TPFG - ETF AI Analysis
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Timothy Plan Free Cash Flow Growth ETF (TPFG)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:―
Positive Factors
Strong Top Holdings Performance
Many of the largest positions, especially in technology and industrials, have shown strong year-to-date gains, supporting the ETF’s overall results.
Focused U.S. Exposure
Nearly all assets are invested in U.S. companies, giving investors clear exposure to the U.S. market and its regulatory environment.
Solid Recent Returns
The ETF has delivered steady gains so far this year and over the past month, indicating positive recent momentum.
Negative Factors
High Technology Concentration
Almost half of the portfolio is in the technology sector, which increases risk if that industry experiences a downturn.
Elevated Expense Ratio
The fund’s expense ratio is on the higher side for an ETF, which means more of the returns are used to cover fees.
Limited International Diversification
With almost all holdings in the U.S., the ETF offers little geographic diversification and may be more sensitive to domestic economic issues.
TPFG vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
AUM38.41M
RegionNorth America
Expense Ratio0.59%
Beta1.70
IssuerTimothy
Inception DateMay 05, 2026
Dividend YieldN/A
Asset ClassEquity
Index TrackedVictory Free Cash Flow Growth BRI Index - USD - Benchmark TR Gross
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)N/A
Shares OutstandingN/A
10 Day Avg. Volume579
30 Day Avg. Volume6,192
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG RatioN/A
Price to Book (P/B)N/A
Price to Sales (P/S)N/A
P/FCF RatioN/A
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price Target
32.49Price Target Upside― Downside
Rating ConsensusStrong Buy
Number of Analyst Covering50
EPS Forecast (FY)N/A
Revenue Forecast (FY)N/A
TPFG Summary
Timothy Plan Free Cash Flow Growth ETF (TPFG) follows the Victory Free Cash Flow Growth BRI Index, focusing on large U.S. companies that generate strong cash and are expected to grow. It invests mainly in technology and industrial firms, including well-known names like Broadcom and Caterpillar. The fund also uses faith-based screens, avoiding businesses that don’t align with biblical values, which may appeal to values-driven investors seeking growth and diversification. A key risk is that it is heavily tilted toward tech and industrial stocks, so its value can rise and fall sharply with those sectors and the overall stock market.
How much will it cost me?This ETF has an expense ratio of 0.59%, which means you’ll pay about $5.90 per year for every $1,000 you invest. That’s higher than the average low-cost index ETF because this fund is more specialized and rules-based, with active-style screening for free cash flow and biblical values.
What would affect this ETF?This ETF is heavily invested in U.S. technology and industrial companies with strong cash generation, so it could benefit if demand for chips, data centers, and industrial equipment stays strong, interest rates ease, and the U.S. economy continues to grow. On the other hand, it could be hurt if higher interest rates or an economic slowdown reduce business spending, if tech and industrial stocks fall out of favor, or if its faith-based screens limit flexibility compared with broader market funds.
TPFG Top 10 Holdings
TPFG is leaning hard into U.S. cash‑rich growth stories, with a clear tilt toward tech and industrial names. Arista Networks, Palo Alto Networks, and Seagate are the main engines right now, riding strong momentum in AI, cybersecurity, and data storage. Newmont Mining and Caterpillar add a cyclical, materials-and-machinery flavor, with Newmont rising and Caterpillar more mixed lately. On the softer side, Costco and GE Vernova have been steady to slightly lagging, so they’re more ballast than rocket fuel. Overall, it’s a concentrated U.S. growth play powered by free‑cash‑flow standouts.
Name | Company Name | Weight % | Market Value | Market Cap | Yearly Gain | Overall Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newmont Mining | 5.53% | $2.09M | $139.39B | 72.02% | 81 Outperform | |
| ServiceNow | 4.41% | $1.67M | $143.14B | -21.14% | 75 Outperform | |
| Costco | 4.24% | $1.60M | $414.50B | -0.92% | 72 Outperform | |
| Palo Alto Networks | 3.99% | $1.51M | $312.02B | 95.04% | 73 Outperform | |
| Arista Networks | 3.84% | $1.45M | $253.62B | 43.08% | 83 Outperform | |
| Amphenol | 3.53% | $1.33M | $198.98B | 44.90% | 78 Outperform | |
| Caterpillar | 3.49% | $1.32M | $375.55B | 90.97% | 76 Outperform | |
| GE Vernova Inc. | 3.48% | $1.31M | $254.04B | 48.77% | 69 Neutral | |
| Seagate Tech | 3.39% | $1.28M | $192.01B | 391.47% | 68 Neutral | |
| Comfort Systems | 3.34% | $1.26M | $56.84B | 115.92% | 80 Outperform |
TPFG Technical Analysis
Negative
―
Price Trends
26.23
Negative
Market Momentum
0.03
Positive
48.98
Neutral
45.20
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in ETF analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TPFG, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of undefined is equal to the 20-day moving average (MA) of 26.28, equal to the 50-day MA of 26.23, and equal to the 200-day MA of ―, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.03 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.98 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 45.20 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TPFG.
TPFG Peer Comparison
Comparison Results
Performance Comparison
TPFG
Timothy Plan Free Cash Flow Growth ETF
26.05
0.41
1.60%
AFGR
First Trust Active Factor Large Cap Growth ETF
―
―
―
PRXG
Praxis Impact Large Cap Growth ETF
―
―
―
AQLG
Highland Capital Large Capital Growth ETF
―
―
―
STXD
Strive 1000 Dividend Growth ETF
―
―
―
CGGG
Capital Group U.S. Large Growth ETF
―
―
―
Glossary
BuyAn ETF rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldAn ETF rated as a "Hold" s expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the ETF is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellAn ETF rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF may deliver lower returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
DisclaimerThis AI Analyst ETF Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in ETFs carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: ―
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