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Duke Energy (DUK) AI Stock Analysis
Duke Energy
(NYSE:DUK)
DUK scores well primarily on constructive guidance and a positive earnings-call outlook, supported by strong technical trend signals. The score is held back by elevated leverage typical for utilities and a historically volatile free-cash-flow profile tied to heavy investment cycles, while valuation appears fair with a supportive dividend.
Duke Energy Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Electric Utilities by SegmentDetails revenue and performance across various electric utility segments, indicating operational strengths, customer base diversity, and market position.
Residential demand is the steady, seasonal anchor while Industrial volumes remain flat-to-soft, shifting the growth burden to commercial/large‑load channels; General Service and Wholesale show modest upticks that align with management’s data‑center wins. Duke’s $103B capital plan and ~4.5GW of signed ESAs point to outsized future load-driven growth in those segments and an earnings inflection by 2028, but execution, timing, regulatory scrutiny and planned equity issuance are key risks to that upside.
The FlyDuke Energy (DUK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
- Market Cap
- $101.04B
- Dividend Yield
- 3.30%
- Average Volume (3M)
- 4.08M
- Price to Earnings (P/E)
- 19.5
- Beta (1Y)
- -0.17
- Revenue Growth
- 6.33%
- EPS Growth
- 8.98%
- Country
- US
- Employees
- 26,441
- Sector
- Utilities
- Sector Strength
- 66
- Industry
- Regulated Electric
Duke Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Duke Energy Corporation, an energy provider operating across the United States with its various affiliates, structures its operations into three primary divisions: Electric Utilities and Infrastructure, Gas Utilities and Infrastructure, and Commercia...
How the Company Makes Money
Duke Energy primarily makes money through regulated utility operations, where most revenues are earned by providing essential electricity and natural gas service under state utility commission regulation. 1) Regulated electric utility revenues (prima...
Duke Energy Earnings Call Summary
The call was strongly positive. Duke reported year-over-year EPS growth, narrowed 2026 guidance toward the top end, reaffirmed 5% to 7% long-term EPS growth, and highlighted substantial load growth, capital investment, regulatory progress and project development. The company also cited several offsets and execution challenges, including higher depreciation and interest expense, a required Florida tariff refiling, a denied Smith CPCN and slower complex contract negotiations, but management expressed confidence in addressing these items and maintaining its growth plan.
Q3-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Negative Updates
Company Guidance
Duke Energy narrowed its 2026 adjusted EPS guidance range to $6.70 to $6.80 and expects to finish the year near the top end, while reaffirming 5% to 7% long-term earnings per share growth through 2030 with confidence to earn in the top half of the range beginning in 2028. The company expects 3% to 4% load growth, plans to add 16 gigawatts of capacity by 2031, and is investing under a $103 billion capital plan with $5 billion to $10 billion of upside capital for large load customers. Duke remains confident in converting the full 15.4 gigawatt late-stage pipeline to ESAs by the first half of 2027, while 5.2 gigawatts of data centers currently under construction remain on schedule to begin taking energy in the second half of 2027 and into 2028; it also expects to achieve its 14.5% FFO-to-debt target for 2026.
Duke Energy Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Earnings and margins are stable-to-improving (income statement score 78) with revenue growth and utility-like profitability, but this is tempered by meaningful leverage on the balance sheet (score 64) and a volatile free-cash-flow profile driven by heavy capex and inconsistent cash conversion (cash flow score 52). Overall financial quality is solid, with cash flow consistency the key watch item.
Income Statement
78PositiveBalance Sheet
64PositiveCash Flow
52Neutral| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 33.81B | 32.24B | 30.36B | 29.06B | 28.77B | 24.62B |
| Gross Profit | 20.45B | 10.17B | 15.20B | 13.76B | 12.98B | 11.96B |
| EBITDA | 17.50B | 15.67B | 15.00B | 13.87B | 12.36B | 11.86B |
| Net Income | 5.39B | 4.97B | 4.51B | 2.84B | 2.55B | 3.91B |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 203.86B | 195.74B | 186.34B | 176.89B | 178.09B | 169.59B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 451.00M | 245.00M | 314.00M | 253.00M | 409.00M | 341.00M |
| Total Debt | 9.45B | 90.87B | 85.23B | 80.46B | 74.91B | 68.26B |
| Total Liabilities | 146.32B | 142.72B | 135.09B | 126.71B | 126.23B | 118.45B |
| Stockholders Equity | 55.38B | 51.84B | 50.13B | 49.11B | 49.32B | 49.30B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 7.40B | -1.67B | 48.00M | -2.73B | -5.44B | -1.43B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 11.55B | 12.35B | 12.33B | 9.88B | 5.93B | 8.29B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -15.19B | -14.36B | -13.12B | -12.47B | -11.97B | -10.94B |
| Financing Cash Flow | 3.46B | 1.95B | 859.00M | 2.35B | 6.13B | 2.61B |
Duke Energy Technical Analysis
Price Trends
Market Momentum
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DUK, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 129.59 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 122.58, above the 50-day MA of 119.53, and above the 200-day MA of 123.19, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.72 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 69.63 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 85.40 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for DUK.
Duke Energy Risk Analysis
Duke Energy disclosed 1 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Duke Energy reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Latest Risks Added
0 New RisksDuke Energy Peers Comparison
Overall Rating
SO75Outperform
AEP73Outperform- DUK72Outperform
NEE69Neutral
EXC67Neutral
D66Neutral
Financial Indicators
| Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SO | 75Outperform | $107.85B | 22.33 | 12.61% | 3.22% | 6.40% | 6.90% |
| AEP | 73Outperform | $70.71B | 20.91 | 10.49% | 2.94% | 9.75% | -9.77% |
| DUK | 72Outperform | $98.64B | 19.46 | 9.88% | 3.30% | 6.33% | 8.98% |
| NEE | 69Neutral | $176.87B | 15.85 | 20.37% | 2.75% | 13.47% | 76.73% |
| EXC | 67Neutral | $47.09B | 17.99 | 8.95% | 3.59% | 6.67% | -7.99% |
| D | 66Neutral | $58.74B | 23.10 | 9.28% | 3.83% | 23.11% | 2.81% |
| Sector * | 66Neutral | $17.65B | 18.10 | 5.60% | 3.62% | 6.62% | 11.55% |
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
| Show on chart | Ticker | Company Name | Price | Change | % Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DUK | Duke Energy | 129.59 | 10.12 | 8.47% | |
| AEP | American Electric Power Company, Inc. | 129.24 | 11.46 | 9.73% | |
| D | Dominion Energy Inc | 69.75 | 10.69 | 18.10% | |
| EXC | Exelon Corp. | 46.24 | 1.67 | 3.74% | |
| NEE | NextEra Energy Inc. | 88.45 | 6.87 | 8.41% | |
| SO | The Southern Company | 93.12 | 4.60 | 5.20% |
Duke Energy Corporate Events
Duke Energy adds Joyce Mullen to board
PositiveOn Sept. 25, 2026, Duke Energy announced that Joyce Mullen has been appointed to its board of directors, effective Sept. 28, 2026, with service on the Audit Committee and the Operations and Nuclear Oversight Committee. Mullen, who retired as presiden...
Duke Energy Completes Major Equity Units Financing Offering
PositiveOn August 13, 2026, Duke Energy completed the issuance and sale of 40 million equity units, initially in the form of Corporate Units, under an August 10 underwriting agreement with a syndicate led by Barclays, BofA Securities and Mizuho Securities. T...
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.
Date of analysis: Nov 05, 2026