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Vodacom Group (VDMCY) AI Stock Analysis

VDMCY

Vodacom Group

(Other OTC:VDMCY)

Select Model
Rating:75.6Outperform
Price Target:$10.50â–²(9.52% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/19/26

The overall score is driven primarily by resilient financial performance and strong cash generation, supported by a reasonable valuation and a broadly stable technical profile showing mild near-term weakness.

Positive Factors
Earnings GrowthStrong revenue and EPS growth indicate continued customer demand and operating leverage across Vodacom’s connectivity and digital-service activities, supporting earnings durability over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Leverage and Debt UncertaintyMeaningful leverage can constrain financial flexibility and increase refinancing or interest-rate exposure. The sharp reported debt swing also creates uncertainty about the capital structure, complicating assessment of long-term balance-sheet strength.

Vodacom Group (VDMCY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-10%0%10%20%30%40%VDMCY+28.36%SPY+11.79%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
$18.45B
Dividend Yield
4.51%
Average Volume (3M)
28.83K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
15.6
Beta (1Y)
0.54
Revenue Growth
16.04%
EPS Growth
31.42%
Country
US
Employees
7,642
Sector
Communication Services
Sector Strength
60
Industry
Telecommunications Services

Vodacom Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Vodacom Group Limited (VDMCY) is a prominent telecommunications, digital, and financial services entity operating across South Africa and international markets. Its comprehensive portfolio encompasses a wide array of communication services, spanning...

How the Company Makes Money

Vodacom primarily makes money by selling telecommunications and adjacent digital services to consumers, small businesses, and large enterprises. Key revenue streams typically include: (1) Service revenue from connectivity: charges for mobile voice ca...

Vodacom Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 09, 2025(Q2-2026)|% Change Since:26.58%|Next Earnings Date:Jan 30, 2023
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The earnings call presented a strong overall performance with significant growth in revenue, customer base, and financial services. However, challenges in South Africa's prepaid market and voice revenue decline slightly tempered the positive outlook.

Positive Updates

Double-Digit EBITDA Growth
The company delivered ahead of its double-digit EBITDA growth target with revenue reaching ZAR 81.6 billion, up 10.9%.

Negative Updates

Challenges in South Africa's Prepaid Market
South Africa's prepaid market faced pressure with a decline of 2.9% in Q2, contributing to a 1.6% decrease over the half, impacted by consumer pressure and competitive dynamics.

Company Guidance

During the call, Mohamed Shameel Joosub highlighted Vodacom's strong financial performance in the first half of fiscal year 2026, with revenue reaching ZAR 81.6 billion, a 10.9% increase, and double-digit EBITDA growth exceeding targets. The company reported an impressive 8.6% rise in customer numbers to 223 million, moving closer to its Vision 2030 target of 260 million. Financial services customers also grew by 13.1% to 94 million, contributing 25% to profit before tax. Egypt's operating profit surged by 66.5% to ZAR 7.8 billion, driven by a stabilized macroeconomic environment. Safaricom's operating profit rose by 65.3%, with EBITDA margins in Kenya reaching 57.3%. International business segments doubled their operating profit to ZAR 2.1 billion, benefiting from service revenue growth in the DRC, Lesotho, and Tanzania. Despite challenges, South Africa's operating profit stood at ZAR 8.8 billion, with a focus on balancing price discipline and competitive responses in the prepaid segment. The company declared a dividend of ZAR 3.30 per share, a 15.8% increase, while maintaining a healthy return on capital employed at 26.3%. Looking ahead, Vodacom anticipates strong EBITDA growth in Egypt and international markets, with planned capital expenditures of ZAR 23 billion for the fiscal year.

Vodacom Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Strong cash generation, steady revenue growth, and solid margins support an above-average score, while recent margin pressure and higher leverage temper the strength.

Income Statement

76Positive

Balance Sheet

70Positive

Cash Flow

82Very Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue164.01B167.65B152.23B150.59B6.97B6.88B
Gross Profit65.63B92.31B92.89B82.76B2.76B2.81B
EBITDA63.56B64.14B58.80B59.07B48.55B43.45B
Net Income20.43B20.65B16.60B16.29B985.68M1.16B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets274.04B274.04B249.98B240.61B12.87B12.18B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments32.48B32.48B27.17B25.12B1.30B1.25B
Total Debt94.25B93.43B2.09B73.48B3.96B3.59B
Total Liabilities167.73B167.73B146.33B136.78B7.38B6.33B
Stockholders Equity91.75B91.75B92.02B92.76B4.84B5.44B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow30.80B29.59B28.11B26.69B1.22B1.30B
Operating Cash Flow54.52B52.31B52.80B49.01B2.40B2.23B
Investing Cash Flow-36.44B-34.96B-24.21B-20.72B-1.88B-1.04B
Financing Cash Flow-10.03B-9.57B-25.86B-25.70B-375.41M-1.09B

Vodacom Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price9.59

Price Trends

50DMA9.37Positive
100DMA9.33Positive
200DMA9.16Positive

Market Momentum

MACD0.10Negative
RSI54.19Neutral
STOCH31.59Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VDMCY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 9.59 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 9.49, above the 50-day MA of 9.37, and above the 200-day MA of 9.16, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.10 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.19 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 31.59 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for VDMCY.

Vodacom Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)

Financial Indicators

VDMCY against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
VIVVIV77Outperform$18.14B14.909.70%7.84%16.10%24.13%
AMXAMX76Outperform$75.11B15.0622.21%2.42%15.97%39.45%
VDMCYVDMCY76Outperform$18.51B15.6022.61%4.51%16.04%31.42%
TIGOTIGO74Outperform$13.33B19.9921.02%5.34%29.10%-29.84%
TIMBTIMB73Outperform$8.43B10.6517.54%7.85%13.99%29.93%
VEONVEON66Neutral$5.26B121.384.15%―14.60%-94.13%
Sector *60Neutral$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%

* Communication Services Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%50%100%VDMCYAMXVIVTIMBTIGOVEONDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
VDMCY and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
VDMCYVodacom Group (OTC)9.591.8423.83%
AMXAmerica Movil S.a.b. De C.v.24.482.4110.90%
VIVTelefonica Brasil SA11.28-0.05-0.42%
TIMBTim S.A.17.68-3.64-17.06%
TIGOMillicom International Cellular Sa79.5735.6981.34%
VEONVEON Ltd82.5434.4571.64%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 17, 2026