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Cytokinetics (CYTK)
NASDAQ:CYTK
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Cytokinetics (CYTK) AI Stock Analysis

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CYTK

Cytokinetics

(NASDAQ:CYTK)

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Neutral 49 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
$57.00
▲(4.09% Upside)
Cytokinetics' overall stock score is primarily impacted by its weak financial performance, characterized by high leverage and negative equity. While technical indicators show a bullish trend, the company's valuation is hampered by ongoing losses. The earnings call highlighted both progress in regulatory approvals and financial challenges, contributing to a moderate score.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The company's rapid revenue growth indicates strong market demand and successful partnerships, which can support long-term financial sustainability and expansion.
Regulatory Progress
Successful regulatory progress in Europe and China enhances the potential for market entry and revenue generation, strengthening Cytokinetics' competitive position in the global market.
Clinical Trial Success
Positive clinical trial results validate the efficacy of aficamten, supporting its potential approval and commercialization, which could drive long-term growth and competitive advantage.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage and negative equity indicate financial instability, which can limit the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities and increase vulnerability to economic downturns.
Profitability Challenges
Ongoing profitability challenges, including significant net losses, highlight operational inefficiencies that need addressing to ensure sustainable long-term financial health.
Increased Expenses
Rising R&D expenses, while necessary for innovation, strain financial resources and may delay profitability, impacting the company's ability to sustain long-term growth.

Cytokinetics (CYTK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Cytokinetics Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCytokinetics, Inc. is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on discovering, developing, and commercializing novel muscle activators and other therapeutics to treat debilitating diseases and medical conditions that affect muscle function. The company operates primarily in the sectors of neuromuscular diseases and cardiovascular diseases, with core products that include its lead drug candidates designed to enhance muscle contractility and improve overall muscle performance.
How the Company Makes MoneyCytokinetics generates revenue primarily through collaborations and partnerships with other pharmaceutical companies, as well as potential future sales of its drug candidates upon successful commercialization. The company engages in licensing agreements, where it may receive upfront payments, milestone payments based on clinical and regulatory progress, and royalties on future product sales. Additionally, Cytokinetics may also secure funding through grants or government programs aimed at supporting innovative research in the biopharmaceutical sector. The company's partnerships with larger pharmaceutical firms can also provide significant financial support and resources, enhancing its ability to advance its drug candidates through the development pipeline.

Cytokinetics Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Highlights revenue contributions from different business segments, providing insight into which areas drive growth and how diversified the company’s income streams are.
Chart InsightsCytokinetics' revenue is heavily reliant on sporadic license and milestone payments, with no consistent revenue stream from other segments. The recent earnings call highlights a strong financial position with $1.1 billion in cash, but increased R&D and administrative expenses are impacting profitability. The early completion of the ACACIA-HCM trial enrollment is a positive sign, yet the PDUFA date extension for aficamten could delay revenue from this key drug. Investors should watch for developments in the Sanofi partnership in China, which could open new revenue opportunities.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Cytokinetics Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 07, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a balanced view with significant advancements in clinical trials, regulatory progress, and sales force readiness. However, these were countered by financial challenges, including increased expenses and a net loss, as well as a delayed PDUFA date impacting timelines for aficamten's approval.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
U.S. Sales Force Recruitment
Cytokinetics received over 8,800 applications for their U.S. sales force and hired an experienced cardiovascular sales team with an average of 14 years in the field, positioning them for a Q1 2026 U.S. launch of aficamten.
Positive Clinical Trial Results
Announced positive top-line results from the MAPLE-HCM trial, showing statistically significant improvement in peak oxygen uptake for aficamten compared to metoprolol, with a favorable safety and tolerability profile.
Regulatory Progress in Europe and China
EMA inspections concluded that the Phase III trial was compliant, with potential approval by EMA in the first half of 2026. In China, aficamten is on an accelerated regulatory pathway with expected approval in the second half of this year.
Financial Stability
Ended Q2 with approximately $1.04 billion in cash, with ongoing financial guidance maintaining GAAP operating expense between $670 million and $710 million for the year.
Negative Updates
PDUFA Date Extension
The FDA extended the PDUFA date for aficamten's NDA to December 26, 2025, delaying potential approval.
Increased Expenses
R&D expenses increased to $112.6 million from $79.6 million in the same period in 2024, largely due to advancing clinical trials and higher personnel costs.
Net Loss
Reported a net loss of $134.4 million for the second quarter, which though an improvement, still reflects challenges in achieving profitability.
Company Guidance
During the Cytokinetics Q2 2025 earnings call, the company provided guidance on several key metrics and milestones for the year. The FDA has extended the PDUFA date for aficamten's NDA to December 26, 2025, with a late-cycle review scheduled for September. The company remains confident in the approvability of aficamten, citing completed GCP inspections with no observations and a productive dialogue with the FDA. In Europe, approval by the EMA is anticipated in the first half of 2026, with Germany targeted for the initial launch. In China, the NDA review for aficamten is on an accelerated pathway, with potential approval expected in the second half of 2025. Commercial readiness activities are underway, including the hiring of a U.S. sales force with over 21 years of industry experience, and preparations for a Q1 2026 U.S. launch. Financially, Cytokinetics reported a net loss of $134.4 million for the second quarter of 2025 and maintained its full-year financial guidance, with GAAP operating expenses projected between $670 million and $710 million. The company has also secured $75 million from a loan with Royalty Pharma and has access to an additional $100 million if needed.

Cytokinetics Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Cytokinetics is experiencing rapid revenue growth but struggles with profitability and financial stability. High leverage and negative equity pose significant risks, while cash flow management shows minor improvements. The company needs to address operational inefficiencies and strengthen its balance sheet to improve its financial health.
Income Statement
30
Negative
Cytokinetics shows significant revenue growth in the TTM period, but profitability remains a challenge with negative gross and net profit margins. The company has consistently reported negative EBIT and EBITDA margins, indicating ongoing operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
20
Very Negative
The balance sheet reflects high leverage with a negative debt-to-equity ratio due to negative stockholders' equity. Return on equity is positive but misleading due to negative equity. The equity ratio is also negative, indicating financial instability.
Cash Flow
35
Negative
Operating and free cash flows are negative, though there is a slight improvement in free cash flow growth. The ratios of cash flows to net income are positive, suggesting some efficiency in cash management despite overall negative cash flows.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue85.74M18.47M7.53M94.59M70.43M55.83M
Gross Profit-194.63M-320.93M-322.59M-146.22M-89.51M-41.12M
EBITDA-504.83M-493.48M-456.68M-329.40M-176.34M-86.78M
Net Income-606.31M-589.53M-526.24M-388.95M-215.31M-127.29M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.23B1.40B824.32M1.01B841.32M533.80M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments858.13M1.08B614.82M782.58M471.64M464.06M
Total Debt858.06M788.68M755.77M749.34M269.93M138.94M
Total Liabilities1.59B1.54B1.21B1.12B597.46M420.42M
Stockholders Equity-368.72M-135.37M-386.32M-107.90M243.86M113.38M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-440.48M-399.80M-415.75M-310.85M-191.39M-2.11M
Operating Cash Flow-426.92M-395.89M-414.33M-299.52M-142.52M8.94M
Investing Cash Flow224.65M-553.10M239.25M-262.13M-147.78M-196.51M
Financing Cash Flow89.10M930.61M221.32M516.17M319.98M234.12M

Cytokinetics Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price54.76
Price Trends
50DMA
49.87
Positive
100DMA
42.39
Positive
200DMA
41.98
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.39
Positive
RSI
48.12
Neutral
STOCH
12.16
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CYTK, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 54.76 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 57.55, above the 50-day MA of 49.87, and above the 200-day MA of 41.98, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 2.39 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.12 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 12.16 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for CYTK.

Cytokinetics Risk Analysis

Cytokinetics disclosed 37 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Cytokinetics reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Cytokinetics Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
57
Neutral
$6.57B-280.68%69.83%22.16%
55
Neutral
$7.46B-1334.54%53.55%30.87%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
51
Neutral
$6.07B-29.71%74.86%-13.23%
49
Neutral
$7.10B2635.74%4.66%
48
Neutral
$7.15B-37.76%1.23%-20.45%
43
Neutral
$7.06B-43.55%-76.16%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CYTK
Cytokinetics
54.76
1.72
3.24%
AXSM
Axsome Therapeutics
129.72
37.40
40.51%
RYTM
Rhythm Pharmaceuticals
109.17
60.15
122.71%
LEGN
Legend Biotech
32.11
-11.84
-26.94%
RNA
Avidity Biosciences
46.86
1.46
3.22%
NUVL
Nuvalent
90.88
-2.83
-3.02%

Cytokinetics Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingProduct-Related AnnouncementsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Cytokinetics Discusses Aficamten with FDA in Late Cycle Meeting
Neutral
Sep 16, 2025

On September 15, 2025, Cytokinetics participated in a Late Cycle Meeting with the FDA regarding its New Drug Application for aficamten, aimed at treating obstructive hypertrophic cardiomyopathy. The company discussed its Risk Evaluation and Mitigation Strategies (REMS) and anticipates a differentiated label for aficamten, pending FDA approval by December 26, 2025. Additionally, Cytokinetics responded to the European Medicines Agency’s questions about aficamten’s potential EU approval. The company plans to draw $100 million from a loan agreement with Royalty Pharma by October 1, 2025, to support its development efforts.

The most recent analyst rating on (CYTK) stock is a Buy with a $82.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cytokinetics stock, see the CYTK Stock Forecast page.

Cytokinetics’ COMET-HF Study: A Potential Game-Changer for Heart Failure Treatment?
Sep 7, 2025

Study Overview: The COMET-HF study, officially titled A Multi-Center, Double-Blind, Randomized, Placebo-Controlled Trial to Assess Efficacy and Safety of Omecamtiv Mecarbil in Patients With Symptomatic Heart Failure With Severely Reduced Ejection Fraction, aims to evaluate whether the investigational drug omecamtiv mecarbil can reduce the risk of heart failure-related events such as hospitalization, transplantation, or death in patients with severely reduced ejection fraction.

Cytokinetics’ Aficamten Study: A Potential Breakthrough for Pediatric Heart Conditions
Sep 7, 2025

Study Overview: Cytokinetics is conducting a study titled ‘A Phase 2/3 Multicenter, Randomized, Double-Blind, Placebo-Controlled and Open-Label Extension Trial to Evaluate the Efficacy and Safety of Aficamten in a Pediatric Population With Symptomatic Obstructive Hypertrophic Cardiomyopathy.’ The study aims to assess the efficacy and safety of aficamten in children with symptomatic obstructive hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (oHCM), a condition that affects heart muscle function. This research is significant as it targets a pediatric population, addressing a critical need for effective treatments in this demographic.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Cytokinetics Highlights Aficamten Data at ESC Congress
Positive
Sep 3, 2025

On August 31, 2025, Cytokinetics presented new data on aficamten at the European Society of Cardiology Congress 2025, highlighting its efficacy in improving cardiac structure and function compared to metoprolol in patients with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM). The data, published in the Journal of the American College of Cardiology and Heart Rhythm, also showed that aficamten has a low incidence of atrial fibrillation and maintains a consistent safety profile, reinforcing its potential as a treatment option under FDA review.

The most recent analyst rating on (CYTK) stock is a Hold with a $35.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cytokinetics stock, see the CYTK Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Cytokinetics Reveals Promising MAPLE-HCM Trial Results
Positive
Sep 2, 2025

Cytokinetics announced the results of its MAPLE-HCM trial, presented at the European Society of Cardiology Congress 2025, showing that aficamten outperformed the standard beta-blocker metoprolol in improving exercise capacity in patients with obstructive hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (oHCM). The trial results suggest a potential shift in treatment practices, as aficamten demonstrated superior efficacy across primary and secondary endpoints, including improved functional class and reduced symptom burden, compared to metoprolol. These findings could significantly impact the company’s market positioning and offer new treatment options for oHCM patients.

The most recent analyst rating on (CYTK) stock is a Buy with a $84.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cytokinetics stock, see the CYTK Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Cytokinetics Appoints James M. Daly to Board
Neutral
Aug 20, 2025

On August 19, 2025, Cytokinetics appointed James M. Daly to its Board of Directors as a Class III member, with his term expiring in 2028. Mr. Daly, determined to be independent under corporate governance guidelines, will also serve on the Compliance Committee and participate in the company’s non-employee director compensation arrangements, including stock options and restricted stock units.

The most recent analyst rating on (CYTK) stock is a Hold with a $39.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cytokinetics stock, see the CYTK Stock Forecast page.

Cytokinetics’ Aficamten Study: A Potential Breakthrough for Pediatric Heart Health
Aug 14, 2025

Study Overview: Cytokinetics is conducting a study titled A Phase 2/3 Multicenter, Randomized, Double-Blind, Placebo-Controlled and Open-Label Extension Trial to Evaluate the Efficacy and Safety of Aficamten in a Pediatric Population With Symptomatic Obstructive Hypertrophic Cardiomyopathy. The study aims to assess the efficacy, safety, and pharmacokinetics of aficamten in children and adolescents with symptomatic obstructive hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (oHCM), a condition that can severely impact heart function. This trial is significant as it targets a pediatric population, potentially offering a new treatment avenue for young patients.

Cytokinetics’ Earnings Call: Progress Amid Challenges
Aug 12, 2025

Cytokinetics’ recent earnings call presented a mixed sentiment, highlighting significant strides in regulatory achievements and commercial preparations, particularly for their lead drug, aficamten. The company expressed optimism about upcoming approvals and market launches, yet acknowledged the challenges posed by increased expenses, net losses, and an extended PDUFA date.

Cytokinetics Reports Q2 2025 Financial Results and Updates
Aug 8, 2025

Cytokinetics, Incorporated is a biopharmaceutical company specializing in cardiovascular treatments, focusing on muscle biology to develop new medicines for cardiac muscle dysfunction. The company is advancing its pipeline with potential regulatory approvals and commercialization of aficamten, a cardiac myosin inhibitor, for obstructive hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM).

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 23, 2025