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Welltower (WELL)
NYSE:WELL

Welltower (WELL) AI Stock Analysis

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Welltower

(NYSE:WELL)

Rating:79Outperform
Price Target:
$171.00
▲(12.72%Upside)
Welltower's overall score reflects its robust financial performance and positive earnings call, indicating strong operational efficiency and strategic growth initiatives. However, a high P/E ratio and low dividend yield suggest potential overvaluation, which, along with macroeconomic uncertainties, are notable risks.
Positive Factors
Earnings
Welltower reported Normalized FFO above consensus, driven by strong NOI and other income.
Investment Activity
Welltower raised its normalized FFO guidance midpoint driven by stronger SHO SS NOI growth and significant investment activity.
Occupancy Growth
Welltower, Inc. achieved its highest occupancy gain in history, with a 400 basis points increase in SHOP occupancy year over year.
Negative Factors
Cost of Capital
Investment activity has the potential to reach $10B given an opportunistic balance sheet and cost of capital.
Market Volatility
The acquisition pipeline remains strong with management leaning into opportunities created by current capital markets volatility.

Welltower (WELL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Welltower Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionWelltower Inc. (NYSE:WELL), an S&P 500 company headquartered in Toledo, Ohio, is driving the transformation of health care infrastructure. The Company invests with leading seniors housing operators, post-acute providers and health systems to fund the real estate infrastructure needed to scale innovative care delivery models and improve people's wellness and overall health care experience. Welltower, a real estate investment trust (REIT), owns interests in properties concentrated in major, high-growth markets in the United States, Canada and the United Kingdom, consisting of seniors housing and post-acute communities and outpatient medical properties.
How the Company Makes MoneyWelltower makes money primarily through the ownership, management, and leasing of real estate properties focused on health care and senior living. The company generates revenue from rental income by leasing its properties to senior housing operators, health systems, and other healthcare providers. Additionally, Welltower engages in strategic partnerships and joint ventures to expand its portfolio and enhance its service offerings, which further contribute to its income. Revenue is also bolstered by property management fees and interest income from loans made to real estate operators and developers. The company's financial performance is influenced by factors such as occupancy rates, rental rate escalations, and the overall demand for senior living and healthcare facilities.

Welltower Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 28, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 2.25%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 04, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a predominantly positive outlook with strong FFO growth, significant acquisitions, and a solid balance sheet. While there is macroeconomic uncertainty and potential pressure on asset prices, the company remains optimistic about its strategic position and future growth.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong FFO Growth
Reported approximately 19% growth in FFO per share, driven by better-than-expected results from the seniors' housing operating portfolio and significant acquisition activity.
Increase in Full-Year FFO Guidance
Raised the midpoint of full-year FFO guidance by $0.10 per share to $4.97.
Major Achievements
Launched a private fund management business, advanced the Welltower business system, solidified leadership with key promotions, rolled out a corporate rebranding, and received credit rating upgrades to A- from S&P and A3 from Moody's.
Seniors Housing Operating Portfolio Performance
10th consecutive quarter with same-store NOI growth exceeding 20%. Reported 400 basis points of year-over-year occupancy growth in Q1, highest level outside post-COVID recovery.
Significant Acquisition Activity
Announced $6.2 billion in pro rata acquisitions, including $4.6 billion Canadian acquisition of Amica Senior Living.
Strong Balance Sheet
Net debt to adjusted EBITDA declined to 3.3 times, a record low for the company, with $9 billion of liquidity.
Negative Updates
Macroeconomic Uncertainty
Acknowledged rise in macroeconomic uncertainty, particularly with summer leasing season approaching.
Potential Pressure on Asset Prices
Noted potential downward pressure on asset prices due to higher interest rates and wider debt spreads.
Company Guidance
In the first quarter of fiscal year 2025, Welltower reported a 19% growth in Funds From Operations (FFO) per share, raising the full-year FFO guidance midpoint by $0.10 to $4.97. This growth was driven by significant acquisition activities totaling $6.2 billion, including a major $4.6 billion Canadian acquisition of Amica Senior Living. The company also achieved a 400 basis points year-over-year occupancy growth in its senior housing operating portfolio, marking its highest growth outside post-COVID recovery. Same-store net operating income growth exceeded 20% for the tenth consecutive quarter. Furthermore, Welltower's successful rollout of its proprietary business platform and a corporate rebranding were highlighted as key achievements. The company also celebrated credit rating upgrades to A- and A3 by S&P and Moody's, respectively, and reported its net debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio at a record low of 3.3 times. The guidance for 2025 anticipates a total portfolio same-store NOI growth of 10% to 13.25%, with strong performance expected from the senior housing operating segment, projecting a growth range of 16.5% to 21.5%.

Welltower Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Welltower exhibits strong financial performance with impressive revenue growth and profitability. The income statement shows robust growth and improved margins, while the balance sheet is stable with moderate leverage. Cash flow generation is strong, but the volatility in free cash flow growth suggests the need for cautious cash management.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Welltower's income statement shows robust growth and profitability. Revenue has consistently increased, with a TTM revenue growth rate of 7.94% from the previous year. Gross profit margin is strong at 51.55%, and net profit margin has improved significantly to 12.77%, indicating enhanced operational efficiency. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy at 15.09% and 35.87%, respectively, signaling good cost control and profitability.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a solid financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.74, indicating moderate leverage. The equity ratio is robust at 63.72%, suggesting strong asset backing by equity. Return on equity has improved to 3.19%, showing better utilization of equity for generating profits. However, there is a need for vigilance regarding total liabilities management.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Cash flow statements indicate strong cash generation with a free cash flow growth rate of -26.77%, reflecting some volatility. The operating cash flow to net income ratio stands at 1.71, and free cash flow to net income is 1.53, indicating efficient cash conversion. The company should focus on sustaining positive cash flow trends amid fluctuating investment and financing activities.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
8.48B7.85B6.63B5.86B4.74B4.61B
Gross Profit
2.42B3.02B2.68B2.30B1.97B2.01B
EBIT
1.28B1.15B1.12B729.10M754.25M676.54M
EBITDA
2.98B2.73B2.40B2.01B1.70B1.52B
Net Income Common Stockholders
1.08B951.68M340.09M141.21M162.04M-41.52M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
2.48B3.51B1.99B631.68M269.26M1.55B
Total Assets
44.55B51.04B44.01B37.89B34.91B32.48B
Total Debt
14.59B16.76B16.12B14.96B14.68B14.22B
Net Debt
12.11B13.25B14.13B14.33B14.41B12.67B
Total Liabilities
16.01B18.47B17.64B16.50B15.91B15.26B
Stockholders Equity
27.55B31.96B25.40B20.29B17.64B15.97B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
1.65B2.20B1.55B1.30B1.26B1.35B
Operating Cash Flow
1.85B2.26B1.60B1.33B1.28B1.36B
Investing Cash Flow
-4.93B-5.51B-5.71B-3.70B-4.52B2.35B
Financing Cash Flow
4.32B4.91B5.45B2.76B1.57B-2.08B

Welltower Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price151.70
Price Trends
50DMA
147.55
Positive
100DMA
143.75
Positive
200DMA
135.23
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.88
Negative
RSI
57.04
Neutral
STOCH
82.26
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For WELL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 151.7 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 148.86, above the 50-day MA of 147.55, and above the 200-day MA of 135.23, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.88 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.04 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 82.26 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for WELL.

Welltower Risk Analysis

Welltower disclosed 45 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Welltower reported the most risks in the “Legal & Regulatory” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 2 New Risks
1.
Our approach to AI presents risks and challenges that can impact our business and could adversely affect our business Q4, 2024
2.
Negative publicity regarding the healthcare industry could adversely affect our operations Q4, 2024

Welltower Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$5.59B31.787.02%4.13%43.27%80.97%
79
Outperform
$99.71B164.373.52%1.72%23.31%36.07%
OHOHI
71
Outperform
$10.67B23.1110.53%7.27%10.56%45.37%
DODOC
69
Neutral
$12.33B43.723.26%6.94%23.65%12.82%
VTVTR
64
Neutral
$88.06B196.641.36%2.81%10.00%
61
Neutral
$2.78B10.700.50%8507.83%5.74%-19.41%
HRHR
49
Neutral
$5.12B-6.83%8.52%-7.26%18.45%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
WELL
Welltower
151.70
53.03
53.74%
DOC
Healthpeak Properties
17.41
-0.55
-3.06%
OHI
Omega Healthcare
36.54
7.85
27.36%
VTR
Ventas
64.38
18.40
40.02%
HR
Healthcare Realty Trust
14.43
>-0.01
-0.07%
CTRE
CareTrust REIT
28.63
4.76
19.94%

Welltower Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Welltower Shareholders Elect Directors and Approve Plans
Positive
May 23, 2025

At the 2025 Annual Meeting of Shareholders on May 22, 2025, Welltower Inc. shareholders elected nine directors, ratified Ernst & Young LLP as the independent auditor for 2025, approved executive compensation, and amended the 2022 Long-Term Incentive Plan. These decisions reflect shareholder support for the company’s leadership and strategic direction, potentially strengthening its governance and financial oversight.

The most recent analyst rating on (WELL) stock is a Buy with a $155.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Welltower stock, see the WELL Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.