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CAPE - ETF AI Analysis

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CAPE

DoubleLine Shiller CAPE U.S. Equities ETF (CAPE)

Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
CAPE, the DoubleLine Shiller CAPE U.S. Equities ETF, has a solid overall rating, largely supported by strong, well-established holdings like Walmart, Welltower, Prologis, and Amazon, which show healthy financial performance, growth initiatives, and generally stable or positive momentum. However, some holdings such as Philip Morris, Costco, and Linde face bearish technical trends, high leverage, or potential overvaluation, which slightly weigh on the fund’s appeal. A key risk factor is that several major positions appear richly valued or technically weak at the moment, which could increase short-term volatility even though the overall portfolio quality remains strong.
Positive Factors
Solid Recent Performance
The fund has shown positive returns over the past month and year to date, indicating recent upward momentum.
Quality Blue-Chip Holdings
Many of the top positions are well-known, financially strong companies, which can provide stability to the portfolio.
Diversified Across Key Defensive Sectors
Heavy exposure to areas like consumer defensive, real estate, and financials helps spread risk across different parts of the U.S. market.
Negative Factors
High Expense Ratio
The fund’s management fee is relatively high for an ETF, which can eat into long-term returns.
Sector Concentration Risk
Large weights in just a few sectors, especially communication services, real estate, and consumer defensive, increase the impact if those areas struggle.
Mixed Performance Among Top Holdings
Some major positions have recently shown weak or negative performance, which can drag on the fund’s overall results.

CAPE vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

CAPE Summary

The DoubleLine Shiller CAPE U.S. Equities ETF (CAPE) is a U.S. stock fund that follows a strategy based on the Shiller CAPE valuation measure instead of a traditional index. It looks across the total U.S. market and tilts toward sectors it views as undervalued, with big stakes in areas like communication services, real estate, and consumer-focused companies. Well-known holdings include Meta Platforms and Berkshire Hathaway. Investors might consider CAPE for diversification and the potential to benefit from cheaper parts of the market. A key risk is that its sector bets can lag if those chosen areas underperform, and the share price can still rise and fall with the overall stock market.
How much will it cost me?The DoubleLine Shiller CAPE U.S. Equities ETF (CAPE) has an expense ratio of 0.65%, meaning you’ll pay $6.50 per year for every $1,000 invested. This is higher than average because the fund is actively managed, using a specialized strategy to select undervalued sectors based on the Shiller CAPE ratio. Active management typically involves more research and adjustments, which can increase costs.
What would affect this ETF?The CAPE ETF could benefit from growth in the U.S. economy and strong performance in sectors like Communication Services and Consumer Defensive, which include top holdings such as Meta and Walmart. However, rising interest rates or economic slowdowns could negatively impact sectors like Real Estate and Materials, which are sensitive to borrowing costs and demand fluctuations.

CAPE Top 10 Holdings

CAPE is leaning heavily into U.S. health care, consumer staples, and real estate, and that mix is shaping returns. Defensive health names like Johnson & Johnson and AbbVie have been steady climbers, quietly pulling the fund higher, while Welltower and Prologis add a real estate kicker with generally rising momentum. On the flip side, Walmart and Meta have been losing steam lately, acting as mild brakes on performance. Alphabet is more of a mixed bag—recently choppy but still a long-term growth engine—keeping the fund tied to Big Tech without letting it dominate.
Name
Company Name
Weight %
Market Value
Market Cap
Yearly Gain
Overall Rating
Amazon6.31%$15.24M$2.77T12.55%
71
Outperform
Tesla3.64%$8.78M$1.44T-7.70%
73
Outperform
Linde3.20%$7.72M$214.92B-3.28%
66
Neutral
Welltower2.77%$6.68M$169.82B39.31%
77
Outperform
Walmart2.64%$6.36M$850.10B3.54%
78
Outperform
Prologis2.29%$5.53M$131.27B17.68%
76
Outperform
Costco2.28%$5.51M$401.25B-6.52%
72
Outperform
Coca-Cola1.83%$4.41M$379.87B31.76%
75
Outperform
Procter & Gamble1.81%$4.38M$337.41B-8.00%
69
Neutral
Philip Morris1.60%$3.85M$297.79B15.02%
61
Neutral

CAPE Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price
Price Trends
50DMA
32.88
Negative
100DMA
32.55
Negative
200DMA
32.32
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.20
Positive
RSI
40.11
Neutral
STOCH
19.79
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in ETF analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CAPE, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of undefined is equal to the 20-day moving average (MA) of 32.91, equal to the 50-day MA of 32.88, and equal to the 200-day MA of 32.32, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.20 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.11 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 19.79 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CAPE.

CAPE Peer Comparison

Comparison Results
Name
Price
Price Target
AUM
Expense Ratio
Overall Rating
$237.72M0.65%
69
Neutral
$822.52M0.22%
61
Neutral
$792.91M0.45%
74
Outperform
$726.88M1.30%
63
Neutral
$708.21M0.50%
70
Outperform
$705.46M0.71%
73
Outperform
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CAPE
DoubleLine Shiller CAPE U.S. Equities ETF
32.21
-0.07
-0.22%
AVTM
Avantis Total Equity Markets ETF
BGDV
Bahl & Gaynor Dividend ETF
ULTY
YieldMax Ultra Option Income Strategy ETF
XCHG
AB US Equity ETF
SMRI
Bushido Capital US Equity ETF
Glossary
BuyAn ETF rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldAn ETF rated as a "Hold" s expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the ETF is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellAn ETF rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF may deliver lower returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
DisclaimerThis AI Analyst ETF Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in ETFs carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: ―
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