong financial performance and strategic advancements, particularly in cloud growth and product innovation. However, there are challenges in the U.S. public sector and uncertainties in global trade affecting sales cycles.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Cloud Revenue Growth
Cloud revenue rose 28% in Q2, driven by the Cloud ERP Suite, which has expanded over 30% for 14 consecutive quarters. The current cloud backlog also grew by 28% to EUR 18 billion.
Significant Operating Profit Increase
Q2 operating profit surged 35%, highlighting the strength of SAP's business model and improvements in its cost base.
Major Strategic Partnerships
SAP entered a strategic partnership with Alibaba to roll out SAP Business Suite at Alibaba and address the market potential in China. Other key wins include GSK, Balmain, and Replay.
Successful Product Innovation
SAP released 14 AI agents in H1 and plans to reach 40 by year-end, enhancing productivity across various business functions. The SAP Business Data Cloud has also seen strong adoption.
Resilient Financial Performance
Total revenue grew by 12%, with a strong performance in APJ and EMEA regions. Operating cash flow increased by 71% to EUR 2.6 billion, and free cash flow rose by 83%.
Negative Updates
Challenges in the U.S. Public Sector
Uncertainty and extended approval workflows in the U.S. public sector have impacted sales cycles.
Geopolitical and Trade Uncertainty
Ongoing geopolitical developments and trade policy uncertainty have elongated sales cycles in sectors like industrial and manufacturing.
Decline in Software Licenses Revenue
Software licenses revenue decreased by 13% in Q2 as customers advance their transformation journeys towards the cloud.
Disappointing Transactional Business
Transactional part of the cloud business was disappointing, particularly in areas like temporary workforce and travel.
Company Guidance
During the SAP Q2 and Half Year 2025 Financial Results Conference Call, several key metrics were highlighted. SAP reported a 28% increase in cloud revenue for Q2, with the Cloud ERP Suite driving this momentum by expanding at a rate of over 30% for 14 consecutive quarters. Total revenue growth continued to accelerate, reaching 12%, and the current cloud backlog grew by 28%, amounting to EUR 18 billion despite currency headwinds. Operating profit surged by 35%, reflecting the strength of SAP’s business model and successful cost management strategies. The non-IFRS cloud gross margin expanded by 1.8 percentage points to 75.2%, contributing to a 31% increase in cloud gross profit. The company's strategic focus on Business AI and transformation programs has helped decouple expense growth from revenue growth, contributing to a robust financial performance and positioning SAP well for the second half of 2025.

SAP AG Financial Statement Overview

Summary
SAP exhibits strong financial health with impressive growth in revenue and profitability metrics. The balance sheet is solid with low leverage, providing stability. Cash flow generation is robust, supporting strategic investments and shareholder returns. While the financial outlook remains positive, close attention should be paid to maintaining equity levels amidst dynamic market conditions.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
SAP's income statement shows a solid financial performance with a consistent growth trajectory. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) total revenue increased to $35.89 billion, reflecting continuous expansion. The gross profit margin stands at 73.5%, indicating efficient cost management. The net profit margin improved to 18.4%, showcasing strong profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins were healthy at 25.1% and 30.2%, respectively, supporting robust operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.21, indicating low leverage and prudent financial management. The equity ratio is 59.9%, showing a solid capital structure. Return on equity (ROE) is strong at 16.1%, underscoring efficient use of equity capital. However, the slight decrease in stockholders' equity over the periods warrants monitoring.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
SAP's cash flow statement highlights a positive trend with a TTM operating cash flow of $7.28 billion. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.98, demonstrating effective conversion of earnings to cash flow. Free cash flow growth rate is notable at 46.8% over the previous period, indicating robust cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 1.1, reflecting strong cash profitability.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue35.89B34.18B31.21B29.52B26.95B27.34B
Gross Profit26.38B24.93B22.60B21.48B19.73B19.45B
EBITDA10.82B6.47B7.50B6.48B8.92B8.26B
Net Income6.59B3.12B6.14B2.28B5.26B5.14B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets68.40B74.12B68.33B72.16B71.17B58.48B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments10.18B11.24B11.28B9.86B11.66B6.95B
Total Debt8.76B10.65B8.79B13.09B15.15B15.46B
Total Liabilities27.00B28.31B24.93B29.31B29.65B28.55B
Stockholders Equity41.00B45.44B43.16B40.13B38.85B29.71B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow6.49B4.42B5.55B4.77B5.42B6.38B
Operating Cash Flow7.28B5.22B6.33B5.65B6.22B7.19B
Investing Cash Flow-394.96M-667.00M906.00M667.00M-3.06B-2.99B
Financing Cash Flow-6.04B-3.40B-7.73B-6.34B-56.00M-4.00B

SAP AG Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price270.53
Price Trends
50DMA
273.22
Negative
100DMA
286.61
Negative
200DMA
277.48
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.97
Negative
RSI
52.73
Neutral
STOCH
79.85
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SAP, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 270.53 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 264.57, below the 50-day MA of 273.22, and below the 200-day MA of 277.48, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.97 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 52.73 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 79.85 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for SAP.

SAP AG Risk Analysis

SAP AG disclosed 13 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. SAP AG reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

SAP AG Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
82
Outperform
$189.77B114.8316.95%21.12%43.91%
77
Outperform
$228.82B34.9011.20%0.69%8.33%19.69%
75
Outperform
$315.38B44.3615.34%0.97%10.95%161.61%
73
Outperform
$189.57B49.7320.29%0.61%15.63%30.62%
71
Outperform
$63.14B109.376.66%14.21%-62.56%
68
Neutral
$79.65B-42.45%28.37%-35.49%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SAP
SAP AG
270.53
53.77
24.81%
INTU
Intuit
679.94
81.37
13.59%
CRM
Salesforce
240.36
-42.50
-15.03%
WDAY
Workday
236.48
1.01
0.43%
NOW
ServiceNow
912.36
6.42
0.71%
SNOW
Snowflake
235.09
121.27
106.55%

SAP AG Corporate Events

SAP SE Reports Strong Q2 2025 Financial Results with Cloud Revenue Surge
Jul 25, 2025

On July 23, 2025, SAP SE announced its financial results for the second quarter ending June 30, 2025, reporting significant growth in cloud revenue and operating profit. The company’s cloud backlog increased by 22% to €18.1 billion, with cloud revenue rising by 24% to €5.13 billion. The Cloud ERP Suite saw a 30% increase in revenue, reflecting SAP’s strong market positioning and demand for its cloud solutions. The results highlight SAP’s strategic focus on AI innovations and cloud services, positioning it well for future growth despite geopolitical uncertainties.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 02, 2025