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AP Moller - Maersk
(OTC:AMKBY)
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Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
$17.00
â–²(31.78% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/17/26
AMKBY scores in the mid-range primarily due to solid underlying financial quality (strong balance sheet and positive cash generation) but clear cyclicality and materially lower margins/returns versus the prior peak cycle. The earnings call meaningfully supports the score via upgraded 2026 guidance and positive free-cash-flow expectations, while technicals are trend-positive but overbought. Valuation is the key drag given the high P/E for a cyclical shipper despite a modest dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Conservative leverage and balance-sheet resilience
Low leverage and a substantial equity base give Maersk flexibility to absorb freight-cycle downturns, fund vessels and terminals, and pursue logistics investments without relying heavily on external financing.
Negative Factors
Normalized margins and cyclical earnings power
The sharp margin decline from peak-cycle levels shows that profitability remains highly sensitive to freight pricing, capacity conditions, and utilization. This limits the predictability of earnings despite positive current cash generation.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Conservative leverage and balance-sheet resilience
Low leverage and a substantial equity base give Maersk flexibility to absorb freight-cycle downturns, fund vessels and terminals, and pursue logistics investments without relying heavily on external financing.
Read all positive factors
AP Moller - Maersk (AMKBY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$47.33B
Dividend Yield2.28%
Average Volume (3M)85.75K
Price to Earnings (P/E)21.4
Beta (1Y)0.78
Revenue Growth-1.27%
EPS Growth-64.83%
CountryUS
Employees107,638
SectorIndustrials
Sector Strength72
IndustryMarine Shipping
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.80
Shares Outstanding1,021,868,000
10 Day Avg. Volume65,339
30 Day Avg. Volume85,748
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-0.24
Price to Book (P/B)0.63
Price to Sales (P/S)0.65
P/FCF Ratio7.02
Enterprise Value/Market Cap<0.01
Enterprise Value/Revenue<0.01
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit<0.01
Enterprise Value/Ebitda<0.01
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)1.52
Revenue Forecast (FY)$59.75B
AP Moller - Maersk Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S, often simply known as Maersk, is a global leader in integrated transportation and logistics solutions. Its Ocean division primarily handles containerized freight, delivering an array of associated services. These include c...
How the Company Makes Money
Maersk generates revenue mainly by providing transportation and logistics services to businesses moving goods globally.
Key revenue streams include:
- Ocean transportation (container shipping): Maersk earns freight revenue by carrying customers’ ...
AP Moller - Maersk Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Aug 13, 2026
(Q2-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed a predominantly positive operational and financial picture: strong top‑line growth (revenues +20% YoY), improved profitability (EBITDA $3.0bn), positive free cash flow, and an upgraded full‑year guidance. These positives were supported by operational agility (Gemini efficiencies, 96% utilization) and momentum in Logistics & Services and Terminals. Material challenges were also emphasized: persistent and structural landside bottlenecks and trade imbalances, elevated bunker costs (+44% YoY) that trimmed earnings, increased working capital, and a low‑margin Solutions subsegment. While these headwinds are meaningful and imply ongoing volatility, they do not outweigh the quarter’s strong financial and operational achievements and the upgraded outlook.Positive Updates
Strong Revenue and Profit Growth
Total revenue of $15.8 billion, up 20% year‑on‑year; Group EBITDA of $3.0 billion and EBIT of $1.6 billion for the quarter.
Negative Updates
Widening Trade Imbalances and Persistent Congestion
Far East headhaul growth has outpaced backhaul, creating imbalanced flows and sustained congestion in regions including Europe, East Coast South America, West Africa and the Middle East; cumulative headhaul growth from Far East ~25% since 2024 vs global terminal capacity growth ~10% over same period.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Strong Revenue and Profit Growth
Total revenue of $15.8 billion, up 20% year‑on‑year; Group EBITDA of $3.0 billion and EBIT of $1.6 billion for the quarter.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Maersk upgraded its 2026 full‑year outlook, now targeting underlying EBITDA of $10.5–$12.5 billion and underlying EBIT of $4.5–$6.5 billion and reiterating a positive free cash flow expectation, based on an assumed container market volume growth of ~4% and strong H1 performance (Q2 revenue $15.8bn; Q2 EBITDA $3.0bn; Q2 EBIT $1.6bn; Q2 free cash flow $549m). Cumulative CapEx guidance remains unchanged at $10–$11bn for 2025–26 (and the same for 2026–27). Management cited supporting operational and financial metrics behind the upgrade including Ocean loaded rates +22% YoY (+32% QoQ), loaded volumes +4.1% to 3.4m FFE, network utilization at 96%, Gemini cost benefits of about $950m, operating cash flow strength and cash & deposits of $18.5bn (net cash ~$1.5bn); they noted the upside to the range if congestion endures and the downside if congestion meaningfully eases (e.g., around Golden Week/early Q4).AP Moller - Maersk Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
56
Neutral
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
Cash Flow
66
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 56.26B | 53.99B | 55.48B | 51.06B | 81.53B | 61.79B |
| Gross Profit | 11.72B | 9.44B | 12.11B | 3.87B | 31.32B | 19.81B |
| EBITDA | 9.68B | 10.17B | 12.72B | 11.37B | 36.96B | 24.48B |
| Net Income | 2.29B | 2.73B | 6.11B | 3.82B | 29.20B | 17.94B |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 87.91B | 88.35B | 87.70B | 82.58B | 93.68B | 72.27B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 18.49B | 10.32B | 24.04B | 6.70B | 11.00B | 11.84B |
| Total Debt | 17.47B | 18.92B | 16.48B | 14.81B | 15.64B | 15.34B |
| Total Liabilities | 31.54B | 31.66B | 29.75B | 27.49B | 28.65B | 26.68B |
| Stockholders Equity | 55.23B | 55.58B | 56.92B | 54.03B | 63.99B | 44.51B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 4.37B | 4.96B | 7.21B | 6.00B | 30.31B | 19.05B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 8.73B | 9.76B | 11.41B | 9.64B | 34.48B | 22.02B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -1.54B | 495.00M | -7.92B | 4.08B | -21.62B | -8.34B |
| Financing Cash Flow | -7.14B | -7.87B | -3.50B | -16.80B | -14.13B | -7.90B |
AP Moller - Maersk Technical Analysis
Positive
12.90
Price Trends
13.01
Positive
12.52
Positive
11.96
Positive
Market Momentum
0.77
Negative
73.88
Negative
92.05
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AMKBY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 12.9 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 13.62, below the 50-day MA of 13.01, and above the 200-day MA of 11.96, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.77 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 73.88 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 92.05 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AMKBY.
AP Moller - Maersk Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
83 Outperform | $2.66B | 4.90 | 13.97% | 2.57% | 2.45% | 21.62% | |
82 Outperform | $2.35B | 6.95 | 10.71% | 0.27% | 5.87% | 8.14% | |
73 Outperform | $6.58B | 14.61 | 16.94% | 0.68% | -0.16% | 0.55% | |
66 Neutral | $47.33B | 21.41 | 4.11% | 2.85% | -1.27% | -64.83% | |
65 Neutral | $1.81B | 5.71 | 15.97% | 2.99% | -52.60% | 11.51% | |
63 Neutral | $10.79B | 15.43 | 7.44% | 2.01% | 2.89% | -14.66% | |
40 Underperform | $3.47B | 35.13 | 2.48% | 7.99% | -29.06% | -95.84% |
* Industrials Sector Average
AMKBY
AP Moller - Maersk
16.14
5.61
53.24%
CMRE
Costamare
14.93
4.22
39.34%
DAC
Danaos
145.30
56.12
62.93%
NMM
Navios Maritime Partners
82.72
39.75
92.50%
MATX
Matson
218.28
113.72
108.76%
ZIM
ZIM
28.49
13.74
93.18%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.