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Greif Class B (GEF.B) AI Stock Analysis
Greif Class B
(NYSE:GEF.B)
The score is driven primarily by mixed financial performance—especially negative TTM free cash flow and weaker revenue—partly offset by a much stronger balance sheet. Valuation is a major positive with a very low P/E and a ~3.17% dividend yield. Technicals are moderately supportive, and the latest earnings call was net positive with improved guidance and strong profitability/cash-flow targets, though management highlighted ongoing demand and working-capital headwinds.
Greif Class B (GEF.B) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
- Market Cap
- $3.79B
- Dividend Yield
- 3.07%
- Average Volume (3M)
- 89.56K
- Price to Earnings (P/E)
- 4.7
- Beta (1Y)
- 0.71
- Revenue Growth
- -24.38%
- EPS Growth
- 43.47%
- Country
- US
- Employees
- 12,000
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical
- Sector Strength
- 61
- Industry
- Packaging & Containers
Greif Class B Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Greif, Inc. is a global enterprise specializing in the manufacturing and distribution of industrial packaging solutions and associated services. Its operations are divided into three principal divisions: Global Industrial Packaging, Paper Packaging &...
How the Company Makes Money
Greif primarily makes money by selling industrial packaging products and related services to businesses. Its key revenue streams include: (1) sale of new rigid industrial packaging—such as steel drums, plastic drums, and IBCs—where revenue is generat...
Greif Class B Earnings Call Summary
The call skewed positive: strong operational execution drove meaningful profitability and cash generation improvements (adjusted EBITDA +25%, margins +260 bps, adjusted EPS +90%), balance sheet strength (leverage ~1.1x), and expanded shareholder returns (dividend +10.7%, additional $150M repurchase). Headwinds remain from Middle East-related demand disruption, elevated inventory/working capital, and some segment-specific pressures in Fiber and industrial end markets, but management communicated clear mitigation actions, guidance improvement, and continued structural improvements.
Q3-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Negative Updates
Company Guidance
Greif updated guidance to an adjusted EBITDA range of $615M–$635M (up from a prior low‑end of $610M), implying roughly 10%–13% Y/Y EBITDA growth while assuming about $20M of Middle East‑related impact; full‑year adjusted free cash flow is now guided to $305M–$325M with an expected adjusted FCF conversion of ~50% (Q3 adjusted FCF was $58M). Management cited higher working capital and restructuring costs (partially offset by better cash taxes) as the primary assumption changes, expects inventory levels and dollar costs to normalize in Q4 though some Q3 index‑driven costs will persist through year‑end, and reiterated a target of $120M annualized cost optimization by the end of next fiscal year (after achieving a $90M run‑rate milestone early). They also said leverage will remain below 2.0 (with <1.5x realistic near term and current leverage ~1.1x), completed a $150M share repurchase earlier this year and asked for board approval of an additional $150M, and increased the dividend by 10.7%.
Greif Class B Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Mixed fundamentals. Revenue is down TTM (-4.6%) and profitability appears volatile versus recent years. The balance sheet is a clear positive with materially improved leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.41), but cash generation is the main weakness: operating cash flow is modest (~$120M) and free cash flow is negative in TTM, indicating weak cash conversion despite strong reported earnings.
Income Statement
62PositiveBalance Sheet
74PositiveCash Flow
39Negative| Breakdown | TTM | Sep 2025 | Oct 2024 | Oct 2023 | Oct 2022 | Oct 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 4.51B | 4.29B | 4.33B | 5.22B | 6.35B | 5.56B |
| Gross Profit | 1.03B | 950.73M | 892.15M | 1.15B | 1.29B | 1.09B |
| EBITDA | 651.60M | 440.29M | 569.26M | 834.10M | 803.50M | 805.70M |
| Net Income | 1.05B | 840.00M | 265.96M | 359.20M | 376.70M | 390.70M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 5.70B | 5.77B | 6.65B | 5.96B | 5.47B | 5.82B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 288.50M | 256.70M | 197.70M | 180.90M | 147.10M | 124.60M |
| Total Debt | 1.23B | 1.57B | 3.07B | 2.54B | 2.18B | 2.52B |
| Total Liabilities | 2.57B | 2.72B | 4.40B | 3.85B | 3.66B | 4.22B |
| Stockholders Equity | 3.00B | 2.91B | 2.08B | 1.95B | 1.76B | 1.51B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | -71.30M | -85.20M | 169.50M | 435.90M | 474.50M | 248.70M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 123.00M | 58.60M | 356.00M | 649.50M | 657.50M | 396.00M |
| Investing Cash Flow | 2.01B | 1.64B | -658.30M | -670.20M | -28.20M | 46.80M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -2.12B | -1.69B | 324.30M | 69.70M | -531.00M | -422.90M |
Greif Class B Technical Analysis
Price Trends
Market Momentum
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GEF.B, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 115.11 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 111.25, above the 50-day MA of 108.74, and above the 200-day MA of 92.50, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.23 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.42 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 74.94 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GEF.B.
Greif Class B Risk Analysis
Greif Class B disclosed 24 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Greif Class B reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Latest Risks Added
0 New RisksGreif Class B Peers Comparison
Overall Rating
PKG69Neutral
SLGN69Neutral- GEF.B69Neutral
GPK54Neutral
SW54Neutral
SON45Neutral
Financial Indicators
| Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PKG | 69Neutral | $22.88B | 31.51 | 15.62% | 2.14% | 11.98% | -17.91% |
| SLGN | 69Neutral | $4.28B | 16.33 | 11.09% | 2.05% | 4.48% | -16.03% |
| GEF.B | 69Neutral | $4.49B | 4.66 | 33.40% | 3.07% | -24.38% | 43.47% |
| Sector * | 61Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% |
| GPK | 54Neutral | $2.65B | 13.56 | 5.92% | 4.92% | 0.02% | -63.11% |
| SW | 54Neutral | $22.53B | 47.88 | 2.56% | 4.15% | 1.11% | -37.09% |
| SON | 45Neutral | $4.94B | -23.68 | -6.12% | 4.28% | 3.56% | -11673.60% |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
| Show on chart | Ticker | Company Name | Price | Change | % Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GEF.B | Greif Class B | 115.11 | 58.58 | 103.63% | |
| GPK | Graphic Packaging Holding | 8.95 | -6.09 | -40.50% | |
| PKG | Packaging Corporation Of America | 256.82 | 66.06 | 34.63% | |
| SLGN | Silgan | 40.51 | 2.46 | 6.46% | |
| SON | Sonoco Products Company | 49.96 | 11.72 | 30.66% | |
| SW | Smurfit Westrock PLC | 43.09 | 8.01 | 22.84% |
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.
Date of analysis: Aug 27, 2026