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Liberty Global LiLAC (LILA)
NASDAQ:LILA

Liberty Global LiLAC (LILA) AI Stock Analysis

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Liberty Global LiLAC

(NASDAQ:LILA)

49Neutral
Liberty Global LiLAC's stock faces significant challenges due to declining profitability and high leverage. While cash flow generation and regional subscriber growth offer potential, overall bearish technical indicators and unattractive valuation metrics weigh heavily. The company's strategic focus on operational improvements and debt management will be critical for future performance.

Liberty Global LiLAC (LILA) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Liberty Global LiLAC Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLiberty Latin America Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides fixed, mobile, and subsea telecommunications services. The company operates through C&W Caribbean and Networks, C&W Panama, Liberty Puerto Rico, VTR, and Costa Rica segments. It offers communications and entertainment services, including video, broadband internet, fixed-line telephony, and mobile services to residential and business customers; and business products and services that include enterprise-grade connectivity, data center, hosting, and managed solutions, as well as information technology solutions for small and medium enterprises, international companies, and governmental agencies. The company also operates a sub-sea and terrestrial fiber optic cable network that connects approximately 40 markets. It provides its services in approximately 20 countries in Latin America, the Caribbean, Chile, and Costa Rica under the brands of C&W, VTR, Liberty Puerto Rico, Cabletica, BTC, UTS, Flow, and Móvil. The company was incorporated in 2017 and is based in Hamilton, Bermuda.
How the Company Makes MoneyLiberty Global LiLAC generates revenue through multiple streams within the telecommunications and media sectors. The primary revenue sources include subscription fees for cable television, broadband internet, and mobile services. The company also earns from fixed-line telephony services. A significant portion of its revenue is derived from customer subscriptions, which provide a steady and recurring income. Additionally, Liberty Global LiLAC benefits from strategic partnerships and alliances with content providers and technology companies, enhancing its service offerings and expanding its market reach. Advertising and pay-per-view services also contribute to its earnings, although to a lesser extent compared to subscription services.

Liberty Global LiLAC Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Liberty Global LiLAC shows strong cash flow generation but struggles with profitability and high leverage. Negative net income and a high debt-to-equity ratio are significant concerns, despite some strengths in cash flow.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Liberty Global LiLAC has experienced a decline in total revenue from the previous year and negative net income, which has impacted the overall profitability. The gross profit margin is relatively strong, suggesting effective management of direct costs. However, negative EBIT and net income margins highlight ongoing profitability challenges, with particular concern over the significant net loss in the latest year.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The company has a high debt-to-equity ratio, indicating significant leverage which could pose risks if not managed properly. While the equity ratio is quite low, suggesting limited equity financing, the company's assets are still substantial. A decreasing stockholders' equity further impacts financial stability and limits flexibility.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
The cash flow statement reveals a strong ability to generate operating cash flow, which is a positive sign of operational health. However, the free cash flow growth has been inconsistent, and the negative net income limits the effectiveness of cash flow to net income ratios. Despite this, the company's ability to maintain positive free cash flow is a strength.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
4.46B4.51B4.82B4.80B3.76B
Gross Profit
2.96B3.00B3.60B3.61B2.92B
EBIT
-48.30M517.70M663.80M681.70M472.70M
EBITDA
964.60M1.55B1.34B1.18B620.40M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-657.00M-73.60M-201.90M-490.10M-808.90M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
10.40M988.60M781.00M956.70M894.20M
Total Assets
12.80B13.59B13.58B15.39B15.23B
Total Debt
8.17B8.26B7.96B7.65B8.36B
Net Debt
8.16B7.28B7.18B6.69B7.46B
Total Liabilities
11.17B11.28B11.01B12.47B11.79B
Stockholders Equity
1.12B1.76B1.92B2.24B2.71B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
756.30M312.00M208.70M279.90M74.30M
Operating Cash Flow
756.30M897.00M868.80M1.02B640.10M
Investing Cash Flow
-688.50M-615.80M-1.12B-1.27B-2.45B
Financing Cash Flow
-386.40M-62.40M-29.20M426.60M271.10M

Liberty Global LiLAC Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price5.31
Price Trends
50DMA
5.84
Negative
100DMA
6.25
Negative
200DMA
7.56
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.24
Negative
RSI
49.95
Neutral
STOCH
58.89
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LILA, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 5.31 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.22, below the 50-day MA of 5.84, and below the 200-day MA of 7.56, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.24 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 49.95 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 58.89 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for LILA.

Liberty Global LiLAC Risk Analysis

Liberty Global LiLAC disclosed 49 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Liberty Global LiLAC reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Liberty Global LiLAC Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
IDIDT
77
Outperform
$1.45B18.2933.05%0.35%1.75%116.54%
60
Neutral
$14.09B6.86-3.35%3.70%2.42%-36.28%
54
Neutral
$905.51M59.21-1.12%7.33%-6.30%-109.90%
49
Neutral
$1.08B-57.56%-1.56%-10914.21%
TVTV
45
Neutral
$937.64M-7.49%4.43%-17.83%28.62%
45
Neutral
$1.01B-57.56%-1.56%-10914.21%
44
Neutral
$1.31B21.93%-3.68%-2563.04%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LILA
Liberty Global LiLAC
5.31
-3.44
-39.31%
TV
Grupo Televisa, S.A.B.
2.03
-1.18
-36.76%
IDT
IDT
60.82
21.33
54.01%
CABO
Cable ONE
159.19
-215.30
-57.49%
LILAK
Liberty LiLAC Group
5.43
-3.31
-37.87%
ATUS
Altice Usa
2.42
0.16
7.08%

Liberty Global LiLAC Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -3.45%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
While the company demonstrated strong growth in subscriber numbers and OIBDA across several regions, significant challenges in Puerto Rico, including revenue declines and operational difficulties, have led to the withdrawal of the 3-year guidance. The performance in other regions could not fully compensate for the issues in Puerto Rico.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Subscriber Growth
Added 44,000 broadband and postpaid mobile subscribers in Q1 2025, with notable progress in Costa Rica and the Caribbean.
Impressive OIBDA Growth
Reported group adjusted OIBDA rebased growth of 8% year-over-year in Q1 2025, driven by double-digit growth in C&W Caribbean and C&W Panama.
C&W Panama Revenue Surge
C&W Panama reported 5% rebased revenue growth in Q1 2025, driven by 16% growth in mobile and 3% increase in residential fixed.
Liberty Networks Performance
Liberty Networks showed 7% rebased growth in wholesale revenue and 4% growth in enterprise revenue year-over-year.
Negative Updates
Puerto Rico Revenue Decline
Liberty Puerto Rico experienced an 11% rebased revenue decline year-over-year in Q1 2025, significantly impacting overall group performance.
Challenges in Puerto Rico
Puerto Rico faced operational challenges, including a slower than expected recovery and issues with migration and integration efforts.
Withdrawal of 3-Year Guidance
The company decided to withdraw its 3-year guidance due to underperformance in Puerto Rico and the need for significant operational improvements.
Company Guidance
During Liberty Latin America's first quarter 2025 investor call, the company provided detailed guidance on various performance metrics. The company reported a total addition of 44,000 broadband and postpaid mobile subscribers, with significant growth in Costa Rica and the Caribbean. The group's fixed mobile convergence (FMC) penetration exceeded 30%, contributing to lower churn and a more predictable revenue profile. Liberty Latin America achieved an 8% year-over-year rebased growth in adjusted Operating Income Before Depreciation and Amortization (OIBDA) in Q1, especially driven by double-digit growth in C&W Caribbean and C&W Panama. A focus on cost management led to a 20% year-over-year growth in adjusted OIBDA less property and equipment (P&E) additions. The company's capital intensity is expected to be lower in 2025 and 2026, contributing to these positive financial results. However, due to challenges in the Puerto Rico segment, Liberty Latin America decided to withdraw its three-year guidance from 2024 to 2026.

Liberty Global LiLAC Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Liberty Global LiLAC Reports Strong Q1 2025 Growth
Positive
May 7, 2025

Liberty Latin America Ltd., a telecommunications company, announced its financial results for Q1 2025, highlighting significant growth in its operations across several regions. The company reported over 40,000 organic broadband and postpaid mobile subscriber net additions, a 38% increase in operating income year-over-year, and an 8% growth in rebased Adjusted OIBDA. Despite challenges in Puerto Rico, Liberty Latin America remains optimistic about its overall performance and continues to focus on cost efficiencies and strategic investments to drive future growth.

Spark’s Take on LILA Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, LILA is a Neutral.

Liberty Global LiLAC’s overall score reflects challenges in profitability and leverage, as emphasized by negative net income and a high debt-to-equity ratio. While cash flow generation and strategic investments signal potential, the technical analysis suggests bearish sentiment. Despite some regional strengths and long-term growth potential, short-term performance issues and valuation concerns weigh on the stock.

To see Spark’s full report on LILA stock, click here.

Financial Disclosures
Liberty Global LiLAC Q1 2025 Results Announcement
Neutral
Apr 30, 2025

Liberty Latin America announced it will release its first quarter 2025 results on May 7, 2025, after the NASDAQ market closes, with an investor call scheduled for May 8, 2025. This announcement is significant for stakeholders as it provides an opportunity to gain insights into the company’s performance and future outlook, potentially impacting its market positioning and investor relations.

Spark’s Take on LILA Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, LILA is a Neutral.

Liberty Global LiLAC’s overall score reflects challenges in profitability and leverage, as emphasized by negative net income and a high debt-to-equity ratio. While cash flow generation and strategic investments signal potential, the technical analysis suggests bearish sentiment. Despite some regional strengths and long-term growth potential, short-term performance issues and valuation concerns weigh on the stock.

To see Spark’s full report on LILA stock, click here.

Financial Disclosures
Liberty Global LiLAC Releases 2024 Financial Report
Neutral
Apr 10, 2025

On April 10, 2025, Liberty PR, a subsidiary of Liberty Latin America Ltd., released its financial report for the year ending December 31, 2024. The report is available on the Liberty Latin America website, providing stakeholders with insights into the company’s financial performance for the past year.

Spark’s Take on LILA Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, LILA is a Neutral.

Liberty Global LiLAC is facing considerable challenges, particularly in profitability and debt management, reflected in a low financial performance score. Technical analysis suggests bearish trends, while valuation remains weak due to negative earnings. Although the earnings call provided some optimistic guidance and highlights, the overall outlook remains cautious.

To see Spark’s full report on LILA stock, click here.

Financial Disclosures
Liberty Global LiLAC Releases 2024 Financial Report
Neutral
Mar 26, 2025

On March 26, 2025, Cable & Wireless Communications Limited released its financial report for the year ended December 31, 2024, highlighting its performance and financial standing. The report was made available on the Liberty Latin America website, providing stakeholders with insights into the company’s operations and market positioning.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Liberty Global LiLAC Strengthens Growth with Debt Refinancing
Positive
Feb 19, 2025

In 2024, Liberty Latin America Ltd. reported substantial network investments leading to growth in broadband and mobile subscribers, particularly in the Caribbean, Panama, and Costa Rica. Despite challenges in Puerto Rico due to platform migrations, the company expanded its gigabit-ready network to 97% of its footprint and successfully refinanced $3.3 billion of debt, strengthening its capital structure and positioning for future growth. The company also achieved double-digit growth in certain regions, although it faced hurdles in Puerto Rico and adjusted its expectations for future performance.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.