TipRanks
4D Molecular Therapeutics (FDMT)
NASDAQ:FDMT
US Market
Want to see FDMT full AI Analyst Report?

4D Molecular Therapeutics (FDMT) AI Stock Analysis

532 Followers

Top Page

FDMT

4D Molecular Therapeutics

(NASDAQ:FDMT)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 50 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:
$11.00
▼(-26.22% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:10/24/26
The score is primarily held back by weak financial performance—large ongoing losses and heavy cash burn—despite a low-leverage balance sheet and improving revenue. Technical indicators also point to continued negative momentum. Valuation is difficult to assess due to negative earnings, while the recent Phase 3 start and supportive clinical data provide a meaningful (but risk-dependent) positive offset.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The sharp increase in revenue indicates meaningful commercial or partnership-related progress from a low base. If sustained, a larger revenue stream can improve operating leverage, support development investment, and strengthen the company’s ability to advance its gene-therapy pipeline.
Negative Factors
Persistent Losses
FDMT remains far from breakeven despite improved revenue, so future operating performance still depends on successful clinical and commercial execution. Large recurring losses can erode the capital base, limit financial flexibility, and make eventual profitability dependent on substantial pipeline progress.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue Growth
The sharp increase in revenue indicates meaningful commercial or partnership-related progress from a low base. If sustained, a larger revenue stream can improve operating leverage, support development investment, and strengthen the company’s ability to advance its gene-therapy pipeline.
Read all positive factors

4D Molecular Therapeutics (FDMT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

4D Molecular Therapeutics Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
4D Molecular Therapeutics, Inc. is a clinical-stage gene therapy company that engineers therapeutic agents by leveraging its proprietary adeno-associated virus (AAV) vector technology. The company's developmental efforts are concentrated across a ...

4D Molecular Therapeutics Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Revenue has stepped up sharply (TTM $92.0M), but the company remains far from profitable with a large TTM net loss (-$179.2M), deeply negative net margin (~-195%), and materially negative EBIT/EBITDA. Cash flow is a key weakness (TTM operating cash flow -$156.1M; free cash flow -$156.7M), increasing funding needs. The balance sheet is a relative strength with low debt ($19.6M; debt-to-equity ~0.05), though equity has declined, reflecting ongoing burn.
Income Statement
32
Negative
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Cash Flow
40
Negative
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue92.01M85.21M37.00K20.72M3.13M18.04M
Gross Profit38.65M77.58M-141.26M-76.37M-77.12M-43.32M
EBITDA-183.96M-132.48M-154.16M-95.09M-103.61M-68.30M
Net Income-179.18M-140.11M-160.87M-100.84M-107.49M-71.32M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets492.62M566.71M560.38M339.89M261.85M353.49M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments361.33M402.65M424.88M288.23M213.55M247.78M
Total Debt39.22M21.41M24.61M14.67M16.12M16.45M
Total Liabilities84.96M61.05M49.78M32.06M30.51M34.38M
Stockholders Equity407.66M505.66M510.61M307.83M231.34M319.11M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-156.67M-109.08M-138.37M-78.56M-98.22M-78.24M
Operating Cash Flow-156.07M-109.08M-134.59M-75.79M-86.69M-69.13M
Investing Cash Flow-16.64M-92.97M-302.44M115.72M-17.05M-172.68M
Financing Cash Flow165.92M112.96M337.25M156.83M3.08M118.09M

4D Molecular Therapeutics Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price14.91
Price Trends
50DMA
13.99
Negative
100DMA
12.40
Negative
200DMA
10.76
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.57
Positive
RSI
33.15
Neutral
STOCH
15.95
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FDMT, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 14.91 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 12.91, above the 50-day MA of 13.99, and above the 200-day MA of 10.76, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.57 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 33.15 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 15.95 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for FDMT.

4D Molecular Therapeutics Risk Analysis

4D Molecular Therapeutics disclosed 87 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. 4D Molecular Therapeutics reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

4D Molecular Therapeutics Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
54
Neutral
$653.34M-3.54-73.18%――9.05%
52
Neutral
$640.84M-8.68-34.03%――-5.51%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
50
Neutral
$596.64M-3.97-41.33%―278712.12%26.59%
50
Neutral
$403.95M36.07-0.02%―125.12%98.69%
48
Neutral
$241.32M-3.59-27.15%――45.56%
45
Neutral
$176.41M-1.20-114.26%―-62.08%-2.62%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FDMT
4D Molecular Therapeutics
10.80
-1.47
-11.98%
ASMB
Assembly Biosciences
19.84
-9.96
-33.42%
KRRO
Korro Bio
11.98
-27.60
-69.73%
DSGN
Design Therapeutics
10.24
3.27
46.92%
IMRX
Immuneering
3.73
-2.57
-40.79%
AURA
Aura Biosciences Inc
6.30
0.20
3.28%

4D Molecular Therapeutics Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
4D Molecular Therapeutics Begins Phase 3 4D-150 DME Trial
Positive
Sep 28, 2026
On September 28, 2026, 4D Molecular Therapeutics reported that it has enrolled the first patients across multiple global sites in 4SIGHT, a Phase 3 randomized, double-masked trial of intravitreal gene therapy 4D-150 versus aflibercept in treatment...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 24, 2026