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NCR Voyix (VYX)
NYSE:VYX

NCR Voyix (VYX) AI Stock Analysis

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VY

NCR Voyix

(NYSE:VYX)

45Neutral
NCR Voyix is currently facing significant financial challenges, with declining revenues, negative margins, and poor cash flow performance. While there are positive developments in corporate strategy and potential for operational improvements, the technical indicators suggest bearish momentum. Valuation metrics are also unfavorable, as indicated by the negative P/E ratio. Recent corporate events and earnings call provide some optimism, but they are not enough to offset the broader financial and operational challenges.
Positive Factors
Earnings
VYX posted 1Q results which came in better than expected.
SaaS Growth
SaaS ARR grew 4.7% year-over-year and platform sites jumped 27% to 77,000 as VYX continues to sign and convert customers to its SaaS offering.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
Revenue declined approximately 13% year-over-year as hardware sales and installations remain soft.
Tariffs Impact
VYX expects an $8-12 million revenue headwind from China-related tariffs.

NCR Voyix (VYX) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

NCR Voyix Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNCR Corporation provides various software and services in the United States, Americas, the Asia Pacific, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. The company operates through Retail, Hospitality, Digital Banking, Payments & Network, and Self-Service Banking segments. It offers managed services, including ATM-as-a-Service solutions that allow banks to run their end-to-end ATM channels; software, services, and hardware; and digital banking solutions for financial institution's consumer and business customers. The company also provides solutions for banking channel services, transaction processing, imaging, and branch services. In addition, it offers solutions for retail industry comprising comprehensive API-point of sale (POS) retail software platforms and applications, hardware terminals and peripherals, payment processing solutions, and consumer engagement solutions, as well as self-service kiosks, which consists of self-checkout (SCO). Further, the company provides technology solutions to customers in the hospitality industry comprising table-service, quick-service, and fast casual restaurants. It also offers cloud-based and cloud-enabled software applications for point-of-sale, back office, payment processing, kitchen production, restaurant management, eCommerce, and consumer marketing and loyalty; and hospitality-oriented hardware products, such as POS terminals, kitchen display systems, handheld devices, printers, and peripherals. Additionally, the company provides managed network and infrastructure services to enterprise clients, as well as professional, field, and remote services for network technologies. It also offers solutions for customer account opening and onboarding across digital, branch, and call center channels. NCR Corporation was founded in 1881 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.
How the Company Makes MoneyNCR Voyix generates revenue through a combination of software licensing, hardware sales, and ongoing service contracts. Key revenue streams include subscription fees for its cloud-based platforms, sales of point-of-sale terminals and other hardware solutions, and professional services such as consulting and technical support. The company often forms strategic partnerships with banks, retailers, and technology providers to expand its market reach and enhance its service offerings. Additionally, NCR Voyix benefits from long-term contracts and recurring revenue models that provide a stable financial foundation.

NCR Voyix Financial Statement Overview

Summary
NCR Voyix is facing significant financial challenges, including declining revenues, negative margins, and poor cash flow performance. High leverage remains a concern despite a slight improvement in equity. Overall, the company needs to address operational inefficiencies and improve its cash flow management to enhance financial stability.
Income Statement
NCR Voyix has experienced significant revenue decline from 2023 to 2024, with a negative revenue growth rate. The company's gross profit margin improved slightly from the previous year, but it still remains low at 20.5% in 2024. The net profit margin shows volatility, improving from a significant loss in 2023 to a positive margin in 2024, but this is due to extraordinary items rather than operational efficiency. EBIT and EBITDA margins turned negative, indicating operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
45
The company has a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.44 in 2024, signifying high leverage which poses financial risk. Stockholders' equity increased, improving the equity ratio to 20.9%, indicating a slight enhancement in financial stability. However, the return on equity has fluctuated, reflecting inconsistent financial performance and profitability concerns.
Cash Flow
The operating cash flow turned negative in 2024, representing a concerning trend from positive cash flow a year earlier. The free cash flow growth rate is negative, indicating deteriorating cash generation. Additionally, both operating and free cash flow to net income ratios are unfavorable, suggesting inefficiencies in converting income into cash.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
2.83B3.83B7.84B7.16B6.21B
Gross Profit
579.00M962.00M1.86B1.89B1.52B
EBIT
-37.00M37.00M489.00M474.00M221.00M
EBITDA
232.00M530.00M783.00M455.00M528.00M
Net Income Common Stockholders
943.00M-423.00M60.00M97.00M-79.00M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
724.00M262.00M505.00M447.00M338.00M
Total Assets
4.45B4.99B11.51B11.64B8.41B
Total Debt
1.35B2.89B6.02B5.95B3.60B
Net Debt
622.00M2.63B5.51B5.50B3.27B
Total Liabilities
3.25B4.69B9.75B10.11B7.09B
Stockholders Equity
1.21B301.00M1.75B1.53B1.32B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-132.00M317.00M70.00M729.00M378.00M
Operating Cash Flow
-132.00M694.00M447.00M1.08B641.00M
Investing Cash Flow
2.19B-290.00M-387.00M-2.83B-277.00M
Financing Cash Flow
-1.56B-839.00M1.00M2.18B-514.00M

NCR Voyix Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price10.16
Price Trends
50DMA
9.35
Positive
100DMA
11.18
Negative
200DMA
12.33
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.10
Negative
RSI
70.39
Negative
STOCH
80.51
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VYX, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 10.16 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.61, above the 50-day MA of 9.35, and below the 200-day MA of 12.33, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.10 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 70.39 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 80.51 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for VYX.

NCR Voyix Risk Analysis

NCR Voyix disclosed 42 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. NCR Voyix reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

NCR Voyix Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$1.34B43.094.21%7.98%-40.59%
71
Outperform
$1.40B16.9912.21%1.23%3.51%18.34%
67
Neutral
$1.22B873.040.63%20.97%
64
Neutral
$1.26B28.059.78%7.64%5.22%
60
Neutral
$10.83B10.47-6.71%2.99%7.73%-12.97%
58
Neutral
$886.44M42.372.51%6.48%
VYVYX
45
Neutral
$1.20B-20.40%-50.48%-15.75%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VYX
NCR Voyix
10.57
-1.90
-15.24%
FORTY
Formula Systems
97.11
13.99
16.83%
PSFE
Paysafe
15.47
0.29
1.91%
FLYW
Flywire
10.89
-6.70
-38.09%
TASK
TaskUs
16.85
3.25
23.90%
NABL
N-able
7.55
-5.09
-40.27%

NCR Voyix Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 08, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 16.11%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a mix of positive and negative aspects. While there were significant expansions in platform and payment sites and new customer wins, the company faced revenue declines, tariff-related cost challenges, and a drop in retail segment profitability. The sentiment is balanced by cost efficiency improvements and share repurchase activities.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Expansion of Platform and Payment Sites
Restaurant platform and payment sites increased by 5% and 6%, respectively. Retail platform and payment sites increased by 48% and 14%, respectively.
Significant Customer Wins
Secured multiyear contracts with Ziggi's Coffee and Raising Cane's in the restaurant segment. Renewed and expanded relationships with Morrisons in the retail segment.
Cost Efficiency Improvements
Adjusted EBITDA increased by 19% with a margin expansion of 330 basis points to 12.2%, largely due to cost efficiency initiatives.
Share Repurchase Program
Completed an additional $25 million of share repurchases and increased the total aggregate purchase authority to $200 million.
Negative Updates
Revenue Decline
Total revenue declined by 13% due to continued softness in hardware sales and exiting one-time software revenue streams.
Tariff-related Costs
Tariff-related costs are projected to be between $8 million and $12 million for the year, with potential to rise up to $20 million.
Decline in Software ARR
Software ARR and total ARR in the restaurant segment both decreased by 1%, although they saw a modest increase after adjusting for timing.
Challenges in Retail Segment
Retail segment's adjusted EBITDA decreased by 24% primarily due to declines in hardware revenue and an unfavorable product mix.
Company Guidance
During the NCR Voyix first-quarter 2025 earnings call, several metrics and guidance points were discussed. The company reported total revenue of $617 million, a 13% decline primarily due to softness in hardware sales and exiting one-time revenue streams, with recurring revenue increasing by 2% to $407 million, now representing 66% of total revenue. Software ARR and total segment ARR increased by 5% and 2%, respectively, while platform sites grew by 27% to 77,000 sites. Adjusted EBITDA improved by 19% to $75 million, with margins expanding by 330 basis points to 12.2%, driven by efficiency initiatives. For the full year, NCR Voyix maintains its guidance, expecting currency-neutral revenue between $2.575 billion to $2.65 billion, adjusted EBITDA between $420 million to $445 million, and adjusted free cash flow between $170 million to $190 million, excluding restructuring and other strategic expenditures. The company is also focused on mitigating tariff-related costs and advancing its cloud-native platform and payment initiatives, anticipating a launch in the latter half of the year to bolster revenue growth into 2026.

NCR Voyix Corporate Events

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
NCR Voyix Reports Q1 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
May 8, 2025

NCR Voyix reported its first quarter 2025 financial results, showing a revenue of $617 million, a decrease from $710 million in the previous year. Despite a net loss of $20 million, this was an improvement from the $71 million loss in the prior year. The company achieved an adjusted EBITDA of $75 million, up from $63 million, and maintained its full-year 2025 outlook. Key developments included signing new customers, expanding existing relationships, and progressing on payments and hardware agreements. The company also repurchased $62 million in common shares and expanded its share repurchase program to $200 million, now including Series A preferred stock.

Spark’s Take on VYX Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, VYX is a Neutral.

NCR Voyix faces major financial challenges with declining revenues and negative cash flows, significantly impacting its overall score. Technical indicators point to bearish sentiment, and the valuation appears unattractive with a negative P/E ratio. Despite some positive guidance and strategic leadership changes, these are outweighed by the company’s current financial difficulties and market conditions.

To see Spark’s full report on VYX stock, click here.

Executive/Board ChangesM&A TransactionsStock BuybackBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
NCR Voyix Reports Q4 2024 Financial Results
Neutral
Feb 27, 2025

NCR Voyix reported its financial results for the fourth quarter and full year 2024, showing a decrease in revenue to $682 million for the quarter and $2.8 billion for the year, compared to the previous year. Despite the revenue decline, the company reduced its net loss significantly and improved its adjusted EBITDA. The company continues to execute its transformation initiatives, including the sale of its Digital Banking unit and improvements in cost structure. Recent leadership changes include appointing James G. Kelly as CEO and Darren Wilson as Executive Vice President. The company also completed a $100 million share repurchase. Looking ahead, NCR Voyix has provided a 2025 outlook with expectations for revenue and adjusted EBITDA growth.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
NCR Voyix Appoints Jeffrey Sloan to Board
Positive
Feb 27, 2025

On February 25, 2025, NCR Voyix Corporation announced the appointment of Jeffrey S. Sloan to its Board of Directors, effective March 3, 2025. Sloan, a seasoned executive with over 30 years in the financial technology industry, previously led Global Payments Inc. as CEO, significantly increasing its revenue through strategic initiatives. His expertise is expected to support NCR Voyix’s growth and value creation efforts as the company continues to expand its digital commerce solutions.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
NCR Voyix Announces Leadership Transition in Retail Sector
Positive
Feb 11, 2025

On February 11, 2025, NCR Voyix announced that Eric Schoch, the Executive Vice President and President of Retail, would transition to a new role focusing on product strategy, while Darren Wilson would succeed him as the Executive Vice President and President, Retail and Payments. This leadership change is aimed at driving the company’s growth strategy in retail and payments through enhanced sales and customer satisfaction globally. The announcement reflects NCR Voyix’s commitment to strengthening its position as a leading global technology provider, leveraging Mr. Schoch’s foundational work in product strategy and Mr. Wilson’s proven leadership experience.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.