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Weyerhaeuser
(NYSE:WY)
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Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
$21.00
â–¼(-11.39% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:09/24/26
WY scores below average primarily due to weakened financial performance (sharp TTM revenue decline and negative free cash flow) and a bearish technical trend (price below key moving averages with negative MACD). Offsetting factors include a solid balance sheet profile and a constructive earnings outlook highlighted by improved Wood Products momentum and raised Strategic Land Solutions guidance, while valuation remains mixed with a supportive ~4% dividend but a high ~32 P/E.
Positive Factors
Timberland Scale
The company’s extensive timberland base provides durable access to biological growth, harvest opportunities and alternative land uses. This scale supports operating expertise, portfolio flexibility and the ability to monetize timber, real estate, renewable energy and carbon opportunities over multiple cycles.
Negative Factors
Revenue and Profitability Downcycle
The sharp revenue decline and lower profitability show that Weyerhaeuser remains exposed to the current downturn in wood-product pricing and volumes. Reduced earnings power can limit internal funding for investment and returns, while demonstrating that results remain highly sensitive to construction-related demand cycles.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Timberland Scale
The company’s extensive timberland base provides durable access to biological growth, harvest opportunities and alternative land uses. This scale supports operating expertise, portfolio flexibility and the ability to monetize timber, real estate, renewable energy and carbon opportunities over multiple cycles.
Read all positive factors
Weyerhaeuser Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Any
Total Acres Sold
Tracks the number of acres sold, offering insight into land management strategy and potential capital gains from real estate transactions.
Tracks the number of acres sold, offering insight into land management strategy and potential capital gains from real estate transactions.
Data provided by:
The Fly
The FlyWeyerhaeuser (WY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$13.40B
Dividend Yield4.55%
Average Volume (3M)5.92M
Price to Earnings (P/E)28.0
Beta (1Y)0.57
Revenue Growth-2.62%
EPS Growth70.21%
CountryUS
Employees9,517
SectorReal Estate
Sector Strength53
IndustryREIT - Specialty
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.66
Shares Outstanding720,736,000
10 Day Avg. Volume7,614,695
30 Day Avg. Volume5,916,402
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-3.16
Price to Book (P/B)1.81
Price to Sales (P/S)2.47
P/FCF Ratio194.18
Enterprise Value/Market Cap<0.01
Enterprise Value/Revenue<0.01
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit<0.01
Enterprise Value/Ebitda<0.01
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$31.00Price Target Upside30.80% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering10
EPS Forecast (FY)0.32
Revenue Forecast (FY)$7.18B
Weyerhaeuser Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Established in 1900, Weyerhaeuser Company holds a prominent global position as one of the largest private proprietors of timberlands. The company oversees or owns approximately 11 million acres of forested land in the United States, complemented b...
How the Company Makes Money
Weyerhaeuser primarily makes money by monetizing its timber, manufacturing wood products, and generating income from its land and natural resource assets.
1) Timberlands (logs and timber fiber): The company earns revenue by managing timberlands, ...
Weyerhaeuser Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Jul 30, 2026
(Q2-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call balanced clear execution and financial discipline with notable operational and market headwinds. Highlights include solid cash generation (~$400M), an adjusted EBITDA of $310M, strong sequential improvement in Wood Products (lumber realizations +15% and +$46M lumber EBITDA q/q), active portfolio management (29k-acre sale for $114M), and progress on growth initiatives (solar, biocarbon, Monticello). Material lowlights include a weak OSB business (Q2 loss, oversupply), transportation constraints and higher input costs that pressured margins, and continued softness/uncertainty in the housing and R&R markets. Management raised Strategic Land Solutions full-year guidance and reduced near-term financing risk (no 2026 maturities), which supports an overall constructive tone despite segment-level challenges.Positive Updates
Solid Quarter Financials
GAAP earnings of $162M ($0.23/share) on net sales of $1.9B; non-GAAP earnings excluding a special item of $91M ($0.13/share); adjusted EBITDA of $310M for the quarter.
Negative Updates
OSB Segment Weakness
OSB posted a $6M adjusted EBITDA loss in Q2 (down $9M q/q); market supply continues to outpace demand, composite pricing low, unit manufacturing costs pressured by annual maintenance and elevated resin costs; OSB average sales realizations only +3% q/q and remain challenged.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Solid Quarter Financials
GAAP earnings of $162M ($0.23/share) on net sales of $1.9B; non-GAAP earnings excluding a special item of $91M ($0.13/share); adjusted EBITDA of $310M for the quarter.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management guided third-quarter Timberlands results to be slightly higher (earnings before special items and adjusted EBITDA) versus Q2 as all regions improve, with Western fee harvest and domestic sales volumes expected to increase moderately (slightly lower average domestic realizations due to mix), per‑unit log and haul costs modestly down, forestry and road costs seasonally higher, Western export volumes to Japan lower sequentially (one vessel to China planned), Southern realizations comparable with higher fee harvest volumes and slightly lower per‑unit log/haul costs, and Northern fee harvest volumes significantly higher with moderately lower realizations by mix. They raised full‑year 2026 Strategic Land Solutions adjusted EBITDA to approximately $450 million (up $25 million) and now expect SLS basis to be 15%–20% of total SLS sales; Q3 SLS adjusted EBITDA is expected to be roughly $45 million lower and earnings about $30 million lower than Q2 due to timing/mix of real estate sales. For Wood Products, Q3 earnings and adjusted EBITDA are expected to be slightly lower than Q2 excluding price moves, with quarter‑to‑date lumber realizations moderately higher than Q2 and OSB realizations slightly lower; the company expects higher lumber production and sales volumes, slightly lower unit manufacturing costs, moderately higher log costs (primarily Western), OSB slightly higher volumes but higher unit manufacturing and resin costs, engineered wood products with slightly higher realizations and volumes (raw material costs slightly up), and distribution EBITDA slightly up. They reiterated lumber sensitivity (~$50 million of annual EBITDA per $10/mbf move) and noted no remaining 2026 debt maturities, supporting execution of the outlook.Weyerhaeuser Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
44
Neutral
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
Cash Flow
39
Negative
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 6.90B | 6.91B | 7.12B | 7.67B | 10.18B | 10.20B |
| Gross Profit | 914.00M | 516.00M | 1.31B | 1.68B | 3.62B | 4.10B |
| EBITDA | 1.16B | 1.04B | 1.20B | 1.72B | 3.06B | 4.11B |
| Net Income | 472.00M | 324.00M | 396.00M | 839.00M | 1.88B | 2.61B |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 16.51B | 16.61B | 16.54B | 16.98B | 17.34B | 17.65B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 527.00M | 464.00M | 684.00M | 1.16B | 1.58B | 1.88B |
| Total Debt | 5.42B | 5.57B | 5.11B | 5.09B | 5.08B | 5.12B |
| Total Liabilities | 7.06B | 7.19B | 6.82B | 6.75B | 6.59B | 6.88B |
| Stockholders Equity | 9.46B | 9.43B | 9.72B | 10.24B | 10.75B | 10.77B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | -442.00M | 88.00M | 341.00M | 753.00M | 2.07B | 2.57B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 547.00M | 562.00M | 1.01B | 1.43B | 2.83B | 3.16B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -193.00M | -475.00M | -636.00M | -508.00M | -759.00M | -325.00M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -419.00M | -290.00M | -852.00M | -1.34B | -2.49B | -1.33B |
Weyerhaeuser Technical Analysis
Negative
23.70
Price Trends
23.03
Negative
23.36
Negative
23.79
Negative
Market Momentum
-1.12
Positive
17.07
Positive
1.92
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For WY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 23.7 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 21.26, above the 50-day MA of 23.03, and below the 200-day MA of 23.79, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.12 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 17.07 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 1.92 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for WY.
Weyerhaeuser Risk Analysis
Weyerhaeuser disclosed 42 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Weyerhaeuser reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Weyerhaeuser Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
71 Outperform | $5.45B | 36.83 | 2.02% | 13.58% | -12.83% | -80.73% | |
70 Outperform | $10.94B | 10.92 | 20.59% | 8.49% | 5.76% | 30.67% | |
65 Neutral | $2.17B | 12.19 | 3.79% | 4.94% | 3.15% | 1.96% | |
62 Neutral | $1.93B | 1.60 | 270.16% | 21.81% | 199.70% | 2008.88% | |
58 Neutral | $411.52M | -13.28 | -0.96% | 5.86% | 21.60% | -60.95% | |
58 Neutral | $501.32M | 18.80 | 5.61% | 4.72% | -6.43% | -60.28% | |
49 Neutral | $13.40B | 27.98 | 5.00% | 4.55% | -2.62% | 70.21% |
* Real Estate Sector Average
WY
Weyerhaeuser
18.47
-5.77
-23.79%
RYN
Rayonier
18.06
-6.06
-25.13%
GLPI
Gaming and Leisure
37.68
-5.93
-13.59%
LAND
Gladstone Land
9.56
0.87
9.97%
FPI
Farmland
11.24
1.08
10.64%
UNIT
Uniti Group
8.04
2.20
37.67%
Weyerhaeuser Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Weyerhaeuser Updates Q3 Outlook and Growth Strategy
Positive
Sep 24, 2026
On September 24, 2026, Weyerhaeuser posted new investor presentation materials to the Investors section of its website, updating its previously disclosed third‑quarter 2026 outlook. The materials outline adjusted expectations for earnings an...
Business Operations and Strategy
Weyerhaeuser Updates Investor Presentation, Highlights Growth Strategy
Positive
Aug 27, 2026
On August 27, 2026, Weyerhaeuser posted a new investor presentation to its website outlining its investment thesis and segment structure, including a new name for its Real Estate, Energy Natural Resources segment effective in the first quarter of...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Weyerhaeuser Updates Q2 2026 Outlook and Strategy
Positive
Jun 25, 2026
On June 25, 2026, Weyerhaeuser posted updated investor presentation materials on its website, providing adjustments and commentary to its previously disclosed outlook for the second quarter of 2026. The materials outline expectations for earnings ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.