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Celsius Holdings (CELH)
NASDAQ:CELH
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Celsius Holdings (CELH) AI Stock Analysis

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CELH

Celsius Holdings

(NASDAQ:CELH)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$61.00
▲(3.57% Upside)
Celsius Holdings' strong revenue growth and strategic partnership with PepsiCo are major positives. However, high valuation and potential margin pressures pose risks. Effective management of leverage and expenses will be crucial for sustained growth.
Positive Factors
Strategic Partnership
The partnership with PepsiCo enhances Celsius's distribution capabilities and market position, leveraging PepsiCo's extensive network to drive growth.
Revenue Growth
Significant revenue growth indicates strong market demand and successful brand expansion, supporting long-term business sustainability.
Leadership Changes
The appointment of an experienced CMO is expected to strengthen marketing strategies and enhance brand development, supporting sustained growth.
Negative Factors
Margin Pressure
Rising input costs could compress margins, affecting profitability and requiring strategic cost management to maintain financial health.
Increased Debt Levels
Higher leverage may strain financial flexibility and cash flow, necessitating careful debt management to avoid long-term financial risk.
Operating Expenses
Rising operating expenses, driven by acquisition-related costs, could impact net margins, requiring efficiency improvements to sustain profitability.

Celsius Holdings (CELH) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Celsius Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCelsius Holdings, Inc. develops, processes, markets, distributes, and sells functional drinks and liquid supplements in North America, Europe, Asia, and internationally. It offers various carbonated and non-carbonated functional energy drinks under the CELSIUS Originals name; dietary supplement in carbonated flavors, including apple jack'd, orangesicle, inferno punch, cherry lime, blueberry pomegranate, strawberry dragon fruit, tangerine grapefruit, and jackfruit under the CELSIUS HEAT name; and branched-chain amino acids functional energy drink that fuels muscle recovery under the CELSIUS BCCA+ENERGY name. The company also provides CELSIUS On-the-Go, a powdered form of the active ingredients in functional energy drinks in individual On-The-Go packets and canisters; and sparkling grapefruit, cucumber lime, and orange pomegranate, as well as pineapple coconut, watermelon berry, and strawberries and cream non-carbonated functional energy drinks under the CELSIUS Sweetened. It distributes its products through direct-to-store delivery distributors and direct to retailers, including supermarkets, convenience stores, drug stores, nutritional stores, and mass merchants, as well as health clubs, spas, gyms, the military, and e-commerce websites. The company was formerly known as Vector Ventures, Inc. and changed its name to Celsius Holdings, Inc. in January 2007. Celsius Holdings, Inc. was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in Boca Raton, Florida.
How the Company Makes MoneyCelsius Holdings generates revenue primarily through the sale of its beverage products, which are distributed through various channels including retail, e-commerce platforms, and direct-to-consumer sales. Key revenue streams include sales from its energy drinks, which are marketed as fitness-enhancing beverages, and a growing line of related supplements. The company has established partnerships with major retailers and distributors, which expand its market reach and enhance brand visibility. Additionally, Celsius benefits from consumer trends favoring healthier lifestyle choices, increasing demand for functional beverages, and effective marketing strategies that resonate with fitness enthusiasts and health-conscious individuals.

Celsius Holdings Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where the company is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Chart InsightsCelsius Holdings' North American revenue experienced a sharp decline in Q3 2024, reflecting challenges highlighted in their earnings call, such as slowed velocity and changes in distributor incentives. However, international revenue surged by 41%, driven by strong growth in markets like the UK and Australia. The acquisition of Alani Nu is expected to bolster their market share and drive future growth. Despite a 7% overall revenue decline, the company is focusing on operational excellence and international expansion to sustain growth in 2025.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Celsius Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 07, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call for Celsius Holdings highlighted significant revenue growth driven by brand performance and market expansion, particularly with the Alani Nu brand. However, there are concerns about future margin pressures due to rising input costs and tariffs. The company remains optimistic about continued growth and operational discipline.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Celsius Holdings reported revenue of $739.3 million for Q2 2025, an 84% year-over-year increase, driven primarily by $301.2 million in revenue from the Alani Nu brand and $438.1 million from the Celsius brand.
Record Adjusted EBITDA
Adjusted EBITDA was a record in excess of $200 million in Q2 2025, reflecting strong integration and execution across the company's operations.
Increased Household Penetration
The Celsius Holdings portfolio reached a 43% household penetration with repeat rates over 65%, indicating strong consumer loyalty and brand equity.
Alani Nu Brand Performance
Alani Nu brand reported dollar sales up 129% with a share increase of 3.2 points year-over-year, making it the largest share gainer in RTD energy, reaching a 6.3 share.
International Revenue Growth
International revenue grew 27% year-over-year in Q2 2025, with strong contributions from Australia, the U.K., and France.
Negative Updates
Gross Margin Pressure
Q2 consolidated gross margin held relatively steady at 51.5%, down 50 basis points year-over-year, with anticipated margin pressure from higher input costs in the latter half of the year.
Impact of Tariffs and Costs
There is an expected impact on margins from tariffs and increased raw material costs, particularly in aluminum, in Q3 and Q4.
Increased Operating Expenses
G&A expenses were $86 million or 11.7% of revenue, driven by $16 million in acquisition-related costs and $13.8 million related to contingent consideration.
Company Guidance
During the Celsius Holdings Second Quarter 2025 earnings call, several key metrics and guidance were highlighted. The company reported a significant 84% year-over-year increase in revenue, amounting to $739.3 million, largely driven by $301.2 million in revenue from the newly acquired Alani Nu brand and $438.1 million from the core Celsius brand. The consolidated gross margin was 51.5%, supported by favorable material costs and improved production yields. Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter exceeded $200 million, marking a record achievement. The company anticipates achieving $50 million in run-rate cost synergies over two years post the Alani Nu acquisition. Additionally, Celsius Holdings achieved a 17.3% dollar share in the RTD energy category, with unit sales increasing by 31.2% and dollar sales growing by 28.9%. Looking ahead, Celsius Holdings expects margin pressure from higher input costs in the latter half of 2025 but remains focused on operational discipline and brand leadership to sustain its growth trajectory.

Celsius Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Celsius Holdings shows strong revenue growth and operational efficiency, but increased leverage and challenges in cash flow conversion are concerns. The company needs to manage debt and expenses carefully to sustain growth.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Celsius Holdings has demonstrated strong revenue growth, particularly in the TTM period with a 25.38% increase. The gross profit margin has remained stable, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin has decreased in the TTM compared to the previous year, suggesting increased expenses or other financial pressures. Despite this, the company maintains a healthy EBIT and EBITDA margin, reflecting operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio increased significantly in the TTM, indicating higher leverage, which could pose a risk if not managed carefully. However, the return on equity remains positive, showcasing the company's ability to generate returns on shareholders' investments. The equity ratio is strong, suggesting a solid capital structure with a good proportion of equity financing.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Celsius Holdings has shown positive free cash flow growth, although the growth rate has slowed in the TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio has decreased, indicating potential challenges in converting income into cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio remains robust, suggesting that the company is still generating sufficient cash relative to its net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.67B1.36B1.32B653.60M314.27M130.73M
Gross Profit842.13M680.21M633.14M270.87M128.17M60.97M
EBITDA189.64M163.00M269.59M-155.88M-2.79M11.32M
Net Income131.75M145.07M226.80M-187.28M3.94M8.52M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.80B1.77B1.54B1.22B314.02M131.29M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments615.23M890.19M755.98M614.16M16.25M43.25M
Total Debt862.92M20.25M2.19M1.22M1.37M1.12M
Total Liabilities1.70B542.46M447.87M357.49M96.97M26.96M
Stockholders Equity2.09B1.22B1.09B864.58M217.04M104.33M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow210.84M239.51M123.78M99.92M-99.74M2.82M
Operating Cash Flow235.69M262.90M141.22M108.18M-96.59M3.40M
Investing Cash Flow-1.36B-101.73M-14.20M-5.67M-1.26M757.00K
Financing Cash Flow838.89M-25.97M-25.22M534.11M71.39M15.57M

Celsius Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price58.90
Price Trends
50DMA
54.78
Positive
100DMA
48.40
Positive
200DMA
39.10
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.23
Negative
RSI
60.63
Neutral
STOCH
87.47
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CELH, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 58.9 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 55.54, above the 50-day MA of 54.78, and above the 200-day MA of 39.10, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.23 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.63 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 87.47 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CELH.

Celsius Holdings Risk Analysis

Celsius Holdings disclosed 40 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Celsius Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Celsius Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$65.84B42.203.70%-0.53%
77
Outperform
$2.43B39.5521.69%11.97%16.10%
71
Outperform
$14.83B158.537.91%11.85%-64.69%
63
Neutral
$3.52B19.0242.08%0.46%0.91%
57
Neutral
$8.23B-190.57-0.48%5.49%162.92%-107.26%
54
Neutral
$186.62M-10.70-1.08%54.50%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CELH
Celsius Holdings
58.90
28.65
94.71%
PRMB
Primo Brands
22.03
-2.04
-8.48%
MNST
Monster Beverage
67.58
16.63
32.64%
FIZZ
National Beverage
37.71
-7.63
-16.83%
ZVIA
Zevia PBC
2.46
1.38
127.78%
COCO
Vita Coco Company
42.71
14.17
49.65%

Celsius Holdings Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesPrivate Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Celsius Holdings Partners with PepsiCo for Strategic Growth
Positive
Aug 29, 2025

On August 28, 2025, Celsius Holdings entered into a securities purchase agreement with PepsiCo, resulting in the issuance and sale of 390,000 shares of Series B Convertible Preferred Stock to PepsiCo for $585 million. This agreement allows PepsiCo to designate two members to Celsius’s Board of Directors and includes certain rights and restrictions for both parties. The transaction also involved an amended distribution agreement, making PepsiCo the exclusive distributor of Celsius products in Canada and expanding their role to include Alani Nu and Rockstar Energy products. This strategic move is expected to strengthen Celsius’s market position and enhance its distribution capabilities.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Celsius Holdings Reports Record Q2 2025 Revenue Growth
Positive
Aug 7, 2025

In the second quarter of 2025, Celsius Holdings reported record revenue of $739 million, an 84% increase from the previous year, driven by the acquisition of Alani Nu and rising demand for its energy drink portfolio. The company’s market share in the U.S. energy drink category rose to 17.3%, with significant growth in both domestic and international markets. Despite a slight decrease in gross margin, the company’s net income increased by 25%, reflecting strong operational performance and strategic execution in a rapidly evolving market.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 09, 2025