TPFG - ETF AI Analysis
Top Page
Timothy Plan Free Cash Flow Growth ETF (TPFG)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:―
Positive Factors
Strong Top Holdings Performance
Several of the largest positions, such as Palo Alto Networks, Arista Networks, Seagate, and Comfort Systems, have shown strong gains this year, helping support the fund’s overall results.
Broad Sector Diversification
The ETF spreads its investments across multiple sectors, including technology, industrials, health care, materials, and others, which helps reduce the impact if any one industry struggles.
Positive Year-to-Date Return
Despite some recent short-term weakness, the fund has delivered a positive return so far this year, indicating it has held up reasonably well in the current market.
Negative Factors
High Technology Concentration
With a large share of assets in technology stocks, the fund is more exposed to swings in that sector than a more evenly balanced ETF.
Recent Short-Term Weakness
The ETF has shown weak performance over the past one and three months, which may signal near-term volatility or loss of momentum.
Higher Expense Ratio
The fund’s expense ratio is on the higher side for an ETF, which means more of the returns are used to cover fees instead of going to investors.
TPFG vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
AUM38.53M
RegionNorth America
Expense Ratio0.59%
Beta1.70
IssuerTimothy
Inception DateMay 05, 2026
Dividend YieldN/A
Asset ClassEquity
Index TrackedVictory Free Cash Flow Growth BRI Index - USD - Benchmark TR Gross
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)N/A
Shares OutstandingN/A
10 Day Avg. Volume778
30 Day Avg. Volume2,988
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG RatioN/A
Price to Book (P/B)N/A
Price to Sales (P/S)N/A
P/FCF RatioN/A
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price Target
33.63Price Target Upside― Downside
Rating ConsensusStrong Buy
Number of Analyst Covering50
EPS Forecast (FY)N/A
Revenue Forecast (FY)N/A
TPFG Summary
The Timothy Plan Free Cash Flow Growth ETF (TPFG) tracks the Victory Free Cash Flow Growth BRI Index, focusing on large U.S. companies that generate strong, steady cash and are expected to grow. It also applies faith-based screens, avoiding businesses that don’t meet its biblical values standards. The fund leans heavily toward technology and industrial companies, with well-known names like Costco and Palo Alto Networks among its top holdings. Investors might consider TPFG for long-term growth and diversification with a values-based approach. A key risk is that it is heavily tilted toward growth and tech-related stocks, so its price can rise and fall more than the overall market.
How much will it cost me?This ETF has an expense ratio of 0.59%, which means you’ll pay about $5.90 per year for every $1,000 you invest. That’s higher than the average low-cost index ETF because this fund is more specialized and rules-based, with active-style screening for free cash flow and biblical values.
What would affect this ETF?This ETF is heavily invested in U.S. technology and industrial companies with strong cash generation, so it could benefit if demand for chips, data centers, and industrial equipment stays strong, interest rates ease, and the U.S. economy continues to grow. On the other hand, it could be hurt if higher interest rates or an economic slowdown reduce business spending, if tech and industrial stocks fall out of favor, or if its faith-based screens limit flexibility compared with broader market funds.
TPFG Top 10 Holdings
TPFG leans heavily into U.S. tech and industrial names, and that’s where the story starts. Arista Networks and Palo Alto Networks have been powering the fund, riding strong demand for AI infrastructure and cybersecurity. Seagate is another bright spot, helping performance despite some financial baggage. On the industrial side, Comfort Systems and GE Vernova have been mostly supportive, though their recent trading has been a bit choppy. Offsetting some of this strength, ServiceNow and Intuitive Surgical have been more mixed, occasionally losing steam and tugging on returns.
Name | Company Name | Weight % | Market Value | Market Cap | Yearly Gain | Overall Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newmont Mining | 5.02% | $1.92M | $123.44B | 27.67% | 81 Outperform | |
| Costco | 4.30% | $1.64M | $425.16B | 0.86% | 72 Outperform | |
| Palo Alto Networks | 4.28% | $1.64M | $330.33B | 91.28% | 73 Outperform | |
| ServiceNow | 4.25% | $1.62M | $145.09B | -23.94% | 75 Outperform | |
| Arista Networks | 4.04% | $1.54M | $265.97B | 47.36% | 83 Outperform | |
| Amphenol | 3.86% | $1.48M | $212.54B | 40.07% | 78 Outperform | |
| GE Vernova Inc. | 3.85% | $1.47M | $265.48B | 55.81% | 69 Neutral | |
| Intuitive Surgical | 3.75% | $1.44M | $151.08B | -3.28% | 78 Outperform | |
| Comfort Systems | 3.60% | $1.37M | $57.65B | 95.54% | 80 Outperform | |
| Caterpillar | 3.38% | $1.29M | $367.45B | 46.51% | 76 Outperform |
TPFG Technical Analysis
Negative
―
Price Trends
26.05
Negative
26.14
Negative
Market Momentum
0.09
Negative
47.97
Neutral
39.54
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in ETF analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TPFG, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of undefined is equal to the 20-day moving average (MA) of 26.03, equal to the 50-day MA of 26.05, and equal to the 200-day MA of ―, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.09 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 47.97 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 39.54 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TPFG.
TPFG Peer Comparison
Comparison Results
Performance Comparison
TPFG
Timothy Plan Free Cash Flow Growth ETF
25.92
0.28
1.09%
PRXG
Praxis Impact Large Cap Growth ETF
―
―
―
AFGR
First Trust Active Factor Large Cap Growth ETF
―
―
―
AQLG
Highland Capital Large Capital Growth ETF
―
―
―
CGGG
Capital Group U.S. Large Growth ETF
―
―
―
STXD
Strive 1000 Dividend Growth ETF
―
―
―
Glossary
BuyAn ETF rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldAn ETF rated as a "Hold" s expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the ETF is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellAn ETF rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF may deliver lower returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
DisclaimerThis AI Analyst ETF Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in ETFs carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: ―
Table of Contents