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Micron (MU)
NASDAQ:MU
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Micron (MU) AI Stock Analysis

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MU

Micron

(NASDAQ:MU)

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Outperform 80 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:80Outperform
Price Target:
$186.00
▲(18.27% Upside)
Micron's strong financial performance and technical indicators are the primary drivers of its high stock score. The company's record earnings and strategic investments in advanced technologies further bolster its outlook. However, the high valuation and potential overbought conditions suggest some caution is warranted.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Micron's significant revenue growth reflects strong market demand and effective strategic execution, bolstering its competitive position in the semiconductor industry.
Advanced Technology Leadership
Leadership in advanced technology enhances Micron's competitive edge, enabling it to deliver high-performance products and maintain market leadership.
Data Center Business Surge
The surge in data center business underscores Micron's ability to capitalize on growing demand for data storage solutions, driving long-term revenue growth.
Negative Factors
NAND Revenue Challenges
Declining NAND revenue indicates potential market challenges and competitive pressures, which could impact Micron's overall profitability if not addressed.
Increased Operating Expenses
Rising operating expenses, particularly in R&D, may pressure margins and require careful management to sustain profitability and financial health.
Potential Supply Constraints
Supply constraints could limit Micron's ability to meet demand, impacting growth and necessitating strategic investment to ensure supply chain resilience.

Micron (MU) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Micron Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMicron Technology, Inc. designs, manufactures, and sells memory and storage products worldwide. The company operates through four segments: Compute and Networking Business Unit, Mobile Business Unit, Storage Business Unit, and Embedded Business Unit. It provides memory and storage technologies comprises DRAM products, which are dynamic random access memory semiconductor devices with low latency that provide high-speed data retrieval; NAND products that are non-volatile and re-writeable semiconductor storage devices; and NOR memory products, which are non-volatile re-writable semiconductor memory devices that provide fast read speeds under the Micron and Crucial brands, as well as through private labels. The company offers memory products for the cloud server, enterprise, client, graphics, and networking markets, as well as for smartphone and other mobile-device markets; SSDs and component-level solutions for the enterprise and cloud, client, and consumer storage markets; other discrete storage products in component and wafers; and memory and storage products for the automotive, industrial, and consumer markets. It markets its products through its direct sales force, independent sales representatives, distributors, and retailers; and web-based customer direct sales channel, as well as through channel and distribution partners. Micron Technology, Inc. was founded in 1978 and is headquartered in Boise, Idaho.
How the Company Makes MoneyMicron generates revenue primarily through the sale of its memory and storage products, which include DRAM, NAND flash memory, and specialty memory solutions. The company operates on a volume-based pricing model, where revenues are driven by the demand and pricing of its products in the market. Key revenue streams include sales to original equipment manufacturers (OEMs), data center operators, and consumer electronics companies. Additionally, Micron benefits from strategic partnerships with major technology firms and cloud service providers, which helps secure long-term contracts and expands its market reach. The company also invests in research and development to innovate and stay competitive in the fast-evolving semiconductor landscape, which further contributes to its earnings potential.

Micron Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Analyzes revenue across different business segments, highlighting which areas drive growth and profitability, and where Micron might face challenges or opportunities.
Chart InsightsMicron's Compute and Networking segment is experiencing a robust recovery, with significant revenue growth since early 2024, likely driven by increased demand for AI and data center applications. Meanwhile, the Embedded and Mobile segments show moderate recovery, reflecting stabilization in consumer electronics demand. The Storage segment, after a sharp spike in late 2024, is stabilizing, possibly due to inventory adjustments. Investors should watch for sustained demand in Compute and Networking, as it could drive future growth amid evolving tech trends.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Micron Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Sep 23, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Dec 17, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Micron's fiscal fourth quarter and full-year 2025 results were marked by significant revenue growth, record data center performance, and advancements in AI and technology. While there were some challenges, such as NAND revenue declines and increased operating expenses, the overall outlook remains strong due to strategic investments and market positioning.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Revenue and Profitability
Micron achieved record revenue of $37.4 billion in fiscal 2025, representing a growth of nearly 50% year over year. The gross margin expanded by 17 percentage points to 41%.
Data Center Business Surge
The data center SSD business reached record revenue and market share, contributing to 56% of total company revenue with a gross margin of 52%.
AI-Driven Productivity Gains
Micron reported a 30 to 40% productivity uplift in select GenAI use cases and a fivefold increase in wafer images analyzed, enhancing yield performance.
Advanced Technology Leadership
Micron's one gamma DRAM node reached mature yields 50% faster than the prior generation, and first revenue was achieved from a major hyperscale customer.
Strong Financial Performance
Fiscal Q4 revenue was $11.3 billion, up 46% year over year, with a consolidated gross margin of 45.7%, driven by better DRAM pricing and cost reductions.
Negative Updates
NAND Revenue Challenges
While NAND revenue increased 5% sequentially, it was down 5% year over year, with bit shipments declining in the mid-single-digit percentage range.
Potential Supply Constraints
While managing DRAM and HBM supply is essential, there are challenges related to maintaining high ROI and disciplined investment.
Increased Operating Expenses
Operating expenses in fiscal Q4 rose to $1.2 billion, up $81 million quarter over quarter, primarily driven by higher R&D spending.
Company Guidance
During Micron Technology's fiscal fourth quarter 2025 financial conference call, the company reported record results, exceeding updated guidance ranges for revenue, gross margin, and EPS, driven by strong execution and performance across end markets. Fiscal 2025 revenue grew nearly 50% to $37.4 billion, with gross margins expanding by 17 percentage points to 41%. DRAM revenue reached $28.6 billion, up 62% year-over-year, while NAND generated $8.5 billion, an 18% increase. The company achieved record revenues in its data center segment, which accounted for 56% of total company revenue with gross margins of 52%. Micron's guidance for fiscal Q1 2026 anticipates new records for revenue and EPS, with revenue expected to be around $12.5 billion and gross margin forecasted at approximately 51.5%. The company highlighted its leadership in advanced technologies, such as HBM, one gamma DRAM, and g9 NAND, and its strategic investments in AI and high-value data center products, contributing to a strong competitive position and financial performance.

Micron Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Micron demonstrates strong profitability and growth in the TTM period, with a solid balance sheet and efficient equity utilization. However, challenges in maintaining consistent free cash flow growth and managing debt levels warrant cautious optimism.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Micron's income statement shows strong performance with a TTM gross profit margin of 39.79% and a net profit margin of 22.84%, indicating robust profitability. The revenue growth rate of 10.54% in the TTM period highlights a positive growth trajectory. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also healthy at 16.54% and 42.82%, respectively. However, the company experienced volatility in previous years, with a significant dip in 2023, which could pose a risk if such fluctuations recur.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.27 in the TTM period, showing moderate leverage. The return on equity (ROE) is strong at 17.05%, indicating efficient use of equity. The equity ratio stands at 65.41%, suggesting a solid capital structure. However, the increase in total debt over the years should be monitored to ensure it does not impact financial flexibility.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Micron's cash flow statement reveals a mixed picture. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.33, indicating good cash generation relative to net income. However, the free cash flow growth rate is negative at -2.33% in the TTM period, reflecting challenges in maintaining free cash flow. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.60 suggests a reasonable conversion of net income to free cash flow, but the negative growth trend is a concern.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue37.38B37.38B25.11B15.54B30.76B27.70B
Gross Profit14.87B14.87B5.61B-1.42B13.90B10.42B
EBITDA18.48B18.48B8.94B2.21B16.74B12.93B
Net Income8.54B8.54B778.00M-5.83B8.69B5.86B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets82.80B82.80B69.42B64.25B66.28B58.85B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments10.31B10.31B8.11B9.59B9.33B8.63B
Total Debt15.28B15.28B14.01B13.93B7.52B7.28B
Total Liabilities28.63B28.63B24.29B20.13B16.38B14.92B
Stockholders Equity54.16B54.16B45.13B44.12B49.91B43.93B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow8.93B1.67B121.00M-6.12B3.11B2.44B
Operating Cash Flow17.52B17.52B8.51B1.56B15.18B12.47B
Investing Cash Flow-14.09B-14.09B-8.31B-6.19B-11.59B-10.59B
Financing Cash Flow-850.00M-850.00M-1.84B4.98B-2.98B-1.78B

Micron Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price157.27
Price Trends
50DMA
129.19
Positive
100DMA
119.42
Positive
200DMA
104.89
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
10.45
Positive
RSI
68.71
Neutral
STOCH
29.64
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MU, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 157.27 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 149.31, above the 50-day MA of 129.19, and above the 200-day MA of 104.89, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 10.45 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 68.71 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 29.64 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MU.

Micron Risk Analysis

Micron disclosed 33 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Micron reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Micron Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$4.33T50.7286.48%0.02%71.55%64.54%
80
Outperform
$176.00B20.7217.20%0.29%48.85%997.29%
76
Outperform
$162.45B24.3135.03%0.84%6.70%-5.95%
74
Outperform
$37.08B22.1533.59%0.19%2.12%
73
Outperform
$258.78B91.794.75%27.17%108.67%
63
Neutral
$165.79B-7.45-20.95%0.35%-3.72%-2120.70%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MU
Micron
163.90
60.67
58.77%
AMD
Advanced Micro Devices
161.36
-2.72
-1.66%
AMAT
Applied Materials
204.95
4.98
2.49%
INTC
Intel
34.48
11.02
46.97%
NVDA
Nvidia
178.19
56.79
46.78%
WDC
Western Digital
116.74
65.30
126.94%

Micron Corporate Events

Financial Disclosures
Micron Raises Q4 2025 Revenue Guidance
Positive
Aug 11, 2025

On August 11, 2025, Micron Technology, Inc. announced an update to its fourth-quarter fiscal 2025 guidance, reflecting improved pricing and strong execution. The company raised its revenue guidance to $11.2 billion ± $100 million, non-GAAP gross margins to 44.5% ± 0.5%, and non-GAAP EPS to $2.85 ± $0.07, indicating positive market conditions, particularly in the DRAM sector.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 25, 2025