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Liquidity Services (LQDT)
NASDAQ:LQDT
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Liquidity Services (LQDT) AI Stock Analysis

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LQDT

Liquidity Services

(NASDAQ:LQDT)

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Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$42.00
▼(-2.60% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/06/26
The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance (solid growth, robust free cash flow, and low leverage) and a positive earnings call with confident guidance and strong operational momentum. Offsetting these positives are a high P/E valuation and a mixed technical picture with weak short-term trend indicators despite a still-positive longer-term trend.
Positive Factors
Marketplace Growth
Sustained revenue expansion and record GMV show increasing marketplace scale and asset flow. Continued growth across retail and GovDeals can strengthen network effects, improve operating leverage, and support durable customer and seller adoption.
Negative Factors
Gross Margin Pressure
The sustained gross-margin decline indicates a less favorable pricing or category mix and possible cost pressure. If it persists, revenue growth may translate less efficiently into profit and could limit the durability of recent earnings improvement.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Marketplace Growth
Sustained revenue expansion and record GMV show increasing marketplace scale and asset flow. Continued growth across retail and GovDeals can strengthen network effects, improve operating leverage, and support durable customer and seller adoption.
Read all positive factors

Liquidity Services Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Breaks down recognized revenue by business line—auction and marketplace fees, asset recovery and disposition services, managed services, and others—revealing which streams drive top-line growth and their relative profitability. Indicates whether revenue gains come from higher transaction volume, fee expansion, or new services, and highlights concentration risk if one segment dominates the business.
Chart InsightsRSCG has become the primary growth and profit engine since 2024, materially lifting consolidated margins and driving the company’s EBITDA expansion; GovDeals shows steady multi-year growth but remains weather‑sensitive and can produce quarter-to-quarter GMV volatility; CAG is a smaller but steadily rising stream with a sizable backlog that could unlock outsized revenue upside; Machinio is modest in revenue today but is high‑margin and nearing meaningful ARR. The overall mix shift toward retail and software is boosting profitability, though seasonality and exogenous weather remain the main near‑term risks.
Data provided by:The Fly

Liquidity Services (LQDT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Liquidity Services Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Liquidity Services, Inc. delivers comprehensive e-commerce solutions, featuring online marketplaces, self-service auction listing tools, and a variety of support services. The company's operations are structured into four distinct segments: Retail...
How the Company Makes Money
Liquidity Services primarily makes money by facilitating the sale of surplus, returned, or otherwise non-core assets on its online marketplaces and earning fees tied to those transactions. Key revenue streams typically include: (1) Marketplace/tra...

Liquidity Services Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2026
(Q3-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 04, 2027
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call reported broad-based operational momentum: record GMV, double-digit growth in key profitability metrics (GAAP EPS +39% YoY, adjusted EBITDA +30% YoY), strong retail and GovDeals performance, CAG profitability improvement despite timing-driven GMV softness, and material ARR growth at Machinio. Challenges were limited to CAG project timing reducing GMV modestly, a decline in auction participants (likely mix-driven), an expected sequential retail GMV dip in Q4, and a higher projected tax rate. Overall, positives substantially outweigh these contained issues.
Positive Updates
Record Quarterly GMV and Top-Line Growth
Gross merchandise volume (GMV) reached a record $453M, up 10% year-over-year; consolidated revenue was $130M, up 8% year-over-year.
Negative Updates
CAG GMV Pressured by Project Timing and Regional Weakness
CAG GMV declined 1% YoY to $57.5M primarily due to timing of several large projects and lower volumes in EMEA, APAC, and select North American industrial markets—timing issues that impacted quarter results.
Read all updates
Q3-2026 Updates
Negative
Record Quarterly GMV and Top-Line Growth
Gross merchandise volume (GMV) reached a record $453M, up 10% year-over-year; consolidated revenue was $130M, up 8% year-over-year.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
For the fiscal fourth quarter of 2026, management guided GMV of $415M–$455M, non‑GAAP adjusted EBITDA of $22M–$25M, GAAP net income of $10M–$13M, GAAP diluted EPS of $0.30–$0.39 and non‑GAAP adjusted diluted EPS of $0.41–$0.50 (assuming ~33M fully diluted weighted average shares), with an effective tax rate approaching the low‑to‑mid‑30s and capital expenditures of $2.5M–$3.0M; they also expect consignment GMV to be in the mid‑80s% of total GMV, consolidated revenue as a percent of GMV in the mid‑20s, and total segment direct profit as a percent of consolidated revenue in the mid‑50s, positioning the year to close with continued annual growth and the highest annual adjusted EBITDA in 13 years.

Liquidity Services Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong overall fundamentals: meaningful multi-year revenue expansion, durable profitability, and robust TTM free cash flow (~$90M) with solid earnings quality (FCF to net income ~0.90). Balance sheet risk is low with very low leverage (TTM debt-to-equity ~0.07) and a growing equity base. Main offsets are notable gross margin compression versus 2021–2023 and some cash flow volatility across years.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
86
Very Positive
Cash Flow
84
Very Positive
BreakdownTTMSep 2025Sep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue489.62M476.67M363.32M314.46M280.05M257.53M
Gross Profit227.97M208.81M185.17M172.14M160.64M149.85M
EBITDA59.51M49.85M39.38M37.36M33.23M34.55M
Net Income33.26M28.09M19.99M20.98M40.32M50.95M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets420.09M375.10M346.89M306.02M306.81M255.58M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments231.10M185.82M155.54M118.17M97.94M106.33M
Total Debt13.60M14.12M14.44M10.91M14.55M14.60M
Total Liabilities184.24M171.86M164.33M144.49M152.27M120.56M
Stockholders Equity235.85M203.24M182.56M161.53M154.54M135.01M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow89.99M58.96M61.31M41.63M36.71M59.97M
Operating Cash Flow98.18M66.76M70.22M47.02M44.83M65.42M
Investing Cash Flow-8.65M-22.98M-16.11M-11.43M-21.08M-1.00M
Financing Cash Flow-25.22M-21.81M-11.17M-22.07M-31.94M-34.66M

Liquidity Services Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price43.12
Price Trends
50DMA
40.08
Negative
100DMA
37.77
Positive
200DMA
34.16
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.41
Positive
RSI
39.77
Neutral
STOCH
17.84
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LQDT, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 43.12 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 42.10, above the 50-day MA of 40.08, and above the 200-day MA of 34.16, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.41 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.77 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 17.84 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for LQDT.

Liquidity Services Risk Analysis

Liquidity Services disclosed 38 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Liquidity Services reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Liquidity Services Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$1.31B37.1015.18%5.18%24.25%
62
Neutral
$904.37M19.1412.22%2.58%34.75%138.72%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
49
Neutral
$511.57M55.353.40%1.51%-2.05%-1.61%
48
Neutral
$353.29M-14.11-37.30%15.58%64.75%
46
Neutral
$341.44M35.495.52%
38
Underperform
$950.22M-5.70-842.31%22.18%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LQDT
Liquidity Services
39.33
13.21
50.57%
NEGG
Newegg Commerce
15.85
-22.78
-58.97%
ARKO
ARKO Corp
4.50
-0.44
-8.83%
TDUP
thredUP
2.52
-8.03
-76.11%
RERE
ATRenew Inc. Sponsored ADR
4.14
-0.36
-7.90%
HEPS
D-Market
2.62
-0.07
-2.60%

Liquidity Services Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Liquidity Services Extends Credit Agreement with Wells Fargo
Positive
Jun 26, 2026
On June 22, 2026, Liquidity Services, Inc. amended its existing credit agreement with Wells Fargo Bank, National Association, extending the facility’s term by one year from March 31, 2027 to March 31, 2028. All other terms and conditions of ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 06, 2026