Want to see GEF.B full AI Analyst Report?
Top Page
Greif Class B
(NYSE:GEF.B)
Select Model
Select Model
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$119.00
▲(23.51% Upside)
Action:Downgraded
Date:08/27/26
The score is driven primarily by mixed financial performance—especially negative TTM free cash flow and weaker revenue—partly offset by a much stronger balance sheet. Valuation is a major positive with a very low P/E and a ~3.17% dividend yield. Technicals are moderately supportive, and the latest earnings call was net positive with improved guidance and strong profitability/cash-flow targets, though management highlighted ongoing demand and working-capital headwinds.
Positive Factors
Structural Cost Optimization
The delivered savings run rate and larger future target indicate a repeatable efficiency program. Sustained cost reduction can support margins and earnings resilience even when industrial demand or input prices remain uneven.
Negative Factors
Weak Cash Conversion
Negative trailing free cash flow and the gap between earnings and cash generation constrain financial flexibility. Persistent working-capital needs or other cash headwinds could limit reinvestment, debt reduction, and the durability of shareholder returns.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Structural Cost Optimization
The delivered savings run rate and larger future target indicate a repeatable efficiency program. Sustained cost reduction can support margins and earnings resilience even when industrial demand or input prices remain uneven.
Read all positive factors
Greif Class B (GEF.B) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$4.44B
Dividend Yield3.18%
Average Volume (3M)11.28K
Price to Earnings (P/E)4.8
Beta (1Y)0.75
Revenue Growth-24.38%
EPS Growth43.47%
CountryUS
Employees12,000
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength84
IndustryPackaging & Containers
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)18.70
Shares Outstanding21,359,678
10 Day Avg. Volume7,602
30 Day Avg. Volume11,276
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.02
Price to Book (P/B)0.97
Price to Sales (P/S)0.66
P/FCF Ratio-33.25
Enterprise Value/Market Cap<0.01
Enterprise Value/Revenue<0.01
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit<0.01
Enterprise Value/Ebitda<0.01
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)4.15
Revenue Forecast (FY)$4.31B
Greif Class B Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Greif, Inc. is a global enterprise specializing in the manufacturing and distribution of industrial packaging solutions and associated services. Its operations are divided into three principal divisions: Global Industrial Packaging, Paper Packagin...
How the Company Makes Money
Greif primarily makes money by selling industrial packaging products and related services to businesses. Its key revenue streams include: (1) sale of new rigid industrial packaging—such as steel drums, plastic drums, and IBCs—where revenue is gene...
Greif Class B Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Jul 28, 2026
(Q3-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Dec 09, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call skewed positive: strong operational execution drove meaningful profitability and cash generation improvements (adjusted EBITDA +25%, margins +260 bps, adjusted EPS +90%), balance sheet strength (leverage ~1.1x), and expanded shareholder returns (dividend +10.7%, additional $150M repurchase). Headwinds remain from Middle East-related demand disruption, elevated inventory/working capital, and some segment-specific pressures in Fiber and industrial end markets, but management communicated clear mitigation actions, guidance improvement, and continued structural improvements.Positive Updates
Adjusted EBITDA Growth
Adjusted EBITDA improved approximately 25% year-over-year, driven by price/cost actions and structural cost optimization.
Negative Updates
Middle East-Related Demand Disruption
Ongoing conflict in the Middle East continued to negatively impact demand in the quarter; management estimates approximately $20 million of Middle East-related impacts on results.
Read all updates
Q3-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Adjusted EBITDA Growth
Adjusted EBITDA improved approximately 25% year-over-year, driven by price/cost actions and structural cost optimization.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Greif updated guidance to an adjusted EBITDA range of $615M–$635M (up from a prior low‑end of $610M), implying roughly 10%–13% Y/Y EBITDA growth while assuming about $20M of Middle East‑related impact; full‑year adjusted free cash flow is now guided to $305M–$325M with an expected adjusted FCF conversion of ~50% (Q3 adjusted FCF was $58M). Management cited higher working capital and restructuring costs (partially offset by better cash taxes) as the primary assumption changes, expects inventory levels and dollar costs to normalize in Q4 though some Q3 index‑driven costs will persist through year‑end, and reiterated a target of $120M annualized cost optimization by the end of next fiscal year (after achieving a $90M run‑rate milestone early). They also said leverage will remain below 2.0 (with <1.5x realistic near term and current leverage ~1.1x), completed a $150M share repurchase earlier this year and asked for board approval of an additional $150M, and increased the dividend by 10.7%.Greif Class B Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
62
Positive
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
Cash Flow
39
Negative
| Breakdown | TTM | Sep 2025 | Oct 2024 | Oct 2023 | Oct 2022 | Oct 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 4.51B | 4.29B | 4.33B | 5.22B | 6.35B | 5.56B |
| Gross Profit | 1.03B | 950.73M | 892.15M | 1.15B | 1.29B | 1.09B |
| EBITDA | 651.60M | 440.29M | 534.44M | 834.10M | 803.50M | 805.70M |
| Net Income | 1.05B | 840.00M | 265.96M | 359.20M | 376.70M | 390.70M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 5.70B | 5.77B | 6.65B | 5.96B | 5.47B | 5.82B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 288.50M | 256.70M | 197.70M | 180.90M | 147.10M | 124.60M |
| Total Debt | 1.23B | 1.57B | 3.07B | 2.54B | 2.18B | 2.52B |
| Total Liabilities | 2.57B | 2.72B | 4.40B | 3.85B | 3.66B | 4.22B |
| Stockholders Equity | 3.00B | 2.91B | 2.08B | 1.95B | 1.76B | 1.51B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | -74.10M | -85.20M | 169.50M | 435.90M | 474.50M | 248.70M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 120.20M | 58.60M | 356.00M | 649.50M | 657.50M | 396.00M |
| Investing Cash Flow | 2.01B | 1.64B | -658.30M | -670.20M | -28.20M | 46.80M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -2.12B | -1.69B | 324.30M | 69.70M | -531.00M | -422.90M |
Greif Class B Technical Analysis
Positive
96.35
Price Trends
99.75
Positive
91.10
Positive
84.47
Positive
Market Momentum
2.55
Positive
55.58
Neutral
6.37
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GEF.B, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 96.35 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 110.14, below the 50-day MA of 99.75, and above the 200-day MA of 84.47, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 2.55 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 55.58 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 6.37 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GEF.B.
Greif Class B Risk Analysis
Greif Class B disclosed 24 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Greif Class B reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Greif Class B Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
71 Outperform | $4.44B | 4.80 | 33.43% | 2.93% | -24.38% | 43.47% | |
71 Outperform | $5.69B | 8.75 | 18.34% | 3.66% | 12.01% | ― | |
69 Neutral | $4.44B | 4.80 | 33.43% | 3.43% | -24.38% | 43.47% | |
62 Neutral | $3.13B | 99.81 | -6.61% | 8.37% | 14.53% | ― | |
61 Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% | |
60 Neutral | $1.25B | 23.95 | 17.77% | 1.72% | -8.73% | 268.62% |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
GEF.B
Greif Class B
108.04
40.86
60.82%
GEF
Greif Class A
84.51
19.78
30.55%
MYE
Myers Industries
33.29
16.94
103.63%
SON
Sonoco Products
56.71
11.91
26.57%
AMBP
Ardagh Metal Packaging
5.17
1.80
53.37%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.