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Kraft Heinz (KHC)
NASDAQ:KHC
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Kraft Heinz (KHC) AI Stock Analysis

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KHC

Kraft Heinz

(NASDAQ:KHC)

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Neutral 53 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
$26.00
▲(5.14% Upside)
Kraft Heinz's overall stock score is driven by significant profitability challenges and a negative P/E ratio, indicating valuation concerns. Strong cash flow and a high dividend yield provide some support. The earnings call reflects a cautious outlook due to consumer sentiment and inflation, but emerging market growth offers potential upside.
Positive Factors
Emerging Markets Growth
Strong growth in emerging markets indicates expanding global reach and potential for revenue diversification, supporting long-term growth.
Cash Flow Strength
Efficient cash generation and healthy cash retention enhance liquidity, providing resilience and funding for strategic investments.
Strategic Investments
Investments in product quality and affordability can enhance competitive positioning and drive long-term consumer loyalty.
Negative Factors
Profitability Challenges
Persistent profitability issues may hinder reinvestment capabilities and impact long-term financial health and shareholder returns.
Consumer Sentiment Decline
Declining consumer sentiment can reduce demand, impacting sales and profitability, posing a challenge to revenue growth.
Inflation and Pricing Challenges
Inflation and pricing pressures can erode margins, requiring strategic adjustments to maintain profitability and market competitiveness.

Kraft Heinz (KHC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Kraft Heinz Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionThe Kraft Heinz Company, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and markets food and beverage products in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, and internationally. Its products include condiments and sauces, cheese and dairy products, meals, meats, refreshment beverages, coffee, and other grocery products. The company also offers dressings, healthy snacks, and other categories; and spices and other seasonings. It sells its products through its own sales organizations, as well as through independent brokers, agents, and distributors to chain, wholesale, cooperative and independent grocery accounts, convenience stores, drug stores, value stores, bakeries, pharmacies, mass merchants, club stores, and foodservice distributors and institutions, including hotels, restaurants, hospitals, health care facilities, and government agencies; and online through various e-commerce platforms and retailers. The company was formerly known as H.J. Heinz Holding Corporation and changed its name to The Kraft Heinz Company in July 2015. The Kraft Heinz Company was founded in 1869 and is headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.
How the Company Makes MoneyKraft Heinz generates revenue primarily through the sale of its diverse portfolio of food and beverage products. The company's key revenue streams include retail sales through grocery stores, convenience stores, and online platforms, as well as foodservice sales to restaurants, hotels, and institutions. Kraft Heinz benefits from strong brand recognition, allowing it to command premium pricing on many of its products. Additionally, the company engages in strategic partnerships and collaborations to enhance product offerings and expand its market reach. Significant factors contributing to its earnings include innovative product development, effective marketing strategies, and operational efficiencies that reduce costs.

Kraft Heinz Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Net Revenue by Geography
Net Revenue by Geography
Illustrates revenue distribution across regions, indicating market dominance, exposure to regional risks, and opportunities for expansion.
Chart InsightsKraft Heinz's North American revenue shows stability, but the U.S. segment remains absent from recent data, indicating potential reporting changes. International markets, especially emerging ones, are gaining momentum, as noted in the earnings call. The company is focusing on brand growth and product renovations to combat inflation and tariff impacts. Despite market pressures, strategic investments in marketing and emerging markets are expected to drive future growth, although operating income may face short-term declines due to increased costs and promotional activities.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Kraft Heinz Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Sep 27, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
Next Earnings Date:Feb 18, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Negative
The earnings call outlined some positive developments in Emerging Markets and successful campaigns, but these were overshadowed by significant challenges in consumer sentiment, U.S. consumption, and specific market issues like Indonesia. Inflation and slower-than-expected recovery in key segments also contributed to a cautious outlook.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Emerging Markets Growth
Outside of Indonesia, Emerging Markets grew by 9.2%. The Heinz brand in these markets is growing at 13% year-to-date, showing strong performance in regions like Brazil and a recovery in Mexico.
Back-to-School Campaign Success
The back-to-school campaign yielded positive results with cross-shopping purchase improving by 60 basis points and increased base velocity for brands like Lunchables and Capri Sun.
North American Grocery Improvement
North American Grocery Company showed significant improvement in trends in Q3 compared to the first half of the year, with a focus on stable cash flows heading into 2026.
Negative Updates
Weaker Consumer Sentiment
There is a worsening consumer sentiment globally, with significant declines in regions such as Indonesia, impacting sales and leading to a revision in 2025 profit expectations.
U.S. Consumption and Inventory Challenges
Lower consumption expectations in the U.S. and inventory adjustments by customers are anticipated to impact Q4 performance, with a significant inventory headwind of over 100 basis points.
Challenges in Indonesia
Indonesia, accounting for about $300 million in revenue, faces a significant decline in consumer sentiment by nearly 10 points year-over-year, affecting overall Emerging Markets performance.
Taste Elevation Recovery Slower Than Expected
Although 70% of Taste Elevation revenue is gaining market share, the recovery is slower than anticipated, affecting overall performance.
Inflation and Pricing Challenges
Incremental inflation in Meat and Coffee, coupled with competitive pricing dynamics, resulted in not fully pricing certain cost elements, impacting profitability.
Company Guidance
During the Kraft Heinz Company’s third quarter 2025 earnings call, the company updated its 2025 outlook, reflecting a modest year-over-year recovery in top-line performance. However, the operating environment remains challenging due to worsening consumer sentiment and ongoing inflation affecting buying behavior globally. Despite these challenges, Kraft Heinz is on track to separate into two independently traded companies in the second half of 2026. The company is not attributing its profit revision to increased investment spending but rather to lower consumption expectations in the U.S., a slower recovery in the Taste Elevation division, incremental inflation in meat and coffee, and certain supply chain disruptions in Q3. The company plans to increase promotional investments by around $300 million in the U.S., with $80 million in incremental marketing spending in media, and additional R&D investments. While the North American Grocery Company is expected to improve in trends, the Global Taste Elevation Co. is projected to transition back to growth in 2026.

Kraft Heinz Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Kraft Heinz faces significant profitability challenges with negative EBIT and EBITDA margins and a net profit margin of -20.83% TTM. Revenue growth is inconsistent, and the balance sheet shows a slight decline in equity ratios. However, strong cash flow metrics indicate good liquidity, providing some resilience.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The company shows a negative trend in profitability with a significant decline in the TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) EBIT and EBITDA margins due to negative EBIT and EBITDA. The gross profit margin for TTM stands at 34.29%, slightly below the previous year. Revenue growth has been inconsistent, with a recent decline of 2.07% from the previous year. Net profit margin has turned negative at -20.83% TTM, a stark contrast to previous positive margins, indicating profitability challenges.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet demonstrates a moderate level of financial stability. The debt-to-equity ratio is 0.47, suggesting a balanced leverage position. However, the equity ratio slightly declined to 50.70% TTM from 55.71% in the previous year. Return on equity has turned negative in the TTM period due to negative net income, which is a concern. Overall, the company maintains a substantial equity base, providing some financial resilience.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a strong operating cash flow to net income ratio TTM, indicating efficient cash generation despite negative net income. Free cash flow growth from the previous year is 10.57%, showing healthy cash retention. The free cash flow to net income ratio is positive, highlighting that the company is generating cash beyond its accounting profits, which is a positive indicator of liquidity.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2019Dec 2018
Income Statement
Total Revenue18.59B25.85B26.64B26.48B24.98B26.26B
Gross Profit6.22B8.97B8.93B8.12B8.15B8.95B
EBITDA-4.89B2.72B5.51B4.82B5.02B-9.06B
Net Income-6.50B2.74B2.85B2.36B1.94B-10.29B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets81.69B88.29B90.34B90.51B101.45B103.63B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.13B1.33B1.40B1.04B2.28B1.13B
Total Debt21.19B19.87B20.03B20.07B29.24B31.29B
Total Liabilities40.12B38.96B40.62B41.64B49.70B51.72B
Stockholders Equity41.45B49.19B49.53B48.68B51.62B51.78B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.49B3.16B2.96B1.55B2.78B1.75B
Operating Cash Flow3.09B4.18B3.98B2.47B3.55B2.57B
Investing Cash Flow-1.61B-1.02B-916.00M-1.09B1.51B288.00M
Financing Cash Flow-763.00M-3.01B-2.68B-3.71B-3.91B-3.36B

Kraft Heinz Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price24.73
Price Trends
50DMA
26.02
Negative
100DMA
26.37
Negative
200DMA
27.28
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.31
Positive
RSI
39.96
Neutral
STOCH
24.97
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KHC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 24.73 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 25.24, below the 50-day MA of 26.02, and below the 200-day MA of 27.28, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.31 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.96 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 24.97 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for KHC.

Kraft Heinz Risk Analysis

Kraft Heinz disclosed 34 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Kraft Heinz reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Kraft Heinz Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$24.86B8.8230.98%5.19%-3.26%25.58%
$8.97B15.0115.64%5.18%6.40%6.17%
$8.22B9.699.65%8.14%-4.11%72.17%
$11.87B15.749.46%5.37%0.65%-3.76%
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
$29.27B-9.73%6.56%-3.70%-431.05%
$11.05B-21.32%4.25%2.54%-293.39%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
KHC
Kraft Heinz
24.73
-6.86
-21.72%
CPB
Campbell Soup
30.13
-14.26
-32.12%
CAG
Conagra Brands
17.19
-9.72
-36.12%
GIS
General Mills
46.61
-18.50
-28.41%
HRL
Hormel Foods
21.59
-7.91
-26.81%
SJM
JM Smucker
103.55
-5.72
-5.23%

Kraft Heinz Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Kraft Heinz Appoints New Board Members for Strategic Growth
Positive
Oct 22, 2025

On October 22, 2025, Kraft Heinz announced the appointment of L. Kevin Cox, Mary Lou Kelley, and Tony Palmer to its Board of Directors. These new members bring significant expertise in consumer-focused industries and organizational transformation, which is crucial as the company prepares to separate into two industry-leading companies. The appointments are expected to enhance the company’s strategic initiatives and drive performance within its existing business.

The most recent analyst rating on (KHC) stock is a Hold with a $27.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kraft Heinz stock, see the KHC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Kraft Heinz Announces Spin-Off into Two Companies
Positive
Sep 2, 2025

On September 2, 2025, Kraft Heinz announced its plan to separate into two independent, publicly traded companies through a tax-free spin-off, aiming to enhance strategic focus and operational efficiency. The separation will create ‘Global Taste Elevation Co.’ and ‘North American Grocery Co.’, each with distinct brand portfolios and leadership, designed to unlock shareholder value and drive industry-leading growth, with the transaction expected to close in the second half of 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (KHC) stock is a Hold with a $29.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kraft Heinz stock, see the KHC Stock Forecast page.

Kraft Heinz Reports Q2 2025 Results Amid Challenges
Jul 31, 2025

The Kraft Heinz Company, a global leader in the food and beverage industry, is known for its iconic brands and commitment to delivering high-quality products to consumers worldwide. The company operates across various markets, focusing on innovation and sustainability.

Kraft Heinz Co Earnings Call: Balancing Growth and Challenges
Jul 31, 2025

Kraft Heinz Co’s recent earnings call painted a balanced picture of the company’s current standing. While there were encouraging developments such as improvements in top-line growth and strategic investments in marketing and emerging markets, the call also highlighted significant challenges. These included a substantial impairment charge, ongoing struggles in the North America retail sector, and persistent inflationary pressures.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 29, 2025