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Coupang (CPNG)
NYSE:CPNG
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Coupang (CPNG) AI Stock Analysis

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CPNG

Coupang

(NYSE:CPNG)

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Neutral 52 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
$17.00
▲(1.86% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/05/26
CPNG’s score is primarily constrained by weakened profitability and margins in the latest TTM period alongside higher leverage and sharply lower free cash flow. Technicals are also soft with the stock below key longer-term moving averages and a negative MACD. The earnings call offers some offsetting positives (sequential margin improvement, positive cash generation, and share repurchases), but guidance still points to near-term margin contraction and continued losses in developing offerings.
Positive Factors
Very strong TTM revenue growth
Sustained near-doubling of TTM revenue indicates durable demand for Coupang’s platform and successful scale of core commerce operations. High top-line momentum supports longer-term network effects, merchant attraction, and advertising take-rates, strengthening structural growth prospects.
Negative Factors
Deteriorating profitability and margins
A shift from prior modest profitability to TTM losses and weaker gross margins signals structural pressure on core economics—stemming from price, mix, or cost inflation. Prolonged margin weakness can erode cash buffers and impede reinvestment and return generation over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Very strong TTM revenue growth
Sustained near-doubling of TTM revenue indicates durable demand for Coupang’s platform and successful scale of core commerce operations. High top-line momentum supports longer-term network effects, merchant attraction, and advertising take-rates, strengthening structural growth prospects.
Read all positive factors

Coupang Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Net Revenue Per Active Customer
Net Revenue Per Active Customer
Measures the average revenue generated from each active customer, reflecting customer spending habits and the company's ability to monetize its user base.
Chart InsightsNet revenue per active customer has moved materially higher since 2020, signaling stronger customer spend and better monetization, but the trajectory has been uneven since 2023 with a late‑2025 peak followed by a pullback. Management says the recent dip largely reflects a one‑time $1.2B voucher program and a membership disruption that are temporary; as memberships and spend recover, per‑customer revenue should reaccelerate, though near‑term volatility and heavy Developing Offerings investment will mute margin translation.
Data provided by:The Fly

Coupang (CPNG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Coupang Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Coupang, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, owns and operates retail business through its mobile applications and internet websites in South Korea and internationally. It operates through Product Commerce and Developing Offerings segments. The ...
How the Company Makes Money
Coupang generates revenue primarily by selling goods and services through its commerce platform and related consumer service offerings. Its major revenue streams include: (1) Product commerce revenue from merchandise sales, which includes both fir...

Coupang Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 04, 2026
(Q2-2026)
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% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 10, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call presented a mixed but constructive picture: strong underlying customer spend trends, improving sequential margins, solid cash generation, meaningful progress in developing offerings (notably Taiwan and Eats), and clear guidance toward recovery by mid-2027. However, the quarter was materially affected by a $410 million regulatory fine, margin compression, elevated near-term marketing and capacity costs, a fulfillment-center fire with potential asset exposure (~$246 million pre-fire carrying value), and substantial continuing losses in developing offerings. Management articulated a coherent multi-quarter plan to regain pre-incident margins and customer traction, but near-term financials remain pressured.
Positive Updates
Consolidated Revenue Growth (Constant Currency)
Consolidated net revenues were $8.9 billion, up 10% year-over-year in constant currency (4% reported), in line with guidance; management emphasized constant-currency as USD reporting was depressed by a materially weaker KRW.
Negative Updates
Regulatory Fines and Large One-Time Charge
The company recorded $410 million in administrative fines in OG&A related to regulatory actions (subject to appeal); these fines materially impacted reported operating loss, net loss, and EPS (net loss attributable to Coupang stockholders $570 million, or $160 million excluding fines).
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Negative
Consolidated Revenue Growth (Constant Currency)
Consolidated net revenues were $8.9 billion, up 10% year-over-year in constant currency (4% reported), in line with guidance; management emphasized constant-currency as USD reporting was depressed by a materially weaker KRW.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Coupang guided Q3 consolidated constant‑currency revenue growth of 8%–9% and expects consolidated year‑over‑year adjusted EBITDA margin contraction of roughly 300–400 basis points in Q3 (noting underlying product‑commerce drivers are improving but masked by Chuseok timing and seasonality); management reiterated product‑commerce adjusted‑EBITDA margins should return to approximately pre‑incident levels by mid‑2027 and confirmed full‑year developing‑offerings adjusted‑EBITDA losses of $950M–$1.0B, while noting underlying product‑commerce spend (excluding customers who left and haven’t returned) is growing ~16% YoY and that Q2 operating trends included $8.9B consolidated revenue (10% CC growth), $7.4B product‑commerce revenue (8% CC), product‑commerce active customers 24.7M (+3% YoY), product‑commerce gross profit margin 30.5% and adjusted‑EBITDA $382M (5.1%), consolidated adjusted‑EBITDA $163M (1.8%), a $410M regulatory fine recorded in Q2, trailing‑12‑month operating cash flow $1.4B and free cash flow $105M.

Coupang Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong top-line momentum (TTM revenue up ~94.5%) is outweighed by a clear deterioration in profitability and margin stability, with TTM net margin and operating profit turning negative and gross margin notably weaker versus 2024–2025. Balance-sheet risk has increased as leverage rose (debt-to-equity ~1.70 vs ~0.91–1.00 previously) and returns turned negative. Operating cash flow remains positive, but free cash flow has compressed sharply (~-64.6% TTM), reducing near-term financial flexibility.
Income Statement
53
Neutral
Balance Sheet
56
Neutral
Cash Flow
61
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue35.46B34.53B30.27B24.38B20.58B18.41B
Gross Profit10.05B10.14B8.83B6.19B4.71B2.95B
EBITDA32.00M1.20B1.05B907.00M165.00M-1.30B
Net Income-767.00M208.00M154.00M1.36B-92.00M-1.54B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets17.39B17.79B15.34B13.35B9.51B8.64B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments6.11B6.32B5.88B5.24B3.51B3.49B
Total Debt5.63B4.63B3.73B2.79B2.40B2.12B
Total Liabilities14.41B13.16B11.24B9.26B7.10B6.47B
Stockholders Equity2.99B4.62B4.10B4.09B2.41B2.18B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow107.54M522.00M1.01B1.76B-259.00M-1.08B
Operating Cash Flow1.44B1.77B1.89B2.65B565.00M-411.00M
Investing Cash Flow-1.38B-1.25B-819.00M-927.00M-848.00M-676.00M
Financing Cash Flow-138.06M-247.00M-69.00M199.00M247.00M3.58B

Coupang Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price16.69
Price Trends
50DMA
16.93
Negative
100DMA
17.51
Negative
200DMA
19.74
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.05
Negative
RSI
51.34
Neutral
STOCH
82.15
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CPNG, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 16.69 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 16.30, below the 50-day MA of 16.93, and below the 200-day MA of 19.74, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.05 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 51.34 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 82.15 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for CPNG.

Coupang Risk Analysis

Coupang disclosed 77 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Coupang reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Coupang Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$2.82T20.6630.50%15.77%88.63%
78
Outperform
$75.45B43.9613.51%43.06%32.91%
71
Outperform
$101.24B53.0726.54%46.01%-9.25%
62
Neutral
$39.28B18.006.63%3.31%7.23%-57.76%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
59
Neutral
$279.31B25.847.04%0.94%7.76%-49.08%
52
Neutral
$30.00B-38.07-18.84%9.92%-309.73%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CPNG
Coupang
16.23
-12.40
-43.31%
AMZN
Amazon
256.26
24.66
10.65%
MELI
Mercadolibre
1,930.75
-541.54
-21.90%
JD
JD
28.49
-0.87
-2.98%
BABA
Alibaba
116.31
-2.19
-1.85%
SE
Sea
118.32
-67.92
-36.47%

Coupang Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Coupang Shareholders Back Board, Auditor and Executive Pay
Positive
Jun 12, 2026
At its 2026 Annual Meeting of Stockholders held on June 11, 2026, Coupang reported that holders representing approximately 91.2% of the company’s voting power were present, establishing a strong quorum and underscoring robust shareholder eng...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresLegal Proceedings
Coupang Faces Major Data-Privacy Fines and Legal Challenge
Negative
Jun 11, 2026
On June 10, 2026, Korea’s Personal Information Protection Commission announced administrative fines totaling about $410 million against Coupang Corp., a subsidiary of Coupang, Inc., tied to a previously disclosed November 2025 data incident ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 05, 2026