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Repay Holdings (RPAY)
:RPAY
US Market

Repay Holdings (RPAY) AI Stock Analysis

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Repay Holdings

(NASDAQ:RPAY)

61Neutral
Repay Holdings' overall score reflects strong revenue and cash flow growth as core strengths. However, ongoing profitability challenges, bearish technical indicators, and an unattractive valuation weigh negatively on the stock. Despite some positive signals from corporate events and a mixed earnings call, the stock faces significant headwinds.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Management anticipates free cash flow conversion to accelerate to over 50%, providing a positive outlook for investors.
Growth Strategy
Repay Holdings is set to capitalize on incremental monetization opportunities, particularly by targeting non-card payment volumes.
Negative Factors
Client Losses
The biggest risk in the near term would be ongoing client losses, which could hinder growth if not managed effectively.
Customer Retention
Recent customer attrition poses a concern and needs to be addressed to assure investors it's not indicative of a trend.
Revenue Decline
In the first quarter, revenue and gross profit declined 4% and 5% year-over-year, respectively, impacting financial performance.

Repay Holdings (RPAY) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Repay Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRepay Holdings Corporation provides integrated payment processing solutions to industry-oriented markets. The company's payment processing solutions enable consumers and businesses to make payments using electronic payment methods. It also offers a range of solutions relating to electronic payment methods, including credit and debit processing, virtual credit card processing, automated clearing house (ACH) processing, enhanced ACH processing, and instant funding that are processed through its proprietary payment channels, such as Web-based, mobile application, text-to-pay, interactive voice response, and point of sale. In addition, the company provides payment processing solutions to customers primarily operating in the personal loans, automotive loans, receivables management, and business-to-business verticals. It sells its products through direct sales representatives and software integration partners. The company was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.
How the Company Makes MoneyRepay Holdings generates revenue through transaction fees charged to merchants for processing payments. The company earns money each time a card or ACH transaction is processed through its platform. Additionally, Repay Holdings offers value-added services such as instant funding and payment automation, which also contribute to its revenue. Key partnerships with financial institutions and technology providers enhance its service offerings and expand its market reach. The company's growth is further supported by its strategic acquisitions, which help broaden its client base and increase transaction volume.

Repay Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Repay Holdings demonstrates robust revenue growth and strong cash flow management, which are key strengths in its financial profile. However, persistent operational losses and negative profit margins pose challenges. The balance sheet is stable, with manageable leverage, but improving profitability will be crucial for enhancing overall financial health.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Repay Holdings shows a positive revenue growth trend with a 5.54% increase from 2023 to 2024 and consistent growth over the past years. However, profitability remains a challenge, evidenced by negative EBIT and net income margins, indicating ongoing operational inefficiencies and cost management issues.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The company maintains a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.67, suggesting balanced leverage. The equity ratio of 48.44% denotes a solid equity base, although the negative net income impacts the ROE, which stands at -1.33% for 2024. Overall, the balance sheet reflects financial stability but with profitability concerns.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Repay Holdings displays strong cash flow generation with a significant increase in free cash flow, growing by 279.96% from 2023 to 2024. Both operating and free cash flow to net income ratios are positive, highlighting effective cash management despite net losses.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
313.04M296.63M279.23M219.26M155.04M
Gross Profit
313.04M226.92M214.40M163.77M113.59M
EBIT
-7.77M-111.41M24.08M-69.08M-37.03M
EBITDA
100.66M78.27M65.34M43.72M-54.47M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-10.16M-110.49M8.74M-56.04M-46.54M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
189.53M118.10M64.89M50.05M91.13M
Total Assets
1.57B1.52B1.63B1.69B1.11B
Total Debt
508.51M443.04M461.88M459.57M267.08M
Net Debt
318.99M324.95M396.98M409.52M175.95M
Total Liabilities
798.74M689.04M698.51M772.80M553.80M
Stockholders Equity
761.27M815.13M894.56M874.00M509.31M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
149.10M39.25M34.68M29.82M4.21M
Operating Cash Flow
150.09M103.61M74.22M53.33M28.49M
Investing Cash Flow
-44.85M-24.09M-39.54M-397.34M-145.98M
Financing Cash Flow
-12.67M-28.94M-17.46M313.84M186.10M

Repay Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price4.10
Price Trends
50DMA
4.85
Negative
100DMA
6.12
Negative
200DMA
7.15
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.26
Negative
RSI
45.45
Neutral
STOCH
53.33
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RPAY, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 4.1 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.03, below the 50-day MA of 4.85, and below the 200-day MA of 7.15, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.26 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 45.45 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 53.33 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for RPAY.

Repay Holdings Risk Analysis

Repay Holdings disclosed 46 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Repay Holdings reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Repay Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$620.27M10.6928.20%12.51%390.09%
75
Outperform
$499.59M25.4622.21%0.63%42.25%65.02%
70
Outperform
$554.25M134.671.94%3.62%-53.21%
66
Neutral
$487.87M22.7510.42%1.23%17.89%-23.37%
61
Neutral
$387.49M-1.64%2.26%85.37%
60
Neutral
$11.59B10.39-7.23%2.94%7.46%-10.76%
58
Neutral
$599.75M57.39%15.76%82.78%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
RPAY
Repay Holdings
4.10
-6.11
-59.84%
LYTS
Lsi Industries
16.26
0.66
4.23%
CTLP
Cantaloupe
8.49
1.91
29.03%
CLMB
Climb Global Solutions
108.55
53.49
97.15%
PRTH
Priority Technology Holdings
7.52
4.08
118.60%
PUBM
PubMatic
11.42
-12.16
-51.57%

Repay Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 12, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 1.49%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a challenging quarter with declines in revenue and profitability due to client losses and macroeconomic uncertainties. However, the company demonstrated resilience and growth in specific segments, such as Business Payments and Instant Funding, and is optimistic about future growth driven by new partnerships and strategic investments.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Business Payments Segment Growth
Business Payments segment reported a gross profit increase of 7% year-over-year. When excluding political media contributions in Q1 2024, the growth accelerated to approximately 12%.
Instant Funding Product Success
Instant Funding product achieved a 19% year-over-year increase in transaction volumes, demonstrating robust growth and potential for further revenue enhancement.
New Partnerships and Client Onboarding
REPAY signed two new software partnerships in the Consumer Payments segment, bringing the total to 182, and onboarded 14 new credit unions, increasing the total to 343.
Positive Outlook for Second Half of 2025
Confidence in sequential quarterly normalized gross profit growth, with expectations of high single-digit to low double-digit growth in Q4 2025.
Negative Updates
Revenue Decline
Revenue for Q1 2025 was $77.3 million, representing a decrease of 4% year-over-year. Reported gross profit declined by 5%.
Impact of Client Losses
Reported gross profit and adjusted EBITDA declined approximately 5% and 7% year-over-year, respectively, due to client losses.
Free Cash Flow Challenges
Reported Q1 Free Cash Flow was negative $8 million, impacted by net working capital and client losses. Free cash flow conversion was lower compared to the previous year.
Conclusion of Strategic Review
The strategic review was concluded without any significant changes due to macroeconomic uncertainties, opting instead for organic growth investments.
Company Guidance
During the first quarter of 2025, REPAY reported gross profit and adjusted EBITDA declines of approximately 5% and 7% year-over-year, respectively, with the adjusted EBITDA margin standing at 43%. The drop in gross profit was attributed to client losses in 2024 and strategic technology migrations. Excluding these impacts, gross profit growth would have been in the low single digits. The consumer payments segment experienced a gross profit decline of 5%, while the business payments segment saw a 7% increase in gross profit, which normalized to 12% when excluding political media contributions from Q1 2024. Reported free cash flow conversion was negative, impacted by a $16 million working capital reversal and client losses, but would have been similar to the 38% conversion rate from Q1 2024 without these factors. The company forecasts a sequential increase in gross profit growth, aiming for high single-digit to low double-digit growth by Q4 2025, with free cash flow conversion expected to exceed 50% in Q2 and accelerate above 60% by year-end, excluding one-time impacts.

Repay Holdings Corporate Events

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Repay Holdings Boosts Share Repurchase Program
Positive
May 12, 2025

On May 12, 2025, Repay Holdings announced its first quarter financial results for 2025, highlighting a strategic focus on growth despite a reported decline in gross profit due to client losses. The company concluded its strategic review process and increased its share repurchase program authorization to $75 million, signaling confidence in future growth and shareholder value. The Business Payments segment showed a 12% year-over-year growth, while the Consumer Payments segment experienced a decline. The company anticipates improved free cash flow conversion and gross profit growth throughout 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (RPAY) stock is a Hold with a $10.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Repay Holdings stock, see the RPAY Stock Forecast page.

Spark’s Take on RPAY Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, RPAY is a Neutral.

Repay Holdings’ overall score reflects its strong revenue and cash flow growth, essential strengths in its financial performance, yet offset by ongoing profitability challenges. Technical analysis indicates bearish sentiment, with key indicators suggesting oversold conditions. The valuation is unattractive due to a negative P/E ratio and lack of dividends. Earnings call insights were mixed, with notable growth in some areas but significant challenges and uncertainties in others.

To see Spark’s full report on RPAY stock, click here.

Executive/Board Changes
Repay Holdings CFO Timothy Murphy Resigns
Neutral
Apr 25, 2025

On April 21, 2025, Timothy J. Murphy announced his resignation as Chief Financial Officer of Repay Holdings Corporation, effective May 15, 2025, to pursue an opportunity outside the payments industry. Thomas E. Sullivan, the current Chief Accounting Officer, will serve as the Interim CFO until a permanent replacement is found. Murphy, who played a pivotal role in REPAY’s public listing and acquisitions, is leaving on good terms, with the company expressing gratitude for his contributions.

Spark’s Take on RPAY Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, RPAY is a Neutral.

Repay Holdings’ overall stock score of 63 reflects its financial strengths in revenue and cash flow growth, tempered by ongoing profitability challenges. The stock’s technical indicators suggest negative momentum, while its valuation is unattractive due to a negative P/E ratio and no dividend yield. Despite positive developments in recent earnings, such as growth in adjusted EBITDA and strategic expansions, concerns over segment declines and a lack of future outlook weigh on the stock.

To see Spark’s full report on RPAY stock, click here.

Executive/Board ChangesFinancial Disclosures
Repay Holdings Sets 2025 Executive Bonus Structure
Neutral
Mar 4, 2025

On February 26, 2025, Repay Holdings Corporation’s Compensation Committee approved the terms and objectives for the 2025 annual cash bonuses for its executive officers. These bonuses are structured with 75% based on company financial performance, measured by Adjusted EBITDA or a combination of Gross Profit and Adjusted EBITDA for business unit leaders, and 25% based on individual performance goals. The bonus awards range from 50% to 200% of the target bonus amount, depending on the achievement of performance goals.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Repay Holdings Announces Strategic Review Amidst Growth
Neutral
Mar 3, 2025

On March 3, 2025, Repay Holdings Corporation reported its financial results for the fourth quarter and full year 2024, highlighting a 2% gross profit growth in Q4 and 6% for the full year. The company also announced a strategic review process to explore potential alternatives for enhancing shareholder value. Despite a decline in Consumer Payments, the Business Payments segment saw significant growth, particularly in the political media vertical. The strategic review aims to strengthen REPAY’s market position and explore opportunities such as mergers, acquisitions, or structural changes.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.