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Chiron Real Estate ate
(NYSE:XRN)
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Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
$31.00
▼(-15.81% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/11/26
XRN’s score is driven primarily by mixed financial performance: strong current cash flow and improved leverage are tempered by a sharp TTM revenue collapse and historical volatility. Valuation is a notable positive with a low P/E and high dividend yield. Technical signals are currently neutral-to-weak, while the latest earnings call was moderately positive due to tangible progress on the senior housing pivot, though leverage and execution timing remain key risks.
Positive Factors
Senior housing pivot
The shift toward senior housing is supported by completed acquisitions, asset sales, and specialized leadership additions. This gives Chiron a clearer strategic direction and could improve portfolio quality and growth prospects if the new assets are integrated and leased successfully.
Negative Factors
Severe revenue contraction
The extreme TTM revenue decline and near-zero gross margin raise serious questions about the durability of reported profitability. Unless revenue stabilizes, earnings may remain vulnerable to portfolio changes, asset dispositions, and uneven operating performance over coming quarters.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Senior housing pivot
The shift toward senior housing is supported by completed acquisitions, asset sales, and specialized leadership additions. This gives Chiron a clearer strategic direction and could improve portfolio quality and growth prospects if the new assets are integrated and leased successfully.
Read all positive factors
Chiron Real Estate ate Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Any
Revenue by Segment
Breaks revenue into the company’s business lines or property types, showing which segments drive cash flow, where growth is concentrated, and where the REIT may face risk from tenant mix, occupancy shifts, or changes in reimbursement or lease terms.
Breaks revenue into the company’s business lines or property types, showing which segments drive cash flow, where growth is concentrated, and where the REIT may face risk from tenant mix, occupancy shifts, or changes in reimbursement or lease terms.
Data provided by:
The Fly
The FlyChiron Real Estate ate (XRN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$434.55M
Dividend Yield7.98%
Average Volume (3M)132.57K
Price to Earnings (P/E)7.4
Beta (1Y)0.56
Revenue Growth4.16%
EPS Growth1006.24%
CountryUS
Employees30
SectorReal Estate
Sector Strength53
IndustryREIT - Healthcare Facilities
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)3.72
Shares Outstanding13,237,830
10 Day Avg. Volume181,596
30 Day Avg. Volume132,570
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.10
Price to Book (P/B)0.92
Price to Sales (P/S)2.90
P/FCF Ratio-57.89
Enterprise Value/Market Cap3.17
Enterprise Value/Revenue8.80
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit2.27K
Enterprise Value/Ebitda8.71
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$44.00Price Target Upside19.50% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering2
EPS Forecast (FY)3
Revenue Forecast (FY)$145.98M
Chiron Real Estate ate Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Chiron is a real estate investment trust focused on investing in and actively managing critical healthcare infrastructure. With more than a decade of experience as a public company, it has built a diversified portfolio anchored by strong tenants w...
Chiron Real Estate ate Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Aug 05, 2026
(Q2-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed a constructive strategic pivot toward senior housing with concrete execution: leadership additions, sizable asset sales and acquisitions, equity issuance, improved liquidity and modest improvement in leverage. At the same time, operating growth is modest, net debt/EBITDAre remains elevated, short-term G&A will rise due to hiring, and there is uncertainty and timing risk around fully monetizing outpatient medical assets and achieving market revaluation. Overall, the company demonstrated meaningful progress and tactical wins but still faces execution and valuation headwinds during the transition.Positive Updates
FFO and Core FFO
NAREIT defined FFO per share/unit of $0.88 and core FFO of $1.04 for Q2 2026, indicating positive earnings generation on a per-share basis.
Negative Updates
Modest Same-Store Cash NOI Growth
Same-store cash NOI growth was modest at 0.8% YoY (normalized 1.7%), showing only limited near-term organic operating growth after excluding a prior-year one-time item.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
FFO and Core FFO
NAREIT defined FFO per share/unit of $0.88 and core FFO of $1.04 for Q2 2026, indicating positive earnings generation on a per-share basis.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management's guidance emphasized disciplined capital allocation and portfolio repositioning with specific financials: Q2 NAREIT FFO per share/unit $0.88 and core FFO $1.04; same‑store cash NOI +0.8% year‑over‑year (or +1.7% on a normalized basis excluding a prior‑year nonrecurring recovery) and same‑store NOI +1.7% normalized; net debt to adjusted EBITDAre 6.0x (down from 6.6x in Q1), leverage just under 40% with no maturities until 2028 and ~$259M of unused credit capacity; they issued $100M of Series C convertible perpetual preferred, closed a $100M May investment, sold seven IRFs for ~$217M at a 7.3% exit cap rate (retaining a small equity stake), are under contract to sell Beaumont for $49M at a 5.9% cap rate, and intend to redeploy proceeds into seniors assets (they cited $421M of seniors investments this quarter plus a $15M land parcel and $5M of mezz loans representing ~33 bps of the portfolio); cash G&A this quarter was $3.8M and management expects a short‑term increase in G&A as new hires ramp but believes costs will align with portfolio size as the transition progresses.Chiron Real Estate ate Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
54
Neutral
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Cash Flow
63
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 156.76M | 161.03M | 138.41M | 140.93M | 137.17M | 115.80M |
| Gross Profit | 608.00K | 10.32M | 109.16M | 112.85M | 111.98M | 100.32M |
| EBITDA | 158.39M | 96.73M | 91.47M | 111.64M | 102.89M | 85.35M |
| Net Income | 57.95M | -5.84M | 6.63M | 20.61M | 19.14M | 17.62M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 1.37B | 1.24B | 1.26B | 1.27B | 1.39B | 1.26B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 10.66M | 12.45M | 6.82M | 1.28M | 4.02M | 7.21M |
| Total Debt | 636.93M | 663.74M | 653.59M | 624.19M | 704.65M | 579.86M |
| Total Liabilities | 687.71M | 712.40M | 700.57M | 661.89M | 744.20M | 625.91M |
| Stockholders Equity | 656.95M | 509.77M | 534.13M | 583.58M | 632.98M | 622.78M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | -187.64M | -8.08M | -25.07M | 58.39M | -79.66M | -132.69M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 75.11M | 73.61M | 70.05M | 68.44M | 76.54M | 68.97M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -75.67M | -60.40M | -45.94M | 67.62M | -137.25M | -194.66M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 4.26M | -10.26M | -21.89M | -143.79M | 62.41M | 127.70M |
Chiron Real Estate ate Technical Analysis
Negative
36.82
Price Trends
34.83
Negative
35.33
Negative
34.59
Negative
Market Momentum
-1.55
Positive
32.02
Neutral
15.16
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For XRN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 36.82 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 32.72, above the 50-day MA of 34.83, and above the 200-day MA of 34.59, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.55 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 32.02 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 15.16 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for XRN.
Chiron Real Estate ate Risk Analysis
Chiron Real Estate ate disclosed 63 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Chiron Real Estate ate reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Chiron Real Estate ate Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
65 Neutral | $2.17B | 12.19 | 3.79% | 4.94% | 3.15% | 1.96% | |
65 Neutral | $376.80M | 18.83 | 4.96% | 13.94% | 5.66% | ― | |
65 Neutral | $700.07M | 19.84 | 72.36% | 5.20% | 18.27% | 6.18% | |
63 Neutral | $434.55M | 7.37 | 10.77% | 5.67% | 4.16% | 1006.24% | |
59 Neutral | $525.09M | 26.37 | 12.79% | 8.10% | 0.75% | 7.29% | |
54 Neutral | $1.86B | -6.94 | -16.22% | 0.52% | -1.49% | 7.49% | |
44 Neutral | $336.11M | -7.85 | -6.25% | 1.02% | -0.51% | 44.14% |
* Real Estate Sector Average
XRN
Chiron Real Estate ate
30.16
0.22
0.72%
DHC
Diversified Healthcare Trust
7.87
3.60
84.48%
CHCT
Community Healthcare
12.93
0.39
3.09%
UHT
Universal Health Realty Income
37.81
4.34
12.95%
STRW
Strawberry Fields REIT Inc
12.79
1.74
15.73%
NHP
National Healthcare Properties
15.80
3.92
32.96%
Chiron Real Estate ate Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
Chiron Expands Senior Housing Portfolio With Pinnacle Acquisition
Neutral
Oct 5, 2026
On October 1, 2026, Chiron Real Estate Inc., through its subsidiaries, completed the acquisition of The Pinnacle North Bethesda, a senior housing community in North Bethesda, Maryland, for $173.2 million. The deal, previously disclosed in May 2026...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Chiron Real Estate posts Q2 profit, pivots to seniors housing
Positive
Aug 5, 2026
On August 5, 2026, Chiron Real Estate reported second-quarter 2026 results showing a sharp turnaround to net income of $63.3 million, or $4.78 per diluted share, versus a small loss a year earlier, even as FFO and Core FFO per share declined. Same...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Chiron Real Estate Names Matthew Whitlock Chief Investment Officer
Positive
Aug 3, 2026
Effective August 3, 2026, Chiron Real Estate Inc. appointed 62-year-old Matthew Whitlock as Chief Investment Officer of both the company and Inter-American Management LLC, bringing extensive senior housing investment experience from Berkshire Resi...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.