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Patrick Industries, Inc. (PATK)
NASDAQ:PATK
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Patrick Industries (PATK) AI Stock Analysis

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PATK

Patrick Industries

(NASDAQ:PATK)

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Neutral 57 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:57Neutral
Price Target:
$92.00
▲(8.88% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/11/26
PATK scores in the mid-range primarily due to compressed financial performance in a softer cycle (revenue/margin pressure and elevated leverage) despite still-positive profitability and free cash flow. The earnings call improves the outlook modestly with cash-flow targets and diversification-driven segment strength, while technicals remain mixed with the stock still below longer-term moving averages; valuation is reasonable with a moderate P/E and a ~2% dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Diversified end-market growth and higher content per unit
Stronger growth in Marine and Powersports alongside rising content per unit in RV and Housing shows durable portfolio diversification and pricing/content capture. Higher CPU boosts revenue and margin resilience per unit, reducing reliance on cyclical RV volumes over months.
Negative Factors
Elevated leverage and sizable absolute debt
Net leverage near 3x and sizable debt reduce financial flexibility and increase sensitivity to cyclical downturns. Higher leverage constrains ability to absorb prolonged revenue weakness, raises refinancing and interest risk, and can limit capital allocation optionality over coming quarters.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Diversified end-market growth and higher content per unit
Stronger growth in Marine and Powersports alongside rising content per unit in RV and Housing shows durable portfolio diversification and pricing/content capture. Higher CPU boosts revenue and margin resilience per unit, reducing reliance on cyclical RV volumes over months.
Read all positive factors

Patrick Industries Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Operating Income by Segment
Operating Income by Segment
Highlights each segment’s profit after operating costs, showing which units are truly contributing to the company’s bottom line and where cost structure or scale advantages are improving or dragging performance.
Chart InsightsManufacturing drives PATK’s profitability and, while highly cyclical, it has largely stabilized since the 2022 trough with predictable Q2 peaks; Distribution contributes steadily but is much smaller. Recent resilience appears driven more by content‑per‑unit gains (marine and powersports outperformance, RV CPU increases) than unit growth, which management highlighted as a key offset to weaker RV and MH volumes. Near‑term risks include strategic inventory build, commodity/tariff pressure and rising dealer weeks that could compress operating income, while aftermarket expansion and M&A remain the primary upside levers.
Data provided by:The Fly

Patrick Industries (PATK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Patrick Industries Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Patrick Industries, Inc. serves as a primary provider of essential components, construction products, and various materials to key sectors such as the recreational vehicle (RV), marine, manufactured housing, and industrial markets. The company's o...
How the Company Makes Money
Patrick Industries primarily makes money by selling manufactured components, materials, and integrated product solutions to OEM customers across its end markets, with revenue recognized from the shipment/delivery of those products. Its core revenu...

Patrick Industries Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 30, 2026
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 22, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presents a cautiously optimistic outlook. Company-level results show resilience driven by strategic diversification: strong double-digit growth in Marine (+22%) and Powersports (+28%), modest Housing growth (+2%), technology and AI investments, a sizable M&A synergy opportunity (~$150M), and solid liquidity ($691M). Counterbalancing these positives are meaningful RV end-market weakness (RV revenue -15%, wholesale shipments -16%), a significant decline in H1 operating cash flow (from $189M to $69M), elevated inventory/working capital, modest margin deterioration (adjusted operating margin down ~80 bps YoY) and near-term margin risk (~20 bps) from affordability programs. Overall, the positives around diversification, technology, M&A and balance-sheet flexibility outweigh the near-term operational and cash-flow headwinds but management emphasizes caution and discipline.
Positive Updates
Stable Consolidated Revenue and Organic Growth
Second-quarter net sales of $1.04 billion, down less than 1% year-over-year, with estimated organic growth contributing ~7% during the quarter and trailing 12-month net sales of approximately $3.9 billion.
Negative Updates
RV Volume and Revenue Contraction
RV revenue declined 15% YoY to $407 million; RV industry wholesale unit shipments fell 16% in the quarter (≈15,300 fewer units). Management now expects full-year RV retail to be down low double digits and wholesale 285k–300k units in 2026.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Negative
Stable Consolidated Revenue and Organic Growth
Second-quarter net sales of $1.04 billion, down less than 1% year-over-year, with estimated organic growth contributing ~7% during the quarter and trailing 12-month net sales of approximately $3.9 billion.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Guidance for 2026: Patrick now expects RV retail down low double digits with RV wholesale of 285,000–300,000 units; Marine retail flat to down slightly and Marine wholesale up low single digits; Powersports full‑year unit shipments and organic content up low single digits (implying mid‑to‑high single‑digit growth for the segment); Housing (MH) wholesale shipments and total new housing starts down low‑to‑mid single digits. The company expects 2026 adjusted operating margin to be roughly flat versus 2025, though incremental volume‑based affordability programs could subtract ~20 basis points; operating cash flow $320–$350 million, capital expenditures $70–$80 million (implying roughly $250 million free cash flow) and an effective tax rate of 24–25%. At quarter end net leverage was 3.0x with available liquidity of about $691 million (≈ $661 million unused revolver); in Q2 Patrick returned ≈ $106 million to shareholders ($91M repurchases, $15M dividends), repurchasing ~980,000 shares and leaving roughly $62 million available under the repurchase authorization prior to merger restrictions.

Patrick Industries Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mid-range fundamentals: profitability remains positive (TTM gross margin ~23%, net margin ~3.5%), but revenue is down ~15% in TTM and margins are well below 2021–2022 levels. Leverage is a constraint (elevated debt-to-equity and net leverage referenced at 3.0x), and cash flow is still positive (TTM FCF ~$128M) but has weakened with sub-1x operating cash flow coverage and softer momentum.
Income Statement
58
Neutral
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
Cash Flow
57
Neutral
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.94B3.95B3.72B3.47B4.88B4.08B
Gross Profit908.07M912.86M835.89M782.23M1.06B801.19M
EBITDA435.97M421.78M424.58M404.74M626.93M456.52M
Net Income147.28M135.06M138.40M142.90M328.20M224.91M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.21B3.08B3.02B2.67B2.78B2.65B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments29.16M26.43M33.56M11.41M22.85M122.85M
Total Debt1.65B1.64B1.52B1.21B1.45B1.45B
Total Liabilities2.08B1.89B1.89B1.63B1.83B1.88B
Stockholders Equity1.13B1.18B1.13B1.05B955.17M767.56M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow127.82M241.91M251.16M349.69M331.55M187.33M
Operating Cash Flow208.85M329.41M326.84M408.67M411.74M252.13M
Investing Cash Flow-164.09M-206.49M-512.85M-86.55M-321.47M-574.73M
Financing Cash Flow-37.58M-130.06M208.16M-333.56M-190.27M400.69M

Patrick Industries Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price84.50
Price Trends
50DMA
86.42
Negative
100DMA
92.63
Negative
200DMA
104.69
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.35
Positive
RSI
43.60
Neutral
STOCH
22.57
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PATK, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 84.5 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 85.81, below the 50-day MA of 86.42, and below the 200-day MA of 104.69, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.35 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.60 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 22.57 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for PATK.

Patrick Industries Risk Analysis

Patrick Industries disclosed 80 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Patrick Industries reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Patrick Industries Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$8.10B17.875.52%4.62%0.16%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
57
Neutral
$2.69B19.1812.61%2.14%3.20%18.00%
56
Neutral
$1.28B6.1321.32%1.79%-8.20%53.01%
51
Neutral
$1.80B-13.59-6.44%-0.01%-192.77%
49
Neutral
$1.58B17.606.94%3.40%4.68%
47
Neutral
$2.56B13.595.83%11.94%-3.92%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PATK
Patrick Industries
87.44
-22.48
-20.45%
MLKN
MillerKnoll
23.23
2.95
14.56%
LEG
Leggett & Platt
9.68
0.61
6.77%
MHK
Mohawk
135.24
11.19
9.02%
WHR
Whirlpool
40.09
-43.87
-52.25%
MBC
MasterBrand Inc
9.38
-2.92
-23.74%

Patrick Industries Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Patrick Industries, LCI reach key antitrust filing milestone
Positive
Aug 10, 2026
On June 30, 2026, Patrick Industries, Inc. entered into a merger agreement with LCI Industries involving a two-step transaction in which newly formed subsidiaries Planet First Merger Sub Inc. and Planet Second Merger Sub LLC will sequentially merg...
Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackDividendsFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Patrick Industries Announces Merger Agreement With LCI Industries
Positive
Jul 30, 2026
For the second quarter ended June 28, 2026, Patrick Industries reported net sales of $1.04 billion, down less than 1% year on year, as strong growth in Marine, Powersports and Housing largely offset a 15% revenue decline in the RV segment amid a 1...
Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Patrick Industries Announces All-Stock Merger with LCI Industries
Positive
Jun 30, 2026
On June 30, 2026, Patrick Industries and LCI Industries agreed to an all-stock merger that will combine the two Elkhart-based component suppliers into a single, Nasdaq-listed company serving outdoor enthusiast, housing, transportation and other ma...
Executive/Board ChangesDividendsShareholder Meetings
Patrick Industries Shareholders Reaffirm Leadership and Dividend Program
Positive
May 18, 2026
Patrick Industries, Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Shareholders on May 14, 2026, with 95.06% of eligible shares represented, and shareholders elected nine directors to serve until the 2027 meeting. Investors also ratified the appointment of Deloi...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 11, 2026