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Liberty Global LiLAC
(NASDAQ:LILA)
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Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
$9.00
▲(4.05% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:09/16/26
The score is driven primarily by mixed fundamentals: strong revenue growth and solid positive free cash flow are offset by continued net losses and a highly leveraged, thin-equity balance sheet. Technicals are supportive with an established uptrend and positive momentum indicators, while valuation is constrained by negative earnings (negative P/E). The latest earnings call adds moderate support via improving margins/cash generation and cost-savings initiatives, tempered by leverage, Puerto Rico cash flow drag, and Q4-weighted cash flow timing risk.
Positive Factors
Revenue and operating margin improvement
Strong revenue growth alongside healthy gross and EBITDA margins indicates improving operating scale and customer monetization. If sustained, this combination can support reinvestment in networks, strengthen competitive positioning, and provide a durable foundation for future earnings improvement.
Negative Factors
High leverage and thin equity cushion
Heavy debt relative to the equity base leaves limited balance-sheet protection against operating setbacks and reduces financial flexibility. Interest, refinancing, and required capital commitments can constrain investment and shareholder returns, making deleveraging and sustained cash generation central to long-term stability.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue and operating margin improvement
Strong revenue growth alongside healthy gross and EBITDA margins indicates improving operating scale and customer monetization. If sustained, this combination can support reinvestment in networks, strengthen competitive positioning, and provide a durable foundation for future earnings improvement.
Read all positive factors
Liberty Global LiLAC (LILA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$1.59B
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)333.05K
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)0.48
Revenue Growth1.08%
EPS Growth91.59%
CountryUS
Employees9,000
SectorCommunication Services
Sector Strength97
IndustryTelecommunications Services
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)-0.49
Shares Outstanding36,900,000
10 Day Avg. Volume285,018
30 Day Avg. Volume333,050
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.18
Price to Book (P/B)1.64
Price to Sales (P/S)0.21
P/FCF Ratio2.99
Enterprise Value/Market Cap6.48
Enterprise Value/Revenue2.31
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit3.41
Enterprise Value/Ebitda7.86
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$10.50Price Target Upside21.39% Upside
Rating ConsensusHold
Number of Analyst Covering2
EPS Forecast (FY)-0.19
Revenue Forecast (FY)$4.36B
Liberty Global LiLAC Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Liberty Latin America Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides fixed, mobile, and subsea telecommunications services in Puerto Rico, Panama, Costa Rica, Jamaica, Latin America and the Caribbean, the Bahamas, Trinidad and Tobago, Barbados, Cu...
How the Company Makes Money
Liberty Global LiLAC Group primarily makes money by selling subscription-based telecommunications services to residential and business customers through its operating companies and equity-accounted investments. The core revenue stream is recurring...
Liberty Global LiLAC Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Aug 05, 2026
(Q2-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed measured optimism: the company reported modest rebased OIBDA growth (3%), significant free cash flow improvement year-over-year, margin expansion (~130 bps) and strong performance from Liberty Networks and several consumer markets (Panama, Costa Rica, Puerto Rico postpaid momentum). Strategic initiatives — an AI/IT deal with Amdocs (NPV > $250M), Starlink partnerships, 5G in Jamaica, a $500M preferred distribution and ongoing buybacks — underpin confidence in cost savings and shareholder returns. Offsetting these positives are persistent revenue headwinds in some areas (revenue flat rebased), Hurricane Melissa impacts in Jamaica, continued Puerto Rico revenue declines and negative FCF contribution from Puerto Rico, elevated consolidated leverage (~4.6x), and timing/seasonality risks to H2 free cash flow. On balance the operational improvements, cost initiatives, and cash generation gains were presented as sufficiently material to outweigh the localized and structural challenges in the near term.Positive Updates
Subscriber Net Adds and Postpaid Momentum
Added approximately 45,000 mobile postpaid and broadband subscribers in Q2 2026, with Liberty Caribbean contributing ~11,000 postpaid adds (6,000 in Jamaica) and Panama delivering the highest group-level subscriber additions; postpaid growth highlighted as a recurring strength across markets.
Negative Updates
Limited Top-Line Growth — Revenue Flat on a Rebased Basis
Q2 2026 revenue was $1.1 billion, up 1% reported but flat on a rebased basis versus prior year, indicating constrained overall revenue expansion despite pockets of growth.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Subscriber Net Adds and Postpaid Momentum
Added approximately 45,000 mobile postpaid and broadband subscribers in Q2 2026, with Liberty Caribbean contributing ~11,000 postpaid adds (6,000 in Jamaica) and Panama delivering the highest group-level subscriber additions; postpaid growth highlighted as a recurring strength across markets.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
LLA guided to a stronger second half and a seasonally-weighted Q4 (H2 materially driven by Q4), citing Q2 momentum with $1.1B revenue, $436M adjusted OIBDA (3% rebased growth) and a 40% adjusted OIBDA margin (≈130 bps YoY improvement); it expects higher P&E additions in H2 (Q2 P&E $179M, YTD $289M — 16% and 13% of revenue) but full‑year P&E as a percent of revenue to be in the same envelope as 2025, and projects continued expansion of adjusted OIBDA and adjusted OIBDA less P&E margins over coming years. Management flagged materially improved cash generation (adjusted FCF before distributions $83M in Q2, $19M H1) but reiterated 2026 FCF remains Q4‑weighted and H2 may be less robust than last year’s H2 (which included ~$81M of weather‑derivative proceeds); Puerto Rico FCF was a drag (‑$48M Q2, ‑$91M H1). On capital allocation, they completed a $500M preferred distribution (9% annual dividend), have repurchased >$60M of common stock YTD with ~$140M remaining authorization, carry $8.5B total debt, ~$700M cash, ~4.6x consolidated net leverage and ~$900M borrowing capacity, and expect to capture north‑of‑$250M NPV from an AI/IT Amdocs deal with initial savings beginning in Q4.Liberty Global LiLAC Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
46
Neutral
Balance Sheet
24
Negative
Cash Flow
63
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 4.46B | 4.44B | 4.46B | 4.51B | 4.81B | 4.81B |
| Gross Profit | 3.01B | 3.00B | 2.96B | 3.00B | 3.08B | 3.08B |
| EBITDA | 1.31B | 908.50M | 964.60M | 1.55B | 1.34B | 1.17B |
| Net Income | -98.20M | -611.20M | -657.00M | -73.60M | -170.70M | -440.60M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 12.23B | 12.23B | 12.80B | 13.59B | 13.58B | 15.37B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 714.10M | 13.70M | 654.30M | 988.60M | 781.00M | 956.70M |
| Total Debt | 8.54B | 9.22B | 8.17B | 8.26B | 7.96B | 7.65B |
| Total Liabilities | 11.23B | 11.16B | 11.17B | 11.28B | 11.02B | 12.47B |
| Stockholders Equity | 528.10M | 555.60M | 1.12B | 1.76B | 1.92B | 2.22B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 357.90M | 305.90M | 215.90M | 312.00M | 208.70M | 279.90M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 941.30M | 805.90M | 756.30M | 897.00M | 868.80M | 1.02B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -690.10M | -665.60M | -688.50M | -615.80M | -1.12B | -1.27B |
| Financing Cash Flow | -124.80M | 29.70M | -386.40M | -62.40M | -29.20M | 426.60M |
Liberty Global LiLAC Technical Analysis
Neutral
8.65
Price Trends
8.56
Negative
7.52
Positive
6.42
Positive
Market Momentum
0.02
Positive
39.24
Neutral
51.80
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LILA, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 8.65 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.61, above the 50-day MA of 8.56, and above the 200-day MA of 6.42, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.24 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 51.80 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for LILA.
Liberty Global LiLAC Risk Analysis
Liberty Global LiLAC disclosed 49 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Liberty Global LiLAC reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Liberty Global LiLAC Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
72 Outperform | $19.55B | 14.73 | 9.70% | 7.76% | 16.10% | 24.13% | |
70 Outperform | $5.66B | 11.81 | 9.66% | 2.49% | 33.24% | ― | |
68 Neutral | $13.32B | 20.46 | 21.02% | 5.35% | 29.10% | -29.84% | |
67 Neutral | $65.39B | 13.12 | 21.99% | 2.78% | 13.40% | 75.68% | |
63 Neutral | $36.31B | -71.01 | -0.79% | 3.45% | 16.69% | 87.12% | |
60 Neutral | $48.67B | 4.58 | -11.27% | 4.14% | 2.83% | -41.78% | |
56 Neutral | $1.59B | -16.43 | -17.43% | ― | 1.08% | 91.59% |
* Communication Services Sector Average
LILA
Liberty Global LiLAC
8.10
2.86
54.52%
AMX
America Movil
21.32
0.50
2.38%
TEO
Telecom Argentina
12.37
4.74
62.23%
VIV
Telefonica Brasil
12.20
0.98
8.77%
VOD
Vodafone
15.56
4.81
44.73%
TIGO
Millicom International Cellular SA
79.48
34.58
77.02%
Liberty Global LiLAC Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Liberty Puerto Rico considers standalone structure amid debt talks
Negative
Sep 15, 2026
Liberty Latin America disclosed that negotiations with certain secured lenders of its Puerto Rico unit over a potential restructuring of term loans, senior secured notes due 2027 and 2029, and related UnSub facilities have taken place but are no l...
Financial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Liberty Global LiLAC issues latest quarterly financial update
Neutral
Aug 21, 2026
On August 20, 2026, Liberty PR, a subsidiary of Liberty Latin America, released its financial report for the quarter ended June 30, 2026, through the investor relations section of its parent company’s website. The disclosure was furnished vi...
Financial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Liberty Global LiLAC Posts Latest Quarterly Disclosure
Neutral
Aug 20, 2026
On August 20, 2026, Liberty Telecomunicaciones de Costa Rica released its financial report for the quarter ended June 30, 2026 through the investor relations section of the Liberty Latin America website. The disclosure, furnished via a current rep...
Financial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Liberty Global LiLAC Subsidiary Issues Quarterly 8-K Disclosure
Neutral
Aug 20, 2026
On August 20, 2026, Cable Wireless Communications Limited released its financial report for the quarter ended June 30, 2026 through the investor relations section of parent Liberty Latin America’s website. The disclosure was furnished as a ...
Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackDividendsFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and Financing
Liberty Latin America posts stronger Q2 2026 results
Positive
Aug 5, 2026
Liberty Latin America reported its financial and operating results for the second quarter and first half of 2026 on August 5, 2026, highlighting 45,000 postpaid mobile and broadband net additions and year-over-year growth in operating income and A...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Liberty Latin America Sets Date for Q2 2026 Results
Neutral
Jul 27, 2026
Liberty Latin America, a major regional communications and entertainment operator with extensive fiber infrastructure and a multi-brand footprint across Latin America and the Caribbean, provides a broad portfolio of consumer and enterprise service...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Liberty Latin America Shareholders Approve Directors, Auditor, Incentive Plan
Positive
Jun 29, 2026
On June 23, 2026, Liberty Latin America Ltd. held its Annual General Meeting of Shareholders, where investors voted on board elections, auditor appointment and a new incentive plan. Shareholders re-elected Michael T. Fries, Alfonso de Angoitia Nor...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.