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Gibraltar Industries
(NASDAQ:ROCK)
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Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
$49.00
▲(8.43% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/06/26
The score is held down primarily by weakened profitability and materially higher leverage, which increase financial risk despite continued positive free cash flow. Technicals are supportive with solid near-term momentum, and the earnings call was directionally positive with reiterated guidance and synergy capture, but valuation remains a significant constraint given the very high P/E.
Positive Factors
Cash Generation
Sustained positive free cash flow (~$90M TTM, +26%) provides durable internal funding to service debt, invest in integration and working capital, and support the deleveraging plan. Reliable FCF cushions operating volatility and underpins strategic flexibility over the next 2–6 months.
Negative Factors
Profitability Deterioration
A collapse in net margin to ~0.7% from prior high single digits materially weakens earnings quality. This narrower cushion makes the business more sensitive to commodity, freight, or pricing pressure and raises the burden on operating improvements to restore durable profitability.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Cash Generation
Sustained positive free cash flow (~$90M TTM, +26%) provides durable internal funding to service debt, invest in integration and working capital, and support the deleveraging plan. Reliable FCF cushions operating volatility and underpins strategic flexibility over the next 2–6 months.
Read all positive factors
Gibraltar Industries (ROCK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$1.49B
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)368.01K
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)1.15
Revenue Growth14.47%
EPS Growth-220.54%
CountryUS
Employees2,300
SectorIndustrials
Sector Strength72
IndustryConstruction
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)-0.29
Shares Outstanding29,683,890
10 Day Avg. Volume323,751
30 Day Avg. Volume368,015
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-0.55
Price to Book (P/B)1.55
Price to Sales (P/S)1.30
P/FCF Ratio12.22
Enterprise Value/Market Cap<0.01
Enterprise Value/Revenue<0.01
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit<0.01
Enterprise Value/Ebitda<0.01
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$55.00Price Target Upside21.71% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering2
EPS Forecast (FY)3.81
Revenue Forecast (FY)$1.76B
Gibraltar Industries Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Gibraltar Industries, Inc. (ROCK) is a company specializing in the manufacturing and distribution of a diverse portfolio of building products. Its offerings cater to key sectors including renewable energy, residential construction, agricultural te...
How the Company Makes Money
Gibraltar makes money primarily by selling manufactured products and engineered solutions to customers in its end markets and recognizing revenue upon delivery of products and/or performance of contracted services, depending on the arrangement. Ke...
Gibraltar Industries Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Aug 05, 2026
(Q2-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presents a predominantly positive operational and financial narrative driven by the OmniMax acquisition: very strong reported revenue growth (64.6% to $510M), meaningful organic growth (5%), margin expansion (adjusted EBITDA +59.7% to $88M, sequential margin improvement of ~350 bps), early and growing synergy capture, solid cash generation (free cash flow ~8% of sales) and a sizable national customer win. Offsetting items include ongoing soft end-market demand (retail POS down 8%–10% and management estimating end-market down mid-single digits), regional variability (Southeast weakness), a meaningful Agtech backlog decline (‑34% YoY), high leverage (net debt $1.2B; 3.9x pro forma leverage), substantial acquisition/integration special charges (~$50M expected in 2026), and inflation/commodity volatility. Overall, the operational execution, synergy progress, and reiterated guidance suggest the positives outweigh the near-term challenges, though significant execution and deleveraging work remain.Positive Updates
Strong Consolidated Revenue Growth (Including OmniMax)
Total Gibraltar net sales increased 64.6% year-over-year to $510.0 million in Q2 2026, reflecting the first full quarter of OmniMax (which contributed $182 million). Consolidated organic growth was 5%.
Negative Updates
Soft End-Market Demand and Retail POS Weakness
Management estimates actual end market demand was down mid-single digits; retail point-of-sale (POS) was down roughly 8%–10% in the quarter and for the first half, reflecting consumer caution due to geopolitical concerns, rates, and affordability.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Strong Consolidated Revenue Growth (Including OmniMax)
Total Gibraltar net sales increased 64.6% year-over-year to $510.0 million in Q2 2026, reflecting the first full quarter of OmniMax (which contributed $182 million). Consolidated organic growth was 5%.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Gibraltar reiterated 2026 guidance calling for consolidated net sales of $1.76–$1.83 billion (vs. $1.14B in 2025), adjusted operating income of $222–$238 million (vs. $151M), adjusted EBITDA of $310–$326 million (vs. $185M), GAAP EPS of $2.40–$2.80 (vs. $3.25 in 2025, reflecting acquisition-related special charges) and adjusted EPS of $3.65–$4.05 (vs. $3.92); management also expects free cash flow of ~8% of sales for continuing operations. Key planning assumptions include ~ $90M of depreciation/amortization and stock‑based compensation (including ~$40M of OmniMax intangible amortization), ~ $50M of special charges in 2026 (≈80% already recorded YTD, with the remainder in Q3–Q4), over $70M of interest/financing fees, capex around 2% of sales (guidance and deleveraging plan note 2–3%), and a 26% tax rate. At quarter end net debt was $1.2 billion with pro‑forma net leverage of 3.9x (including anticipated synergies), revolver borrowings of $21M, cash of $15M, total available liquidity of $485M, and a target to deleverage to ~2.5x adjusted EBITDA within ~24 months.Gibraltar Industries Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
46
Neutral
Balance Sheet
28
Negative
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 1.40B | 1.14B | 1.31B | 1.38B | 1.39B | 1.34B |
| Gross Profit | 350.60M | 305.19M | 360.34M | 361.97M | 318.69M | 290.01M |
| EBITDA | 167.16M | 156.43M | 181.63M | 179.37M | 141.70M | 133.17M |
| Net Income | -8.85M | 97.56M | 137.34M | 110.53M | 82.41M | 75.63M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 2.79B | 1.39B | 1.42B | 1.26B | 1.21B | 1.21B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 15.15M | 115.72M | 269.48M | 99.43M | 17.61M | 12.85M |
| Total Debt | 1.37B | 103.88M | 46.60M | 46.27M | 116.42M | 42.41M |
| Total Liabilities | 1.90B | 443.20M | 371.38M | 341.45M | 388.51M | 389.64M |
| Stockholders Equity | 890.75M | 950.40M | 1.05B | 915.00M | 822.10M | 825.26M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | -4.49M | 120.87M | 154.33M | 204.57M | 82.63M | 5.37M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 29.87M | 167.00M | 174.26M | 218.48M | 102.69M | 23.07M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -2.58B | -257.40M | 8.54M | -15.72M | -71.68M | 24.54M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 2.43B | -63.67M | -12.19M | -120.33M | -25.01M | -66.61M |
Gibraltar Industries Technical Analysis
Positive
45.19
Price Trends
42.68
Positive
40.84
Positive
46.65
Positive
Market Momentum
2.07
Negative
61.14
Neutral
63.81
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ROCK, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 45.19 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 45.37, above the 50-day MA of 42.68, and below the 200-day MA of 46.65, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.07 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.14 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 63.81 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ROCK.
Gibraltar Industries Risk Analysis
Gibraltar Industries disclosed 26 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Gibraltar Industries reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Gibraltar Industries Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
72 Outperform | $908.19M | 13.52 | 13.43% | 2.63% | 1.79% | 36.42% | |
63 Neutral | $10.79B | 15.43 | 7.44% | 2.01% | 2.89% | -14.66% | |
61 Neutral | $756.98M | 17.76 | 7.72% | ― | -2.54% | -11.47% | |
57 Neutral | $706.48M | -390.78 | -0.31% | ― | 2.13% | -107.14% | |
53 Neutral | $1.01B | -3.97 | -35.45% | 1.72% | 14.25% | -1038.06% | |
52 Neutral | $1.49B | -173.21 | -0.96% | ― | 14.47% | -220.54% | |
47 Neutral | $163.98M | -0.31 | -291.26% | ― | -8.13% | ― |
* Industrials Sector Average
ROCK
Gibraltar Industries
50.23
-7.86
-13.53%
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JELD
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1.89
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5.55
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-43.02%
Gibraltar Industries Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Gibraltar Industries Completes Renewables Divestiture, Refocuses Portfolio
Positive
Jul 17, 2026
On July 15, 2026, Gibraltar Industries sold the assets of its Renewables racking and foundations business to Unirac for $5 million, following the February 20, 2026 sale of its electrical balance-of-systems unit. The transactions, which completed t...
Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Gibraltar Industries Stockholders Back Leadership at 2026 Meeting
Positive
May 8, 2026
Gibraltar Industries, Inc. held its 2026 Annual Meeting of Stockholders on May 7, 2026, in a virtual format, with 97.05% of outstanding common shares represented, and stockholders elected eight directors to one-year terms ending in 2027. Investors...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.