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MGV

Vanguard Mega Cap Value ETF (MGV)

Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:$183.00â–²(7.17% Upside)

MGV, the Vanguard Mega Cap Value ETF, earns a solid overall rating thanks to several high-quality, diversified blue-chip holdings like Johnson & Johnson, Walmart, Micron, and Cisco, which show strong financial performance, positive earnings calls, and strategic positioning in areas like AI and e-commerce. The fund’s score is held back somewhat by names such as AbbVie and Costco, where high valuations, leverage, or bearish technical trends introduce more uncertainty. A key risk factor is its meaningful exposure to large financial and energy companies like JPMorgan, Bank of America, and Exxon Mobil, which can make the ETF more sensitive to interest rate changes and commodity market swings.

Positive Factors
Strong Overall PerformanceThe ETF has shown strong year-to-date returns, indicating solid recent results for investors.
Leading Blue-Chip HoldingsTop positions in well-known companies across technology, financials, health care, retail, and energy have generally delivered strong gains, supporting the fund’s performance.
Low Expense RatioThe fund’s very low annual fee helps investors keep more of the returns generated by its holdings.
Negative Factors
Single-Country ExposureAll of the ETF’s investments are in U.S. companies, which means it does not provide international diversification.
Sector Concentration in Financials and Health CareA large share of the portfolio is in financial and health care stocks, so weakness in these sectors could have a noticeable impact on the fund.
Reliance on a Few Large PositionsThe fund’s performance is heavily influenced by a handful of big holdings, increasing the impact if any of these companies face problems.

MGV vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-10%-5%0%5%10%15%20%25%30%SPY+14.28%MGV+25.81%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
AUM
14.25B
Region
North America
Expense Ratio
0.05%
Beta
0.64
Issuer
Vanguard
Inception Date
Dec 17, 2007
Dividend Yield
1.80%
Asset Class
Equity
Index Tracked
Morningstar US Mega Cap Value TR USD

MGV Summary

Vanguard Mega Cap Value ETF (MGV) is a fund that follows the Morningstar US Mega Cap Value index, focusing on very large U.S. companies that are considered relatively cheap compared with their business strength. It owns well-known names like JPMorgan Chase, Berkshire Hathaway, Exxon Mobil, Johnson & Johnson, Walmart, and Costco, across sectors such as financials, health care, and energy. Investors might choose MGV for broad diversification into big, established companies with potential for steady growth and income. A key risk is that value stocks and the overall stock market can go up and down, so your investment can lose money, especially in market downturns.

How much will it cost me?

This ETF has an expense ratio of 0.05%, which means you’ll pay about $0.50 per year for every $1,000 invested. That’s lower than the average ETF because it’s a passively managed fund that tracks an index, keeping costs down.

What would affect this ETF?

MGV could benefit if the U.S. economy stays resilient, interest rates stabilize or fall, and value stocks in sectors like financials, health care, and energy come back into favor, helping major holdings such as JPMorgan, Johnson & Johnson, and Exxon Mobil. On the downside, a U.S. recession, renewed stress on banks, tighter regulations on large financial or energy companies, or a shift back toward fast-growing tech stocks over value names could weigh on this ETF’s future performance.

MGV Top 10 Holdings

MGV leans heavily on U.S. mega-cap value names, with financials, health care, and energy doing much of the heavy lifting. Berkshire Hathaway and JPMorgan provide a steady backbone, while Exxon and Chevron have been rising on the back of strong energy markets, giving the fund a powerful cyclical tilt. Johnson & Johnson and AbbVie add a defensive health care layer that’s been quietly climbing. The main drag comes from Micron, where performance has been mixed lately, reminding investors that even value-tilted tech can lose steam.

MGV top ten holdings
NameCompany NameWeight %Market ValueMarket CapYearly GainOverall Rating
MUMUMicron5.91%$801.52M$820.41B236.49%79Outperform
JPMJPMJPMorgan Chase4.32%$585.96M$908.40B8.80%72Outperform
BRK.BBRK.BBerkshire Hathaway B3.46%$469.38M$1.25T18.34%66Neutral
XOMXOMExxon Mobil3.32%$449.43M$670.91B39.18%74Outperform
JNJJNJJohnson & Johnson3.14%$425.10M$675.92B44.67%78Outperform
ABBVABBVAbbVie2.27%$308.01M$519.48B31.00%66Neutral
WMTWMTWalmart2.24%$303.07M$996.08B21.49%78Outperform
COSTCOSTCostco1.99%$269.00M$472.44B19.01%72Outperform
CVXCVXChevron1.88%$255.40M$415.14B36.51%71Outperform
CSCOCSCOCisco Systems1.88%$254.39M$386.41B40.51%77Outperform

MGV Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price170.75

Price Trends

50DMA165.45Positive
100DMA164.90Positive
200DMA157.62Positive

Market Momentum

MACD1.10Negative
RSI60.91Neutral
STOCH66.63Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in ETF analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MGV, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 170.75 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 167.74, above the 50-day MA of 165.45, and above the 200-day MA of 157.62, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.10 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.91 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 66.63 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MGV.

MGV Peer Comparison

Comparison Results

MGV against its peer funds
NamePricePrice TargetAUMExpense RatioOverall Rating
MGVMGV$170.75$183.00(7.17% Upside)$14.25B0.05%73Outperform
VTVVTV$230.04$267.01(16.07% Upside)$195.75B0.03%73Outperform
IWDIWD$263.81$296.30(12.31% Upside)$84.71B0.18%72Outperform
IVEIVE$242.73$270.29(11.35% Upside)$51.40B0.18%72Outperform
SPYVSPYV$65.01$72.32(11.25% Upside)$38.65B0.04%72Outperform
VONVVONV$115.70$131.53(13.68% Upside)$23.59B0.06%72Outperform

Performance Comparison

0%10%20%30%MGVVTVIWDIVESPYVVONVDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
MGV and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
MGVVanguard Mega Cap Value ETF170.7534.6325.44%
VTVVanguard Value ETF230.0446.2625.17%
IWDiShares Russell 1000 Value ETF263.8161.4830.39%
IVEiShares S&P 500 Value ETF242.7336.0717.45%
SPYVSPDR Portfolio S&P 500 Value ETF65.019.7217.59%
VONVVanguard Russell 1000 Value ETF115.7027.0730.54%
Glossary
BuyAn ETF rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldAn ETF rated as a "Hold" s expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the ETF is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellAn ETF rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF may deliver lower returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer

This AI Analyst ETF Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in ETFs carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.