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Alexander's (ALX) AI Stock Analysis

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ALX

Alexander's

(NYSE:ALX)

Select Model
Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:$247.00â–¼(-1.18% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/04/26

Overall score reflects meaningful financial risk: high leverage and a TTM reversal to negative operating and free cash flow weigh heavily despite improving TTM revenue growth and strong reported profitability. Technicals are also weak with the stock below major moving averages. Valuation is a clear positive, supported by a low P/E and high dividend yield, partially offsetting the financial and trend concerns.

Positive Factors
Lease-based recurring revenueLease-based rental income gives Alexander’s a recurring operating model tied to occupied commercial space rather than transactional sales. Its ownership, management, development, and leasing activities can support continued property-level income and provide a foundation for distributable cash flow over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
High financial leverageHeavy leverage reduces financial resilience because debt obligations remain substantial relative to the equity base. A weaker operating period or decline in property values could amplify pressure on returns, refinancing flexibility, and capital allocation, making the balance sheet a persistent risk over the coming quarters.

Alexander's (ALX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-10%0%10%20%30%40%ALX+16.13%SPY+15.63%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$1.23B
Dividend Yield
7.20%
Average Volume (3M)
43.44K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
6.7
Beta (1Y)
0.56
Revenue Growth
8.15%
EPS Growth
421.08%
Country
US
Employees
103
Sector
Real Estate
Sector Strength
65
Industry
REIT - Retail

Alexander's Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Alexander’s, Inc. is a real estate investment trust (REIT) engaged in leasing, managing, developing and redeveloping properties. Alexander’s activities are conducted through its manager, Vornado Realty Trust. Alexander’s has five properties in the gr...

How the Company Makes Money

Alexander's makes money primarily through real estate leasing revenue from its portfolio of commercial properties. Its core revenue stream is rental income earned under leases with tenants occupying its office and retail space; this typically include...

Alexander's Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 09, 2025(Q4-2024)|% Change Since:44.84%|Next Earnings Date:Feb 14, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentNeutral

The earnings call highlighted strong leasing activity, significant stock price increase, and successful redevelopment projects, particularly in the Penn District. However, the call also acknowledged a decline in comparable FFO, a slightly negative outlook for 2025, and the impact of high short-term interest rates on financial performance. Overall, the highlights suggest confidence in long-term growth, while the lowlights indicate short-term financial challenges.

Positive Updates

Strong Leasing Activity in New York
Leased 3.34 million square feet overall, including 2.65 million square feet of New York office space with starting rents at $104, showing 2.5% cash and 10.9% GAAP mark-to-market.

Negative Updates

Decline in Comparable FFO
Comparable FFO was $2.26 per share for the year, down from 2023, due to lower NOI from known move-outs and higher net interest expense.

Company Guidance

During the Vornado Realty Trust Fourth Quarter 2024 Earnings Conference Call, management highlighted several key metrics reflecting the company's positive trajectory. The company achieved a 49% increase in stock price for 2024, following a 35% rise in 2023. Leasing activity was robust, with 3.34 million square feet leased, including 2.65 million square feet of New York office space at an average starting rent of $104 per square foot. The office occupancy rate increased to 88.8%, and is expected to rise to 92.1% with the upcoming NYU master lease at 770 Broadway. Vornado also achieved 100% LEED certification across its portfolio. The company anticipates significant earnings growth by 2027, driven by positive market dynamics and leasing activity, despite predicting slightly lower results for 2025 compared to 2024.

Alexander's Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Income statement is solid (TTM revenue growth +8.7% and very strong reported margins), but the balance sheet is highly leveraged (debt-to-equity ~4.3x–8.6x historically) and TTM cash flow has deteriorated sharply with negative operating cash flow and free cash flow (about -$20.8M and -$27.3M). Strong headline earnings are offset by leverage risk and near-term cash pressure.

Income Statement

74Positive

Balance Sheet

48Neutral

Cash Flow

34Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue233.43M213.18M226.37M224.96M205.81M206.15M
Gross Profit132.30M34.24M226.37M123.75M205.81M206.15M
EBITDA273.08M117.99M144.16M119.12M117.69M184.86M
Net Income191.25M28.22M43.44M102.41M57.63M132.93M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.20B1.11B1.34B1.40B1.40B1.39B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments299.79M128.17M338.53M531.86M461.90M463.54M
Total Debt837.16M943.07M1.10B1.09B1.09B1.09B
Total Liabilities970.42M1.00B1.16B1.17B1.16B1.14B
Stockholders Equity227.89M109.16M176.86M237.66M236.50M252.59M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-27.31M73.44M54.11M109.11M102.55M118.47M
Operating Cash Flow-20.83M73.44M54.11M109.11M102.55M118.47M
Investing Cash Flow391.97M-20.79M-13.22M321.81M-279.27M75.46M
Financing Cash Flow-274.13M-254.27M-200.03M-92.42M-92.31M-160.29M

Alexander's Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price249.96

Price Trends

50DMA249.22Positive
100DMA258.52Negative
200DMA246.85Positive

Market Momentum

MACD0.34Negative
RSI54.54Neutral
STOCH34.76Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ALX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 249.96 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 243.05, above the 50-day MA of 249.22, and above the 200-day MA of 246.85, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.34 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.54 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 34.76 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ALX.

Alexander's Risk Analysis

Alexander's disclosed 37 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Alexander's reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

Alexander's Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)

Financial Indicators

ALX against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
SPGSPG83Outperform$71.86B16.16109.38%3.89%15.01%-25.41%
FRTFRT76Outperform$9.66B22.6513.38%3.97%7.77%27.04%
Sector *65Neutral$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
AKRAKR65Neutral$2.69B71.551.99%4.03%-0.29%120.06%
UEUE61Neutral$2.75B25.478.07%3.88%5.50%-6.54%
ALXALX56Neutral$1.23B6.71180.64%7.20%8.15%421.08%
MACMAC54Neutral$7.29B-70.00-6.63%2.63%9.48%45.78%

* Real Estate Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%20%40%ALXMACSPGAKRFRTUEDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
ALX and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
ALXAlexander's Inc249.9638.2118.04%
MACMacerich Company25.909.0653.77%
SPGSimon Property Group228.5055.7632.28%
AKRAcadia Realty Trust19.870.713.68%
FRTFederal Realty Investment Trust114.6322.6924.68%
UEUrban Edge Properties21.113.1217.32%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 04, 2026