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Applied Digital Corporation (APLD)
NASDAQ:APLD
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Applied Digital Corporation (APLD) AI Stock Analysis

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APLD

Applied Digital Corporation

(NASDAQ:APLD)

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Neutral 53 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
$34.00
▲(11.04% Upside)
The overall stock score of 53 reflects a company with strong technical momentum but significant financial challenges. The most impactful factor is the poor financial performance, with ongoing losses and cash flow inefficiencies. While technical indicators are positive, the valuation is unattractive due to negative earnings. The company's strategic positioning in AI infrastructure offers long-term potential, but short-term financial and operational hurdles weigh heavily on the score.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The significant revenue growth indicates strong demand for Applied Digital's services, suggesting a robust market position and potential for continued expansion.
Long-term Contracts
Long-term contracts provide stable revenue streams and enhance financial predictability, supporting sustainable business growth over time.
Industry Demand
The rising demand for AI infrastructure presents significant growth opportunities for Applied Digital, aligning with industry trends and strategic positioning.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage can increase financial risk and limit flexibility, potentially impacting the company's ability to invest in growth and manage economic downturns.
Negative Cash Flow
Negative cash flow indicates potential liquidity issues, which could hinder the company's ability to fund operations and strategic initiatives without additional financing.
Net Loss
Ongoing net losses highlight operational inefficiencies and profitability challenges, which may affect long-term financial health and investor confidence.

Applied Digital Corporation (APLD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Applied Digital Corporation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionApplied Digital Corporation (APLD) is a technology company focused on providing innovative solutions in the digital infrastructure and blockchain sectors. The company primarily specializes in the development and deployment of high-performance computing resources, particularly for cryptocurrency mining and other data-intensive applications. APLD's core products include advanced data centers and GPU cloud services that cater to clients needing efficient processing power for various digital tasks. The company operates in the rapidly evolving landscape of digital technologies and aims to leverage its expertise to meet the growing demand for scalable computing solutions.
How the Company Makes MoneyApplied Digital Corporation generates revenue through several key channels. Primarily, the company earns income from its data center operations, where it provides hosting services for cryptocurrency miners and other clients requiring substantial computational resources. This includes leasing space and power to customers who need to run their mining rigs. Additionally, APLD offers GPU cloud services that allow clients to access high-performance computing power on-demand, creating a recurring revenue model. The company may also engage in strategic partnerships with blockchain firms and technology providers, enhancing its service offerings and expanding its market reach. These collaborations can lead to shared projects, revenue-sharing agreements, and increased customer acquisition, all contributing to APLD's overall earnings.

Applied Digital Corporation Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Shows how much each business unit contributes to total sales, indicating areas of strength and potential growth or risk depending on market trends and competition.
Chart InsightsApplied Digital's Datacenter Hosting revenue shows steady growth, supported by a transformative 15-year lease with CoreWeave, which is expected to drive substantial future revenue. However, the Cloud Services segment faces uncertainty, with revenues dropping to zero by mid-2025, reflecting ongoing strategic challenges. The earnings call highlights strong momentum in AI infrastructure and a robust financial position, but increased costs and a strategic review of the Cloud Services business present potential risks. Overall, the company's strategic focus on AI workloads and data center expansion is poised to drive long-term growth.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Applied Digital Corporation Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 09, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 20, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a strong focus on expansion and significant revenue growth driven by long-term contracts and strategic financing. However, it also highlighted challenges with increased expenses, net losses, and some financing delays. Overall, while the company shows promising growth and industry positioning, it faces operational and financial hurdles.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Expansion of Long-term Lease Agreements
Applied Digital expanded its lease agreements with CoreWeave, increasing contracted capacity from 250 megawatts to 400 megawatts at the Ellendale, North Dakota campus, resulting in a total contract value of approximately $11 billion.
New Campus Development
Broke ground on Polaris Forge Two near Harwood, North Dakota, initially constructing two buildings totaling 300 megawatts, with potential to scale to one gigawatt. Initial funding secured and construction underway.
Strong Revenue Growth
Revenues for fiscal 2026 were $64.2 million, up 84% from $34.8 million in 2025, primarily due to tenant fit-out services associated with HPC hosting business.
Significant Financing Secured
Secured an initial $112.5 million draw from a $5 billion preferred equity facility with Macquarie Asset Management to advance construction of Polaris Forge One.
Industry Demand for AI Infrastructure
Public hyperscalers are projected to invest over $350 billion in AI data centers this year, highlighting the significant demand and opportunity for Applied Digital.
Negative Updates
Increased SG&A Expenses
SG&A was $29.2 million compared to $11 million, due to increases in stock-based compensation and personnel expenses.
Net Loss
Reported a net loss of $27.8 million or $0.11 per share for the quarter.
Delayed Project Financing
Ongoing finalization of project financing for Polaris Forge One, highlighting potential delays in securing optimal terms.
Challenges in South Dakota
The gating item for South Dakota expansion is obtaining a sales tax exemption for IT equipment, which is not yet resolved.
Company Guidance
During the Applied Digital Fiscal First Quarter 2026 Conference Call, several key metrics and developments were highlighted. The company expanded its long-term lease agreements with CoreWeave, increasing the total contract value from $7 billion to approximately $11 billion over fifteen years, covering 400 megawatts at the Polaris Forge One data center. The construction of Polaris Forge Two, a new campus near Harwood, North Dakota, is underway with an initial development cost projected at $3 billion. The company expects this campus to scale to one gigawatt in the future. Revenue for the quarter was $64.2 million, an 84% increase from the previous year, driven by $26.3 million from tenant fit-out services. The net loss was reported at $27.8 million, or $0.11 per share, while adjusted net loss stood at $7.6 million, or $0.03 per share. The company's active development pipeline includes four gigawatts, with 700 megawatts currently under construction. Additionally, Applied Digital secured an initial $112.5 million draw from a $5 billion preferred equity facility with Macquarie Asset Management to advance construction efforts, ensuring a robust capital structure for future expansions.

Applied Digital Corporation Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Applied Digital Corporation faces significant financial challenges, including negative profitability, high leverage, and cash flow constraints. Despite improvements in gross margin and equity, the company needs to address operational inefficiencies and manage debt levels to stabilize its financial position.
Income Statement
35
Negative
The income statement reflects significant challenges, with negative net income and declining revenue. The company has consistently reported negative EBIT, indicating operational inefficiencies. Notably, gross profit margin has improved in the TTM period to 29.6% from previous years, suggesting some improvement in cost management. However, the company has struggled with profitability, evidenced by persistent negative net profit margins.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.41 in the TTM period, reflecting potential financial risk due to high leverage. The company has significantly increased its assets, which could indicate growth potential. Stockholders' equity has improved, and the equity ratio stands at 26.6%, indicating moderate financial stability. However, the increasing liabilities and debt levels could pose challenges if not managed carefully.
Cash Flow
30
Negative
Cash flow analysis reveals negative operating and free cash flows, signaling liquidity concerns. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating that cash flows are not sufficient to cover net losses. Free cash flow has deteriorated significantly in the TTM period, highlighting increased capital expenditures without corresponding cash inflows. The company needs to improve cash generation to sustain operations.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue219.02M215.51M136.62M55.39M8.55M0.00
Gross Profit31.66M22.70M29.96M11.00M-13.34M-1.00K
EBITDA-151.49M-91.82M-34.16M-36.88M-20.71M-331.00K
Net Income-253.06M-231.06M-149.27M-44.65M-23.52M-568.00K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.40B1.87B762.87M263.96M119.98M15.05M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments73.91M113.92M3.34M43.57M38.80M11.75M
Total Debt700.21M702.88M427.81M91.81M13.54M2.13M
Total Liabilities1.29B1.24B638.04M194.28M40.74M17.64M
Stockholders Equity1.04B633.73M124.83M59.52M72.26M-2.58M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-771.91M-115.40M-128.01M-72.54M-59.12M-3.38M
Operating Cash Flow-121.53M-115.40M13.79M58.73M-872.00K-83.00K
Investing Cash Flow-884.47M-667.65M-172.44M-132.09M-45.87M-3.30M
Financing Cash Flow1.03B874.69M146.76M70.63M81.29M15.13M

Applied Digital Corporation Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price30.62
Price Trends
50DMA
22.13
Positive
100DMA
16.75
Positive
200DMA
11.80
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
3.69
Positive
RSI
56.15
Neutral
STOCH
41.38
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For APLD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 30.62 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 29.53, above the 50-day MA of 22.13, and above the 200-day MA of 11.80, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 3.69 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 56.15 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 41.38 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for APLD.

Applied Digital Corporation Risk Analysis

Applied Digital Corporation disclosed 80 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Applied Digital Corporation reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Applied Digital Corporation Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
$3.69B68.9311.59%49.35%72.05%
69
Neutral
$5.21B19.507.11%1.07%4.94%-18.43%
67
Neutral
$2.91B9.897.08%2.81%3.40%53.13%
62
Neutral
$3.87B102.199.86%6.24%-57.35%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
60
Neutral
$4.58B12.0325.40%1.51%2.23%48.38%
53
Neutral
$10.04B-32.13%15.30%1.87%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
APLD
Applied Digital Corporation
30.62
22.39
272.05%
SAIC
Science Applications
98.11
-44.01
-30.97%
VRRM
Verra Mobility
24.79
-1.66
-6.28%
CNXC
Concentrix
47.32
2.68
6.00%
PAY
Paymentus Holdings
30.22
4.97
19.68%
INGM
Ingram Micro Holding Corporation
21.38
-2.59
-10.81%

Applied Digital Corporation Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Applied Digital Secures $5B Lease for AI Infrastructure
Positive
Oct 22, 2025

On October 22, 2025, Applied Digital Corporation announced a significant lease agreement with a U.S. based investment-grade hyperscaler at its Polaris Forge 2 Campus in North Dakota. This agreement, valued at approximately $5 billion over 15 years, will provide 200 megawatts of critical IT capacity to support AI and HPC infrastructure, with potential for expansion. This development strengthens Applied Digital’s position as a leading builder of AI infrastructure, with a total leased capacity of 600 MW across its North Dakota campuses. The company’s rapid growth and strategic partnerships are reshaping the AI infrastructure landscape, as evidenced by its recent achievements and industry recognitions.

The most recent analyst rating on (APLD) stock is a Buy with a $44.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Applied Digital Corporation stock, see the APLD Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Applied Digital Expands Capital Access with Agreement Amendment
Positive
Oct 21, 2025

On October 21, 2025, Applied Digital Corporation amended its Preferred Equity Purchase Agreement to increase its capital access, raising the commitment for Series G Convertible Preferred Stock from $590 million to $1.590 billion. This amendment supports the continued development of its data centers and includes changes such as increasing the original discount, eliminating the placement agent fee, and adjusting issuance limits. Additionally, the company filed an amendment to its Certificate of Designations to increase authorized shares and adjust the Floor Price, allowing more flexibility in its financial operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (APLD) stock is a Buy with a $44.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Applied Digital Corporation stock, see the APLD Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Applied Digital Raises Floor Price for Preferred Stock
Neutral
Oct 17, 2025

On October 14, 2025, Applied Digital Corporation announced an amendment to its Certificate of Designations for Series G Convertible Preferred Stock, increasing the Floor Price from $22.00 to $34.00. This adjustment in the conversion price floor could impact the company’s financial strategy and investor relations by potentially altering the attractiveness of the convertible stock to investors.

The most recent analyst rating on (APLD) stock is a Buy with a $44.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Applied Digital Corporation stock, see the APLD Stock Forecast page.

Applied Digital’s Earnings Call: Expansion Amid Challenges
Oct 11, 2025

The recent earnings call for Applied Digital Corporation conveyed a dual sentiment of optimism and caution. The company emphasized its robust expansion plans and significant revenue growth, primarily driven by long-term contracts and strategic financing. However, this positive outlook was tempered by challenges such as increased expenses, net losses, and some delays in financing. Overall, while Applied Digital is well-positioned within the industry, it must navigate these operational and financial hurdles to sustain its growth trajectory.

Applied Digital Reports Strong Revenue Growth Amid Challenges
Oct 10, 2025

Applied Digital Corporation, headquartered in Dallas, Texas, designs, builds, and operates high-performance, sustainably engineered data centers and colocation services for artificial intelligence, cloud, networking, and blockchain workloads. The company is recognized for its innovative waterless cooling technology and rapid deployment capabilities.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Applied Digital Secures $112.5M for AI Partnership
Positive
Oct 9, 2025

On October 7, 2025, Applied Digital Corporation announced the closing of its first funding milestone in a $5 billion AI infrastructure partnership with Macquarie Asset Management. The initial funding of $112.5 million will support the development of the Polaris Forge 1 data center campus in North Dakota, which is leased to CoreWeave. This funding is expected to reduce Applied Digital’s equity contributions for future projects and enhance its position as a leading developer in the U.S. data center industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (APLD) stock is a Buy with a $35.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Applied Digital Corporation stock, see the APLD Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Applied Digital Raises Conversion Floor Price to $22
Neutral
Sep 26, 2025

On September 25, 2025, Applied Digital Corporation amended its Certificate of Designations for Series G Convertible Preferred Stock, originally filed earlier in 2025. The amendment increased the Floor Price for conversion from $12.50 to $22.00, impacting the minimum conversion price for the stock, which can only be adjusted at the company’s discretion.

The most recent analyst rating on (APLD) stock is a Buy with a $30.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Applied Digital Corporation stock, see the APLD Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Applied Digital Increases Series G Preferred Stock Authorization
Positive
Sep 12, 2025

On September 11, 2025, Applied Digital Corporation, a company involved in the high-performance computing industry, filed an amendment to increase the number of shares authorized for issuance as Series G Preferred Stock from 156,000 to 204,000 shares. This move is part of the company’s strategy to enhance its financial flexibility and support ongoing projects such as the construction of Polaris Forge 1 and Polaris Forge 2. The amendment reflects the company’s efforts to strengthen its market position and address the evolving needs of artificial intelligence and high-performance computing infrastructure.

The most recent analyst rating on (APLD) stock is a Buy with a $18.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Applied Digital Corporation stock, see the APLD Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Applied Digital Expands AI Infrastructure with New Lease
Positive
Aug 29, 2025

On August 28, 2025, Applied Digital announced a new lease agreement with CoreWeave for an additional 150MW at its Polaris Forge 1 Campus in North Dakota, increasing the total critical IT capacity to 400MW. This expansion is part of Applied Digital’s strategy to enhance its AI infrastructure capabilities, with the new data center expected to be operational by mid-2027. The company anticipates approximately $11 billion in contracted lease revenue, reinforcing North Dakota’s role in the digital economy and supporting Applied Digital’s mission to transform regional resources into economic opportunities.

The most recent analyst rating on (APLD) stock is a Buy with a $20.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Applied Digital Corporation stock, see the APLD Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Applied Digital Expands Capital for Data Center Project
Positive
Aug 15, 2025

On August 14, 2025, Applied Digital Corporation amended its preferred equity purchase agreement to increase its capital access for the development of its Polaris Forge I data center in North Dakota. The amendment raises the commitment for Series G Convertible Preferred Stock from $150 million to $300 million and removes previous capital limitations, enhancing the company’s financial flexibility for its ongoing projects.

The most recent analyst rating on (APLD) stock is a Buy with a $10.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Applied Digital Corporation stock, see the APLD Stock Forecast page.

Applied Digital’s Earnings Call: Growth Amid Challenges
Aug 1, 2025

The recent earnings call of Applied Digital Corporation was a mixed bag of optimism and caution. The company showcased its significant achievements in securing major lease agreements and boosting revenue, which are positive indicators of growth. However, these were tempered by increased expenses and net losses, presenting challenges that the company must navigate. Despite the complexities in lease negotiations, Applied Digital’s strategic efforts in expansion and financing position them favorably for future growth.

Applied Digital’s 2025 Earnings Highlight AI Expansion
Jul 31, 2025

Applied Digital Corporation, a company specializing in designing, building, and operating next-generation digital infrastructure for high-performance computing and data center hosting, has released its financial results for the fiscal fourth quarter and full year 2025. The company, known for its innovative data center solutions, operates primarily in the technology sector, focusing on AI and HPC applications.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 11, 2025