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Paymentus Holdings (PAY)
NYSE:PAY
US Market
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Paymentus Holdings (PAY) AI Stock Analysis

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PAY

Paymentus Holdings

(NYSE:PAY)

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Outperform 72 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$33.00
▼(-16.31% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:09/24/26
The score is primarily driven by strong financial quality (growth, improving profitability, solid free cash flow, and minimal leverage) and a very constructive earnings update with raised guidance and operating leverage. These positives are partly offset by weak current technical momentum (price below key moving averages, negative MACD) and a premium valuation (P/E ~44.7 with no dividend yield).
Positive Factors
Strong revenue and earnings growth
Paymentus has demonstrated substantial multi-year revenue scaling while moving from a small loss in 2022 to meaningful profitability. This combination of expanding sales and improving earnings supports durable operating momentum and provides a stronger base for continued investment in the platform.
Negative Factors
Contribution margin pressure from enterprise mix
A growing enterprise mix can expand transaction volumes but may dilute contribution margins when larger customers carry different economics. If this mix shift persists, Paymentus may need continued efficiency gains and scale benefits to prevent revenue growth from translating into proportionally slower profit expansion.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong revenue and earnings growth
Paymentus has demonstrated substantial multi-year revenue scaling while moving from a small loss in 2022 to meaningful profitability. This combination of expanding sales and improving earnings supports durable operating momentum and provides a stronger base for continued investment in the platform.
Read all positive factors

Paymentus Holdings Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
How revenue is distributed across regions (domestic vs. international or by country), indicating where demand, regulatory exposure, or competitive strength lies. Helps assess concentration risk, growth opportunities in new markets, and the impact of local economic conditions on future revenue.
Chart InsightsRevenue is overwhelmingly U.S.-driven and has accelerated materially since 2024 while ‘Other’ remains an immaterial contributor, concentrating both upside and risk in the domestic market and enterprise biller mix. Management’s Q1 beat, higher revenue-per-transaction and raised guidance validate U.S. momentum, and the new Billio/Bill Wallet could monetize interchange and lift margins over time; near-term risks are contribution-margin compression, growing interchange expense, and seasonality/onboarding execution.
Data provided by:The Fly

Paymentus Holdings (PAY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Paymentus Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Paymentus Holdings, Inc. delivers cloud-native technological solutions aimed at streamlining bill payments. Through its Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) platform, the company equips organizations (referred to as "billers") with services for electronic...
How the Company Makes Money
Paymentus primarily makes money by charging billers for the use of its platform to present bills and process payments across multiple channels. Its revenue model is largely transaction-driven: as end customers make bill payments through Paymentus-...

Paymentus Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 03, 2026
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 09, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call highlighted strong, broad-based growth with record revenue, substantial adjusted EBITDA expansion, healthy transaction growth, robust cash generation, and raised full‑year guidance. Management emphasized durable operating leverage, faster onboarding, a sizable backlog and positive early traction for AI offerings (Billeo/BillWallet). Areas of caution included modest contribution margin compression due to customer mix, an increase in operating expenses to support sales and marketing, quarter-to-quarter variability in revenue-per-transaction, and potential margin effects from volume discounts for large enterprise deals. On balance, the positives (record financials, margin expansion, cash flow, raised guidance, diversified bookings and product innovation) materially outweighed the limited operational and mix-related headwinds.
Positive Updates
Record Revenue Growth
Q2 2026 revenue of $360.7M, up 28.8% year-over-year and a record for the company.
Negative Updates
Contribution Margin Compression
Contribution margin declined to 32.7% in Q2 from 33.4% in the prior year period, reflecting customer mix shifts toward larger, higher-volume enterprise billers.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Negative
Record Revenue Growth
Q2 2026 revenue of $360.7M, up 28.8% year-over-year and a record for the company.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Paymentus raised its 2026 outlook after a strong Q2, guiding Q3 revenue of $353M–$363M (≈15.2% YoY at the midpoint, 16.8% at the high end), contribution profit of $112M–$115M (≈15.5% YoY midpoint, 17% high end) and adjusted EBITDA of $40M–$45M (≈18.5% YoY midpoint, 25.5% high end) implying adjusted EBITDA margins of ~37.4%–39.1%. For full-year 2026 it now expects revenue of $1.443B–$1.458B (≈21.2% YoY midpoint, 21.9% high end), contribution profit of $460M–$465M (≈19.7% YoY midpoint, 20.4% high end) and adjusted EBITDA of $175M–$185M (≈31.0% YoY midpoint, 34.6% high end), which implies contribution‑profit margins of ~38.9%–39.8%, a non‑GAAP tax rate of 25% and a Rule of 40 around 59%–60% at the midpoint/high end. Management cited strong bookings, a substantial backlog and disciplined, high‑confidence guidance.

Paymentus Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong multi-year revenue scaling with improving profitability (TTM net income ~$84.9M) and solid cash generation (TTM FCF ~$149.7M). Balance sheet strength is a major positive with very low debt and growing equity, though margins are moderate and somewhat variable.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
90
Very Positive
Cash Flow
84
Very Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.36B1.20B871.75M614.49M497.00M395.52M
Gross Profit339.38M296.34M238.17M182.34M149.68M121.38M
EBITDA153.01M126.33M90.43M55.72M22.75M23.67M
Net Income84.88M66.94M44.17M22.32M-513.00K9.30M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets725.37M667.88M576.25M504.86M461.54M472.94M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments379.70M324.54M205.90M179.36M147.33M168.39M
Total Debt8.83M11.41M8.41M10.51M12.63M11.18M
Total Liabilities111.95M107.50M90.65M75.25M64.36M86.81M
Stockholders Equity613.42M560.39M485.60M429.62M397.18M386.13M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow159.14M161.77M63.18M34.53M-11.43M-916.00K
Operating Cash Flow159.52M162.13M63.63M68.83M19.87M19.49M
Investing Cash Flow-37.33M-36.52M-36.76M-34.30M-34.56M-77.81M
Financing Cash Flow-12.29M-10.58M-207.00K-1.20M-37.28M213.49M

Paymentus Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price39.43
Price Trends
50DMA
35.92
Negative
100DMA
30.62
Positive
200DMA
28.66
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.12
Negative
RSI
43.93
Neutral
STOCH
76.74
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PAY, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 39.43 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 32.47, above the 50-day MA of 35.92, and above the 200-day MA of 28.66, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.12 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 43.93 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 76.74 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for PAY.

Paymentus Holdings Risk Analysis

Paymentus Holdings disclosed 47 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Paymentus Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Paymentus Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$4.01B47.5814.80%―30.21%50.31%
70
Outperform
$5.14B23.1215.06%―7.03%-8.05%
68
Neutral
$420.49M39.192.53%―-8.15%-91.81%
62
Neutral
$644.11M11.32-59.14%―8.91%162.25%
60
Neutral
$79.22M-50.18-8.20%―10.40%-152.86%
55
Neutral
$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PAY
Paymentus Holdings
31.88
3.23
11.27%
ACIW
ACI Worldwide
50.87
-0.13
-0.25%
USIO
Usio
2.78
1.37
97.16%
IIIV
I3 Verticals
15.98
-15.05
-48.50%
PRTH
Priority Technology Holdings
7.81
0.51
6.99%

Paymentus Holdings Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Paymentus Holdings appoints new Accel-KKR board representative
Neutral
Jul 23, 2026
On July 22, 2026, Paymentus Holdings disclosed that director Adam Malinowski, originally nominated by private equity firm Accel-KKR, notified the board of his intention to resign, effective July 23, 2026, with the company stating his departure did...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 24, 2026