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Vitesse Energy, Inc. (VTS)
NYSE:VTS
US Market

Vitesse Energy, Inc. (VTS) AI Stock Analysis

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Vitesse Energy, Inc.

(NYSE:VTS)

64Neutral
Vitesse Energy, Inc. shows a strong financial foundation with improving profitability and cash flow, supported by strategic acquisitions and a robust dividend yield. However, technical indicators point to a bearish trend, and the high P/E ratio suggests potential overvaluation. The earnings call highlighted both achievements and challenges, particularly related to commodity price volatility.
Positive Factors
Acquisition Impact
The acquisition of Lucero Energy enabled the company to increase the base dividend by ~7%, de-lever the balance sheet, and add operated flexibility.
Dividend Strategy
The key appeal of the story remains an outsized dividend yield that looks to return more than 100% of excess cash to shareholders using current strip prices.
Negative Factors
Trading Liquidity
Limited trading liquidity somewhat limits incremental flows and shares are already trading in line with quality E&Ps on EV/EBITDA despite timing risk inherent in the non-op business model.

Vitesse Energy, Inc. (VTS) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Vitesse Energy, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionVitesse Energy, Inc. focuses on acquisition, ownership, exploration, development, management, production, exploitation, and dispose of oil and gas properties. The company acquires non-operated working interest and royalty interest ownership primarily in the core of the Bakken Field in North Dakota and Montana. It also owns non-operated interests in oil and gas properties in Colorado and Wyoming. The company was incorporated in 2022 and is based in Centennial, Colorado.
How the Company Makes MoneyVitesse Energy, Inc. generates revenue through the production and sale of oil and natural gas. The company's primary revenue streams are derived from the extraction of these resources from its acquired properties, which are then sold in the market. Key factors contributing to its earnings include the efficiency of its production operations, the market price of oil and natural gas, and its ability to manage operational costs effectively. Additionally, strategic partnerships with other exploration and production companies can enhance its operational capabilities and access to new resource-rich areas, further supporting its revenue generation.

Vitesse Energy, Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Vitesse Energy, Inc. demonstrates a solid financial position with improving profitability and strong cash flow generation. The company's low leverage and robust equity underpin its financial stability. Continued focus on operational efficiency could enhance profitability further. Overall, the company is well-positioned in the fossil fuels industry amidst a recovering financial trajectory.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Vitesse Energy, Inc. shows strong gross profit margins, indicating effective cost control. The revenue growth rate is positive, though modest. The net profit margin has improved significantly from a negative position, showcasing a turnaround in profitability. However, the EBIT margin remains moderate, suggesting potential room for operational efficiency improvements.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a strong equity position with zero debt, reducing financial risk. The equity ratio is robust, indicating high asset financing through equity. Return on Equity is recovering, reflecting improved profitability. However, prior debt levels suggest the company should maintain its current leverage strategy.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Operating cash flow is strong relative to net income, highlighting efficient cash generation. The free cash flow growth rate is impressive, showing solid cash reserves for investment or debt reduction. However, past fluctuations in free cash flow indicate potential volatility in cash management.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2020Dec 2019
Income StatementTotal Revenue
242.00M233.91M300.07M97.23M171.30M
Gross Profit
72.59M91.02M162.93M46.33M112.85M
EBIT
40.97M34.85M153.87M-20.61M36.88M
EBITDA
139.02M129.22M186.79M54.13M105.43M
Net Income Common Stockholders
21.06M-21.58M118.90M-13.56M35.89M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
2.97M552.00K10.01M1.73M0.00
Total Assets
810.89M765.97M660.48M627.13M0.00
Total Debt
121.22M84.26M48.00M98.50M0.00
Net Debt
118.26M83.71M37.99M96.77M0.00
Total Liabilities
310.56M219.56M91.50M134.66M0.00
Stockholders Equity
500.33M546.41M568.98M492.47M0.00
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
39.68M21.28M62.46M5.48M-3.23M
Operating Cash Flow
155.00M141.94M147.04M76.31M101.19M
Investing Cash Flow
-115.32M-120.67M-84.58M-70.81M-104.37M
Financing Cash Flow
-37.27M-30.73M-57.81M-5.53M-41.00K

Vitesse Energy, Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price19.81
Price Trends
50DMA
22.62
Negative
100DMA
24.07
Negative
200DMA
24.12
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.54
Negative
RSI
37.54
Neutral
STOCH
47.70
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VTS, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 19.81 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 20.76, below the 50-day MA of 22.62, and below the 200-day MA of 24.12, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.54 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 37.54 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 47.70 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for VTS.

Vitesse Energy, Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (56)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
LELEU
73
Outperform
$1.27B16.9375.58%38.04%-19.69%
SBSBR
66
Neutral
$920.25M11.64922.55%8.51%-11.35%-11.76%
MRMRC
65
Neutral
$1.05B41.188.29%-9.17%-71.36%
VTVTS
64
Neutral
$764.94M27.434.24%10.01%4.15%3.91%
62
Neutral
$536.41M2.02-6.33%26.15%-114.03%
56
Neutral
$6.93B3.42-4.86%5.94%-0.08%-48.18%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VTS
Vitesse Energy, Inc.
20.16
-2.60
-11.42%
VTLE
Vital Energy
13.92
-39.16
-73.78%
MRC
MRC Global
12.21
0.49
4.18%
LEU
Centrus Energy
72.50
30.37
72.09%
SBR
Sabine Royalty
62.74
4.02
6.85%
TXO
TXO Energy Partners LP
16.92
0.04
0.24%

Vitesse Energy, Inc. Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 05, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -7.26%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 04, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a balanced view with significant achievements in production growth and strategic acquisitions like Lucero, alongside a strong hedging strategy and financial position. However, these were tempered by necessary guidance adjustments and deferred operations due to commodity price volatility and market uncertainties.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Production Growth Achievement
Production for the quarter averaged just under 15,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day, which was at the top end of expectations, marking a 16% increase from the fourth quarter of 2024.
Successful Acquisition of Lucero
The acquisition of Lucero was highlighted as a key step forward, enhancing decision-making ability and control over capital spending, with assets performing as expected.
Hedging Strategy for Commodity Price Volatility
Approximately 61% of oil production and 30% of natural gas production for 2025 are hedged, mitigating the impact of commodity price volatility.
Low Leverage and Strong Financial Position
Ended the quarter with total debt of $117 million and a net debt to adjusted annualized EBITDA of 0.7 times, maintaining financial flexibility.
Negative Updates
Guidance Adjustments Due to Price Volatility
Revised 2025 guidance reflects a 32% reduction in CapEx with only a 9% decline in production to preserve returns amidst current commodity price volatility.
Deferred Completion of Wells
Completion of some drilled but uncompleted wells was deferred due to recent commodity price volatility.
Decline in AFE Costs and Operator Caution
Noted decline in AFE costs with a cautious approach from operators due to declining oil prices, indicating market uncertainty.
Company Guidance
During Vitesse Energy's Q1 2025 earnings call, the company provided revised annual guidance in response to current commodity price volatility. They anticipate full-year production in the range of 15,000 to 17,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day (BOE/d), with an oil cut of 64% to 68%. Their cash capital expenditures (CapEx) for 2025 are projected to be between $80 million and $110 million, reflecting a 32% reduction based on midpoints, with only a 9% decline in production. The company has hedged approximately 61% of its 2025 oil production at a weighted average price of $70.75 per barrel and 30% of its natural gas production at a floor of $3.73 per MMBtu. Additionally, for 2026, Vitesse hedged over 2,500 barrels per day of oil and 12,700 MMBtu per day of natural gas production at roughly $67 per barrel and a costless collar of $3.72 by $5 per MMBtu. The company reaffirmed its annual dividend rate of $2.25 per share.

Vitesse Energy, Inc. Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Vitesse Energy Elects Directors and Amends Incentive Plan
Neutral
May 6, 2025

Vitesse Energy, Inc. held its Annual Meeting where stockholders voted on several key proposals. The meeting resulted in the election of nine directors to serve until the 2026 Annual Meeting, the ratification of Deloitte & Touche LLP as the independent public accounting firm for 2025, and the approval of an amendment to the Long Term Incentive Plan. These decisions are pivotal for the company’s governance and strategic planning, potentially impacting its operational efficiency and stakeholder confidence.

Spark’s Take on VTS Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, VTS is a Neutral.

Vitesse Energy, Inc. demonstrates solid financial performance with improving profitability and strong cash flow generation. The company’s recent earnings call provided positive guidance and strategic moves, such as the acquisition of Lucero Energy, which strengthen its market position. However, technical indicators suggest bearish trends, and valuation metrics imply potential overvaluation, which slightly tempers the overall score.

To see Spark’s full report on VTS stock, click here.

M&A TransactionsDividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Vitesse Energy Revises 2025 Guidance Amid Market Uncertainty
Neutral
May 5, 2025

Vitesse Energy, Inc. announced its first quarter 2025 financial results, reporting a net income of $2.7 million and an adjusted EBITDA of $39.9 million. The company closed an acquisition of Lucero Energy Corp. and declared a quarterly cash dividend. Vitesse revised its 2025 guidance, reducing planned capital expenditures by 32% due to market uncertainty, while projecting a 23% increase in production over 2024. The company aims to maintain financial flexibility and protect shareholder value amid volatile commodity prices.

Spark’s Take on VTS Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, VTS is a Neutral.

Vitesse Energy, Inc. demonstrates solid financial performance with improving profitability and strong cash flow generation. The company’s recent earnings call provided positive guidance and strategic moves, such as the acquisition of Lucero Energy, which strengthen its market position. However, technical indicators suggest bearish trends, and valuation metrics imply potential overvaluation, which slightly tempers the overall score.

To see Spark’s full report on VTS stock, click here.

M&A TransactionsDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Vitesse Energy Increases Dividend After Lucero Acquisition
Positive
Mar 12, 2025

Vitesse Energy, Inc. announced its financial and operating results for the fourth quarter and full year 2024, reporting a net income of $21.1 million and an adjusted EBITDA of $156.8 million for the year. The company also declared a 7% increase in its quarterly cash dividend to $0.5625 per share, following the accretive acquisition of Lucero Energy Corp. on March 7, 2025. Vitesse’s production averaged 13,003 barrels of oil equivalent per day in 2024, with oil comprising 69% of production. The company issued guidance for 2025 production and capital expenditures, highlighting its strategic positioning for further acquisitions supported by its proprietary database, Luminis.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Vitesse Energy Completes Acquisition of Lucero Energy
Positive
Mar 11, 2025

On March 7, 2025, Vitesse Energy, Inc. completed its acquisition of Lucero Energy Corp., making Lucero a wholly-owned subsidiary. This transaction, which involved a share exchange, increased Vitesse’s outstanding shares significantly and positioned the company to expand its operations in the Williston Basin, potentially enhancing its market presence and resource development capabilities.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.