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Flowserve (FLS)
NYSE:FLS
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Flowserve (FLS) AI Stock Analysis

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FLS

Flowserve

(NYSE:FLS)

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Neutral 66 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
$79.00
â–¼(-5.75% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/29/26
The score is driven mainly by improved fundamentals—strong margin expansion, higher returns, and solid recent free cash flow—supported by reaffirmed guidance and operational execution. It is tempered by leverage and cash-flow timing volatility, recent revenue/bookings softness tied to OEM and Middle East disruption, and a mixed technical/valuation setup (negative MACD and a relatively high P/E with a modest yield).
Positive Factors
Margin and Returns Expansion
Flowserve has materially improved profitability and returns over the cycle, driven by sustained gross- and EBIT-margin expansion. Higher margins reflect structural operational gains (Flowserve Business System, SKU rationalization) that support durable earnings power even if top-line growth moderates.
Negative Factors
Elevated Leverage
Higher leverage constrains financial flexibility and increases vulnerability to cyclical downturns or cash-timing shocks. With debt-to-equity elevated versus prior years, interest and covenant sensitivity could limit ability to invest opportunistically or absorb prolonged OEM softness.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Margin and Returns Expansion
Flowserve has materially improved profitability and returns over the cycle, driven by sustained gross- and EBIT-margin expansion. Higher margins reflect structural operational gains (Flowserve Business System, SKU rationalization) that support durable earnings power even if top-line growth moderates.
Read all positive factors

Flowserve Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Shows how much sales come from different regions, revealing where the company is strongest and where it is exposed to local economic cycles, commodity demand, or currency swings. For investors, geographic splits highlight diversification, growth markets, and regions that could amplify or dampen overall results.
Chart InsightsRevenue concentration has shifted toward North America, Europe and Middle East & Africa — driven more by aftermarket strength and large, longer‑duration project wins — while APAC softened through 2025 and LATAM remains volatile and marginal. Management’s guidance that 2026 growth leans on Greenray/Trillium and that only about 76% of backlog will convert signals growth is increasingly M&A- and nuclear-dependent and back‑half weighted; that raises execution and timing risk if project schedules or regional demand underperform.
Data provided by:The Fly

Flowserve (FLS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Flowserve Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Flowserve Corporation designs, develops, manufactures, distributes, and services industrial flow management equipment in the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Asia, and internationally. It operates in two segments, Flowserve Pump Div...
How the Company Makes Money
Flowserve makes money by selling engineered flow-control equipment and by providing aftermarket parts and services over the installed life of that equipment. Revenue is primarily generated through (1) original equipment sales and (2) aftermarket o...

Flowserve Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 29, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presents a constructive view: strong operational execution drove significant margin expansion, EPS growth and aftermarket momentum while management maintained full-year guidance and highlighted a robust project funnel (including nuclear awards) and a healthy balance sheet. However, meaningful near-term headwinds remain—principally the Middle East conflict, an early-year softness in run-rate OEM bookings and temporary cash/working capital draw—creating short-term uncertainty. Management emphasized mitigation actions (supply-chain repositioning, Flowserve Business System and 80/20) and expects the second half to improve, signaling confidence in delivering the full-year targets despite quarter-to-date disruptions.
Positive Updates
Adjusted Margin Expansion and EPS Growth
Adjusted operating margin expanded by 230 basis points to 15.1% and adjusted gross margin increased 370 basis points to 37.2% (13th consecutive quarter of YoY adjusted gross margin expansion). Adjusted EPS was $0.85, an 18% increase versus Q1 2025.
Negative Updates
Quarterly Revenue and Bookings Declines
Q1 revenue was $1.1 billion, down 7% year-over-year; total bookings were $1.15 billion, down 6% versus prior year. Original equipment revenue declined 18% year-over-year, and FCD revenue declined 10% while FPD revenue declined 5%.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Adjusted Margin Expansion and EPS Growth
Adjusted operating margin expanded by 230 basis points to 15.1% and adjusted gross margin increased 370 basis points to 37.2% (13th consecutive quarter of YoY adjusted gross margin expansion). Adjusted EPS was $0.85, an 18% increase versus Q1 2025.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Flowserve reaffirmed 2026 guidance with adjusted EPS of $4.00–$4.20 (midpoint ≈13% growth vs. 2025) and about 100 bps of adjusted operating margin expansion, targeting total sales growth of 3%–6% (organic sales −1% to +2%, including ~300 bps benefit from acquisitions such as the expected midyear Trillium close) and calling for mid‑single‑digit bookings growth; the outlook assumes roughly $0.07 of ongoing Middle East impact and that disruptions don’t materially escalate. Management noted Q1 results that underpin the guide — adjusted EPS $0.85 (Q1 net +$0.07 from unanticipated items: $0.19 tariff benefit, −$0.06 Latin America tax, −$0.06 Middle East), adjusted operating margin 15.1% (+230 bps), adjusted gross margin 37.2% (+370 bps), bookings $1.15B (−6%) with book‑to‑bill 1.07x and aftermarket bookings $680M — and said Q2 sales are expected down low‑ to mid‑single digits with Q2 earnings similar to Q1, full‑year free‑cash‑flow conversion ≥90% of adjusted net earnings, and net leverage about 1.2x (credit facility extended and revolver increased).

Flowserve Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Profitability and returns have improved meaningfully (TTM gross margin ~34.3%, EBIT margin ~12.8%, ROE ~15.9%) with solid recent free cash flow (~$437M TTM). Offsetting factors are elevated leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.87), some cash-flow timing/working-capital volatility (low OCF vs. net income ~0.34x TTM), and modest TTM revenue softness (~-1.6%).
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
64
Positive
Cash Flow
70
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.65B4.73B4.56B4.32B3.62B3.54B
Gross Profit1.65B1.64B1.47B1.30B994.65M1.07B
EBITDA683.25M709.35M541.05M374.42M291.58M291.03M
Net Income354.02M346.25M282.76M186.74M188.69M125.95M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.73B5.71B5.50B5.11B4.79B4.75B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments792.35M760.18M675.44M545.68M434.97M658.45M
Total Debt1.89B1.91B1.69B1.40B1.46B1.50B
Total Liabilities3.45B3.45B3.45B3.13B2.93B2.91B
Stockholders Equity2.21B2.19B2.01B1.94B1.82B1.80B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow436.65M434.96M344.29M258.41M-116.30M195.18M
Operating Cash Flow512.74M505.88M425.31M325.77M-40.01M250.12M
Investing Cash Flow-121.06M-125.16M-387.21M-68.58M-6.09M-59.48M
Financing Cash Flow-154.18M-326.93M117.50M-153.01M-150.01M-599.71M

Flowserve Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price83.82
Price Trends
50DMA
75.49
Negative
100DMA
77.95
Negative
200DMA
69.72
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.13
Negative
RSI
54.89
Neutral
STOCH
89.18
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FLS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 83.82 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 70.93, above the 50-day MA of 75.49, and above the 200-day MA of 69.72, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.13 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.89 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 89.18 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FLS.

Flowserve Risk Analysis

Flowserve disclosed 56 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Flowserve reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Flowserve Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$28.75B26.1614.69%1.04%4.05%-51.73%
72
Outperform
$11.72B45.3812.67%―17.39%20.78%
67
Neutral
$17.35B36.8313.03%0.79%16.63%-9.75%
66
Neutral
$9.64B27.1615.93%1.17%0.83%26.77%
66
Neutral
$11.55B17.6317.74%0.96%3.10%4.96%
64
Neutral
$14.33B49.624.23%0.97%1.54%22.59%
55
Neutral
$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FLS
Flowserve
75.42
27.23
56.50%
DOV
Dover
213.47
35.88
20.20%
ITT
ITT
193.27
41.94
27.72%
PNR
Pentair
72.85
-25.69
-26.07%
RRX
Regal Rexnord
213.86
75.31
54.35%
SPXC
SPX
236.14
78.44
49.74%

Flowserve Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Flowserve Reaffirms 2026 Outlook Amid Activist Pressure
Positive
May 28, 2026
On May 28, 2026, Flowserve Corporation reaffirmed its full-year 2026 guidance and underscored the strength of its portfolio and operations in response to public statements from activist investor Starboard Value. The company highlighted 860 basis p...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Flowserve Streamlines Board and Confirms Governance Decisions
Positive
May 15, 2026
Flowserve Corporation’s board of directors amended the company’s by-laws, effective May 14, 2026, to reduce the size of the board from eleven to nine directors, signaling a streamlined governance structure that could affect board dynam...
Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
Flowserve Issues Notes to Fund Trillium Valves Acquisition
Positive
May 12, 2026
On May 12, 2026, Flowserve Corporation issued $500 million of 5.700% senior notes due May 15, 2036, under its existing senior indenture framework with U.S. Bank Trust Company as trustee. The notes, which carry semi-annual interest payments startin...
Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
Flowserve Issues Senior Notes to Finance Trillium Acquisition
Positive
May 6, 2026
On May 5, 2026, Flowserve Corporation entered into an underwriting agreement with a syndicate led by BofA Securities, J.P. Morgan Securities and Mizuho Securities for the offering of $500 million of 5.700% senior notes due 2036, with closing expec...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Flowserve Delivers Strong Q1 Margins, Reaffirms 2026 EPS Outlook
Positive
Apr 29, 2026
Flowserve reported first-quarter 2026 results on April 29, 2026, showing total bookings of $1.15 billion, including more than $110 million in nuclear orders and $680 million in aftermarket bookings, while reported sales declined 6.7% year over yea...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Flowserve Expands Long-Term Liquidity with New Credit Facilities
Positive
Apr 15, 2026
On April 15, 2026, Flowserve Corporation amended and restated its credit agreement with Bank of America and a syndicate of lenders, establishing a $1 billion unsecured revolving credit facility, including significant sublimits for letters of credi...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Flowserve Announces Leadership Changes in Pumps Division
Neutral
Mar 26, 2026
On March 26, 2026, Flowserve announced that Lamar Duhon has resigned as president of its Flowserve Pumps Division, effective April 10, 2026, to become CEO of a privately held company, and will be succeeded on April 11, 2026, by Matthew Klopfer, cu...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Flowserve Expands Board With Appointment of Brian Savoy
Positive
Mar 16, 2026
On March 16, 2026, Flowserve’s board elected Brian D. Savoy, Chief Financial Officer and Executive Vice President of Duke Energy, to its board of directors and appointed him to the Audit Committee and the Technology, Innovation and Risk Comm...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 29, 2026