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Kyndryl Holdings Incorporation (KD)
NYSE:KD
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Kyndryl Holdings Incorporation (KD) AI Stock Analysis

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KD

Kyndryl Holdings Incorporation

(NYSE:KD)

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Neutral 58 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
$16.00
▲(22.89% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:10/23/26
The score is held back primarily by constrained financial quality—thin margins, ongoing revenue pressure, and high leverage—despite improved profitability and positive (but volatile) cash flow. Technicals are supportive with strong trend/momentum, and valuation looks relatively inexpensive (low P/E). Earnings-call guidance supports a multi-year improvement narrative, but near-term results and free-cash-flow outflow underline execution and timing risks.
Positive Factors
Improving Deal Quality
Strong signings and a higher share of expansions and new logos improve the quality of Kyndryl’s backlog. This supports future revenue visibility, increases opportunities for recurring managed services, and suggests customer relationships are broadening beyond contract renewals.
Negative Factors
Persistent Revenue Pressure
Revenue pressure appears structural rather than limited to one quarter, reflecting an evolving IBM relationship, direct vendor procurement, and slower customer decisions. Flat-to-declining sales constrain scale benefits and make the profitability plan more dependent on cost actions.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Improving Deal Quality
Strong signings and a higher share of expansions and new logos improve the quality of Kyndryl’s backlog. This supports future revenue visibility, increases opportunities for recurring managed services, and suggests customer relationships are broadening beyond contract renewals.
Read all positive factors

Kyndryl Holdings Incorporation Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down Kyndryl’s sales across regions to highlight market concentration and where growth is coming from. Tracking regional trends helps investors spot expanding markets for infrastructure services and identify areas vulnerable to regulatory changes or economic headwinds.
Chart InsightsKyndryl’s geographic picture shows the pain point: Principal Markets and Japan have been eroding over multiple quarters while Strategic Markets have flattened and ticked up—consistent with management saying growth is coming from Kyndryl Consult and hyperscaler/alliance revenue. In short, legacy/IBM‑linked demand and elongated sales cycles are dragging headline revenue, but higher‑margin consult and hyperscaler signings are driving margin and cash improvement; watch future large consult signings and hyperscaler momentum as the trigger for sustainable recovery later in the year.
Data provided by:The Fly

Kyndryl Holdings Incorporation (KD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Kyndryl Holdings Incorporation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Kyndryl Holdings, Inc. functions as a global technology and IT infrastructure services specialist. The firm delivers a comprehensive portfolio of IT solutions, encompassing cloud computing, foundational enterprise platforms, application developmen...
How the Company Makes Money
Kyndryl makes money primarily by selling managed infrastructure services and related professional services to large organizations under contractual arrangements. A significant portion of revenue comes from long-term or recurring engagements to ope...

Kyndryl Holdings Incorporation Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 05, 2026
(Q1-2027)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call presented a mixed but pragmatic picture: meaningful progress in higher‑value areas (Kyndryl Consult, hyperscalers, signings quality, Agentic AI and productivity initiatives) and a strong balance sheet underpin long‑term confidence. However, near‑term financials were pressured by a 3% revenue decline, a Q1 adjusted pretax loss driven by sizeable workforce rebalancing charges, and a Q1 free cash flow outflow. Management reiterated fiscal 2027 guidance that assumes continued headwinds from the evolving IBM relationship and included restructuring charges while emphasizing multi‑year targets for significant profitability and free cash flow improvement in fiscal 2028.
Positive Updates
Signings Momentum and Large Deal Activity
12‑month signings of $14.2 billion with $3.9 billion signed in Q1; 40 deals > $50 million signed in the last 12 months (10 in Q1). Approximately 30% of the value of those large deals came from scope expansions or new logos vs. 15% in fiscal 2025, indicating improving deal quality and mix.
Negative Updates
Quarterly Revenue Decline
Q1 revenue of $3.6 billion, down 3% year‑over‑year on both reported and constant currency basis. Company expects fiscal 2027 revenue to be flat to down 2% in constant currency, with improvements quarter‑by‑quarter.
Read all updates
Q1-2027 Updates
Negative
Signings Momentum and Large Deal Activity
12‑month signings of $14.2 billion with $3.9 billion signed in Q1; 40 deals > $50 million signed in the last 12 months (10 in Q1). Approximately 30% of the value of those large deals came from scope expansions or new logos vs. 15% in fiscal 2025, indicating improving deal quality and mix.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Kyndryl reported Q1 revenue of $3.6 billion (‑3% y/y), adjusted EBITDA $512 million, an adjusted pretax loss of $37 million (including $152 million of workforce rebalancing charges that reduced adjusted pretax margin by over 4 points), 12‑month signings of $14.2 billion (with $3.9 billion signed in Q1), Q1 free cash flow outflow of $401 million, hyperscaler‑related revenue >$530 million in the quarter ($2.0 billion over 12 months), cash of $2.1 billion and net leverage of 0.8x; for fiscal 2027 management guides revenue flat to down 2% (constant currency), adjusted pretax income $600–700 million (which assumes roughly $200 million of rebalancing charges and about $200 million of offsetting savings), full‑year free cash flow $400–500 million, Q2 pretax income roughly in line with last year’s $123 million, with workforce actions expected to annualize into $400–500 million of savings in fiscal 2028 and support fiscal 2028 targets of >$1.2 billion adjusted pretax income and $1.0 billion free cash flow on low single‑digit constant‑currency revenue growth.

Kyndryl Holdings Incorporation Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement and cash flow show a turnaround to modest profitability and positive (but uneven) free cash flow, helped by improved gross margin. However, revenue remains under pressure with sharply negative TTM growth, margins are thin, and the balance sheet is a major constraint due to high leverage (debt-to-equity ~3–4x+), reducing resilience if execution slips.
Income Statement
56
Neutral
Balance Sheet
38
Negative
Cash Flow
54
Neutral
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue26.44B15.09B15.06B16.05B17.03B18.66B
Gross Profit5.78B3.29B3.14B2.86B2.53B2.11B
EBITDA2.37B3.28B1.55B1.14B617.00M-175.00M
Net Income340.00M198.00M252.00M-340.00M-1.37B-2.30B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets12.03B12.55B10.45B10.59B11.46B13.21B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.10B2.62B1.79B1.55B1.85B2.22B
Total Debt4.93B4.96B3.96B4.14B4.24B4.60B
Total Liabilities10.86B11.26B9.12B9.47B10.00B10.45B
Stockholders Equity1.07B1.18B1.22B1.01B1.36B2.77B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow148.00M340.00M337.00M-197.00M-197.00M-871.00M
Operating Cash Flow762.00M948.00M942.00M454.00M454.00M-119.00M
Investing Cash Flow-536.00M-561.00M-404.00M-553.00M-553.00M-572.00M
Financing Cash Flow475.00M457.00M-286.00M-170.00M-170.00M2.92B

Kyndryl Holdings Incorporation Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price13.02
Price Trends
50DMA
12.67
Positive
100DMA
12.47
Positive
200DMA
13.78
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.63
Negative
RSI
67.55
Neutral
STOCH
90.33
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 13.02 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 12.64, above the 50-day MA of 12.67, and below the 200-day MA of 13.78, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.63 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 67.55 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 90.33 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for KD.

Kyndryl Holdings Incorporation Risk Analysis

Kyndryl Holdings Incorporation disclosed 29 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Kyndryl Holdings Incorporation reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Kyndryl Holdings Incorporation Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$146.12B18.1026.77%2.67%6.47%11.19%
80
Outperform
$49.66B20.6134.59%4.21%-1.35%3.37%
74
Outperform
$31.23B14.8814.94%1.87%5.64%-5.39%
73
Outperform
$239.53B21.3032.95%2.66%6.83%39.80%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
58
Neutral
$3.20B9.8829.15%―-0.62%-70.92%
56
Neutral
$2.60B21.454.06%5.60%-2.42%-65.01%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
KD
Kyndryl Holdings Incorporation
14.68
-14.22
-49.20%
ACN
Accenture
247.23
4.89
2.02%
CTSH
Cognizant
69.34
2.79
4.20%
INFY
Infosys
12.43
-4.30
-25.72%
IBM
International Business Machines
253.44
-51.72
-16.95%
DXC
DXC Technology
16.30
2.87
21.37%

Kyndryl Holdings Incorporation Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Kyndryl Issues New Senior Notes to Refinance Debt
Neutral
Sep 28, 2026
On September 24, 2026, Kyndryl Holdings, Inc. entered into an underwriting agreement with a syndicate led by J.P. Morgan, Citigroup and Morgan Stanley to issue $1.0 billion of senior unsecured notes, split between $600 million of 7.800% notes due ...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Kyndryl Shareholders Approve Governance and Compensation Measures
Positive
Jul 31, 2026
On July 30, 2026, Kyndryl Holdings, Inc. stockholders approved several key governance and compensation measures at the company’s annual meeting. Investors backed the election of six directors with roughly 90% support, endorsed on an advisory...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 23, 2026