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Block (XYZ)
NYSE:XYZ
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Block (XYZ) AI Stock Analysis

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XYZ

Block

(NYSE:XYZ)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$85.00
▲(14.40% Upside)
The overall stock score of 71 reflects a strong earnings call performance and reasonable valuation, which are the most significant factors. Financial performance shows solid profitability but is weighed down by declining revenue growth and negative cash flow growth. Technical analysis suggests a neutral trend with some bullish momentum.
Positive Factors
Strategic Partnerships
The partnership with Grubhub enhances Block's market reach and customer base, integrating its payment solutions into a broader ecosystem, which can drive long-term revenue growth and strengthen its competitive position.
Product Innovation
The introduction of Square Bitcoin showcases Block's commitment to innovation and positions it to capture growth in the cryptocurrency market, potentially expanding its customer base and revenue streams.
International Growth
Accelerated international growth indicates successful expansion efforts, enhancing Block's global footprint and providing a diversified revenue base, which can contribute to long-term stability and growth.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenue Growth
A significant decline in revenue growth can signal potential challenges in market demand or competitive pressures, which may impact Block's ability to sustain long-term growth and profitability.
Negative Cash Flow Growth
Negative cash flow growth suggests potential liquidity issues and may limit Block's ability to invest in growth opportunities or weather economic downturns, impacting long-term financial health.
Margin Pressure
Increased costs and margin pressure from expanding services like Borrow could erode profitability, affecting Block's ability to maintain competitive pricing and invest in future growth initiatives.

Block (XYZ) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Block Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBlock, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, creates tools that enables sellers to accept card payments and provides reporting and analytics, and next-day settlement. It provides hardware products, including Magstripe reader, which enables swiped transactions of magnetic stripe cards; Contactless and chip reader that accepts Europay, MasterCard, and Visa (EMV) chip cards and Near Field Communication payments; Square Stand, which enables an iPad to be used as a payment terminal or full point of sale solution; Square Register that combines its hardware, point-of-sale software, and payments technology; Square Terminal, a payments device and receipt printer to replace traditional keypad terminals, which accepts tap, dip, and swipe payments. The company also offers various software products, including Square Point of Sale; Square Appointments; Square for Retail; Square for Restaurants; Square Online and Square Online Checkout; Square Invoices; Square Virtual Terminal; Square Team Management; Square Contracts; Square Loyalty, Marketing, and Gift Cards; and Square Dashboard. In addition, it offers a developer platform, which includes application programming interfaces and software development kits. Further, the company provides Cash App, which enables to send, spend, and store money; and Weebly that offers customers website hosting and domain name registration solutions. It serves in the United States, Canada, Japan, Australia, Ireland, France, Spain, and the United Kingdom. The company was formerly known as Square, Inc. and changed its name to Block, Inc. in December 2021. Block, Inc. was incorporated in 2009 and is based in San Francisco, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyBlock generates revenue through multiple streams including transaction fees charged on payments processed through its platforms, subscription fees for premium services offered to merchants, and commissions from cryptocurrency transactions. Additionally, the company has formed strategic partnerships with various financial institutions and e-commerce platforms, enhancing its market reach and customer base. The growing adoption of digital payment solutions and the increasing interest in cryptocurrencies further contribute to Block's earnings potential.

Block Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Gross Payment Volume
Gross Payment Volume
Defined as the total dollar amount of all card and bank payments processed by sellers using Square, net of refunds
Chart Insights
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Block Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 07, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected an overall strong financial performance with significant growth in key areas such as Cash App and Borrow. However, there are some concerns about increased costs impacting margins, particularly due to Borrow expansion and processing costs. Despite these challenges, the company's focus on innovation and international growth is positioning it well for the future.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Gross profit was $2.5 billion, up 14% year-over-year, with adjusted operating income at $550 million, up 38% year-over-year. The company expanded margins to its highest quarterly adjusted operating income margin yet at 22%.
Cash App Growth
Cash App gross profit growth reaccelerated to 16% year-over-year in Q2. The Cash App Card showed healthy gross profit growth, and BNPL gross profit reaccelerated, driven by increasing attach rates for post-purchase BNPL on Cash App Card.
Expansion of Borrow and Banking
Borrow on Square Financial Services saw meaningful ramping, with 6 million monthly actives and $18 billion in annualized originations. The company began to meaningfully ramp Borrow on Square Financial Services during Q2.
Square's Product Innovation
Launched Square AI, Square Handheld, and an updated version of Square Online. Introduced Bitcoin payments on Square and Tap to Pay for Cash App Business powered by Square.
International Growth
International GPV growth accelerated to 25% year-over-year as Block continued to expand distribution across sales and partnerships.
Negative Updates
Increased Costs and Margins Impact
Square's third quarter gross profit growth is impacted by increased processing costs due to changes for operational flexibility at a processing partner and further investments in hardware.
Margin Pressure from Borrow Expansion
Expected Q3 adjusted operating income margin is 18%, compared to 20%+ margins in other quarters this year, primarily due to risk loss growth as Borrow expands.
Company Guidance
During the Block Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, several key metrics and guidance details were discussed. The company reported a gross profit of $2.5 billion, marking a 14% year-over-year increase, and an adjusted operating income of $550 million, a 38% rise from the previous year, with an adjusted operating income margin reaching a high of 22%. For the third quarter, Block expects a gross profit of $2.6 billion, reflecting a 16% year-over-year growth, and an adjusted operating income of $460 million, with an 18% margin. The company projected full-year gross profit guidance of $10.17 billion, a 14% increase year-over-year, and an adjusted operating income of $2.03 billion, with a 20% margin, indicating a 2 percentage point margin expansion. These results and projections underscore Block's focus on product innovation, go-to-market investments, and operational efficiency. Additionally, they highlighted the strategic importance of Cash App, with 8 million banking actives generating over $250 in annualized gross profit per active and showcased growth in areas like BNPL and Borrow, with Borrow originations reaching $18 billion annually.

Block Financial Statement Overview

Summary
The company exhibits strong profitability metrics with a high gross profit margin and a healthy net profit margin. However, the significant decline in revenue growth and negative free cash flow growth are areas of concern. The balance sheet is strong with low leverage and a solid return on equity, suggesting financial stability. The cash flow situation needs improvement, particularly in terms of growth.
Income Statement
65
Positive
The company shows a strong gross profit margin of 39.45% in the TTM, indicating effective cost management. However, the revenue growth rate has declined significantly by 42.2% in the TTM, which is concerning. The net profit margin is healthy at 12.41%, but the EBIT and EBITDA margins are relatively low, suggesting potential inefficiencies in operations.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The debt-to-equity ratio is low at 0.28, indicating a conservative leverage position, which is a positive sign of financial stability. The return on equity is solid at 13.95% in the TTM, reflecting effective use of equity. The equity ratio is 60.14%, showing a strong equity base relative to total assets.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
The free cash flow growth rate is negative at -11.53% in the TTM, which is a concern. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.12, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.88, indicating that the company is generating cash relative to its net income, albeit at a declining rate.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue23.83B24.12B21.92B17.53B17.66B9.50B
Gross Profit9.25B8.73B7.33B5.68B4.31B2.66B
EBITDA1.92B1.74B379.42M-58.76M408.48M427.38M
Net Income2.96B2.90B9.77M-540.75M166.28M213.10M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets36.86B36.78B33.03B31.36B13.93B9.87B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments11.72B8.57B6.25B8.81B8.14B3.85B
Total Debt6.12B7.92B6.07B6.33B5.52B3.49B
Total Liabilities14.74B15.54B14.34B14.11B10.61B7.19B
Stockholders Equity22.16B21.27B18.70B17.22B3.27B2.68B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.06B1.55B-50.19M5.09M543.51M-15.29M
Operating Cash Flow1.21B1.71B100.96M175.90M847.83M173.11M
Investing Cash Flow211.47M649.95M683.20M1.23B-1.31B-606.64M
Financing Cash Flow-1.34B1.95B-240.14M97.58M2.65B3.68B

Block Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price74.30
Price Trends
50DMA
76.61
Negative
100DMA
74.01
Positive
200DMA
69.36
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.18
Positive
RSI
47.93
Neutral
STOCH
22.68
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For XYZ, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 74.3 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 77.27, below the 50-day MA of 76.61, and above the 200-day MA of 69.36, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.18 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.93 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 22.68 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for XYZ.

Block Risk Analysis

Block disclosed 48 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Block reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Block Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$64.81B13.9024.36%4.50%19.71%
$18.38B17.6931.43%9.22%6.60%
$46.29B16.2414.27%1.41%262.31%
$18.71B13.486.21%1.29%-4.17%4.76%
$6.11B25.6019.00%23.86%79.35%
$21.07B105.4014.51%26.11%
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
XYZ
Block
74.30
1.61
2.21%
CPAY
Corpay Inc
263.36
-66.31
-20.11%
GPN
Global Payments
77.10
-26.90
-25.87%
PYPL
PayPal Holdings
68.34
-9.79
-12.53%
FOUR
Shift4 Payments
68.38
-21.80
-24.17%
TOST
Toast Inc
35.72
5.40
17.81%

Block Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Block Announces Leadership Transition in Engineering Team
Neutral
Aug 21, 2025

On August 21, 2025, Block, Inc. announced a leadership transition within its engineering team. Dhanji R. Prasanna will shift from his role as Engineering + Technology Lead to focus on technology strategy and frontier technologies, while Arnaud Weber will take over as Engineering Lead, pending regulatory approvals.

The most recent analyst rating on (XYZ) stock is a Sell with a $70.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Block stock, see the XYZ Stock Forecast page.

Block Inc. Earnings Call Highlights Strong Growth
Aug 13, 2025

Block Inc. Earnings Call Reflects Positive Sentiment and Strong Growth

Block Inc. Reports Strong Q2 2025 Financial Growth
Aug 8, 2025

Block Inc., a prominent player in the financial technology sector, operates platforms such as Square and Cash App, offering a range of financial services and commerce solutions. In its latest earnings report for the second quarter of 2025, Block Inc. showcased robust financial growth with a 14% year-over-year increase in gross profit, reaching $2.54 billion. The company highlighted significant growth in its Cash App and Square platforms, with Cash App gross profit rising by 16% and Square by 11% year-over-year. Key strategic initiatives included the launch of new products like Pools on Cash App and the introduction of Square Handheld, enhancing customer experience and operational efficiency. Block Inc. also reported a net income of $538 million and an adjusted EBITDA of $891 million, reflecting strong profitability. Looking ahead, Block Inc. remains optimistic about sustaining its growth trajectory, with plans to further expand its product offerings and deepen customer engagement, positioning itself well for continued success in the evolving financial services landscape.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 30, 2025