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Braze (BRZE) AI Stock Analysis

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BRZE

Braze

(NASDAQ:BRZE)

Select Model
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:$51.00â–²(10.63% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/21/26

The score is driven primarily by improving fundamentals (strong growth, healthy gross margins, low leverage, and a meaningful swing to positive free cash flow) and a very constructive earnings outlook with raised guidance and expanding non-GAAP profitability. Offsetting factors include stretched technical conditions (overbought RSI/Stoch) and limited traditional valuation support due to ongoing GAAP losses (negative P/E, no dividend). The announced all-cash acquisition adds a strong positive overlay to the risk/reward profile.

Positive Factors
Salesforce AcquisitionThe announced Salesforce acquisition could provide Braze with greater distribution, enterprise reach, and strategic resources if it closes. Becoming part of a larger technology platform may strengthen customer access and reduce standalone execution demands, although customary closing conditions remain.
Negative Factors
Continuing GAAP LossesBraze continues to report negative GAAP profitability despite materially narrowing losses. Until operating scale consistently converts into positive earnings, the company has less internally generated profit to reinvest and remains more exposed to execution risk around balancing growth investments with cost discipline.

Braze Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Dollar-Based Net Retention RateMeasures revenue growth from existing customers, showing how effectively the company retains and expands within its customer base, crucial for long-term growth.

105.00%110.00%115.00%120.00%125.00%Mar 21Jun 21Sep 21Dec 21Mar 22Jun 22Sep 22Dec 22Mar 23Jun 23Sep 23Dec 23Mar 24Jun 24Sep 24Dec 24Mar 25Jun 25Sep 25Dec 25Mar 26Jun 26
Chart Insights

DBNR has declined from its peak into only modest expansion territory, but a recent sequential uptick shows stabilization. That means Braze still grows revenue inside its base, yet each customer is contributing less incremental spend than in prior years. The uptick aligns with Decisioning Studio/AI traction, larger enterprise deals and rising RPO—so upside exists—but realizing it depends on successful scaling of delivery and sales amid margin pressure from premium messaging and rapid hiring risks.

Data provided by:The Fly

Braze (BRZE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-50%-25%0%25%50%75%BRZE+64.70%SPY+15.63%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$5.20B
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
4.47M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-44.8
Beta (1Y)
1.04
Revenue Growth
27.44%
EPS Growth
0.82%
Country
US
Employees
1,988
Sector
Technology
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Software - Application

Braze Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Braze, Inc. operates a global customer engagement platform designed to foster meaningful interactions between consumers and brands. Its comprehensive suite of tools includes robust data ingestion capabilities. These feature Braze software development...

How the Company Makes Money

Braze primarily makes money by selling subscriptions to its cloud-based customer engagement platform (software-as-a-service). Customers typically pay recurring fees to access the platform’s capabilities, with contract value generally influenced by fa...

Braze Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Sep 07, 2026(Q2-2027)|% Change Since:52.10%|Next Earnings Date:Dec 07, 2026
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was strongly positive overall. Braze reported 26% year-over-year revenue growth, improving operating efficiency, record second-quarter free cash flow, healthy large-customer retention, strong bookings and accelerating adoption of its AI products. Management raised third-quarter and full-year revenue guidance and full-year operating income guidance. The main challenges were lower gross margin due to premium messaging and Decisioning Studio headcount, expected third-quarter margin pressure from Forge and events, cRPO moderation from seasonality and ongoing customer migration to new pricing packages. The stated achievements and growth trends significantly outweighed the disclosed challenges.

Positive Updates

Strong Second-Quarter Financial Performance
Revenue increased 26% year-over-year and 8% sequentially to $227 million. Non-GAAP operating income rose to $22 million, or 9.7% of revenue, compared with $6 million, or 3.4% of revenue, in the prior-year quarter. Non-GAAP net income attributable to Braze shareholders was $21 million, or $0.19 per share, versus $17 million, or $0.15 per share, a year ago.

Negative Updates

Year-over-Year Gross Margin Decline
Non-GAAP gross margin declined to 68.6% from 69.3% in the second quarter of the prior year. Management attributed the decrease primarily to high premium messaging volumes and the addition of Decisioning Studio headcount to cost of revenue.

Company Guidance

For the third quarter of fiscal 2027, Braze expects revenue to be in the range of $229 million to $230 million, representing a year-over-year growth rate of approximately 20% at the midpoint; third quarter non-GAAP operating income is expected to be in the range of $16 million to $17 million at the midpoint, implying a non-GAAP operating margin of approximately 7%, while third quarter non-GAAP net income is expected to be $15 million to $16 million and third quarter non-GAAP net income per share in the range of $0.13 to $0.14 per share based on approximately 114.5 million weighted average diluted shares outstanding during the period. For the full fiscal year 2027, total revenue is expected to be in the range of $910 million to $913 million, representing a year-over-year growth rate of approximately 23% at the midpoint; non-GAAP operating income is expected to be in the range of $75.5 million to $76.5 million, implying a non-GAAP operating margin of 8% at the midpoint, non-GAAP net income is expected to be in the range of $72.5 million to $73.5 million, and net income per share is expected to be $0.64 to $0.65 per share based on a full year weighted average diluted share count of approximately 114 million shares; professional services contribution is expected to range between 9% to 10% moving forward, with about 80% of the remaining customer base expected to migrate into the new packages over the next 6 quarters.

Braze Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financials are improving but not fully profitable yet. Revenue growth is very strong with healthy ~66–69% gross margin, and losses have narrowed materially (TTM net margin ~-13.6% vs ~-39.6% in 2023). Balance sheet leverage is conservative (debt-to-equity ~0.16). Cash generation is a key strength with positive and growing TTM free cash flow ($83.6M), though shareholder returns remain negative (TTM ROE ~-18.8%).

Income Statement

62Positive

Balance Sheet

74Positive

Cash Flow

80Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMJan 2026Jan 2025Jan 2024Jan 2023Jan 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue834.24M738.18M593.41M471.80M355.43M238.03M
Gross Profit553.08M495.66M410.22M324.27M239.61M159.52M
EBITDA-86.90M-125.43M-112.04M-137.73M-143.52M-75.56M
Net Income-113.05M-131.29M-103.74M-129.17M-138.97M-76.72M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.13B1.11B871.00M810.94M705.41M666.26M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments409.87M411.92M513.52M476.13M478.67M514.09M
Total Debt96.41M82.65M87.44M90.61M51.28M0
Total Liabilities529.14M489.60M396.25M366.52M258.65M161.44M
Stockholders Equity600.20M623.77M474.86M444.23M445.30M501.58M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow83.58M61.85M23.45M-2.91M-39.01M-39.77M
Operating Cash Flow92.68M71.44M36.68M6.85M-22.31M-35.40M
Investing Cash Flow25.58M-50.91M-36.47M-19.98M-398.52M18.04M
Financing Cash Flow-33.26M22.96M11.70M13.11M11.33M467.91M

Braze Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price46.10

Price Trends

50DMA32.09Positive
100DMA28.57Positive
200DMA24.93Positive

Market Momentum

MACD4.87Negative
RSI83.61Negative
STOCH63.16Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BRZE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 46.10 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 39.15, above the 50-day MA of 32.09, and above the 200-day MA of 24.93, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 4.87 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 83.61 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 63.16 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BRZE.

Braze Risk Analysis

Braze disclosed 61 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Braze reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

2 New Risks
1.We cannot guarantee that our share repurchase program will be fully consummated or that it will enhance long-term stockholder value. Share repurchases could affect the stock price of our Class A common stock and increase its volatility and could diminish our cash reservesQ1, 2026
2.We are exposed to fluctuations in currency exchange rates, which could negatively affect our results of operations.Q1, 2026

Braze Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

BRZE against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
FRSHFRSH82Outperform$3.66B17.8519.50%―15.24%―
BRZEBRZE73Outperform$5.20B-44.76-18.78%―27.44%0.82%
KVYOKVYO72Outperform$6.07B840.750.61%―28.89%―
SPTSPT69Neutral$723.34M-23.95-14.05%―10.73%44.80%
Sector *61Neutral$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
AMPLAMPL61Neutral$2.10B-22.62-46.24%―18.26%-0.63%
CXMCXM60Neutral$1.56B71.474.29%―6.35%-79.74%

* Technology Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%BRZESPTCXMFRSHAMPLKVYODec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
BRZE and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
BRZEBraze, Inc.46.1018.8669.24%
SPTSprout Social Inc Class A10.780.919.22%
CXMSprinklr, Inc.6.84-0.68-9.04%
FRSHFreshworks, Inc. Class A13.262.4122.21%
AMPLAmplitude Inc Class A17.197.2873.46%
KVYOKlaviyo, Inc. Class A21.36-7.44-25.83%

Braze Corporate Events

M&A Transactions

Braze to be acquired by Salesforce in cash deal

Positive
Oct 20, 2026

On October 19, 2026, Braze agreed to be acquired by Salesforce in an all-cash merger that will see Braze become a wholly owned subsidiary through the combination with Banff Acquisition Sub Inc., with each outstanding share of Class A common stock con...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 21, 2026