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Vontier (VNT)
NYSE:VNT

Vontier (VNT) AI Stock Analysis

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Vontier

(NYSE:VNT)

Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
$39.00
▲(9.09%Upside)
Vontier's overall stock score reflects strong financial performance, particularly in profitability and cash flow management. The company's technical indicators show positive momentum, though caution is advised due to potential overbought signals. The earnings call provided reassurance in strategic direction and growth potential, despite some challenges. Valuation metrics suggest the stock may be undervalued, presenting a potential investment opportunity.
Positive Factors
Capital Strategy
Capital optionality is expanding with Net Debt/EBITDA trending sub-2x, with a likely pivot towards stock repurchases.
Financial Performance
Vontier had 6% y/y orders growth and is seeing a multi-year replacement cycle start for underground tank equipment.
Valuation
VNT shares trade at just 12x 2025E adj. EPS, well below the 22x peer average, despite similar margins and adj. EPS growth.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
Vontier faced revenue decline in car wash equipment & software, impacting financial results.
Segment Performance
Vontier experienced revenue and margin declines in the Repair Solutions segment.

Vontier (VNT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Vontier Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionVontier Corporation engages in the research and development, manufacture, sale, and distribution of technical equipment, components, software, and services for manufacturing, repairing, and servicing in the mobility infrastructure industry worldwide. The company offers a range of solutions, including environmental sensors, fueling equipment, field payment hardware, point-of sale, workflow and monitoring software, vehicle tracking and fleet management, software solutions for traffic light control, and vehicle mechanics', and technicians' equipment. Its mobility technologies products include solutions and services in the areas of fuel dispensing, remote fuel management, point-of-sale and payment systems, environmental compliance, vehicle tracking and fleet management, and traffic management; and diagnostics and repair technologies products comprise vehicle repair tools, toolboxes, automotive diagnostic equipment, and software, as well as wheel-service equipment for automotive tire installation and repair shops, including brake lathes, tire changers, wheel balancers, and wheel weights under the Ammco and Coats brands. The company markets its products and services to retail and commercial fueling operators, convenience store and in-bay car wash operators, tunnel car wash and commercial vehicle repair businesses, municipal governments, and public safety entities and fleet owners/operators through a network of franchised mobile distributors, as well as direct sales personnel and independent distributors. It serves customers in North America, the Asia Pacific, Europe, and Latin America. The company was incorporated in 2019 and is headquartered in Raleigh, North Carolina.
How the Company Makes MoneyVontier makes money primarily through the sale of its technology-driven products and services. The company's revenue model includes the production and distribution of hardware such as fuel dispensers and payment systems, alongside software solutions for fleet management and vehicle diagnostics. Key revenue streams include sales from their extensive product lines, service and maintenance contracts, and software subscriptions. Significant partnerships with fuel retailers, automotive service providers, and fleet operators contribute to its earnings, providing a recurring revenue base through ongoing service agreements and technological upgrades.

Vontier Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 01, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 12.39%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 31, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong execution and exceeding expectations in the first quarter, with significant growth in Mobility Technologies and Environmental & Fueling Solutions. Despite challenges in Repair Solutions and the impact of tariffs, Vontier's confidence in its strategies and market resilience was evident, supported by share repurchases and margin improvements.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Exceeding Expectations in Q1 2025
First quarter sales, adjusted EPS, and adjusted free cash flow exceeded expectations, with core sales driven by low-double digit growth in Environmental & Fueling Solutions and Mobility Technologies.
Share Repurchase Authorization
Vontier's Board approved the replenishment of a $500 million share repurchase authorization, indicating strong confidence in the business.
Mobility Technologies Growth
Core sales in Mobility Technologies increased nearly 13% year-over-year, with Invenco showing over 20% growth for the third consecutive quarter.
Improved Free Cash Flow
Free cash flow of $96 million increased over 20% year-over-year, reflecting strong cash conversion.
Environmental & Fueling Solutions Margin Expansion
Segment operating profit margin expanded 20 basis points, driven by productivity and simplification efforts.
Negative Updates
Core Sales Decline
Core sales declined 0.7% year-over-year, despite exceeding guidance range.
Repair Solutions Challenges
Service technicians are deferring discretionary spending, impacting large ticket items like tool storage, leading to a segment profit margin decline of approximately 280 basis points.
Tariff Impact and Trade Uncertainty
Estimated current cost impact from tariffs is approximately $50 million, with continued efforts to mitigate exposure, particularly focusing on reducing dependency on China.
DRB Sales Decline
DRB sales declined double-digits year-on-year, although it was consistent with forecast and seasonality.
Company Guidance
During the Vontier First Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company reported strong performance with sales, adjusted EPS, and adjusted free cash flow exceeding expectations. Core sales growth was driven primarily by Environmental & Fueling Solutions and Mobility Technologies, which grew in the low-double digits. Despite a slight decline in core sales year-over-year by 0.7%, the adjusted EPS increased by 4% to $0.77, surpassing the projected range of $0.71 to $0.74. Free cash flow saw a significant improvement, increasing over 20% year-over-year to $96 million. The company maintained its full-year guidance, indicating confidence in its ability to navigate potential headwinds from tariffs, with an estimated cost impact of approximately $50 million. Vontier has also replenished its $500 million share repurchase authorization, signaling strong capital management. The company highlighted its connected mobility strategy and the resilience of its Convenience Retail & Fueling segment, which accounts for about two-thirds of its sales.

Vontier Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Vontier shows strong profitability with a high gross margin and stable operational efficiency, despite a slight revenue decline. The company's balance sheet is stable, with a moderate debt-to-equity ratio and strong ROE. Cash flow management is robust, reflecting efficient cash generation relative to net income.
Income Statement
75
Positive
The company exhibits solid profitability with a strong gross profit margin of 59.8% and a respectable net profit margin of 12.6% for TTM. However, revenue shows a slight decline from the previous year, indicating potential challenges in growth. EBIT and EBITDA margins, at 17.7% and 20.9% respectively, reflect stable operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
Vontier maintains a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 1.96, which suggests a balanced approach to leverage. The return on equity (ROE) is strong at 34.1%, indicating effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio, at 25.5%, shows that a quarter of the company's assets are financed by shareholders, reflecting a stable financial position.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
The company demonstrates robust cash flow management with a free cash flow growth rate of 6.2% TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.2, indicating efficient cash generation relative to net income. Additionally, the free cash flow to net income ratio stands at 0.98, reflecting a strong correlation between profit and cash flow, which is favorable for long-term sustainability.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
2.96B2.98B3.10B3.18B2.99B2.70B
Gross Profit
1.38B1.42B1.43B1.43B1.33B1.19B
EBIT
525.00M537.00M543.40M577.90M582.20M638.80M
EBITDA
648.70M699.40M702.20M698.70M683.60M636.70M
Net Income Common Stockholders
373.30M422.20M376.90M401.30M413.00M342.00M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
333.60M356.40M340.90M225.80M572.60M380.50M
Total Assets
4.29B4.31B4.29B4.34B4.35B3.07B
Total Debt
2.14B2.20B2.35B2.64B2.64B1.81B
Net Debt
1.81B1.84B2.01B2.43B2.06B1.43B
Total Liabilities
3.19B3.25B3.40B3.76B3.78B2.88B
Stockholders Equity
1.10B1.05B890.40M576.50M569.90M187.40M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
366.20M344.80M394.90M261.20M433.30M655.60M
Operating Cash Flow
446.40M427.50M455.00M321.20M481.10M691.30M
Investing Cash Flow
-80.10M-11.40M69.30M-329.90M-1.01B-41.70M
Financing Cash Flow
-437.60M-392.30M-387.80M-347.90M725.50M-283.90M

Vontier Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price35.75
Price Trends
50DMA
33.10
Positive
100DMA
34.96
Positive
200DMA
35.36
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.86
Positive
RSI
57.41
Neutral
STOCH
40.64
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VNT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 35.75 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 35.63, above the 50-day MA of 33.10, and above the 200-day MA of 35.36, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.86 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 57.41 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 40.64 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for VNT.

Vontier Risk Analysis

Vontier disclosed 36 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Vontier reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 2 New Risks
1.
The trading price of our common stock may be volatile, which may be exacerbated by share repurchases under our Share Repurchase Program. Q4, 2024
2.
Changes in U.S. trade policy, including changes to existing trade agreements and any resulting changes in international trade relations, may have a material adverse effect on us. Q4, 2024

Vontier Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
VNVNT
75
Outperform
$5.29B14.5635.88%0.28%-3.59%-11.30%
74
Outperform
$4.45B63.349.73%6.52%1.60%
74
Outperform
$5.27B21.0817.73%7.10%58.52%
71
Outperform
$5.51B24.499.50%1.07%-1.14%
70
Outperform
$5.07B47.564.39%1.34%-3.43%-50.48%
68
Neutral
$5.03B43.838.02%1.03%8.56%18.99%
61
Neutral
$11.50B10.46-6.94%2.94%7.57%-9.03%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VNT
Vontier
35.75
-3.59
-9.13%
CGNX
Cognex
29.97
-14.86
-33.15%
NOVT
Novanta
123.82
-37.72
-23.35%
ITRI
Itron
115.60
10.10
9.57%
LFUS
Littelfuse
205.06
-46.56
-18.50%
MKSI
MKS Instruments
82.19
-42.92
-34.31%

Vontier Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Vontier Stockholders Approve Key Proposals at Annual Meeting
Neutral
May 29, 2025

At the Annual Meeting held on May 27, 2025, Vontier Corporation’s stockholders voted on three key proposals. The first proposal involved the election of eight directors, all of whom were elected for a term expiring at the 2026 Annual Meeting. The second proposal, which was approved, ratified the selection of Ernst & Young LLP as the company’s independent registered public accounting firm for 2025. The third proposal, also approved on an advisory basis, concerned the compensation of the company’s named executive officers.

The most recent analyst rating on (VNT) stock is a Hold with a $39.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Vontier stock, see the VNT Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.