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YPF Sociedad Anonima (YPF) Risk Analysis
Risk Overview Q4, 2023
Source: the company's latest filing for the period ended Dec 31, 2023, filed Apr 25, 2024
Risk Change Over Time
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 1Certain strategic transactions require the approval of the Argentine government (the sole holder of our Class A shares) or may entail a cash tender offer for all of our outstanding shares or securities convertible into shares
Pursuant to our by-laws, the approval of the Argentine government, the sole holder of our Class A shares, is required to undertake certain strategic transactions, including: (i) a merger; (ii) an acquisition of shares by a third-party representing more than 50% of YPF S.A.'s capital; (iii) the transfer to third parties of all the exploration and exploitation rights granted to YPF S.A. pursuant to the Argentine Hydrocarbons Law, applicable regulations thereunder or the Privatization Law, if such transfer would result in the total suspension of YPF S.A.'s exploration and exploitation activities; (iv) the voluntary dissolution of YPF S.A.; (v) the transfer of the legal or fiscal domicile of YPF S.A. to a country other than Argentina; and (vi) an acquisition that would result in the purchaser holding 15% or more of our capital stock, or 20% or more of the outstanding Class D shares. According to our by-laws, the transactions described in (iii) and (v) above also require the prior approval of the Argentine Congress. See "Item 4. Information on the Company-History and development of YPF S.A." and "Item 10. Additional information-Certain provisions relating to acquisition of shares".
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 2Shareholders and ADS holders outside of Argentina may face additional investment risks from currency exchange rate fluctuations in connection with their holding of our Class D shares or ADSs
We are organized under the laws of Argentina and future dividends on our Class D shares will be determined in the legal tender in Argentina, which is the Argentine peso. The Argentine peso has historically and recently fluctuated significantly against many major world currencies, including the U.S. dollar. A devaluation of the Argentine peso would likely adversely affect the U.S. dollar or other currency equivalent of any dividends paid on our Class D shares and could result in a decline in the value of our Class D shares and ADSs as measured in U.S. dollars.
Risk Highlights Q4, 2023
Risk Word Cloud
Risk Factors Full Breakdown - Total Risks 41
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 1You may be unable to exercise voting rights with respect to Class D shares underlying your ADSs at our shareholders' meetings
The depositary will be treated by us for all purposes as a shareholder with respect to the shares underlying ADSs. A holder of ADRs representing the shares being held by the depositary will not have direct shareholder rights and may exercise voting rights with respect to the Class D shares represented by the ADRs only in accordance with the deposit agreement relating to ADSs. While our direct shareholders will be able to exercise their voting rights either by attending the meeting in person or by proxy, ADR holders may only exercise their voting rights by either withdrawing the shares underlying their ADRs in time for the meeting or instructing the depositary (upon receipt of a notice of the meeting from the depositary) on how to vote the Class D shares represented by their ADRs. Due to these procedural steps involving the depositary, the process for exercising voting rights may take longer for ADR holders than for holders of Class D shares. If no such instructions are received, the depositary shall vote the Class D shares represented by ADSs in accordance with the recommendations YPF S.A.'s Board of Directors made to all holders of shares, unless the depositary is prohibited from doing so by any applicable provision of Argentine law.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 2You may be unable to exercise preemptive, accretion or other rights with respect to the Class D shares underlying your ADSs
Holders of ADSs may not be able to exercise the preemptive or accretion rights relating to the shares underlying the ADSs unless a registration statement under the U.S. Securities Act of 1933 ("Securities Act") is effective with respect to those rights or an exemption from the registration requirements of the Securities Act is available. We are not obligated to file a registration statement with respect to the shares relating to these preemptive rights, and we cannot assure you that we will file any such registration statement. Unless we file a registration statement or an exemption from registration is available, holders may receive only the net proceeds from the sale of their preemptive rights by the depositary or, if the preemptive rights cannot be sold, they may lapse. As a result, U.S. holders of Class D shares or ADSs may suffer dilution of their interest in our company upon future capital increases. In addition, under the Argentine General Corporations Law, foreign companies that own shares in an Argentine company are required to register with the National Corporations Registry (under the purview of the Ministry of Justice) in order to exercise certain shareholder rights, including voting rights. In the event that a non-Argentine company owns our Class D shares directly (rather than in the form of ADSs) and it fails to register with the National Corporations Registry, its capacity to exercise its rights as a holder of our Class D shares may be limited. Pursuant to Law No. 26,831 (the "Capital Markets Law) and to the CNV General Resolution No. 789/2019, foreign companies that are shareholders of publicly traded corporations such as YPF S.A. may participate and vote in the shareholders' meetings through duly authorized attorneys in fact. See "Item 10. Additional information-Preemptive and accretion rights".
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 3Under Argentine law, shareholder rights may be different from other jurisdictions
Our corporate affairs are governed by our by-laws and by the Argentine General Corporations Law No. 19,550 ("Argentine General Corporations Law"), which differ from the legal principles that would apply if we were incorporated in a jurisdiction in the United States or in other jurisdictions outside Argentina. In addition, rules governing the Argentine securities markets are different and may be subject to different enforcement in Argentina than in other jurisdictions.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 4We are traded on more than one market and this may result in price volatility; in addition, investors may not be able to easily transfer securities to take advantage of pricing opportunities for trading between such markets
Trading in ADSs and Class D shares in the United States and Argentina, respectively, uses different currencies (U.S. dollars on the NYSE and Argentine pesos on the Mercado de Valores de Buenos Aires ("S&P MERVAL")), and takes place at different times (resulting from different trading platforms, different time zones, different trading days and different public holidays in the United States and Argentina), resulting in potential differences in the trading prices of ADSs and Class D shares on these two markets. Any decrease in the price of Class D shares on the S&P MERVAL could cause a decrease in the price of ADSs on the NYSE. Investors could seek to sell or buy Class D shares or ADSs to take advantage of price differences between the markets through a practice referred to as "arbitrage". Any arbitrage activity could create unexpected volatility in the trading prices of ADSs or Class D shares. In addition, holders of ADSs will not be immediately able to surrender their ADSs and withdraw the underlying Class D shares for trading without effecting necessary procedures with the depositary. This could result in time delays and additional costs for holders of ADSs.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 5The market price for our shares and ADSs may be subject to significant volatility
The market price of our ordinary shares and ADSs may fluctuate significantly due to a number of factors, including, among others, our actual or forecasted financial and operating results, speculation over the impact of the Argentine government as our controlling shareholder on our business and operations, the behavior of the local and international markets, variations in international and/or local crude oil prices, pandemic diseases, investor perceptions of investments relating to Argentina and political and regulatory developments affecting our industry or YPF S.A. Factors such as the above-mentioned have led and could lead to considerable volatility in the market price of our shares and ADSs. Additionally, sales of a substantial number of Class D shares or ADSs by any present or future relevant shareholder or ADS holder could decrease the trading price of our Class D shares and ADSs. Given that there are outstanding judgments against Argentina, it is also possible that judgment creditors could seek to obtain control over certain of Argentina's assets, potentially including Argentina's shares in the Company. For example, plaintiffs in proceedings against the Argentine Republic recently filed a motion seeking turnover of the YPF Class D shares held by the Argentine Republic. For additional information, see "Item 8. Financial information-Significant changes". We cannot assure you that factors that could affect the market price of our ordinary shares and ADSs will not have a material adverse effect on the trading values of our securities. See "Item 9. The offer and listing". Additionally, if the bid price of our ADSs were to close below the required minimum 30-day average of US$ 1.00 per share, we may receive a deficiency notice from the New York Stock Exchange ("NYSE") regarding our failure to comply with this requirement. To the extent that we are unable to timely resolve such listing deficiency, there is a risk that our ADSs may be delisted from the NYSE, which would adversely impact liquidity of our ADSs and potentially result in even lower bid prices for them. In addition, if the NYSE approves the delisting of our ADSs, Bolsas y Mercados Argentinos S.A. ("BYMA") may require the delisting of our shares listed in such stock market.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 6The Argentine Republic owns 51% of the shares of YPF S.A.
The Argentine Republic owns 51% of the shares of YPF S.A. and, consequently, the Argentine government is able to decide all matters requiring approval by a majority of shareholders, including the election of the majority of the members of the YPF S.A.'s Board of Directors. We cannot assure you that decisions taken by our controlling shareholder would not differ from your interests as a shareholder (including the pricing policy of all our main products) and thus affect our operational decisions. Presidential elections take place in Argentina every four years and legislative elections every two years, resulting in the partial renewal of both chambers of the National Congress. The result of presidential as well as legislative mid-term and full-term elections may lead to changes in government policies that impact upon YPF S.A. On November 19, 2023, final turn of the presidential elections were held, and Javier Milei was elected President of Argentina. We cannot predict the impact that the new administration's measures will have or their timing, nor can we estimate the impact they may have on our business, financial condition and results of operations. See "Item 5. Operating and financial review and prospects-Macroeconomic conditions".
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 7ChangedCertain strategic transactions require the approval of the Argentine government (the sole holder of our Class A shares) or may entail a cash tender offer for all of our outstanding shares or securities convertible into shares
Pursuant to our by-laws, the approval of the Argentine government, the sole holder of our Class A shares, is required to undertake certain strategic transactions, including: (i) a merger; (ii) an acquisition of shares by a third-party representing more than 50% of YPF S.A.'s capital; (iii) the transfer to third parties of all the exploration and exploitation rights granted to YPF S.A. pursuant to the Argentine Hydrocarbons Law, applicable regulations thereunder or the Privatization Law, if such transfer would result in the total suspension of YPF S.A.'s exploration and exploitation activities; (iv) the voluntary dissolution of YPF S.A.; (v) the transfer of the legal or fiscal domicile of YPF S.A. to a country other than Argentina; and (vi) an acquisition that would result in the purchaser holding 15% or more of our capital stock, or 20% or more of the outstanding Class D shares. According to our by-laws, the transactions described in (iii) and (v) above also require the prior approval of the Argentine Congress. See "Item 4. Information on the Company-History and development of YPF S.A." and "Item 10. Additional information-Certain provisions relating to acquisition of shares".
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 8ChangedShareholders and ADS holders outside of Argentina may face additional investment risks from currency exchange rate fluctuations in connection with their holding of our Class D shares or ADSs
We are organized under the laws of Argentina and future dividends on our Class D shares will be determined in the legal tender in Argentina, which is the Argentine peso. The Argentine peso has historically and recently fluctuated significantly against many major world currencies, including the U.S. dollar. A devaluation of the Argentine peso would likely adversely affect the U.S. dollar or other currency equivalent of any dividends paid on our Class D shares and could result in a decline in the value of our Class D shares and ADSs as measured in U.S. dollars.
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