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PAVE

Global X U.S. Infrastructure Development ETF (PAVE)

Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:$59.00â–²(11.81% Upside)

PAVE’s rating suggests it is a solid but not top-tier choice for investors seeking exposure to U.S. infrastructure development. Strong holdings like Parker Hannifin and Quanta Services support the fund’s quality through robust financial performance, growth in key segments, and healthy backlogs, while names like Deere and United Rentals introduce some caution due to leverage, valuation concerns, and weaker technical signals. The main risk factor is that many top holdings show signs of potential overvaluation or mixed momentum, which could increase volatility if market conditions turn.

Positive Factors
Strong Year-to-Date PerformanceThe ETF has delivered strong gains so far this year, showing solid momentum in its infrastructure-focused strategy.
Leading Holdings with Strong ReturnsSeveral of the largest positions, including CSX, Quanta Services, and Howmet Aerospace, have shown strong performance, helping support the fund’s overall results.
Targeted Infrastructure ExposureThe fund’s heavy focus on U.S. industrial and materials companies gives investors direct exposure to infrastructure development, which can benefit from ongoing investment and policy support.
Negative Factors
High Sector ConcentrationWith most assets in industrials and materials, the ETF is heavily exposed to swings in these cyclical sectors.
Single-Country RiskAlmost all of the fund’s holdings are in U.S. companies, so performance is closely tied to the health of the U.S. economy and policy environment.
Moderate Expense RatioThe fund’s fees are not especially low, which slightly reduces the net return investors keep compared with cheaper broad-market ETFs.

PAVE vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

AUM
13.61B
Region
North America
Expense Ratio
0.47%
Beta
1.02
Issuer
Global X
Inception Date
Mar 06, 2017
Dividend Yield
0.82%
Asset Class
Equity
Index Tracked
Indxx U.S. Infrastructure Development Index

PAVE Summary

PAVE is the Global X U.S. Infrastructure Development ETF, which follows the Indxx U.S. Infrastructure Development Index. It focuses on companies that help build and upgrade America’s roads, railways, utilities, and other key infrastructure. The fund mainly holds industrial and materials companies, including well-known names like Union Pacific and Deere. Investors might consider PAVE if they want to bet on long-term growth from government and private spending on infrastructure while still getting diversification across many related companies. A key risk is that it can rise or fall with the U.S. stock market and the health of the infrastructure and industrial sectors.

How much will it cost me?

The Global X U.S. Infrastructure Development ETF (PAVE) has an expense ratio of 0.47%, which means you’ll pay $4.70 per year for every $1,000 invested. This is slightly higher than average because it’s a sector-focused ETF, which often requires more active management to target specific industries like infrastructure. It’s a good choice if you want exposure to this niche area of the market.

What would affect this ETF?

The Global X U.S. Infrastructure Development ETF (PAVE) could benefit from increased government spending on infrastructure projects, such as transportation and energy systems, as well as advancements in sustainable construction technologies. However, rising interest rates or economic slowdowns could negatively impact the industrial and materials sectors, which dominate the ETF's holdings. Regulatory changes or delays in infrastructure funding could also pose challenges for the companies within this fund.

PAVE Top 10 Holdings

PAVE is essentially a bet on U.S. industrial muscle, with names like Deere, Eaton, and Nucor doing much of the heavy lifting. Deere and Eaton have been rising steadily, helping drive the fund, while steelmaker Nucor has added punch over the year despite some recent wobbling. Quanta Services has been a strong long-term engine but its mixed near-term performance shows the ride isn’t perfectly smooth. On the softer side, Rockwell Automation and Trane Technologies have been lagging lately, slightly dragging on returns. Overall, it’s a U.S.-centric, infrastructure-heavy story.

PAVE top ten holdings
NameCompany NameWeight %Market ValueMarket CapYearly GainOverall Rating
EMREMREmerson Electric Company3.64%$494.01M$89.55B24.18%76Outperform
FASTFASTFastenal Company3.61%$490.08M$58.53B20.16%72Outperform
DEDEDeere3.44%$466.36M$169.06B36.75%66Neutral
NUENUENucor3.47%$471.08M$59.15B97.85%74Outperform
PWRPWRQuanta Services3.16%$428.31M$92.97B42.54%78Outperform
PHPHParker Hannifin3.19%$433.10M$121.86B31.72%79Outperform
ETNETNEaton3.08%$417.70M$152.06B4.88%75Outperform
TTTTTrane Technologies3.13%$424.09M$102.32B11.84%70Outperform
UNPUNPUnion Pacific3.10%$421.10M$170.51B26.97%72Outperform
NSCNSCNorfolk Southern3.06%$415.72M$72.66B11.63%75Outperform

PAVE Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price52.77

Price Trends

50DMA54.59Negative
100DMA55.92Negative
200DMA54.57Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.37Negative
RSI41.48Neutral
STOCH33.69Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in ETF analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PAVE, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 52.77 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 53.29, below the 50-day MA of 54.59, and below the 200-day MA of 54.57, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.37 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 41.48 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 33.69 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for PAVE.

PAVE Peer Comparison

Comparison Results

PAVE against its peer funds
NamePricePrice TargetAUMExpense RatioOverall Rating
PAVEPAVE$52.77$59.00(11.81% Upside)$13.61B0.47%72Outperform
VGTVGT$120.33$157.13(30.58% Upside)$147.01B0.09%74Outperform
XLKXLK$185.96$242.02(30.15% Upside)$124.48B0.08%75Outperform
XLFXLF$55.06$62.93(14.30% Upside)$51.90B0.08%72Outperform
XLVXLV$175.65$190.46(8.43% Upside)$46.31B0.08%73Outperform
XLEXLE$67.80$71.82(5.93% Upside)$43.71B0.08%73Outperform

Performance Comparison

0%20%40%60%PAVEVGTXLKXLFXLVXLENov '25Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
PAVE and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
PAVEGlobal X U.S. Infrastructure Development ETF52.775.0010.46%
VGTVanguard Information Technology ETF120.3325.5726.99%
XLKTechnology Select Sector SPDR Fund185.9642.5329.65%
XLFFinancial Select Sector SPDR Fund55.063.156.07%
XLVHealth Care Select Sector SPDR Fund175.6532.9123.05%
XLEEnergy Select Sector SPDR Fund67.8025.6660.88%
Glossary
BuyAn ETF rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldAn ETF rated as a "Hold" s expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the ETF is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellAn ETF rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF may deliver lower returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer

This AI Analyst ETF Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in ETFs carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.