tiprankstipranks
AMTD IDEA Group (AMTD)
NYSE:AMTD
US Market
Want to see AMTD full AI Analyst Report?

AMTD IDEA Group (AMTD) AI Stock Analysis

187 Followers

Top Page

AMTD

AMTD IDEA Group

(NYSE:AMTD)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 60 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
$1.00
▼(-2.91% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/05/26
The score is driven primarily by mixed financial performance—acceptable leverage and equity growth but weaker cash-flow quality, compressed ROE, and volatile revenue—tempered by neutral-to-weak technicals. Valuation is a key positive due to the extremely low P/E, though it may be less reliable given potential earnings distortions.
Positive Factors
Balance-sheet resilience
Meaningful equity growth and moderate leverage (debt/equity ~0.17) increase balance-sheet resilience, providing capital buffer and borrowing flexibility to fund acquisitions and weather volatility. This supports the firm's capacity to execute strategic investments and maintain operations over the next several months.
Negative Factors
Weak operating cash conversion
Operating cash flow materially weakened in 2024–2025 and coverage relative to net income fell well below 1. Poor cash conversion limits internal funding for capex, debt service and distributions, forcing reliance on external financing and constraining strategic flexibility in the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Balance-sheet resilience
Meaningful equity growth and moderate leverage (debt/equity ~0.17) increase balance-sheet resilience, providing capital buffer and borrowing flexibility to fund acquisitions and weather volatility. This supports the firm's capacity to execute strategic investments and maintain operations over the next several months.
Read all positive factors

AMTD IDEA Group (AMTD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

AMTD IDEA Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
AMTD IDEA Group, an investment holding company, engages in investment banking activities in Hong Kong, Mainland China, the United States, and internationally. The company operates through three segments: Investment Banking, Asset Management, and S...
How the Company Makes Money
AMTD IDEA Group’s revenues primarily come from fees and commissions generated by its financial services businesses. Key revenue streams have historically included: (1) investment banking and corporate finance advisory fees (e.g., sponsor work, und...

AMTD IDEA Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mixed fundamentals: balance sheet leverage is manageable and equity has grown, but operating cash flow weakened materially in 2024–2025 and cash conversion vs. net income is low. Revenue was volatile with a multi-year decline before a modest 2025 rebound, and ROE has compressed to low single digits, raising earnings-quality concerns despite unusually high reported margins.
Income Statement
62
Positive
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
Cash Flow
44
Neutral
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue54.07M57.21M54.07M171.81M1.36B1.39B
Gross Profit24.45M24.92M24.45M184.41M1.06B97.70M
EBITDA62.93M91.47M75.49M102.06M1.22B1.35B
Net Income51.04M43.60M51.04M142.99M1.23B1.23B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.07B2.30B2.07B1.49B8.27B6.69B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments87.86M59.40M87.86M120.23M1.08B526.26M
Total Debt283.49M292.42M283.49M96.55M20.58M64.24M
Total Liabilities369.89M385.38M369.89M193.02M454.49M898.05M
Stockholders Equity1.59B1.74B1.59B1.29B7.57B5.77B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow5.15M17.09M5.15M39.91M209.13M434.80M
Operating Cash Flow5.16M17.84M5.16M39.98M209.15M434.80M
Investing Cash Flow-45.34M-174.97M-45.34M-266.97M-576.43M-358.70M
Financing Cash Flow-17.34M145.47M-17.34M209.35M916.97M-6.66M

AMTD IDEA Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1.03
Price Trends
50DMA
1.01
Positive
100DMA
1.01
Positive
200DMA
1.05
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Negative
RSI
52.71
Neutral
STOCH
62.96
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AMTD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1.03 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.01, above the 50-day MA of 1.01, and below the 200-day MA of 1.05, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 52.71 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 62.96 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AMTD.

AMTD IDEA Group Risk Analysis

AMTD IDEA Group disclosed 66 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. AMTD IDEA Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 3 New Risks
1.
Our financial information prepared under U.S. GAAP may not be comparable to our financial information prepared under IFRS. Q4, 2023
2.
We may have exposure to greater than anticipated tax liabilities. Q4, 2023
3.
We face significant competition in all aspects of our business. Q4, 2023

AMTD IDEA Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$1.55B9.1714.73%13.53%4.03%-16.92%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
65
Neutral
$826.49M12.955.84%13.64%-8.63%-30.41%
60
Neutral
$1.49B0.392.65%5.78%-10.74%
56
Neutral
$749.87M14.594.42%13.63%15.30%-48.57%
54
Neutral
$739.56M-4.83%14.17%-24.31%-157.16%
52
Neutral
$1.03B13.465.14%17.34%14.92%48.21%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AMTD
AMTD IDEA Group
1.02
-0.07
-6.42%
NMFC
New Mountain Finance
7.83
-1.54
-16.41%
PFLT
Pennantpark
8.09
-0.98
-10.77%
GSBD
Goldman Sachs BDC
8.86
-0.87
-8.98%
CGBD
Carlyle Secured Lending Inc
10.64
-1.69
-13.69%
TRIN
Trinity Capital
16.88
4.46
35.91%

AMTD IDEA Group Corporate Events

AMTD IDEA Group Explores Stock Dividend Distribution of Listed Subsidiaries
Apr 8, 2026
On April 8, 2026, AMTD IDEA Group said it plans to declare and distribute stock dividends in the form of shares of its listed subsidiaries to its shareholders and ADS holders, in a move that could unlock value across its expanding ecosystem of pub...
AMTD IDEA to Acquire London Office Tower and Hornsey Hospitality Assets in US$87.7 Million Deal
Mar 10, 2026
On March 10, 2026, AMTD IDEA Group announced it had entered a term sheet with FEC Property Holdings (UK) and FEC Finance to buy an office building at 40 Furnival Street in London for about US$24 million and amend payment terms for previously agree...
AMTD Digital’s TGE Closes US$69 Million Tribeca Hotel Acquisition and Rebrands as AMTD IDEA Tribeca Hotel
Mar 9, 2026
AMTD Digital’s subsidiary The Generation Essentials Group has completed the US$69 million acquisition of the former Hilton Garden Inn in New York’s Tribeca district, with the deal disclosed in a March 9, 2026 filing. The property at 39...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 05, 2026