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Weir Group (WEGRY) AI Stock Analysis

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WEGRY

Weir Group

(Other OTC:WEGRY)

Select Model
Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:$18.50â–²(17.04% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/31/26

The score is driven primarily by improving multi-year operating profitability and still-positive free cash flow, tempered by higher leverage and weaker recent cash flow momentum. Technicals are neutral-to-soft with limited trend strength, valuation is somewhat expensive given the P/E and modest yield, and the latest earnings call was constructive on orders and guidance but flagged near-term cash/margin pressure and elevated leverage.

Positive Factors
Market PositionMore than 50% share in minerals mill-circuit pumps and high tender and trial win rates indicate embedded customer acceptance and technical differentiation. This can support recurring aftermarket capture, defend market position, and provide a durable base for future equipment growth.
Negative Factors
Elevated LeverageNet debt/EBITDA at 2.2x after the ESEL transaction, alongside higher interest costs, reduces flexibility versus the prior balance sheet. Until leverage declines toward management's target range, debt service and integration demands may constrain investment and cushion against mining-cycle volatility.

Weir Group (WEGRY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-20%-10%0%10%20%30%40%WEGRY-13.00%SPY+13.89%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$8.34B
Dividend Yield
1.75%
Average Volume (3M)
79.20K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
23.4
Beta (1Y)
1.03
Revenue Growth
9.80%
EPS Growth
-11.39%
Country
US
Employees
12,787
Sector
Industrials
Sector Strength
63
Industry
Industrial - Machinery

Weir Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

The Weir Group PLC is a global enterprise specializing in the manufacturing and distribution of sophisticated, custom-engineered equipment. Its operations are organized into two primary divisions: Minerals and ESCO. The Minerals division furnishes sp...

How the Company Makes Money

Weir primarily makes money by selling engineered equipment to mining customers and by providing recurring aftermarket support over the operating life of that equipment. Key revenue streams typically include: (1) Original equipment sales: revenue from...

Weir Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 29, 2026(Q2-2026)|% Change Since:-5.14%|Next Earnings Date:Mar 03, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call presents a predominately positive outlook: H1 order momentum (orders +8% CC, OE +10%), a strong H2 order book (book-to-bill 1.12), product and software wins, and clear targets to recover margins (>20% FY) and cash conversion (90%–100% FY). Near-term challenges include production transfer disruptions that deferred deliveries and pressured H1 margins and cash (free operating cash conversion 41%), elevated net debt/EBITDA (2.2x) and modest pricing pressure. Management expects these H1 effects to reverse in H2, supporting full-year guidance.

Positive Updates

Strong Order Growth and Book-to-Bill
Orders grew 8% year-on-year on a constant currency basis; original equipment (OE) orders +10% and aftermarket orders +8%. Q2 aftermarket organic orders in Minerals were up 8% year-on-year. Book-to-bill was 1.12 and the order book increased by circa GBP 150m in H1.

Negative Updates

Production Transfers and Deferred Deliveries
Late-2025 and early-2026 production relocations (rubber parts to Malaysia/India, castings to Americas/Africa) plus unusual demand patterns in Q1/early Q2 caused production replans, deferred deliveries into H2 and added operational complexity.

Company Guidance

The company reiterated full‑year guidance to deliver constant‑currency growth in revenue, operating profit and margins, targeting operating margins sustainably above 20% (H1 was 18.8%, down 100bps) and confirming the GBP 90m cumulative Performance Excellence savings target; it expects free operating cash conversion of 90–100% for the full year (versus 41% in H1), net debt/EBITDA (currently 2.2x) to move back toward the 0.5–1.5x covenant range by year‑end, Micromine ARR growth of >25% for 2026, and proposed an interim dividend of 20p (up 2%), supported by a strong order book (book‑to‑bill 1.12 and H1 order book up ~GBP 150m).

Weir Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Operating profitability has improved over multiple years (gross margin ~40%, EBIT margin ~19%) and free cash flow remained positive (> $250M) with decent earnings support (~81% of net income). Offsetting this, leverage stepped up materially in the latest year (debt-to-equity ~0.94 vs ~0.59) and cash flow momentum weakened (operating cash flow down and free cash flow growth sharply negative), reducing financial flexibility.

Income Statement

77Positive

Balance Sheet

58Neutral

Cash Flow

60Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.64B2.51B2.51B2.64B2.47B1.93B
Gross Profit1.04B1.01B1.02B994.90M873.90M692.00M
EBITDA601.48M592.25M519.00M489.50M422.80M361.90M
Net Income263.12M241.49M312.20M227.90M213.40M258.50M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.64B4.53B3.79B3.89B4.06B3.50B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments386.60M508.11M556.40M707.20M691.20M564.40M
Total Debt1.84B1.78B1.09B1.40B1.49B1.34B
Total Liabilities2.63B2.62B1.93B2.19B2.32B2.04B
Stockholders Equity2.00B1.90B1.84B1.69B1.73B1.44B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow235.62M257.43M377.40M307.60M264.70M103.30M
Operating Cash Flow289.35M316.12M449.90M394.30M320.80M156.10M
Investing Cash Flow-307.28M-844.38M-52.80M-70.60M-68.30M195.20M
Financing Cash Flow-55.10M537.16M-301.90M-322.50M-303.80M-217.30M

Weir Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price15.81

Price Trends

50DMA17.36Negative
100DMA17.32Negative
200DMA18.24Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.43Positive
RSI39.14Neutral
STOCH5.05Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For WEGRY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 15.81 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 16.89, below the 50-day MA of 17.36, and below the 200-day MA of 18.24, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.43 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.14 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 5.05 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for WEGRY.

Weir Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)

Financial Indicators

WEGRY against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
IEXIEX79Outperform$17.63B32.8613.31%1.22%6.93%14.08%
TEXTEX74Outperform$6.48B28.554.71%1.18%40.10%-17.18%
ITTITT71Outperform$19.18B43.919.10%0.70%35.82%-19.39%
Sector *63Neutral$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
FLSFLS63Neutral$10.80B41.8911.35%1.04%0.21%-42.26%
WEGRYWEGRY61Neutral$8.18B23.4113.45%1.75%9.80%-11.39%
ASTEASTE49Neutral$863.66M75.061.70%1.35%13.78%-75.79%

* Industrials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%20%40%60%WEGRYASTEFLSIEXITTTEXDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
WEGRY and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
WEGRYWeir Group15.81-2.43-13.32%
ASTEAstec Industries, Inc.38.64-4.74-10.93%
FLSFlowserve83.6617.2926.05%
IEXIdex Corporation238.0375.7746.70%
ITTITT Corporation214.5931.3517.11%
TEXTerex Corporation57.5612.3127.22%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 30, 2026