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Primo Brands (PRMB)
NYSE:PRMB
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Primo Brands (PRMB) AI Stock Analysis

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PRMB

Primo Brands

(NYSE:PRMB)

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Neutral 57 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:57Neutral
Price Target:
$18.50
▲(4.52% Upside)
Primo Brands' overall stock score is driven by a mix of financial performance and technical analysis. The company's strong cash flow management and revenue growth are positive, but profitability and leverage issues weigh heavily. Technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, adding downside risk. The earnings call provides a balanced outlook with potential for improvement under new leadership, but challenges remain. The high dividend yield is attractive, yet overshadowed by valuation concerns due to net losses.
Positive Factors
Strong Cash Flow Management
Primo Brands' robust cash flow management indicates effective operational cash conversion and liquidity, supporting long-term financial stability.
Premium Water Portfolio Growth
The significant growth in the premium water segment suggests strong market demand and potential for sustained revenue expansion in this category.
Leadership Transition
New leadership with experience in global consumer businesses may drive strategic improvements and address integration challenges effectively.
Negative Factors
High Debt Levels
High leverage poses financial risks, potentially limiting the company's ability to invest in growth and manage economic downturns.
Profitability Challenges
Ongoing profitability issues could hinder long-term financial health and shareholder returns, necessitating strategic cost management.
Revenue Decline
Declining sales indicate potential market challenges and competitive pressures, impacting growth prospects and necessitating strategic adjustments.

Primo Brands (PRMB) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Primo Brands Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPrimo Brands (PRMB) is a dynamic company operating primarily in the consumer goods sector, specializing in the development and distribution of high-quality products across various categories, including food and beverages, household goods, and personal care items. The company focuses on innovation and sustainability, aiming to meet the evolving needs of consumers while maintaining a commitment to environmental responsibility. With a diverse portfolio that includes both well-established brands and emerging products, Primo Brands is positioned to capture market share in a competitive landscape.
How the Company Makes MoneyPrimo Brands generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily by selling its consumer products to retailers and wholesalers across different channels, including grocery stores, e-commerce platforms, and specialty shops. The company benefits from brand loyalty and repeat purchases, which contribute to a stable revenue base. Additionally, Primo Brands engages in strategic partnerships with distributors and retailers to enhance product visibility and accessibility. Key revenue streams also include private label products and co-branding initiatives, which allow the company to leverage its manufacturing capabilities while catering to specific market segments. Seasonal promotions, marketing campaigns, and product launches further drive sales, enhancing overall profitability.

Primo Brands Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a company in transition with a new leadership aiming to address integration challenges and capitalize on market opportunities. While there are significant growth areas in premium water and market share gains, the company faces ongoing challenges, particularly in the direct delivery business and associated costs. The sentiment is balanced with optimism for future improvements under new leadership.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Leadership Transition
Eric Foss appointed as Chairman and CEO, bringing experience in global consumer businesses and a people-first leadership philosophy.
Premium Water Portfolio Growth
Premium net sales increased more than 44% year-over-year, driven by Mountain Valley and Saratoga brands.
Improvement in Service Levels
Direct delivery service rate improved to approximately 95%, consistent with historical levels.
Market Share Gains
Increased both volume and dollar market share by 15 basis points and 25 basis points respectively, in the U.S. retail branded bottled water category.
Strong Liquidity Position
Total liquidity of approximately $1 billion, with $423 million in unrestricted cash and $612 million available under revolving credit facility.
Negative Updates
Year-Over-Year Revenue Decline
Net sales of $1.766 billion, a 1.6% comparable year-over-year decline.
Challenges in Direct Delivery Business
Direct delivery business, including home and office delivery, faced ongoing integration challenges, resulting in a 6.5% year-over-year decline in comparable net sales.
Cost and Operational Challenges
Increased costs related to routes, drivers, customer service, and marketing due to integration challenges and customer service improvements.
Adjusted EBITDA Guidance Revision
Adjusted EBITDA guidance revised to approximately $1.45 billion, down from previous expectations.
Company Guidance
During the Primo Brands Corporation's Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided guidance highlighting several key metrics. Primo Brands reported net sales of $1.766 billion for Q3 2025, which marked a 1.6% year-over-year decline. Despite this, there was an improvement from the previous quarter's 2.5% decline. The company's adjusted EBITDA grew by 6.8% year-over-year to $404.5 million, with a margin of 22.9%. For the full year 2025, Primo Brands expects a low single-digit net sales decline but anticipates achieving an adjusted EBITDA of approximately $1.45 billion with a margin of 21.8%. The company is also on track to achieve synergy targets of $200 million by the end of 2025 and $300 million by the end of 2026. Additionally, Primo Brands reported strong liquidity with approximately $1 billion, combining $423 million in unrestricted cash and $612 million available under their revolving credit facility.

Primo Brands Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Primo Brands shows strong revenue growth and cash flow management but faces challenges with profitability and high leverage. The income statement reflects positive sales trends, while the balance sheet highlights financial risks due to high debt levels. The cash flow statement indicates solid liquidity and operational cash management.
Income Statement
Primo Brands shows a mixed performance in its income statement. The company achieved a gross profit margin of 31.5% in the latest year, indicating a strong ability to cover its cost of goods sold. However, the net profit margin is negative due to a net loss, highlighting profitability challenges. Revenue growth was robust at 9.6% year-over-year, suggesting positive sales momentum. The EBIT margin of 7.0% and EBITDA margin of 13.5% reflect moderate operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet of Primo Brands reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.65, indicating significant leverage and potential financial risk. The return on equity is negative due to the net loss, which is a concern for investors. However, the equity ratio stands at 30.8%, suggesting a reasonable proportion of assets financed by equity. Overall, the balance sheet shows a need for improved financial stability.
Cash Flow
Primo Brands demonstrates strong cash flow management with a free cash flow growth rate of 164.5% year-over-year, indicating improved cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 28.3, reflecting efficient cash conversion from operations despite the net loss. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 16.6, suggesting effective cash retention. Overall, the cash flow statement indicates solid liquidity and operational cash management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.51B5.15B4.70B1.69B2.07B1.95B
Gross Profit2.02B1.62B1.35B1.02B1.16B1.11B
EBITDA708.50M693.60M711.70M328.00M294.20M131.20M
Net Income-60.90M-16.40M92.80M29.60M-3.20M-185.40M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets10.96B11.19B5.15B3.67B3.72B3.60B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments422.70M614.40M47.00M78.80M128.40M115.10M
Total Debt684.10M5.68B4.05B1.62B1.74B1.65B
Total Liabilities7.80B7.75B5.15B2.38B2.40B2.26B
Stockholders Equity3.16B3.44B2.70M1.28B1.32B1.35B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow124.10M272.90M103.20M-228.40M135.70M52.90M
Operating Cash Flow351.30M463.80M320.90M108.30M256.90M176.20M
Investing Cash Flow416.20M474.40M-217.60M-319.40M-240.90M-178.00M
Financing Cash Flow-588.00M-362.90M-162.30M-147.70M-800.00K-91.10M

Primo Brands Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price17.70
Price Trends
50DMA
22.65
Negative
100DMA
25.11
Negative
200DMA
28.74
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.49
Positive
RSI
22.32
Positive
STOCH
46.05
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PRMB, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 17.7 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 21.93, below the 50-day MA of 22.65, and below the 200-day MA of 28.74, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.49 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 22.32 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 46.05 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for PRMB.

Primo Brands Risk Analysis

Primo Brands disclosed 56 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Primo Brands reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Primo Brands Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$295.35B22.7345.12%2.92%2.93%25.42%
78
Outperform
$2.38B36.1724.02%23.12%16.20%
74
Outperform
$4.54B14.9716.18%3.90%-2.81%-2.66%
71
Outperform
$11.42B20.6741.92%0.74%4.22%22.24%
69
Neutral
$35.95B22.806.29%3.49%6.77%-29.84%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
57
Neutral
$8.46B-153.11-2.15%5.34%162.92%-107.26%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PRMB
Primo Brands
17.70
-6.41
-26.59%
KOF
Coca Cola Femsa SAB De CV
88.48
8.45
10.56%
COKE
Coca-Cola Bottling Co Consolidated
135.61
17.76
15.07%
KO
Coca-Cola
69.06
7.26
11.75%
KDP
Keurig Dr Pepper
26.36
-5.59
-17.50%
COCO
Vita Coco Company
41.82
6.26
17.60%

Primo Brands Corporate Events

Primo Brands Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results
Nov 7, 2025

Primo Brands Corporation is a leading North American beverage company specializing in healthy hydration products, offering a diverse range of responsibly sourced beverages and water dispensers across various channels and consumer occasions.

Primo Water’s Earnings Call: Transition and Growth
Nov 7, 2025

Primo Water Corporation’s recent earnings call reflects a company in transition, with a balanced sentiment of optimism and challenges. Under new leadership, the company is poised to address integration hurdles while seizing market opportunities. Significant growth areas, particularly in premium water and market share gains, are tempered by ongoing challenges in the direct delivery business and related costs. The sentiment is cautiously optimistic for future improvements under the new leadership.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Primo Brands Reports Strong Q3 2025 Financial Results and Revises Full-Year Guidance
Positive
Nov 6, 2025

Primo Brands Corporation reported strong financial results for the third quarter of 2025, with net sales reaching $1,766.1 million, marking a $36 million increase from the previous quarter. The company experienced double-digit net sales growth in its premium water brands and improved performance in its home and office direct delivery business. Primo Brands revised its full-year guidance for net sales and adjusted EBITDA while reaffirming its cost synergy targets, indicating a positive outlook for stakeholders and reinforcing its competitive positioning in the market.

The most recent analyst rating on (PRMB) stock is a Buy with a $37.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Primo Brands stock, see the PRMB Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Primo Brands Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results and Announces Leadership Change
Positive
Nov 6, 2025

Primo Brands reported a robust third quarter of 2025, with net sales reaching $1.8 billion, marking a 35.3% increase compared to the previous year. The growth was driven by the merger with Blue Triton Brands and increased volumes, despite a decrease due to the sale of a production facility. The company revised its full-year net sales and EBITDA guidance while maintaining its free cash flow guidance. Additionally, a leadership transition was announced, with Eric Foss appointed as Chairman and CEO. The company continues to focus on capturing cost synergies and achieving operational milestones post-merger.

The most recent analyst rating on (PRMB) stock is a Buy with a $37.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Primo Brands stock, see the PRMB Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Primo Brands COO Takes Temporary Leave of Absence
Neutral
Sep 12, 2025

On September 9, 2025, Primo Brands Corporation announced that Robert Austin, the Chief Operating Officer, would take a temporary leave of absence starting September 30, 2025, during which he will serve as a Senior Advisor. The company’s CEO, Robbert Rietbroek, will assume the role of principal operating officer in the interim, with senior operations executives reporting directly to him.

The most recent analyst rating on (PRMB) stock is a Hold with a $25.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Primo Brands stock, see the PRMB Stock Forecast page.

Primo Water Corp’s Earnings Call: Growth Amid Challenges
Aug 12, 2025

The recent earnings call of Primo Water Corporation painted a mixed picture for investors. While the company celebrated significant achievements in premium water sales growth and synergy capture, it also faced operational challenges stemming from the integration process and weather-related sales impacts. This dual narrative reflects both optimism and caution as the company navigates its current landscape.

Primo Brands Reports Strong Q2 2025 Growth Amid Challenges
Aug 8, 2025

Primo Brands Corporation is a leading North American beverage company specializing in healthy hydration products, offering a wide range of responsibly sourced beverages and water dispensers across various channels in the U.S. and Canada. In its second quarter of 2025, Primo Brands reported a significant increase in net sales by 31.6% to $1.7 billion, primarily driven by the merger with Primo Water, despite challenges like tornado damage and integration service issues. The company revised its full-year guidance for net sales growth, Adjusted EBITDA, and Adjusted Free Cash Flow due to these disruptions but remains confident in achieving cost synergies of $200 million in 2025 and $300 million in 2026. Key financial metrics showed a 42.1% increase in Adjusted EBITDA to $366.7 million, while net income from continuing operations decreased to $30.5 million. The company also announced a new $250 million share repurchase program and declared a quarterly dividend of 10 cents per share. Looking ahead, Primo Brands is optimistic about resolving service issues by the end of September and maintaining strong consumer demand for its products, positioning itself for future growth and shareholder value returns.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 07, 2025