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Best Buy Co (BBY)
NYSE:BBY

Best Buy Co (BBY) AI Stock Analysis

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Best Buy Co

(NYSE:BBY)

69Neutral
Best Buy's overall score of 69 reflects a balanced outlook. Strengths include robust cash flow management and an attractive valuation with a high dividend yield. However, declining revenue and profitability, alongside increasing leverage, pose risks. The technical analysis suggests moderate upward momentum, while mixed earnings call sentiment highlights both opportunities and ongoing challenges. The company's strategic initiatives might drive future growth, yet macroeconomic factors remain a concern.
Positive Factors
Consumer demand
Consumers may be purchasing products before the impact of tariff pricing goes into effect, which should be a near-term tailwind to BBY sales and other retailers that sell consumer electronics.
Earnings performance
The report shows better-than-expected earnings per share for the fourth quarter, driven by strong performance in computing and tablets.
Tariff relief
A late Friday afternoon filing by U.S. Customs & Border Patrol provides what could be significant tariff relief for Best Buy.
Negative Factors
Consumer electronics industry trends
Analyst reiterates an Underperform rating due to challenging consumer electronics industry trends and uncertainty around the impact of tariffs.
Labor cost pressures
Labor rate pressure is anticipated due to investments in dedicated store labor, impacting the first quarter.
Tariff challenges
Best Buy still has about 20% of its sourcing stemming from Mexico where 25% tariffs stand.

Best Buy Co (BBY) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Best Buy Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBest Buy Co., Inc. retails technology products in the United States and Canada. The company operates in two segments, Domestic and International. Its stores provide computing products, such as desktops, notebooks, and peripherals; mobile phones comprising related mobile network carrier commissions; networking products; tablets covering e-readers; smartwatches; and consumer electronics consisting of digital imaging, health and fitness, home theater, portable audio comprising headphones and portable speakers, and smart home products. The company's stores also offer appliances, such as dishwashers, laundry, ovens, refrigerators, blenders, coffee makers, and vacuums; entertainment products consisting of drones, peripherals, movies, music, and toys, as well as gaming hardware and software, and virtual reality and other software products; and other products, such as baby, food and beverage, luggage, outdoor living, and sporting goods. In addition, it provides consultation, delivery, design, health-related, installation, memberships, repair, set-up, technical support, and warranty-related services. The company offers its products through stores and websites under the Best Buy, Best Buy Ads, Best Buy Business, Best Buy Health, CST, Current Health, Geek Squad, Lively, Magnolia, Best Buy Mobile, Pacific Kitchen, Home, and Yardbird, as well as domain names bestbuy.com, currenthealth.com, lively.com, yardbird.com, and bestbuy.ca. As of January 30, 2022, it had 1,144 stores. The company was formerly known as Sound of Music, Inc. The company was incorporated in 1966 and is headquartered in Richfield, Minnesota.
How the Company Makes MoneyBest Buy makes money primarily through the sale of consumer electronics and appliances, both in-store and online. The company generates revenue from its diverse product offerings, which include computing and mobile phones, home theater equipment, entertainment products, and appliances. Additionally, Best Buy earns income from its services segment, which includes warranties, installation, and repair services provided by its Geek Squad division. The company's business model is supported by strategic partnerships with leading technology brands, enabling it to offer exclusive products and promotions. Best Buy's revenue is also influenced by seasonal sales events, such as Black Friday and holiday shopping, which drive significant consumer traffic and sales volume.

Best Buy Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Best Buy's financial performance is characterized by declining revenue and profitability, with decreasing net profit margins and EBIT/EBITDA margins. The balance sheet indicates increasing leverage and reduced returns on equity, presenting financial risks. However, strong cash flow generation supports liquidity, despite fluctuations in capital expenditures.
Income Statement
62
Positive
Best Buy's revenue has experienced a declining trend over the past few years, with a negative growth rate from $51.76 billion in 2022 to $41.53 billion in 2025. The gross profit margin has been relatively stable, hovering around 22.6% in the most recent year. However, the net profit margin has decreased from 4.7% in 2022 to 2.2% in 2025, indicating shrinking profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins have also declined, reflecting pressure on operating performance.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The debt-to-equity ratio has shown a concerning increase, moving from 1.13 in 2021 to 1.44 in 2025, indicating higher leverage and financial risk. The return on equity (ROE) has decreased over the period, from 53.4% in 2022 to 33.0% in 2025, showing reduced returns for shareholders. The equity ratio has remained low, at around 19%, highlighting potential vulnerability in the capital structure.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Operating cash flow has shown a positive trend, increasing from $2.56 billion in 2020 to $2.10 billion in 2025. Free cash flow has also improved significantly, with a notable spike in 2024. The free cash flow to net income ratio has been strong, reflecting efficient cash generation relative to earnings. However, fluctuations in capital expenditures and financing cash flows indicate potential volatility in future cash flow stability.
Breakdown
Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income StatementTotal Revenue
41.53B43.45B46.30B51.76B47.26B
Gross Profit
9.38B9.60B9.91B11.64B10.57B
EBIT
1.26B1.57B1.79B3.04B2.39B
EBITDA
1.26B2.60B2.86B3.88B3.51B
Net Income Common Stockholders
927.00M1.24B1.42B2.45B1.80B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
1.58B1.45B1.87B2.94B5.49B
Total Assets
14.78B14.97B15.80B17.50B19.07B
Total Debt
4.05B3.98B3.98B3.94B4.08B
Net Debt
2.48B2.54B2.10B1.00B-1.41B
Total Liabilities
11.97B11.91B13.01B14.48B14.48B
Stockholders Equity
2.81B3.05B2.79B3.02B4.59B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
1.39B675.00M894.00M2.52B4.21B
Operating Cash Flow
2.10B1.47B1.82B3.25B4.93B
Investing Cash Flow
-704.00M-781.00M-962.00M-1.37B-788.00M
Financing Cash Flow
-1.31B-1.14B-1.81B-4.30B-876.00M

Best Buy Co Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price73.80
Price Trends
50DMA
68.57
Positive
100DMA
76.61
Negative
200DMA
83.08
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
1.49
Negative
RSI
56.14
Neutral
STOCH
63.02
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BBY, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 73.8 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 68.81, above the 50-day MA of 68.57, and below the 200-day MA of 83.08, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.49 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.14 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 63.02 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for BBY.

Best Buy Co Risk Analysis

Best Buy Co disclosed 29 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Best Buy Co reported the most risks in the “Production” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Best Buy Co Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$7.86B7.6920.12%3.00%-5.47%-2.19%
WSWSM
76
Outperform
$21.37B19.7853.91%1.36%-0.50%24.11%
BBBBY
69
Neutral
$15.62B17.2431.63%5.11%-4.43%-24.58%
DGDG
66
Neutral
$20.58B18.2915.89%2.52%4.96%-32.41%
61
Neutral
$6.98B11.352.88%3.90%2.65%-21.84%
61
Neutral
$18.18B18.88%-9.88%-205.57%
GMGME
54
Neutral
$12.73B107.124.19%-27.50%1150.23%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BBY
Best Buy Co
71.60
0.80
1.13%
DG
Dollar General
93.55
-41.63
-30.80%
DLTR
Dollar Tree
86.61
-26.87
-23.68%
GME
GameStop
27.89
4.75
20.53%
VIPS
Vipshop
15.47
-0.63
-3.91%
WSM
Williams-Sonoma
174.28
18.43
11.83%

Best Buy Co Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 04, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: -13.84%|
Next Earnings Date:May 21, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a mixed sentiment with several positive outcomes such as better-than-expected sales and earnings, strong digital sales, and growth in computing and tablets. However, these are counterbalanced by challenges such as sales declines in specific categories, concerns about the impact of tariffs, and a significant impairment charge for Best Buy Health. The company is optimistic about future growth and strategic initiatives but faces uncertainties in the macroeconomic environment.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Better-than-Expected Sales and Earnings
Best Buy reported both better-than-expected sales and earnings for the fourth quarter with enterprise comparable sales growth of 0.5% and revenue of almost $14 billion.
Improved Operating Income Rate
The company delivered an adjusted operating income rate of 4.9%, with a 20 basis points annual adjusted operating income rate expansion on a 2.3% comparable sales decline.
Strong Digital Sales and App Engagement
Digital sales comprised almost 40% of total domestic sales, with the Best Buy app achieving the #1 ranked shopping app position on the Apple App Store on Black Friday, seeing almost 20% traffic growth.
Growth in Computing and Tablets
Best Buy reported better-than-expected domestic comparable sales growth of 9% in the combined computing and tablet categories, with laptop sales growth increasing to 10%.
Improved Customer and Employee Engagement
Enhanced vendor experiences and labor enhancements contributed to a material year-over-year improvement in Net Promoter Score and the lowest employee turnover metrics in 6 years.
Negative Updates
Sales Declines in Certain Categories
Sales growth in computing and tablets was partially offset by declines in appliances, home theater, and gaming categories.
Tariff Concerns and Uncertainty
Recent tariffs enacted on Chinese imports pose a potential negative impact of around 1 point on comparable sales, with ongoing uncertainty about their duration and impact.
Goodwill Impairment Charge
Best Buy recorded a goodwill impairment related to Best Buy Health totaling $475 million, reflecting downward revisions in longer-term projections.
Company Guidance
During Best Buy's Fourth Quarter Fiscal 2025 Earnings Call, the company reported nearly $14 billion in revenue with an adjusted operating income rate of 4.9% and adjusted earnings per share of $2.58. Despite a 2.3% decline in comparable sales, they achieved a 20 basis point increase in annual adjusted operating income rate. Digital sales accounted for almost 40% of total domestic sales, with a 20% growth in app traffic. The company saw substantial growth in computing and tablets, with domestic comparable sales growth of 9% in these categories. Additionally, laptop sales increased by 10% compared to 7% in Q3. Best Buy's fiscal 2026 priorities include driving omnichannel experience improvements, launching and scaling profit streams like Best Buy Marketplace and Best Buy Ads, and enhancing operational effectiveness to fund strategic investments. The company anticipates enterprise revenue between $41.4 billion and $42.2 billion, with comparable sales growth of flat to 2%. They expect gross profit rates to range from flat to an increase of 20 basis points, with capital expenditures projected at $700 million to $750 million.

Best Buy Co Corporate Events

Private Placements and Financing
Best Buy Co Secures New $1.25 Billion Credit Facility
Neutral
Apr 23, 2025

On April 18, 2025, Best Buy Co., Inc. entered into a new $1.25 billion five-year senior unsecured revolving credit facility agreement with U.S. Bank and a syndicate of lenders, replacing a previous facility set to expire in 2028. This new agreement, which terminates in April 2030, maintains similar terms to the previous facility and includes variable interest rates based on Best Buy’s senior unsecured debt rating, along with customary covenants and default provisions.

Spark’s Take on BBY Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, BBY is a Neutral.

Best Buy’s stock score reflects challenges in financial performance, particularly with declining revenue and profitability combined with increased leverage. While the company shows strong cash flow management, technical analysis suggests bearish momentum. The valuation remains reasonable, supported by a healthy dividend yield. Earnings call insights reveal mixed sentiment, with strategic plans for growth offset by current market challenges and financial risks.

To see Spark’s full report on BBY stock, click here.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.