TVAL - ETF AI Analysis

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T. Rowe Price Value ETF (TVAL)

Rating:73Outperform

Price Target:―

TVAL, the T. Rowe Price Value ETF, earns a solid overall rating thanks to its heavy exposure to high-quality leaders like Microsoft and Apple, which bring strong financial performance, growth in areas like cloud and services, and generally supportive technical trends. Additional support comes from diversified holdings such as Johnson & Johnson, Chubb, and ConocoPhillips, which add stability through robust profitability and cash flow, though names like Procter & Gamble and JPMorgan face valuation, technical, and cash flow challenges that modestly weigh on the fund. The main risk factor is the concentration in a handful of large, premium-valued companies, which could make the ETF more sensitive to shifts in sentiment toward big tech and other major holdings.

Positive Factors

Strong Recent Performance

The ETF has delivered strong gains so far this year and over the past three months, showing solid recent momentum.

Broad Sector Diversification

Holdings are spread across many sectors, including financials, technology, health care, industrials, and consumer stocks, which helps reduce the impact of weakness in any single area.

Multiple Strong Top Holdings

Several of the largest positions, such as Apple, Bank of America, Exxon Mobil, and CSX, have shown strong year-to-date performance, supporting the fund’s overall results.

Negative Factors

Heavy U.S. Concentration

Almost all of the ETF’s assets are invested in U.S. companies, offering very little geographic diversification outside the United States.

Meaningful Exposure to a Weak Top Holding

Microsoft, one of the larger positions in the fund, has shown weak year-to-date performance, which can drag on overall returns if the stock continues to struggle.

Moderate Expense Ratio

The ETF’s expense ratio is not especially low, so investors should be aware that fees will take a noticeable, though not extreme, bite out of long-term returns.

TVAL vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

AUM1.09B

RegionNorth America

Expense Ratio0.33%

Beta0.73

IssuerT. Rowe Price

Inception DateJun 14, 2023

Dividend Yield0.94%

Asset ClassEquity

Index TrackedNo Underlying Index

Share Statistics

EPS (TTM)N/A

Shares OutstandingN/A

10 Day Avg. Volume123,866

30 Day Avg. Volume93,188

Financial Highlights & Ratios

PEG RatioN/A

Price to Book (P/B)N/A

Price to Sales (P/S)N/A

P/FCF RatioN/A

Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A

Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A

Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A

Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A

Forecast

1Y Price Target

49.48

Price Target Upside― Downside

Rating ConsensusModerate Buy

Number of Analyst Covering146

EPS Forecast (FY)N/A

Revenue Forecast (FY)N/A

TVAL Summary

The T. Rowe Price Value ETF (TVAL) is an exchange-traded fund that focuses on large U.S. companies that its managers believe are undervalued. It doesn’t track a fixed index, but instead follows a value-investing approach, picking strong businesses with solid earnings and cash flow. The fund holds many well-known names like Amazon and Apple, and spreads investments across sectors such as financials, technology, and health care. Someone might invest in TVAL for long-term growth and diversification using a value style. A key risk is that these stocks can still fall in price and will move up and down with the overall stock market.

How much will it cost me?The T. Rowe Price Value ETF (TVAL) has an expense ratio of 0.33%, which means you’ll pay $3.30 per year for every $1,000 invested. This is slightly higher than the average for ETFs because it is actively managed, meaning professional managers carefully select stocks rather than following a preset index. The higher cost reflects the expertise and research involved in managing the fund.

What would affect this ETF?The T. Rowe Price Value ETF (TVAL) could benefit from a strong U.S. economy, as its focus on large-cap companies with solid fundamentals and undervalued stocks may attract investors seeking stability and growth. However, rising interest rates or regulatory changes could negatively impact sectors like Financials and Technology, which make up significant portions of the fund’s holdings. Additionally, shifts in consumer behavior or energy prices could influence the performance of companies like Amazon and Exxon Mobil, which are among the ETF’s top holdings.

TVAL Top 10 Holdings

TVAL leans heavily on U.S. large-cap value names, but its top spots are still dominated by Big Tech. Apple and Microsoft have been steady to rising, giving the fund a strong growth engine despite their premium valuations, while Amazon’s more mixed, recently lagging tone keeps a lid on tech-driven gains. On the value side, Exxon Mobil and ConocoPhillips are powering ahead with firm energy momentum, and Johnson & Johnson adds a steady healthcare ballast. Overall, the ETF blends tech strength with classic value plays, all rooted in the U.S. market.

Name	Company Name	Weight %	Market Value	Market Cap	Yearly Gain	Overall Rating
AMZN	Amazon	6.56%	$70.11M	$2.83T	21.29%	71 Outperform
AAPL	Apple	5.86%	$62.70M	$4.91T	37.25%	79 Outperform
MSFT	Microsoft	5.60%	$59.94M	$3.97T	4.72%	79 Outperform
XOM	Exxon Mobil	2.02%	$21.58M	$694.67B	52.57%	74 Outperform
COP	Conocophillips	1.84%	$19.71M	$161.10B	53.01%	78 Outperform
JNJ	Johnson & Johnson	1.77%	$18.89M	$630.04B	37.08%	78 Outperform
PG	Procter & Gamble	1.64%	$17.56M	$351.26B	1.03%	69 Neutral
JPM	JPMorgan Chase	1.63%	$17.47M	$885.15B	10.67%	72 Outperform
CB	Chubb	1.60%	$17.07M	$131.63B	20.56%	80 Outperform
INTC	Intel	1.56%	$16.70M	$553.46B	187.87%	64 Neutral

TVAL Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment

Positive

Last Price―

Price Trends

50DMA

42.93

Positive

100DMA

42.24

Positive

200DMA

39.87

Positive

Market Momentum

MACD

<0.01

Negative

RSI

57.73

Neutral

STOCH

94.98

Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in ETF analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TVAL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of undefined is equal to the 20-day moving average (MA) of 42.56, equal to the 50-day MA of 42.93, and equal to the 200-day MA of 39.87, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.73 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 94.98 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TVAL.

TVAL Peer Comparison

Comparison Results

Name	Price	Price Target	AUM	Expense Ratio	Overall Rating
TVAL	―	―	$1.09B	0.33%	73 Outperform
DFLV	―	―	$7.12B	0.21%	73 Outperform
JAVA	―	―	$7.11B	0.44%	71 Outperform
FELV	―	―	$3.47B	0.18%	72 Outperform
DSTL	―	―	$2.02B	0.39%	72 Outperform
SEIV	―	―	$1.60B	0.15%	72 Outperform

Performance Comparison

TVAL

T. Rowe Price Value ETF

43.05

9.15

26.99%

DFLV

Dimensional US Large Cap Value ETF

―

JAVA

JPMorgan Active Value ETF

―

FELV

Fidelity Enhanced Large Cap Value ETF

―

DSTL

Distillate US Fundamental Stability & Value ETF

―

SEIV

SEI Enhanced U.S. Large Cap Value Factor ETF

―

Glossary

BuyAn ETF rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

HoldAn ETF rated as a "Hold" s expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the ETF is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

SellAn ETF rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF may deliver lower returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

DisclaimerThis AI Analyst ETF Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in ETFs carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: ―

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