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Boise Cascade (BCC)
NYSE:BCC

Boise Cascade (BCC) AI Stock Analysis

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Boise Cascade

(NYSE:BCC)

65Neutral
Boise Cascade's overall stock score reflects a balanced view of its financial strength, reasonable valuation, and strategic efforts in shareholder returns. However, the score is moderated by technical weaknesses and a challenging market environment impacting profitability and sales.
Positive Factors
Distribution Business Performance
Distribution’s margin consistency remains a bright spot.
Valuation
The recent pullback in the stock is making valuation attractive.
Negative Factors
Financial Performance
Boise Cascade reported softer than anticipated first quarter results as severe weather, competitive pricing, and slowing starts weighed on both sales price and volume while a planned plant outage further weighed on quarterly margins.
Macroeconomic Environment
Stagnant macro environment limits near term upside, resulting in suppressed demand and volumes.
Wood Products Pricing
There are some risks on the pricing and margin front in Wood Products, particularly if the recently slower activity persists into 2025.

Boise Cascade (BCC) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Boise Cascade Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBoise Cascade Company manufactures wood products and distributes building materials in the United States and Canada. It operates through two segments, Wood Products and Building Materials Distribution. The Wood Products segment manufactures laminated veneer lumber and laminated beams used in headers and beams; I-joists for residential and commercial flooring and roofing systems, and other structural applications; structural, appearance, and industrial plywood panels; and ponderosa pine lumber products. This segment's products are used in new residential construction, residential repair-and-remodeling markets, light commercial construction, and industrial applications. It sells its products to wholesalers, home improvement centers, retail lumberyards, and industrial converters. The Building Materials Distribution segment distributes a line of building materials, including oriented strand boards, plywood, and lumber; general line items, such as siding, composite decking, doors, metal products, insulation, and roofing; and engineered wood products. This segment sells its products to dealers, home improvement centers, and specialty distributors. The company was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in Boise, Idaho.
How the Company Makes MoneyBoise Cascade makes money through its two main business segments: Wood Products and Building Materials Distribution. In the Wood Products segment, the company generates revenue by manufacturing and selling engineered wood products, such as I-joists and laminated veneer lumber, as well as plywood and lumber. These products are used in residential and commercial construction and are sold to wholesalers, retail lumberyards, and industrial customers. In the Building Materials Distribution segment, Boise Cascade earns revenue by distributing a wide range of building materials sourced from various suppliers. This segment includes the sale of products such as roofing, siding, insulation, and other construction materials. The company benefits from strategic partnerships with suppliers and a broad distribution network, which enhance its ability to meet customer demands efficiently. Additionally, Boise Cascade's earnings are influenced by factors such as housing market trends, construction activity levels, and commodity prices, which affect the demand and pricing for its products.

Boise Cascade Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Boise Cascade has a strong financial foundation with effective cost management reflected in its income statement. Despite declining revenue and net profit margins, the company maintains robust gross and EBIT margins. The balance sheet is solid with low leverage, supporting financial stability. Cash flow generation is strong, although there are constraints in capital expenditures that affect liquidity.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Boise Cascade's income statement shows a strong gross profit margin due to effective cost management. However, the net profit margin has decreased from the previous year, reflecting increased operational costs. The revenue growth rate is negative, indicating a decline in sales, primarily due to market fluctuations in the construction materials industry. Despite this, the company maintains a robust EBIT margin, though it's slightly lower than previous periods, suggesting some pressure on profitability.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The balance sheet is solid with a low debt-to-equity ratio, indicating prudent financial management and a strong equity position. The return on equity is declining, reflecting reduced profitability, but remains healthy. The equity ratio is strong, showcasing a well-capitalized balance sheet with sufficient assets to cover liabilities.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Boise Cascade demonstrates strong free cash flow generation, although there is a decline in free cash flow growth. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy, indicating efficient cash generation relative to profitability. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio highlights some capital expenditure constraints impacting cash reserves.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
6.62B6.72B6.84B8.39B7.93B5.47B
Gross Profit
2.49B1.33B1.43B1.91B1.63B938.79M
EBIT
411.49M490.04M624.39M1.16B971.80M335.03M
EBITDA
539.42M669.94M803.01M1.26B1.05B424.45M
Net Income Common Stockholders
312.58M376.35M483.66M857.66M712.49M174.98M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
0.00713.26M949.57M998.34M748.91M405.38M
Total Assets
0.003.37B3.46B3.24B2.57B1.97B
Total Debt
67.64M516.22M529.79M523.08M531.79M531.40M
Net Debt
67.64M-197.04M-419.79M-475.26M-217.12M126.02M
Total Liabilities
1.35B1.22B1.26B1.18B1.22B1.11B
Stockholders Equity
2.13B2.15B2.20B2.06B1.35B850.80M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
187.14M208.75M472.02M927.10M560.47M215.09M
Operating Cash Flow
382.38M438.32M687.46M1.04B666.98M294.52M
Investing Cash Flow
-200.66M-237.82M-375.55M-625.46M-105.59M-78.72M
Financing Cash Flow
-457.96M-436.81M-360.68M-166.33M-217.87M-95.66M

Boise Cascade Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price89.92
Price Trends
50DMA
95.16
Negative
100DMA
106.55
Negative
200DMA
120.65
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.43
Negative
RSI
43.50
Neutral
STOCH
48.74
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BCC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 89.92 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 92.19, below the 50-day MA of 95.16, and below the 200-day MA of 120.65, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.43 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 43.50 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 48.74 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for BCC.

Boise Cascade Risk Analysis

Boise Cascade disclosed 28 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Boise Cascade reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Boise Cascade Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (50)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
VMVMC
78
Outperform
$36.46B39.0612.10%0.68%-2.24%3.00%
EXEXP
76
Outperform
$8.05B17.1533.52%0.42%0.64%-1.15%
76
Outperform
$1.55B15.0214.05%-37.30%32.91%
MLMLM
75
Outperform
$34.25B32.4311.88%0.55%-0.54%-48.61%
JHJHX
68
Neutral
$10.60B24.6121.77%1.26%-17.38%
BCBCC
65
Neutral
$3.43B11.4914.26%0.90%-4.67%-35.04%
50
Neutral
$1.98B-1.08-21.29%3.61%1.96%-30.59%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BCC
Boise Cascade
89.92
-42.45
-32.07%
EXP
Eagle Materials
220.69
-20.61
-8.54%
JHX
James Hardie
24.73
-6.26
-20.20%
MLM
Martin Marietta Materials
563.62
-14.37
-2.49%
VMC
Vulcan Materials
273.33
13.13
5.05%
LOMA
Loma Negra Compania Industrial Argentina Sociedad Anonima
13.13
5.85
80.36%

Boise Cascade Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 05, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -2.76%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 04, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Negative
The earnings call highlighted several significant challenges, including reduced sales and profitability, impacts from planned outages, and a difficult housing market. However, there were positive notes regarding capital allocation and operational progress at key facilities. The sentiment reflects a challenging environment with some strategic progress.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Capital Allocation and Shareholder Returns
Boise Cascade paid $10 million in regular dividends during the quarter and repurchased $71 million of common stock through the first 4 months of 2025, indicating a strong commitment to shareholder returns.
Operational Progress
The Oakdale plywood and veneer facility modernization is progressing on schedule, expected to be fully operational by the end of the second quarter, which should strengthen the EWP franchise.
Improved Sales Velocity in March
March daily sales exceeded $24 million, and April's daily sales pace was approximately 13% higher than the first quarter 2025 sales pace, indicating an improvement in sales activity.
Negative Updates
Decrease in Consolidated Sales and Net Income
Consolidated first-quarter sales of $1.5 billion were down 7% from the first quarter of 2024. Net income was $40.3 million, significantly lower than the $104.1 million in the prior year quarter.
Wood Products Segment Decline
Wood Products sales were down 11% compared to the first quarter of 2024, with segment EBITDA dropping from $95.6 million to $40.2 million, primarily due to lower EWP and plywood sales prices and volumes.
Planned Outages Impact
The planned outage at the Oakdale facility negatively impacted the first quarter results, with a sequential EBITDA impact of $7 million and an expected $5 million impact in the second quarter.
BMD Segment Performance
The BMD segment saw a 7% sales decline, with a 5% decrease in volume and a 2% decrease in price, resulting in a decrease in gross margin dollars and an EBITDA margin decline from 5.6% to 4.5%.
Housing Market Challenges
Total U.S. housing starts decreased by 2%, and single-family housing starts decreased by 6%, contributing to the constrained demand environment.
Company Guidance
During Boise Cascade's First Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, several key metrics and guidance were provided. The company reported consolidated first quarter sales of $1.5 billion, down 7% from the same quarter in 2024. Net income stood at $40.3 million, or $1.06 per share, compared to $104.1 million, or $2.61 per share, in the previous year. Wood Products sales decreased by 11% year-over-year to $415.8 million, with segment EBITDA dropping to $40.2 million from $95.6 million. The Building Materials Distribution (BMD) segment saw a 7% decline in sales to $1.4 billion and a decrease in segment EBITDA to $62.8 million. The company highlighted challenges such as constrained demand, economic uncertainty, and a planned outage at the Oakdale facility, which impacted EBITDA by approximately $8 million and $7 million year-over-year and sequentially, respectively. Looking ahead, Boise Cascade expects EWP volumes to increase by mid- to high single digits sequentially, despite low single-digit sequential declines in EWP pricing due to competitive pressures. The company also anticipates a partial restart at Oakdale and a continued focus on strategic investments and capital returns to shareholders, supported by a strong balance sheet.

Boise Cascade Corporate Events

DividendsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Boise Cascade Declares Quarterly Dividend Announcement
Positive
May 1, 2025

On May 1, 2025, Boise Cascade announced that its board of directors declared a quarterly dividend of $0.21 per share, payable on June 18, 2025, to stockholders of record on June 2, 2025. This decision reflects the company’s ongoing financial strategy and commitment to returning value to shareholders, while future dividends will depend on various financial and operational factors.

Spark’s Take on BCC Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, BCC is a Neutral.

Boise Cascade’s solid financials and reasonable valuation are offset by negative technical indicators and mixed earnings call sentiment. The company’s strong balance sheet and prudent capital management support stability, but declining sales and operational challenges suggest caution. The stock’s current technical weakness indicates potential short-term pressure, despite its long-term value proposition.

To see Spark’s full report on BCC stock, click here.

Private Placements and Financing
Boise Cascade Enters New $450M Credit Agreement
Neutral
Apr 16, 2025

On April 14, 2025, Boise Cascade Company entered into a new Credit Agreement with JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A., and other lenders, establishing a $450 million revolving loan facility. This agreement, which matures in 2030, replaces the previous credit agreement and includes provisions for a swingline sub-facility and a letter of credit sub-facility. The new credit arrangement allows for flexible borrowing and repayment terms based on various interest rate options and is secured by a first priority security interest in most of the company’s assets. At closing, $50 million was borrowed to repay the previous term loan facility, and existing letters of credit were transferred to the new agreement without penalties.

Spark’s Take on BCC Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, BCC is a Neutral.

Boise Cascade’s stock score reflects a balanced view of its financial stability, strategic leadership changes, and modest valuation. However, technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, and operational challenges impact the outlook. Despite solid financial performance and shareholder returns, market conditions and declining sales weigh on the overall score.

To see Spark’s full report on BCC stock, click here.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.