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MillerKnoll (MLKN) AI Stock Analysis

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MLKN

MillerKnoll

(NASDAQ:MLKN)

Select Model
Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:$24.00â–²(9.89% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/21/26

MLKN scores in the middle of the range primarily due to a mixed financial profile: improving profitability and solid free cash flow are offset by weak revenue momentum and meaningful leverage. Valuation (mid-teens P/E with a ~3.5% yield) provides some support, while technicals are largely neutral and the latest earnings call was constructive on execution and orders but tempered by declining sales/backlog and reduced full-year sales guidance.

Positive Factors
Global brand and channel diversificationMillerKnoll’s diversified brand portfolio and presence across commercial, institutional, dealer, and consumer channels broaden its addressable market. This mix can reduce reliance on any single customer type and supports durable cross-selling and distribution advantages as furnishing needs evolve.
Negative Factors
Weak revenue and backlog momentumLower sales and backlog indicate that demand conversion remains uneven, especially across contract and retail activities. Reduced full-year guidance suggests weaker volume can persist beyond one quarter, limiting operating leverage and making near-term revenue recovery dependent on project timing.

MillerKnoll Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Operating Income by SegmentReveals profitability across different business units, highlighting which segments are driving earnings and which may need strategic adjustments.

-$200.00M-$100.00M$0.00$100.00M$200.00MAug 21Nov 21Feb 22May 22Sep 22Dec 22Mar 23Jun 23Sep 23Dec 23Mar 24Jun 24Aug 24Nov 24Mar 25May 25Aug 25Nov 25Feb 26May 26Aug 26
Chart Insights

Americas is now the primary profit engine — big, consistent positive quarters that align with management’s North America contract strength and price capture — while International is volatile and trending weaker, validating the call’s concern about margin compression and order softness. Retail is lumpy: a severe loss tied to Holly Hunt/restructuring was followed by an outsized rebound, underscoring brand-specific execution risk and one-off effects. Corporate remains a steady multi‑million drag, capping consolidated margin recovery even as management layers pricing and store investments.

Data provided by:The Fly

MillerKnoll (MLKN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-20%0%20%40%60%80%MLKN+54.06%SPY+14.28%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$1.51B
Dividend Yield
3.43%
Average Volume (3M)
562.43K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
15.5
Beta (1Y)
1.32
Revenue Growth
1.20%
EPS Growth
―
Country
US
Employees
10,544
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances

MillerKnoll Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

MillerKnoll, Inc. is a global entity dedicated to the research, design, manufacturing, and distribution of a comprehensive range of interior furnishings. The company's operations are divided into four primary business segments: Americas Contract, Int...

How the Company Makes Money

MillerKnoll makes money primarily by designing, manufacturing, and selling furnishings and related solutions to business, institutional, and consumer customers. Its revenue model is largely product-sales driven, with sales generated through (1) contr...

MillerKnoll Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Sep 22, 2026(Q1-2027)|% Change Since:7.48%|Next Earnings Date:Dec 23, 2026
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was broadly constructive. Management reported improved adjusted profitability, strong cash generation, growth in consolidated orders, robust International Contract orders, continued North America retail order growth, and progress from cost and store initiatives. These positives were tempered by a 3.4% decline in sales, lower backlog, weaker North America and International Contract sales, a significant International Contract margin decline, early-quarter retail softness, tariff costs, inflationary pressure, and reduced full-year sales guidance. Overall, the highlights outweighed the lowlights, but management remained focused on execution and demand timing.

Positive Updates

Adjusted Earnings Above Guidance Excluding Tariff Refunds
First-quarter adjusted earnings per share were $0.53, or $0.42 excluding the $0.11 per share net benefit from IEPA tariff refunds. Excluding the refund benefit, adjusted EPS was above the company's guidance range, reflecting disciplined execution, price realization, and improved cost management.

Negative Updates

Consolidated Sales Declined
First-quarter consolidated net sales were $923 million, down 3.4% year over year on a reported basis and 3.3% lower on an organic basis, primarily reflecting softer-than-anticipated revenue in North America Contract and Global Retail.

Company Guidance

For the second quarter of fiscal 27, MillerKnoll expects net sales of $972 million to $1.012 billion, representing approximately 4% year over year growth at the midpoint, gross margin of 38.3% to 39.3%, adjusted operating expenses of $321 million to $331 million, and adjusted diluted earnings per share of $0.43 to $0.49; for the full year, it reduced expected net sales to $3.88 billion to $4.03 billion, reflecting 3% growth year over year at the midpoint, while maintaining adjusted earnings per share of $1.85 to $2.15, including an estimated $0.07 per share of unfavorable impact from the most recent US and Canada tariff actions and approximately $6 million per quarter of incremental new store expense on a year over year comparison; it expects to open 5 to 7 new stores during the second quarter and approximately 14 to 18 new store openings throughout fiscal 2027, expects North America contract growth for the balance of the year, and expects price cost to be a slight headwind, call it 20 percent 30 basis points year over year in the second quarter.

MillerKnoll Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Mixed fundamentals: profitability has improved to positive TTM net income with gross margin holding near ~39–40%, and cash flow is a relative strength (positive operating cash flow and solid free cash flow). Offsetting this, TTM revenue shows a sharp decline and leverage is meaningful (debt-to-equity ~1.28x), limiting cushion and deleveraging flexibility.

Income Statement

56Neutral

Balance Sheet

54Neutral

Cash Flow

63Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMay 2026May 2025May 2024May 2023May 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.81B3.84B3.67B3.63B4.09B3.95B
Gross Profit1.51B1.49B1.42B1.42B1.43B1.35B
EBITDA342.10M362.70M195.60M330.60M279.70M219.80M
Net Income97.90M91.50M-36.90M82.30M42.10M-27.10M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.00B4.00B3.95B4.04B4.27B4.51B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments178.60M167.70M193.70M230.40M223.50M230.30M
Total Debt1.82B1.80B1.81B1.76B1.87B1.97B
Total Liabilities2.58B2.59B2.62B2.58B2.73B2.98B
Stockholders Equity1.36B1.34B1.28B1.39B1.43B1.43B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow115.50M77.60M101.70M273.90M79.60M-106.60M
Operating Cash Flow239.60M199.90M209.30M352.30M162.90M-11.90M
Investing Cash Flow-117.20M-115.60M-100.90M-86.30M-76.50M-1.17B
Financing Cash Flow-112.60M-117.00M-150.30M-258.80M-86.80M1.04B

MillerKnoll Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price21.84

Price Trends

50DMA21.13Positive
100DMA21.50Positive
200DMA19.33Positive

Market Momentum

MACD0.27Negative
RSI52.68Neutral
STOCH53.02Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MLKN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 21.84 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 21.48, above the 50-day MA of 21.13, and above the 200-day MA of 19.33, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.27 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 52.68 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 53.02 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MLKN.

MillerKnoll Risk Analysis

MillerKnoll disclosed 24 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. MillerKnoll reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

3 New Risks
1.Our indebtedness and related covenants could adversely affect our financial flexibility and ability to operate our business.Q2, 2026
2.Our executive leadership transition may adversely affect our ability to execute our strategy and maintain business momentum.Q2, 2026
3.We are subject to cybersecurity and data security risks that could compromise our systems, data, operations, and reputation.Q2, 2026

MillerKnoll Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

MLKN against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
TILETILE72Outperform$1.84B13.2817.15%0.35%5.13%23.22%
KEQUKEQU67Neutral$97.31M11.6811.34%―5.33%-33.32%
Sector *61Neutral$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
MLKNMLKN60Neutral$1.51B15.497.34%3.43%1.20%―
ETDETD54Neutral$454.44M14.936.90%26.20%-7.44%-33.97%
VIRCVIRC54Neutral$98.52M-41.60-2.32%1.56%-18.97%-118.61%
HNIHNI53Neutral$3.56B111.412.92%2.82%104.43%-84.48%

* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-20%0%20%40%60%MLKNETDHNITILEKEQUVIRCDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
MLKN and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
MLKNMillerKnoll, Inc.21.847.5953.23%
ETDEthan Allen Interiors18.36-0.33-1.78%
HNIHni Corp49.0211.3029.96%
TILEInterface Inc31.735.8222.45%
KEQUKewaunee Scientific33.41-6.64-16.59%
VIRCVirco Manufacturing6.41-0.58-8.25%

MillerKnoll Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesFinancial Disclosures

MillerKnoll Names Jeff Stutz Permanent Chief Executive Officer

Positive
Oct 21, 2026

On October 21, 2026, MillerKnoll announced that its Board of Directors unanimously appointed longtime executive Jeff Stutz as Chief Executive Officer and a member of the Board, effective immediately, increasing the Board’s size from ten to eleven dir...

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings

MillerKnoll Shareholders Approve 2026 Long-Term Incentive Plan

Positive
Oct 13, 2026

At its annual meeting of shareholders held on October 12, 2026, MillerKnoll, Inc. obtained shareholder approval for a new 2026 Long-Term Incentive Plan that replaces the plan adopted in 2025 and authorizes up to 23,964,945 shares for a broad range of...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 21, 2026